Morgan Stanley Global Electricity &
Energy Conference
Anthony F. Earley, Jr.
Chairman of the Board & Chief Executive Officer
March 16, 2006
Safe Harbor Statement
The information contained herein is as of the date of this presentation. DTE Energy expressly disclaims any current intention to update
any forward-looking statements contained in this document as a result of new information or future events or developments. Words
such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “expect,” “projected” and “goals” signify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are
not guarantees of future results and conditions but rather are subject to various assumptions, risks and uncertainties. This
presentation contains forward-looking statements about DTE Energy’s financial results and estimates of future prospects, and actual
results may differ materially. Factors that may impact forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: the higher price of oil
and its impact on the value of production tax credits, and the ability to utilize and/or sell interests in facilities producing such credits;
the uncertainties of successful exploration of gas shale resources and inability to estimate gas reserves with certainty; the effects of weather
and other natural phenomena on operations and sales to customers, and purchases from suppliers; economic climate and population
growth or decline in the geographic areas where we do business; environmental issues, laws, regulations, and the cost of remediation
and compliance; nuclear regulations and operations associated with nuclear facilities; implementation of electric and gas Customer
Choice programs; impact of electric and gas utility restructuring in Michigan, including legislative amendments; employee relations and
the impact of collective bargaining agreements; unplanned outages; access to capital markets and capital market conditions and
the results of other financing efforts which can be affected by credit agency ratings; the timing and extent of changes in interest
rates; the level of borrowings; changes in the cost and availability of coal and other raw materials, purchased power and natural gas;
effects of competition; impact of regulation by the FERC, MPSC, NRC and other applicable governmental proceedings and regulations;
contributions to earnings by non-utility subsidiaries; changes in federal, state and local tax laws and their interpretations, including the
Internal Revenue Code, regulations, rulings, court proceedings and audits; the ability to recover costs through rate increases; the availability,
cost, coverage and terms of insurance; the cost of protecting assets against, or damage due to, terrorism; changes in accounting
standards and financial reporting regulations; changes in federal or state laws and their interpretation with respect to regulation, energy policy
and other business issues; uncollectible accounts receivable; litigation and related appeals; and changes in the economic and financial
viability of our suppliers, customers and trading counterparties, and the continued ability of such parties to perform their obligations to
the Company. This presentation should also be read in conjunction with the “Forward-Looking Statements” section in each of
DTE Energy’s, MichCon’s and Detroit Edison’s 2005 Form 10-K (which sections are incorporated herein by reference), and in conjunction
with other SEC reports filed by DTE Energy, MichCon and Detroit Edison.
Cautionary Note – The Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose
only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and
legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation such as "probable
reserves" that the SEC's guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. You are urged to consider closely the
disclosure in our Forms 10-K and 10-Q, File No. 1-11607, available from our offices or from our website at www.dteenergy.com. You can
also obtain these Forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.
2
DTE Energy’s Value Proposition
Utilities targeting earnings growth at 5% annual rate
through 2010
Building scale at the non-utility businesses
Stable dividend and attractive yield supported by
strong balance sheet
3
DTE Energy’s 2005 Results Demonstrate
a Return to Growth
$3.63
DTE Energy
Operating Earnings per Share*
$3.05
$2.57
$3.27
* Reconciliation to GAAP reported earnings included in the appendix
$3.60-3.90**
** 2006 guidance assume no synfuel tax credit phase out
4
5% Utility Income Growth Driven by
Significant Investments
Potential utility asset base growth 2005-2010
Not including new base-load generation
($ millions)
~$1,600-1,800
Base
Utility
Environmental
Gas System
Expansion/Safety
Total
~$700-800
~$250
~$650-750
In addition to ongoing investments
to improve reliability and customer
satisfaction, we expect major new
investments over the next 5 years
These new investments grow utility
earnings while enhancing service to
customers
Through rate cases, we will pursue
a structure that ensures a full and
timely recovery of investments
MichCon rate case filing as
needed in 2006
Detroit Edison rate case
filing required July 1, 2007
Potential Net Income Impact*
($ millions)
~$90
~$40
~$15
Base
