The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the U.S. economy added 512,000 jobs during the second quarter of 2019 compared to 521,000 jobs during the first quarter of 2019. The economy created an average of 171,000 jobs over the past three months, below the trailing 12-month average of 192,000. The unemployment rate ticked down to 3.6% for the second quarter. Finance and professional & business services have been the traditional drivers of demand for office space. The financial services sector saw a decrease in jobs added, from 22,000 in the first quarter to 18,000 jobs in the second quarter. The professional and business services sector, which includes many facets of technology-related employment, experienced an increase in jobs, adding 130,000 jobs in the second quarter, up from 78,000 jobs added in the first quarter. The national office vacancy rate decreased 10 bps to 12.2% in the second quarter. Suburban vacancy decreased 20 bps to 13.2% while downtown vacancy remained at 10.4%. Of the 63 markets tracked by CB Richard Ellis Econometric Advisors ("CBRE-EA"), vacancy rates declined in 40, rose in 19 and remained flat in 4. The office sector continues to see shifts from traditional to flexible space as tenants increasingly want to customize their space. Further, office markets with a larger share of flexible workspace tend to have lower office vacancy rates. The national industrial availability rate ticked up 6 bps to 7.1% in the second quarter. Overall, availability rates decreased in 27 of the 64 industrial markets tracked by CBRE-EA. Industrial market conditions are influenced by GDP growth, international trade, and consumer spending, specifically e-commerce sales, which should continue driving demand for warehouse space. The national apartment vacancy rate decreased to 4.1% in the second quarter from 4.8% in the first quarter, according to RealPage. Market conditions are expected to soften as new supply delivers. The evolving balance of supply and demand and increased competition has led to moderation in rent growth and increased concessions. Preliminary data from the U.S. Census Bureau indicates that retail sales excluding motor vehicles and parts increased 1.7% in the second quarter and 3.3% on a year-over-year basis. The national retail availability rate decreased to 8.8% in the second quarter, down 10 bps from the first quarter according to CBRE-EA. The tight labor market and stable unemployment are supporting strong consumer confidence, which should ultimately continue to generate retail real estate demand. Note: Data subject to revision
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