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Exhibit 99.2
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (formerly known as Financial
Security Assurance Inc., "AGM") Financial Supplement
Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2009
| Page | |
---|---|---|
Selected Financial Highlights | 1 | |
Consolidated Income Statement | 2 | |
Detailed Income Statements (Non-GAAP) | 3 | |
Consolidated Balance Sheets | 4 | |
Capital and Claims Paying Resources | 5 | |
New Business Production | 6 | |
Investment Portfolio | 7 | |
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Run-Off of Global Insured Structured Finance Portfolio | 8 | |
Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer | 9 | |
Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Net Future Installment Premiums | 10 | |
Financial Guaranty Profile | 11-14 | |
Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile | 15-19 | |
Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile | 20 | |
U.S. Consumer Receivable Profile | 21 | |
Credit Derivative Exposure Profile | 22 | |
Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives | 23 | |
50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures | 24 | |
50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures | 25 | |
10 Largest Healthcare and Non-U.S. Exposures | 26 | |
10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures | 27 | |
Below Investment Grade Exposures | 28-30 | |
Surveillance Categories | 31 | |
Loss and LAE Reserves by Type | 32 | |
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses | 33 | |
Summary Financial and Statistical Data | 34 | |
Glossary | 35 | |
Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures | 36 |
This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty" or the "Company"), with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Current Report on Form 8-K dated July 8, 2009, Assured Guaranty's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended June 30, 2009 and Assured Guaranty's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended September 30, 2009. FSAH terminated its registration with the SEC in July, 2009, and no longer files reports with the SEC.
Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to roundings.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements: |
Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. The Company's forward looking statements could be affected by many events, including (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade of the Company or its affiliates and/or of transactions insured by the Company or its affiliates, both of which have occurred in the past; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, the Company's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses affecting the adequacy of the Company's loss reserves; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of the Company's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) decreased demand or increased competition; (7) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (8) changes in applicable laws or regulation, including insurance and tax laws; (9) other governmental actions; (10) difficulties with the execution of the Company's business strategy; (11) contract cancellations; (12) the Company's dependence on customers; (13) loss of key personnel; (14) adverse technological developments; (15) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (16) natural or man-made catastrophes; (17) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (18) management's response to these factors; and (19) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. |
Note: AGM was purchased by Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc., a subsidiary of Assured Guaranty Ltd., on July 1, 2009. This financial supplement presents financial information since its acquisition, except for claims paying resources, which is based on statutory accounting principles. On July 1, 2009, the purchase method of accounting in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP") was pushed down to AGM which affects comparability of third quarter 2009 financial results to periods prior to the acquisition.
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in millions)
| Quarter Ended September 30, 2009 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating income reconciliation: | |||||
Operating incomeb | $ | 230.7 | |||
Plus: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax | 0.3 | ||||
Plus: Non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax | (50.0 | ) | |||
Plus: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax | (33.7 | ) | |||
Plus: Goodwill and settlement of intercompany relationship, net | 232.6 | ||||
Net Income (Loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. | $ | 379.9 | |||
Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations | $ | 11.5 | |||
Operating income (loss) effect | $ | 7.5 | |||
Adjusted book value reconciliation: | |||||
Book value attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. | $ | 1,756.2 | |||
Less: Non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax | (366.9 | ) | |||
Less: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax | 19.2 | ||||
Less: Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect | 122.5 | ||||
Operating shareholder's equity | $ | 1,981.4 | |||
Less: Deferred acquisition costs, after tax | (21.0 | ) | |||
Plus: Net present value of estimated future credit derivative revenue, after taxe | 184.5 | ||||
Plus: Unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss, after tax1 | 2,723.8 | ||||
Plus: Unearned premium reserve on credit derivatives, after tax2 | 21.5 | ||||
Adjusted book valued | $ | 4,932.2 | |||
Return on equity ("ROE") calculations: | |||||
ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio | 104.3 | % | |||
Operating ROEc | 51.1 | % |
1. Uneared premium reserve ("UPR") less ceded unearned premiums, after tax.
2. Unearned revenue less ceded unearned premiums on credit derivatives, after tax.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income (b), operating ROE (c), adjusted book value (d), and net present value of estimated future credit derivative revenue in force (e)].