Utility
Environmental
Gas System
Expansion/Safety
Total
~$35
* Assumes earning 11% ROE on 50% equity
5
Recent Regulatory Rulings are
Indicative of Michigan’s Constructive
Regulatory Environment
MichCon Rate Case
$61M base rate increase
Uncollectible expense tracking mechanism
Detroit Edison Rate Case
$248M base rate increase
Full recovery of $550M of past environmental expenditures
Pension expense tracking mechanism
Detroit Edison Rate Restructuring Case
Changes allowed continued reduction of Electric Choice
levels
6
DTE’s Performance
Excellence Process
Mitigate inflation
Offset higher
commodity
prices
Reduced need
for future rate
increases
Help fund improved
reliability and
customer service
Help to fund large
scale utility
investment program
Our Performance Excellence Process
Sharpens the Focus on Costs,
Productivity and Customer Satisfaction
7
Performance Excellence Process
Update
Broad cost reduction, productivity improvement effort
Comprehensive focus on all areas of Detroit Edison, MichCon and Corporate Staffs
Targeting first quartile cost/performance/customer satisfaction in all areas
Currently developing implementation plans
Restructuring charge likely in 2006
More details will be provided at our April 6th analyst meeting
Estimate at least $250M of annual O&M and capital savings, realized over
the next 24 months
Identify
Opportunities
Timeline
Evaluate
Opportunities
Program Overview
December 2005
January 2006
March 2006
Q2 2006
Plan
Implementation
Implement
8
Building Scale at our Non-Utility
Businesses
Leverages our expertise in owning and
operating large industrial projects, such as
on-site & biomass projects
Utilizes our knowledge of the electricity, coal
and natural gas markets through ownership of
pipelines, gas storage capacity, coal transport
network and asset-based trading
Build on our 15+ years of unconventional
production experience through sizable
positions in the Antrim and Barnett regions
Power & Industrial
Projects
Fuel Transportation
& Marketing
Unconventional Gas
Production
9
Power & Industrial Projects:
Executing Our Growth Plans
Expertise in large-scale on-site facilities
Utility services for industrial sites
Landfill gas production sites
Synfuels, coke batteries and power generation
plants
Investing where we see continuing success
Industrial site projects
Biomass and landfill gas projects
2006 plans
Capital expenditures of $100-200M in 2006
Targeted ROIC for new investments of 10-15%
Full pipeline of projects
10
Fuel Transportation & Marketing:
Growing Through Capacity Expansion
Expertise in commodity logistics and trading
Coal transportation and marketing
Natural gas storage and pipelines
Asset-based gas and electricity trading
Investing into very strong storage and
transportation fundamentals
Pipeline investments at Millennium ($45M)
and Vector expansion ($15M) in service late
2007
Michigan storage expansions of 14 Bcf now
($46M) plus 15-35 Bcf over the next five
years
2006 plans
Capital expenditures of $100-120M in 2006
Targeted ROICs of 10-20%
11
Unconventional Gas:
Hidden Value Becoming Visible
12
Expertise in unconventional gas production
15+ years in Michigan’s Antrim formation, 2 years
in Texas Barnett formation
2000+ active wells
21 Bcf of production
~550 Bcfe total proved and probable reserves
Investing to increase value
New production in Antrim offsets older well
decline; new production is near market price
while old production is sold forward at well below
current market levels
Development and production in Barnett shale
Reserve growth (proven & probable) of 16 Bcfe at
12/31/04 to 179 Bcfe at 12/31/05
2006 plans
Capital expenditures of $100-130M in 2006
Targeted ROICs of 15-20%
Unconventional Gas Production:
Antrim Reserves Have Significant Value
Antrim Net Income
Antrim Reserve Valuation
Less: Allocated debt
0.50-1.00
2.50-3.00
35
338
Probable
Proved
Valuation
Comparable
($/mcf)
Reserves
(Bcfe)
Component
~$420-620
Valuation
Net Income
($ millions)
Current Natural
Gas Pricing ($/Mcf)
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
2005A
2006E
2007E
2008E
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
Actual/Forecasted net income
Additional income without fixed price obligations
Current forward natural gas pricing
($ millions)
Gross Antrim Reserve Value
Less: Cost of Legacy Hedges
Based on $5 market to hedge price differential
(150)
(280)
$850-1,050
P/E valuation on 2005 earnings of <$0.50/share
Per share valuation of ~$2.35-3.50
Antrim production has material value that will be increasingly visible over next few years
13
We Have Made Considerable Progress in
Developing Our Barnett Position
Production
(mmcf/day)
0
4.0
12/31/2005
12/31/2004
Gross Producing Wells
5
65
12/31/2005
12/31/2004
Reserves
(Bcfe)
Probable
Reserves
Proven
Reserves
8
16
120
59
179
8
12/31/2005
12/31/2004
Acreage Position
(thousands)
Net
Undeveloped
Acres
Net
Developed
Acres
49
0
49
62
14
76
12/31/2005
12/31/2004
14
While Currently Modest, Barnett’s
Valuation Should Grow
Barnett Reserve Valuation
1.50-2.50
1.50-3.00
120
59
Probable
Proved
Valuation
Comparable
($/mcf)
Reserves
(Bcfe)
Component
Valuation ($ millions)
$210-$420
Per share valuation of ~$1.20-2.40
Barnett probable reserves are
high quality and market would
value close to proved.
