The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the U.S. economy added 274,000 jobs during the third quarter of 2017 as compared to 562,000 jobs during the second quarter of 2017. Several hurricanes were partially responsible for the moderation in job growth during the quarter. Labor market conditions in Florida and Texas were particularly impacted, which contributed to a loss of 33,000 jobs nationally in September. The unemployment rate continued to trend lower, ending the third quarter at 4.2%, down from 4.4% in the second quarter. Finance and professional and business services are the primary drivers of office space demand. In the third quarter, job growth moderated, but remained healthy in each sector. The financial services sector added 29,000 jobs as compared to 41,000 in the second quarter of 2017, while the professional and business services sector added 99,000 jobs as compared to 140,000 previously. CB Richard Ellis Econometric Advisors (“CBRE-EA”) reported that job growth was strong enough to support a decline in the national office vacancy rate to 12.9% in the third quarter, as compared to 13.0% in the second quarter. Vacancy rates declined in 38 of the 63 markets tracked by CBRE-EA. The national industrial availability rate edged down to 7.7% during the third quarter from 7.8% in the second quarter. CBRE-EA noted that the decline was largely driven by strong demand, and net absorption continued to outpace completions. Overall, availability rates decreased in 33 of the 64 industrial markets tracked by CBRE-EA. The national apartment vacancy rate increased for the sixth consecutive quarter on a year-over-year basis to 4.6%, as compared to 4.5% during third quarter 2016. (Year-over-year comparisons are necessary due to seasonal leasing patterns.) CBRE-EA data indicates that vacancy rates increased in 39 of the 65 apartment markets tracked, while three markets went unchanged. Market conditions are expected to continue to soften as new supply delivers nationwide. Over the next year, the supply pipeline is expected to peak and market conditions should begin to stabilize as a result. Preliminary data from the U.S. Census Bureau indicate that retail sales excluding motor vehicles and parts increased 1.0% from second quarter 2017 and 4.1% over third quarter 2016 sales. Retail market conditions have been challenged by bankruptcies and store closings, but national availability rates have generally held steady or modestly declined since 2011. However, CBRE-EA data indicate that the national retail availability rate ticked up to 10.2% in the third quarter from 10.1% previously. Note: Data subject to revision
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