CONFIDENTIAL WORKING DRAFT – FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY
Summary of Implied Transaction Premiums
Implied Transaction Premiums vs. Stock Trading History
Project Celtic
1
• Analysis divides selected
precedents into quartiles based
on where the target’s stock was
trading relative to its trading
range during the 3 months
immediately prior to
announcement
Notes
1. Based on selected deals since 2001; all cash; US targets; minority buy-in value of $25 - $500MM; majority shareholder owned less than 90% of target
2. Final premium statistics exclude Hearst-Argyle transaction, which has not been completed
Minority Buy-in Precedents (1)
Source Public Filings, Press Releases, FactSet
Prior to announcement,
stock price was in bottom
quartile of its 3-month
trading range
Prior to announcement,
stock price was in top
quartile of its 3-month
trading range
No. of deals
11
2
4
9
Initial Premium to Prior Day Price:
Median Premium
35.6%
58.6%
28.1%
11.5%
Mean Premium
32.4%
58.6%
38.4%
14.2%
High Premium
60.0%
91.4%
97.5%
38.8%
Low Premium
8.6%
25.8%
0.0%
(7.9%)
Final Premium to Prior Day Price:
(2)
Median Premium
45.5%
29.6%
53.8%
23.9%
Mean Premium
48.3%
29.6%
56.3%
26.1%
High Premium
140.0%
29.6%
97.5%
52.9%
Low Premium
13.2%
29.6%
20.0%
6.7%