Southern acreage is not
included in this analysis
Less: Allocated debt ($ millions)
(60)
15
Non-Utility Scale Continues to Grow in
our Areas of Future Capital Investment
Non-Utility Operating Net Income*
In Areas of Expected Future Capital Investment
($ millions)
2004A
2005A
2006E**
$35
$64
$68-103
** 2006 guidance assume no synfuel tax credit phase out
Non-Utility Operating Net Income*
Synfuels, Power Generation,
Waste Coal & Energy Trading
Non-Utility Op. Net Income in Areas
Of Expected Future Capital Investment*
* Reconciliation to GAAP reported earnings included in the appendix
$255
(220)
$35
$285
(221)
$64
$325-345
(242-257)
$68-103
16
Balance Sheet Position
Funds from Operations/
Debt
* Excludes securitization debt and MichCon short term borrowings
** Assumes midpoint of applicable estimates, excludes expected cost to achieve for the Performance Excellence Process
Long-Run
Target
19.3%
22.7%
23%**
26-28%
Funds from Operations/
Interest
Long-Run
Target
3.9X
4.5X
4.5X**
4.5-5.0X
Leverage*
Long-Run
Target
51.2%
52.1%
53%**
48-50%
17
Stable Dividend and Attractive Yield
DTE ~4.9%
Current Dividend Yield
S&P Electrics/S&P MultiUtilities
Paid dividend for 96
consecutive years
Stable credit ratings
Strong liquidity with
$1.2B of short term
credit currently
available
18
Our Value Proposition
Utilities targeting earnings growth at 5% annual rate through 2010
Stable regulatory environment
Substantial expected additions to rate base
Implementation of Performance Excellence Process
Building scale at the non-utility businesses
Solid reinvestment progress in 2005 with strong pipeline of opportunities in
2006
Substantial and growing value in Unconventional Gas Production
Stable dividend with attractive yield supported by strong balance sheet
Improving credit metrics
Balance sheet strength to support investment plans
19
For More Information
DTE Energy Investor Relations
www.dteenergy.com/investors
313-235-8030
20
Appendix
DTE Energy’s Barnett Shale Operations
Jack
Dallas/
Ft Worth
Metropolitan
Area
Clay
Montague
Wise
Denton
Cooke
Palker
Tarrant
Hood
Johnson
Erath
Hill
Bosque
Palo Pinto
Expansion area
Core area
Zones of
DTE Acreage
Cooke
52,000 acres
3,000 acres
23,000 acres
Somervell
22
Unconventional Gas Production
Statistics
23
Net Income
($ millions)
$4
$25-30
2006E
2005
Antrim
Barnett
2005 Natural Gas Production
(Bcfe)
21.5
0.7
2006 Natural Gas Production
(Bcfe)
22.4
4.1
Current Proven Reserves
(Bcfe)
338
59
Current Probable Reserves
(Bcfe)
35
120
Gross Current Producing Wells
2,010
65
Planned Additional Drilled Wells in
2006
130
55
2006 Rigs
2
5
Net Developed Acres
(thousands)
218
14
Net Undeveloped Acres
(thousands)
73
62
291
76
2006 Guidance
24
* Reconciliation to GAAP reported earnings included in the appendix
*** Includes Energy Trading earnings of ($39M) and $45-50M in 2005 & 2006, respectively
** Includes synfuel earnings of $273M and $210-220M in 2005 & 2006, respectively
Operating Earnings*
($ millions)
2005
Actuals
2006
Guidance
Detroit Edison
$272
$320-335
MichCon
73
70-80
Power & Industrial Projects**
280
215-225
Unconventional Gas Production
4
25-30