Page 1
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated Income Statement1
(in millions)
| Quarter Ended September 30, 2009 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenues | |||||
Net earned premiums | $ | 280.5 | |||
Net investment income | 44.9 | ||||
Realized gains on credit derivatives2 | 28.8 | ||||
Incurred (losses) recoveries on credit derivatives | 27.3 | ||||
Other income | 34.3 | ||||
Total revenues | 415.8 | ||||
Expenses | |||||
Loss and loss adjustment expenses | 0.9 | ||||
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs | - | ||||
Other operating expenses | 41.7 | ||||
FSAH acquisition-related expenses | 32.8 | ||||
Interest and related expenses | 2.3 | ||||
Other expense | 1.2 | ||||
Total expenses | 78.9 | ||||
Operating income before (benefit) provision for income taxes | 336.9 | ||||
Total (benefit) provision for income taxes | 106.2 | ||||
Operating incomeb | 230.7 | ||||
Plus: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax | 0.3 | ||||
Plus: Non-credit impairments unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax | (50.0 | ) | |||
Plus: Unrealized gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax | (33.7 | ) | |||
Plus: Goodwill and settlement of intercompany relationship, net | 232.6 | ||||
Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. | $ | 379.9 | |||
1. The Company adopted ASC 944-20, "Financial Services—Insurance" (FAS No. 163, "Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts") effective January 1, 2009.
2. Includes revenue earned on credit derivatives.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [operating income (b)].
Page 2
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Detailed Income Statement (Non-GAAP)
(dollars in millions)
| Quarter Ended September 30, 2009 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income statement: | ||||||
Net earned premiums: | ||||||
Scheduled net earned premiums | ||||||
Public finance - U.S. | $ | 60.7 | ||||
Public finance - non-U.S. | 13.3 | |||||
Structured finance - U.S. | 189.5 | |||||
Structured finance - non-U.S. | 5.5 | |||||
Total scheduled net earned premiums | 269.0 | |||||
Net earned premiums from refundings | 11.5 | |||||
Total net earned premiums | 280.5 | |||||
Realized gains on credit derivatives: | ||||||
Net credit derivative premiums earned | 28.8 | |||||
Ceding commissions income (expense), net | - | |||||
Total realized gains on credit derivatives | 28.8 | |||||
Other income | 30.4 | |||||
Total revenues | 339.7 | |||||
Loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries): | ||||||
Total loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries) -financial guaranty | 0.9 | |||||
Incurred losses (recoveries) on credit derivatives | (27.3 | ) | ||||
Total incurred losses (recoveires) | (26.4 | ) | ||||
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs | - | |||||
Other operating expenses | 41.7 | |||||
Total expenses | 15.3 | |||||
Underwriting gain (loss) | $ | 324.4 | ||||
Expense ratiof | 13.5 | % |
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [expense ratio (f)].
Page 3
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated Balance Sheets1
(dollars in millions)
| As of | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2009 | July 1, 2009 | |||||||
Assets | |||||||||
Investment portfolio, available-for-sale | |||||||||
Fixed maturity securities, at fair value | $ | 4,815.2 | $ | 4,968.9 | |||||
Short-term investments | 941.9 | 766.3 | |||||||
Total investments | 5,757.1 | 5,735.2 | |||||||
Assets acquired in refinancing transactions | 159.2 | 168.4 | |||||||
Cash | 213.6 | 85.1 | |||||||
Premiums receivable, net | 798.5 | 846.4 | |||||||
Ceded unearned premium revenue | 1,648.8 | 1,727.7 | |||||||
Credit derivative assets | 238.2 | 297.2 | |||||||
Committed capital securities, at fair value | 29.6 | 81.4 | |||||||
Deferred tax asset, net | 1,011.5 | 993.6 | |||||||
Financial guaranty variable interest entity assets | 846.9 | 1,879.4 | |||||||
Other assets | 248.6 | 295.3 | |||||||
Total assets | $ | 10,952.0 | $ | 12,109.7 | |||||
Liabilities and shareholder's equity | |||||||||
Liabilities | |||||||||
Unearned premium reserves | $ | 6,698.9 | $ | 7,286.4 | |||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve | 3.3 | - | |||||||
Note payable to related party | 155.8 | 164.4 | |||||||
Credit derivative liabilities | 925.7 | 920.0 | |||||||
Reinsurance balances payable, net | 238.7 | 249.6 | |||||||
Financial guaranty variable interest entity liabilities | 851.4 | 1,878.6 | |||||||
Other liabilities | 326.5 | 328.1 | |||||||
Total liabilities | 9,200.3 | 10,827.1 | |||||||
Shareholder's equity | |||||||||
Preferred stock | - | - | |||||||
Common stock | 15.0 | 15.0 | |||||||
Additional paid-in capital | 1,241.8 | 1,266.8 | |||||||
Retained earnings | 379.9 | - | |||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income | 119.5 | - | |||||||
Total shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. | 1,756.2 | 1,281.8 | |||||||
