Loss and Loss Expense Reserves | Note C - Loss and Loss Expense Reserves Activity in the reserves for losses and loss expenses for the years ended December 31, 2020, 2019 and 2018 is summarized as follows. All amounts are shown net of reinsurance, unless otherwise indicated. 2020 2019 2018 Reserves, gross of reinsurance recoverable, at the beginning of the year $ 988,305 $ 865,339 $ 680,274 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses at the beginning of the year 398,305 375,935 308,143 Reserves at the beginning of the year 590,000 489,404 372,131 Provision for losses and loss expenses: Claims occurring during the current year 319,269 349,018 329,078 Claims occurring during prior years (311 ) (550 ) 16,786 Total incurred losses and loss expenses 318,958 348,468 345,864 Loss and loss expense payments: Claims occurring during the current year 77,880 90,364 84,738 Claims occurring during prior years 165,777 157,508 143,853 Total paid 243,657 247,872 228,591 Reserves at the end of the year 665,301 590,000 489,404 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses at the end of the year 424,368 398,305 375,935 Reserves, gross of reinsurance recoverable, at the end of the year $ 1,089,669 $ 988,305 $ 865,339 The table above shows that a reserve savings of $311 developed during 2020 in the settlement of claims occurring on or before December 31, 2019, compared to a reserve savings of $550 in 2019 and reserve deficiencies of $16,786 in 2018. The developments for each year are composed of individual claim savings and deficiencies which, in the aggregate, have resulted from the settlement of claims at amounts higher or lower than previously reserved and from changes in estimates of losses incurred but not reported as part of the normal reserving process. The following table reconciles the triangles presented in this note to the total (savings) / deficiency for the Company of $311 shown in the table above: Prior Year (Savings) / Deficiency 2020 2019 2018 Workers' Compensation $ 1,431 $ (2,733 ) $ (9,601 ) Commercial Auto Liability 10,717 8,893 32,342 Occupational Accident (7,467 ) 688 (4,178 ) Physical Damage (1,684 ) (4,561 ) (1,066 ) Professional Liability Assumed 189 259 2,343 Other short-duration contracts (3,497 ) (3,096 ) (3,054 ) Total $ (311 ) $ (550 ) $ 16,786 The $311 prior accident year savings that developed during 2020 related to favorable loss development in the Company's occupational accident business, partially offset by unfavorable loss development in commercial automobile coverages. This 2020 savings compares to savings of $550 for 2019 related to favorable loss development in the Company's workers' compensation business, and a deficiency of $16,786 for 2018 related to unfavorable development from commercial automobile coverages. This unfavorable loss development was the result of increased claim severity due to a more challenging litigation environment, as well as an unexpected increase in the time to settle claims leading to an unfavorable change in claim settlement patterns. Loss reserves have been reduced by estimated salvage and subrogation recoverable of approximately $4,000 and $4,000 at December 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively. The following is information about incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2020, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency and the total of incurred‐but‐not‐reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claims included within the net incurred claims amounts. Workers' Compensation As of December 31, 2020 Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Total of Incurred-but-Not-Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development Number of Reported Accident Year For the Years Ended December 31 (2011-2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) on Reported Claims 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Claims Per Year 2011 $ 26,057 $ 26,628 $ 26,958 $ 26,767 $ 25,515 $ 27,293 $ 26,617 $ 26,631 $ 26,452 $ 26,356 $ 1,989 4,547 2012 23,965 25,544 24,887 24,485 25,616 27,020 26,775 25,508 26,397 2,327 4,484 2013 27,619 30,638 29,913 32,121 32,553 31,131 31,066 31,360 3,137 5,282 2014 36,768 36,968 34,009 33,427 31,031 31,579 31,551 3,772 5,413 2015 26,277 23,115 25,889 24,948 25,436 25,167 3,367 6,340 2016 35,240 29,757 29,317 30,060 29,785 3,693 6,087 2017 42,387 37,731 36,211 34,930 5,921 16,469 2018 62,973 61,530 62,451 13,632 14,295 2019 65,837 67,113 19,079 9,480 2020 60,204 34,084 7,550 Total $ 395,314 $ 91,001 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31 (2011-2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Accident Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 4,916 $ 11,912 $ 15,973 $ 18,884 $ 20,617 $ 21,622 $ 22,569 $ 22,991 $ 23,366 $ 23,516 2012 4,597 11,004 14,834 17,415 18,946 20,276 21,157 21,636 21,850 2013 4,880 12,792 18,065 21,655 23,643 24,968 25,847 26,702 2014 5,328 13,665 19,075 22,387 23,968 24,714 25,507 2015 2,918 10,128 15,020 17,487 19,385 20,251 2016 5,784 13,377 18,461 21,304 23,113 2017 6,150 15,811 20,863 23,910 2018 10,987 27,862 36,794 2019 13,171 31,140 2020 10,508 Total $ 243,291 Outstanding liabilities prior to 2011, net of reinsurance 16,836 Liabilities for claims and claims adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 168,859 Commercial Liability As of December 31, 