Fuel Transportation & Marketing***
2
85-90
Corporate & Other
(54)
(70-80)
Operating Earnings
$577
$635-690
Operating Earnings per Share
$3.27
$3.60-3.90
Capital Expenditures
($ millions)
25
* Includes maintenance and growth expenditures
2006
Estimate
2005
Actuals
Detroit Edison
- Operational
$584
$575-675
- Environmental
65
200-250
- DTE2/SAP Implementation
73
100-140
MichCon
- Operational
$113
$105-150
- Pipeline Integrity
15
20-25
Non-Utility*
- Power & Industrial Projects
$77
$100-200
- Unconventional Gas Production
144
100-130
- Fuel Transportation & Marketing
41
100-120
Total Non-Utility
$262
$300-450
Other
3
0-10
Total
1,115
$
$1,300-1,700
Cash Flow
26
($ millions)
2006
Estimate
2005
Actuals
Operating Activities
Cash from operations
$1,001
$1,100-1,150
Synfuel production payment*
349
325-375
Adjusted cash from operations
$1,350
$1,425-1,525
Investing Activities
Capital expenditures
($1,115)
($1,300-1,700)
Asset sales
60
0-25
Other investments
(96)
(30-80)
($1,151)
($1,305 - 1,780)
Financing Activities
Short-term borrowing
$437
$0-325
Net long-term debt**
(403)
275
Net issuance of common stock
159
-
Dividends paid
(360)
(370)
($167)
$(95) - 230
Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash
$32
-
* accounted for as 'investing activity' on statement of cash flows
** includes capital leases
Reconciliation of 2002 & 2003
Reported Earnings to Operating Earnings
Use of Operating Earnings Information – DTE Energy management believes that operating earnings provide a more meaningful representation of the
company’s earnings from ongoing operations and uses operating earnings as the primary performance measurement for external communications with
analysts and investors. Internally, DTE Energy uses operating earnings to measure performance against budget and to report to the Board of Directors.
27
2002
DTE Energy
Reported Earnings
$3.83
ITC Discontinued Ops
(0.28)
Dtech Discontinued Ops
0.08
Operating Earnings
$3.63
2003
DTE Energy
Reported Earnings
$3.09
Stranded Cost Adjustment
(0.12)
Blackout Costs
0.10
Adjustment of EITF 98-10 accounting change
(0.01)
Loss on sale of steam heating business
0.08
Disallowance of gas costs
0.10
Contribution to DTE Energy Foundation
0.06
Adjustment for discontinued operation
(0.03)
Gain on sale of ITC
(0.37)
Asset retirement obligations
0.07
Dtech Discontinued Ops
0.08
Operating Earnings
$3.05
Reconciliation of 2004 & 2005
Reported Earnings to
Operating Earnings
Use of Operating Earnings Information – DTE Energy management believes that operating earnings provide a more meaningful representation of the company’s
earnings from ongoing operations and uses operating earnings as the primary performance measurement for external communications with analysts and investors.
Internally, DTE Energy uses operating earnings to measure performance against budget and to report to the Board of Directors.
28
2005
DTE
Energy
Electric
Utility
Gas
Utility
Power &
Indust.
Projects
Fuel
Trans. &
Market.
Uncov. Gas
Prod.
Holding
Company
DTE
Energy
Electric
Utility
Gas
Utility
Power &
Indust.
Projects
Fuel
Trans. &
Market.
Uncov.
Gas
Prod.