Noncontrolling interest of variable interest entities | (4.5 | ) | 0.8 | ||||||
Total shareholder's equity | 1,751.7 | 1,282.6 | |||||||
Total liabilities and shareholder's equity | $ | 10,952.0 | $ | 12,109.7 | |||||
1. The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.
Page 4
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Capital and Claims Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)
| As of | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2009 | December 31, 2008 | |||||||
Claims paying resources | |||||||||
Policyholders' surplus | $ | 1,140 | $ | 711 | |||||
Contingency reserve | 1,226 | 1,282 | |||||||
Qualified statutory capital | 2,366 | 1,993 | |||||||
Unearned premium reserve | 2,380 | 2,520 | |||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves | 1,105 | 1,688 | |||||||
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves | 5,851 | 6,201 | |||||||
Present value of installment premiumse1 | 824 | 963 | |||||||
Standby line of credit/stop loss | 498 | 550 | |||||||
Total claims paying resources | $ | 7,173 | $ | 7,714 | |||||
Net par outstanding2 | $ | 388,950 | $ | 424,393 | |||||
Net debt service outstanding2 | $ | 581,685 | $ | 631,886 | |||||
Ratios: | |||||||||
Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital | 164:1 | 213:1 | |||||||
Capital ratio3 | 246:1 | 317:1 | |||||||
Financial resources ratio4 | 81:1 | 82:1 |
1. Includes financial guaranty and credit derivatives
2. Statutory basis.
3. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
4. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [net present value of estimated future installment premiums in force (e)].
Page 5
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
New Business Production
(in millions)
| Quarter Ended September 30, 2009 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Consolidated new business analysis: | ||||||
Present value of new business production ("PVP")a | ||||||
Public finance - U.S. | $ | 13.0 | ||||
Public finance - non-U.S. | - | |||||
Structured finance - U.S.1 | 0.4 | |||||
Structured finance - non-U.S.1 | 0.9 | |||||
Total PVPa | 14.3 | |||||
Less: PVPa of credit derivatives | - | |||||
PVPa of financial guaranty insurance | 14.3 | |||||
Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVPa | 4.4 | |||||
Total: Financial guaranty upfront GWP | 9.9 | |||||
Plus: Upfront premium due to commutation | - | |||||
Plus: Financial guaranty installment GWP | - | |||||
Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVPa adjustment2 | (9.2 | ) | ||||
Total financial guaranty GWP | 0.7 | |||||
Total GWP | $ | 0.7 | ||||
Consolidated financial guaranty gross par written: | ||||||
Public finance - U.S. | $ | 1,065 | ||||
Public finance - non-U.S. | - | |||||
Structured finance - U.S. | - | |||||
Structured finance - non-U.S. | - | |||||
Total | $ | 1,065 | ||||
1. These policies represent existing policies that have additional premium and have no par outstanding.
2. Amounts represent the difference in the discount rate applied to future installments as well as the estimated term for future installments compared to the discount rate used for ASC 944-20.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [PVP (a)].
