The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the U.S. economy added 632,000 jobs during the second quarter of 2018 compared to 655,000 jobs during the first quarter. The economy created an average of 211,000 jobs over the past three months, above the 12-month average of 198,000. After holding steady for six straight months at 4.1%, the unemployment rate decreased to 3.9%, 3.8%, and 4.0% throughout the second quarter with a quarterly average of 3.9%. Finance and professional & business services are the primary drivers of office space demand. The financial services sector added 28,000 jobs as compared to 37,000 in the first quarter of 2018, while the professional and business services sector added 152,000 jobs compared to 140,000 previously. According to data from CB Richard Ellis Econometric Advisors (“CBRE-EA”), demand for both suburban and downtown office space led to a decrease in vacancy, from 13.1% in the first quarter to 13.0% in the second quarter. Vacancy rates declined in 40 of the 63 markets tracked by CBRE-EA. The national industrial availability rate ticked down to 7.2% in the second quarter, as compared to 7.3% in the first quarter. Overall, availability rates decreased in 39 of the 64 industrial markets tracked by CBRE-EA. Continuing strength in domestic economic fundamentals including gains in employment, real disposable income, and households’ net worth continue to be supportive of strong consumer activity, suggesting that the industrial sector still has ways to go in its growth cycle. The national apartment vacancy rate decreased to 4.6% in the second quarter from 5.0% in the first quarter. Of the 66 apartment markets tracked by CBRE-EA, data indicates that vacancy rates increased in 35 markets, and remained unchanged in three. Market conditions are expected to continue to soften as new supply delivers, however many markets have room to tighten. Generally, the U.S. economy continues to support strong rental demand and solid growth, but the evolving balance of supply and demand and increased competition has led to moderation in rent growth and increased concessions. Preliminary data from the U.S. Census Bureau indicate that retail sales excluding motor vehicles and parts increased 1.7% during the second quarter when compared to the first quarter. Further, the previous quarter had a quarter-over-quarter growth of nearly half, at 0.8%. Availability rates decreased to 9.3% for the second quarter as compared to 9.4% during the first quarter. Economic conditions have led to increased consumer spending, potentially resulting in a higher demand for retail space in the coming quarters. Note: Data subject to revision
|