2020 Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Total of Incurred-but-Not-Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development Number of Reported For the Years Ended December 31 (2011-2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) on Reported Claims Accident Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Claims Per Year 2011 $ 46,829 $ 43,832 $ 31,633 $ 36,894 $ 35,805 $ 37,122 $ 36,076 $ 37,852 $ 37,795 $ 38,773 $ 21 2,902 2012 49,743 54,269 49,743 51,367 48,708 51,475 51,648 51,962 51,830 443 3,131 2013 53,817 39,143 37,701 36,371 46,690 48,857 51,598 51,293 270 3,753 2014 49,971 52,254 52,483 52,964 64,372 70,841 72,636 1,051 3,325 2015 61,420 70,174 64,323 71,088 75,503 77,225 1,736 3,198 2016 61,638 68,974 77,362 79,015 80,788 2,420 3,751 2017 103,126 103,611 99,287 97,663 12,197 5,403 2018 179,589 177,262 186,521 29,518 8,197 2019 198,022 195,273 53,842 8,313 2020 173,878 109,654 4,410 Total $ 1,025,880 $ 211,152 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31 (2011-2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Accident Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 1,809 $ 11,350 $ 23,615 $ 30,795 $ 33,255 $ 34,009 $ 35,561 $ 36,400 $ 37,263 $ 37,267 2012 3,086 23,252 32,942 45,303 47,601 50,036 50,750 50,882 50,908 2013 5,167 15,772 25,270 34,481 44,865 46,084 49,522 49,879 2014 4,023 9,046 28,393 45,075 57,692 68,392 69,183 2015 10,923 27,582 49,267 63,133 71,697 74,276 2016 6,843 30,377 52,764 70,324 74,324 2017 11,415 46,529 58,173 73,496 2018 18,689 66,575 101,803 2019 19,311 64,294 2020 13,185 Total $ 608,615 Outstanding liabilities prior to 2011, net of reinsurance 3,433 Liabilities for claims and claims adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 420,698 Professional Liability Reinsurance Assumed (in runoff) As of December 31, 2020 Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Total of Incurred-but-Not-Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development Number of Reported Accident Year For the Years Ended December 31 (2011-2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) on Reported Claims 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Claims Per Year 2011 $ 10,492 $ 8,314 $ 9,017 $ 9,859 $ 10,779 $ 12,735 $ 12,744 $ 12,725 $ 13,018 $ 13,228 $ 219 N/A 2012 10,041 9,276 5,569 10,157 14,605 16,555 14,949 16,013 16,439 489 N/A 2013 14,370 13,034 11,618 17,694 23,256 22,213 23,474 23,381 1,764 N/A 2014 12,675 8,825 7,259 9,837 12,749 10,721 10,619 1,256 N/A 2015 11,638 7,859 7,147 10,422 8,753 8,404 1,959 N/A 2016 6,368 2,482 1,522 2,993 3,090 435 N/A 2017 – – – – – N/A 2018 – – – – N/A 2019 – – – N/A 2020 – – N/A Total $ 75,161 $ 6,122 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31 (2011-2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Accident Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 50 $ 637 $ 2,061 $ 4,983 $ 8,104 $ 10,404 $ 11,679 $ 12,280 $ 12,404 $ 12,629 2012 103 992 2,388 5,077 8,355 11,239 13,091 13,706 14,403 2013 123 1,135 5,088 10,988 14,779 18,229 19,201 20,157 2014 723 761 2,241 3,999 6,627 7,732 8,890 2015 10 390 1,899 3,207 3,964 5,162 2016 – 5 99 2,254 2,496 2017 – – – – 2018 – – – 2019 – – 2020 – Total $ 63,737 Outstanding liabilities prior to 2011, net of reinsurance 534 Liabilities for claims and claims adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 11,958 Occupational Accident As of December 31, 2020 2020 Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Total of Incurred-but-Not-Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development Number of Reported Accident Year For the Years Ended December 31 (2011-2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) on Reported Claims 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2018 2020 Claims Per Year 2011 $ 6,249 $ 6,937 $ 6,485 $ 6,283 $ 6,151 $ 6,297 $ 6,264 $ 6,263 $ 6,287 $ 6,275 $ 2 472 2012 5,272 4,168 3,908 3,758 3,585 3,566 3,551 3,773 3,758 8 380 2013 6,410 5,044 4,403 4,390 4,166 4,107 4,082 4,082 – 337 2014 5,283 4,865 4,147 4,093 4,031 4,061 4,041 38 325 2015 3,897 3,539 3,715 3,846 3,832 3,698 111 275 2016 6,729 6,312 5,847 5,965 4,894 112 704 2017 17,041 13,334 12,976 11,031 111 1,040 2018 16,365 17,053 12,147 412 892 2018 10,498 11,134 1,469 882 2020 12,869 2,508 772 Total $ 73,929 $ 4,771 Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31 (2011-2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Accident Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2011 $ 2,159 $ 4,861 $ 6,003 $ 6,050 $ 6,020 $ 6,278 $ 6,219 $ 6,232 $ 6,246 $ 6,267 2012 1,082 2,648 3,190 3,390 3,377 3,442 3,482 3,521 3,555 2013 1,989 3,565 3,768 4,108 4,110 4,107 4,082 4,082 2014 2,000 3,685 3,861 3,909 3,948 3,968 3,968 2015 739 1,934 2,670 2,988 3,224 3,285 2016 1,596 4,388 4,818 4,807 4,785 2017 3,229 7,756 9,126 9,645 2018 5,324 9,807 10,642 2019 4,007 7,782 2020 4,978 Total $ 58,989 Outstanding liabilities prior to 2011, net of reinsurance 99 Liabilities for claims and claims adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 15,039 Physical Damage (1) As of December 31, 2020 Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance Total of Incurred-but-Not- Reported Liabilities Plus Number of For the Years Ended December 31 (2018-2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Expected Development Reported Claims Accident Year 2018 2019 2020 on