Page 6
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Investment Portfolio
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
Investment portfolio, available-for-sale: | Amortized Cost | Pre-Tax Book Yield | After-Tax Book Yield | Fair Value | Annualized Investment Income2 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||||||||||||||||
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies | $ | 69.0 | 3.47 | % | 2.25 | % | $ | 70.7 | $ | 2.4 | ||||||||||
Agency obligations | 54.4 | 2.63 | % | 1.71 | % | 55.0 | 1.4 | |||||||||||||
Foreign government securities | 266.4 | 2.70 | % | 1.75 | % | 262.4 | 7.2 | |||||||||||||
Obligations of states and political subdivisions | 1,991.5 | 3.30 | % | 3.10 | % | 2,074.2 | 65.7 | |||||||||||||
Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions1 | 1,897.5 | 4.53 | % | 4.29 | % | 2,002.1 | 85.9 | |||||||||||||
Corporate securities | 14.8 | 4.95 | % | 3.74 | % | 16.0 | 0.7 | |||||||||||||
Mortgage-backed securities: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Pass-throughs | 334.1 | 5.64 | % | 3.66 | % | 330.2 | 18.8 | |||||||||||||
Planned Amortization Class | 4.4 | 3.80 | % | 2.47 | % | 4.4 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||
Asset-backed securities | 0.2 | 5.00 | % | 3.25 | % | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
Total fixed maturity securities | 4,632.3 | 3.90 | % | 3.53 | % | 4,815.2 | 182.4 | |||||||||||||
Short-term investments | 941.5 | 0.25 | % | 0.16 | % | 941.9 | 2.3 | |||||||||||||
Total investment portfolio | $ | 5,573.8 | 3.30 | % | 2.96 | % | $ | 5,757.1 | $ | 184.7 | ||||||||||
| Fair Value | % | | | | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ratings3: | ||||||||||||||||||
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies | $ | 70.7 | 1.5 | % | ||||||||||||||
Agency obligations | 55.0 | 1.1 | % | |||||||||||||||
AAA/Aaa | 1,490.0 | 30.9 | % | |||||||||||||||
AA/Aa | 2,019.0 | 41.9 | % | |||||||||||||||
A/A | 973.9 | 20.2 | % | |||||||||||||||
BBB | 152.5 | 3.2 | % | |||||||||||||||
Below investment grade ("BIG")4 | 19.6 | 0.4 | % | |||||||||||||||
Not rated | 34.5 | 0.8 | % | |||||||||||||||
Total fixed maturity securities | $ | 4,815.2 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||||
Duration of investment portfolio (in years): | 4.6 | |||||||||||||||||
1. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds average A+. Includes $371.5 million insured by AGC and AGM.
2. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.
3. Ratings are represented by the lower of Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's classifications.
4. Includes $14.4 million which the Company purchased for risk mitigation purposes.
Page 7
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Run-Off of Global Insured Structured Finance Portfolio
(dollars in millions)
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization1 | Estimated Net Debt Service Amortization | Estimated Ending Net Debt Service Outstanding | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial Guaranty: | ||||||||
2009 (as of September 30) | $ | 595,811 | ||||||
2009 (October-December) | $ | 12,424 | 583,387 | |||||
2010 | 50,716 | 532,671 | ||||||
2011 | 42,080 | 490,591 | ||||||
2012 | 45,389 | 445,202 | ||||||
2013 | 38,348 | 406,854 | ||||||
2009-2013 | 188,957 | 406,854 | ||||||
2014-2018 | 149,257 | 257,597 | ||||||
2019-2023 | 100,404 | 157,193 | ||||||
2024-2028 | 71,997 | 85,196 | ||||||
After 2028 | 85,196 | |||||||
Total | $ | 595,811 | ||||||
1. Represents amortization of existing guaranteed portfolio (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of September 30, 2009. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations.
Run-Off of Global Insured Structured Finance Portfolio | Estimated Net Par Amortization | Estimated Ending Net Par Outstanding | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2009 (as of September 30) | $ | 94,118 | ||||||
2009 (October-December) | $ | 4,237 | 89,881 | |||||
2010 | 19,954 | 69,927 | ||||||
2011 | 11,850 | 58,077 | ||||||
2012 | 15,108 | 42,969 | ||||||
2013 | 10,412 | 32,557 | ||||||
2009-2013 | 61,561 | 32,557 | ||||||
2014-2018 | 26,675 | 5,882 | ||||||
2019-2023 | 2,119 | 3,763 | ||||||
2024-2028 | 863 | 2,900 | ||||||
After 2028 | 2,900 | |||||||
Total structured finance | $ | 94,118 | ||||||
Page 8