Holding
Company
Reported Earnings
$3.05
$1.57
$0.21
$1.75
$0.01
$0.02
($0.51)
$537
$277
$37
$308
$2
$4
($91)
SAP/DTE2 Implementation
0.07
0.04
0.03
-
-
-
-
13
8
5
-
-
-
-
Performance Excellence Process (CTA)
0.03
0.02
0.01
-
-
-
-
6
4
1
1
-
-
-
Dtech Discontinued Ops
0.20
-
-
-
-
-
0.20
35
-
-
-
-
-
35
2006/2007 Oil Hedges
(0.17)
-
-
(0.17)
-
-
-
(29)
-
-
(29)
-
-
-
Land Sale Gain
(0.10)
(0.09)
-
-
-
-
(0.01)
(19)
(17)
-
-
-
-
(2)
Rate Case Disallowances
0.17
-
0.17
-
-
-
-
30
-
30
-
-
-
-
ITC Gain Sharing Adjustment
0.01
-
-
-
-
-
0.01
3
-
-
-
-
-
3
Change in Accounting (FIN 47)
0.02
-
-
-
-
-
0.02
3
-
-
-
-
-
3
Southern Missouri Gain on Sale
(0.01)
-
-
-
-
-
(0.01)
(2)
-
-
-
-
-
(2)
Operating Earnings
$3.27
$1.54
$0.42
$1.58
$0.01
$0.02
($0.30)
$577
$272
$73
$280
$2
$4
($54)
2004
DTE
Energy
Electric
Utility
Gas
Utility
Power &
Indust.
Projects
Fuel
Trans. &
Market.
Uncov. Gas
Prod.
Holding
Company
DTE
Energy
Electric
Utility
Gas
Utility
Power &
Indust.
Projects
Fuel
Trans. &
Market.
Uncov.
Gas
Prod.
Holding
Company
Reported Earnings
$2.49
$0.87
$0.11
$1.03
$0.68
$0.03
($0.23)
$431
$150
$20
$179
$118
$6
($42)
SAP/DTE2 Implementation
0.06
0.04
0.02
-
-
-
-
11
7
4
-
-
-
-
Dtech Discontinued Ops
0.10
-
-
-
-
-
0.10
18
-
-
-
-
-
18
Southern Missouri Impairment Loss
0.04
-
-
-
-
-
0.04
7
-
-
-
-
-
7
Contract Termination/Modification
(0.27)
-
-
-
(0.27)
-
-
(48)
-
-
-
(48)
-
-
Gain on sale of ITC
0.03
-
-
-
-
-
0.03
5
-
-
-
-
-
5
Stranded Cost Adjustment
0.12
0.12
-
-
-
-
-
21
21
-
-
-
-
-
Operating Earnings
$2.57
$1.03
$0.13
$1.03
$0.41
$0.03
($0.06)
$445
$178
$24
$179
$70
$6
($12)
Net Income ($ Millions)
Earnings per Share
Net Income ($ Millions)
Earnings per Share
Reconciliations
In this presentation, DTE Energy provides 2006 guidance for operating earnings, non-utility operating net income and non-utility operating net income in areas of
expected future capital investment. It is likely that certain items that impact the company’s 2006 reported results will be excluded from operating results. A
reconciliation to the comparable 2006 reported earnings/net income guidance is not provided because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of specific line
items such as 2007 oil hedging costs, Performance Excellence Process restructuring charges and DTE2 implementation charges. These items may fluctuate
significantly from period to period and may have a significant impact on reported earnings.
2006 Reported Earnings to Operating Earnings
Non-Utility Operating Net Income in areas of Expected Future Capital Investment to Non-Utility Reported Earnings
29
Use of Non-Utility Operating Net Income – DTE Energy management believes that non-utility operating net income provides a more meaningful
representation of the company’s earnings from ongoing non-utility operations and this measure as the primary performance measurement for external
communications with analysts and investors. Internally, DTE Energy uses this measure to gauge performance against budget and to report to the Board of
Directors.
Use of Non-Utility Operating Net Income in areas of Expected Future Capital Investment - DTE Energy management believes the use of this measure
provides a meaningful depiction, for external communications with analysts and investors, of the net income growth in the non-utility businesses where the
company expects to invest significant capital in the future.
(excludes Corporate & Other)
2004A
2005A
2006E
Non-Utility Reported Net Income
$303
$314
n/a
Contract Termination/Modification
(48)
-
2006/2007 Oil Hedges
-
(29)
Non-Utility Operating Net Income
$255
$285
$325-345
Synfuels
(193)
(273)
(210-220)
Power Generation/Waste Coal
17
13
13
Energy Trading
(44)
39
(45-50)
Non-Utility Operating Net Income in areas of
Expected Future Capital Investment
$35
$64
$68-103