Reported Claims Per Year 2018 $ 53,726 $ 50,122 $ 49,767 $ 22 11,151 2019 – 55,354 54,126 141 10,472 2020 – 56,602 3,233 9,130 Total $ 160,495 $ 3,396 Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance For the Years Ended December 31 (2018-2019 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Accident Year 2018 2019 2020 2018 $ 41,631 $ 49,685 $ 49,638 2019 – 44,197 53,647 2020 – 42,726 Total $ 146,011 Outstanding liabilities prior to 2018, net of reinsurance 77 Liabilities for claims and claims adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance $ 14,561 (1) The majority of physical damage claims settle within a two-year period. The triangles above have been abbreviated to reflect the short-tail nature of this business. The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the liability for claims and claim adjustment expenses in the consolidated balance sheet at December 31, 2020 and 2019 is as follows. 2020 2019 Net outstanding liabilities Commercial Liability $ 420,698 $ 355,148 Workers' Compensation 168,859 154,409 Occupational Accident 15,039 19,840 Physical Damage 14,561 11,676 Professional Liability Assumed 11,958 16,079 Other short-duration insurance lines 10,016 10,478 Liabilities for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance 641,131 567,630 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims Commercial Liability 209,126 209,152 Workers' Compensation 211,421 182,908 Occupational Accident 500 1,979 Physical Damage 1,054 655 Other short-duration insurance lines 2,267 3,611 Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses at the end of the year 424,368 398,305 Unallocated claims adjustment expenses 24,170 22,370 Total gross liability for unpaid claims and claims adjustment expense $ 1,089,669 $ 988,305 The following is supplementary information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2020: Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (Supplementary Information and Unaudited) Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Commercial Liability 8.8% 25.2% 22.8% 19.8% 8.9% 5.4% 3.3% 0.8% 1.1% – Workers' Compensation 16.9% 26.5% 16.1% 10.1% 6.2% 3.8% 3.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6% Occupational Accident 36.2% 40.7% 11.2% 4.1% 1.0% 1.6% (0.1)% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% Physical Damage 81.6% 16.3% (0.4)% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Professional Liability Assumed 1.4% 3.2% 11.8% 27.6% 16.9% 14.9% 9.0% 4.1% 2.6% 1.7% Reserve methodologies for incurred but not reported losses The Company uses both standard actuarial techniques common to most insurance companies as well as proprietary techniques developed by the Company in connection with its specialty business products. For its short-tail lines of The Company also uses the loss development factor approach for its long-tail lines of business, including workers' compensation. A minimum of 15 accident years is included in the loss development triangles used to calculate link ratios and the selected loss development factors used to determine the reserves for incurred but not reported losses. Significant emphasis is placed on the use of tail factors for the Company's long-tail lines of business. For the Company's commercial automobile risks, which are covered by regularly updated reinsurance agreements and which contain wide-ranging self-insured retentions ("SIR"), traditional actuarial methods are supplemented by other methods, as described below, in consideration of the Company's exposures to loss. In situations where the Company's reinsurance structure, the insured's SIR selections, policy volume, and other factors are changing, current accident period loss exposures may not be homogenous enough with historical loss data to allow for reliable projection of future developed losses. Therefore, the Company supplements the above-described actuarial methods with loss ratio reserving techniques developed from the Company's proprietary databases to arrive at the reserve for incurred but not reported losses for the calendar/accident period under review. As losses for a given calendar/accident period develop with the passage of time, management evaluates such development on a monthly and quarterly basis and adjusts reserve factors, as necessary, to reflect current judgment with regard to the anticipated ultimate incurred losses. This process continues until all losses are settled for each period subject to this method. The Company notes there is more inherent uncertainty in 2020 than normal due to COVID-19, which could lead to either favorable or unfavorable impacts to its loss development that are currently unknown. Claim count methodology The Company uses a claim event and coverage combination to estimate frequency. For example, a single claim event involving loss for physical damage of a vehicle and personal injury to a claimant would be considered two claims for purposes of the calculation of frequency. A single claim event causing personal injury to two claimants would be considered a single claim under the methodology. Due to the number of reinsurance assumed treaties entered into (and the varying structures: both quota share and excess of loss) the Company deems it impractical to collect claim frequency information related to this business and this information has not been made available to the Company. |