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer
(dollars in millions)
Reinsurer | Ceded Par Outstanding | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Ltd. | 31,047 | ||||
Radian Asset Assurance Inc. | 24,200 | ||||
RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd. | 11,521 | ||||
Syncora Guarantee Inc. | 4,290 | ||||
R.V.I. Guaranty Co. Ltd. | 4,136 | ||||
Swiss Reinsurance Company | 4,047 | ||||
Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Co. Ltd. | 2,526 | ||||
Ambac Assurance Corporation | 1,037 | ||||
ACA Financial Guaranty Corp. | 939 | ||||
Other | 1,603 | ||||
Total | 85,346 | ||||
Page 9
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Net Future Installment Premiums
(dollars in millions)
| Non-Credit Derivative Financial Guaranty Contracts | | | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Run-off of Net Deferred Premium Revenue1 | Expected Losses3 | Run-off of Net Deferred Premium Revenue in Excess of Expected Losses | Accretion of Discount | Credit Derivative Revenues2 | Total | ||||||||||||||
Financial Guaranty: | ||||||||||||||||||||
2009 (October-December) | $ | 252.2 | 16.6 | 235.6 | $ | 4.0 | $ | 24.8 | $ | 264.4 | ||||||||||
2010 | 856.1 | 158.4 | 697.7 | 15.0 | 85.6 | 798.3 | ||||||||||||||
2011 | 630.7 | 116.8 | 513.9 | 14.0 | 73.1 | 601.0 | ||||||||||||||
2012 | 508.2 | 120.3 | 387.9 | 13.1 | 52.7 | 453.7 | ||||||||||||||
2013 | 419.8 | 119.2 | 300.6 | 12.2 | 35.2 | 348.0 | ||||||||||||||
2009-2013 | 2,667.0 | 531.3 | 2,135.7 | 58.3 | 271.4 | 2,465.4 | ||||||||||||||
2014-2018 | 1,288.1 | 354.5 | 933.6 | 49.6 | 53.6 | 1,036.8 | ||||||||||||||
2019-2023 | 594.2 | 86.1 | 508.1 | 34.2 | 3.5 | 545.8 | ||||||||||||||
2024-2028 | 348.1 | 40.8 | 307.3 | 22.5 | 2.4 | 332.2 | ||||||||||||||
After 2028 | 399.9 | 53.0 | 346.9 | 23.9 | 7.8 | 378.6 | ||||||||||||||
Total | $ | 5,297.3 | $ | 1,065.7 | $ | 4,231.6 | $ | 188.5 | $ | 338.7 | $ | 4,758.8 | ||||||||
1. Net deferred premium revenue amounts are U.S. GAAP based deferred premium revenue and net of ceded unearned premiums.
2. Includes earnings on future installments of credit derivatives.
3. Represents the expected timing of loss expense recognition for expected losses embedded in unearned premium reserve, excluding accretion of discount on loss reserves.
Page 10
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 4)
(dollars in millions)
Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type
| As of September 30, | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | ||||||
Sector: | Net Par Outstanding | Avg. Rating1 | |||||
Public Finance | |||||||
United States: | |||||||
General obligation | $ | 128,539 | A+ | ||||
Tax backed | 54,682 | A+ | |||||
Municipal utilities | 49,966 | A+ | |||||
Transportation | 20,560 | A | |||||
Healthcare | 10,976 | A | |||||
Higher education | 8,073 | A+ | |||||
Housing | 6,762 | AA- | |||||
Infrastructure finance | 1,089 | BBB | |||||
Investor-owned utilities | 27 | BBB | |||||
Other public finance | 1,596 | A | |||||
Total public finance - U.S. | 282,270 | A+ | |||||
Non-U.S.: | |||||||
Infrastructure finance | 11,080 | BBB | |||||
Regulated utilities | 7,414 | BBB+ | |||||
Other public finance | 6,633 | AA- | |||||
Total public finance - non-U.S. | 25,127 | A- | |||||
Total public finance | $ | 307,397 | A+ | ||||
Structured Finance | |||||||
United States | |||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | $ | 44,907 | AAA | ||||
Residential mortgage-backed and home equity | 14,816 | BB | |||||
Financial products | 10,914 | AA- | |||||
Consumer receivables | 4,291 | BBB | |||||
Commercial receivables | 97 | BBB | |||||
Structured credit | 82 | BBB | |||||
Insurance securitization | 368 | AA | |||||
Other structured finance | 841 | A | |||||
Total structured finance - U.S. | 76,316 | AA- | |||||
Non-U.S.: | |||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | 14,673 | AAA | |||||
Residential mortgage-backed and home equity | 1,862 | AA+ | |||||
Structured credit | 644 | BBB | |||||
Commercial receivables | 246 | A | |||||
Insurance securitizations | 37 | A+ | |||||
Other structured finance | 340 | AAA | |||||
Total structured finance - non-U.S. | 17,802 | AAA | |||||
Total structured finance | $ | 94,118 | AA | ||||
Total exposures | $ | 401,515 | A+ | ||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and international obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
Page 11
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 4)
(dollars in millions)
Gross Par Written by Asset Type
| Total Financial Guaranty | Avg. Rating1 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Q-09 | ||||||
Sector: | |||||||
Public Finance | |||||||
United States: | |||||||
Tax backed | $ | 36 | A | ||||
General obligation | 394 | A | |||||
Municipal utilities | 269 | BBB+ | |||||
Higher education | 23 | A | |||||
Transportation | 317 | A | |||||
Housing | 26 | AA | |||||
Total public finance - U.S. | $ | 1,065 | A | ||||
Non-U.S.: | |||||||
Total public finance - non-U.S. | $ | - | - | ||||
Total gross par written | $ | 1,065 | A | ||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
Page 12
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 4)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
| As of September 30, 2009 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Finance - U.S. | Public Finance - non-U.S. | Structured Finance - -U.S. | Structured Finance - -non-U.S. | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ratings1: | Net Par Outstanding | % | Net Par Outstanding | % | Net Par Outstanding | % | Net Par Outstanding | % | Net Par Outstanding | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Super senior | $ | 25 | 0.0 | % | $ | - | 0.0 | % | $ | 16,573 | 21.7 | % | $ | 7,458 | 41.9 | % | $ | 24,056 | 6.0 | % | ||||||||||||
AAA | 5,131 | 1.8 | % | 1,305 | 5.2 | % | 20,948 | 27.4 | % | 5,751 | 32.3 | % | 33,135 | 8.3 | % | |||||||||||||||||
AA | 125,039 | 44.3 | % | 1,476 | 5.9 | % | 19,958 | 26.2 | % | 1,702 | 9.6 | % | 148,175 | 36.9 | % | |||||||||||||||||
A | 129,513 | 45.9 | % | 7,508 | 29.9 | % | 2,598 | 3.4 | % | 1,012 | 5.7 | % | 140,631 | 35.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
BBB | 21,114 | 7.5 | % | 14,609 | 58.1 | % | 5,955 | 7.8 | % | 1,798 | 10.1 | % | 43,476 | 10.8 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Below investment grade | 1,448 | 0.5 | % | 229 | 0.9 | % | 10,284 | 13.5 | % | 81 | 0.5 | % | 12,042 | 3.0 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Total exposures | $ | 282,270 | 100.0 | % | $ | 25,127 | 100.0 | % | $ | 76,316 | 100.0 | % | $ | 17,802 | 100.0 | % | $ | 401,515 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Page 13
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (4 of 4)
(dollars in millions)
Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of September 30, 2009
U.S.: | Net Par Outstanding | % of Total | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
California | $ | 41,081 | 10.2 | % | ||||
New York | 22,609 | 5.6 | % | |||||
Pennsylvania | 20,849 | 5.2 | % | |||||
Texas | 19,357 | 4.8 | % | |||||
Illinois | 17,361 | 4.3 | % | |||||
Florida | 14,841 | 3.7 | % | |||||
Michigan | 12,916 | 3.2 | % | |||||
New Jersey | 12,459 | 3.1 | % | |||||
Washington | 10,349 | 2.6 | % | |||||
Massachusetts | 8,486 | 2.1 | % | |||||
Other states | 101,962 | 25.4 | % | |||||
Mortgage and structured (multiple states) | 76,316 | 19.1 | % | |||||
Total U.S. | 358,586 | 89.3 | % | |||||
Non-U.S.: | ||||||||
United Kingdom | 12,601 | 3.1 | % | |||||
Australia | 4,962 | 1.2 | % | |||||
Canada | 4,426 | 1.1 | % | |||||
France | 2,084 | 0.5 | % | |||||
Italy | 1,895 | 0.5 | % | |||||
Other | 16,961 | 4.3 | % | |||||
Total non-U.S. | 42,929 | 10.7 | % | |||||
Total net par outstanding | $ | 401,515 | 100.0 | % | ||||
Page 14
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") Profile (1 of 5)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating1 and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2009
Ratings: | Prime First Lien2 | Closed End Seconds | HELOC | Alt-A First Lien | Alt-A Option ARMs | Subprime First Lien | NIMs3 | Total Net Par Outstanding | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Super senior | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | |||||||||
AAA | 116 | - | 458 | 134 | 158 | 1,347 | - | 2,214 | |||||||||||||||||
AA | 2 | 44 | 538 | - | - | 363 | - | 947 | |||||||||||||||||
A | 1 | - | - | - | - | 123 | - | 124 | |||||||||||||||||
BBB | - | - | 378 | 143 | - | 949 | 31 | 1,502 | |||||||||||||||||
Below investment grade | - | 1,214 | 3,482 | 1,315 | 2,370 | 1,480 | 169 | 10,030 | |||||||||||||||||
Total exposures | $ | 119 | $ | 1,258 | $ | 4,855 | $ | 1,592 | $ | 2,529 | $ | 4,263 | $ | 200 | $ | 14,816 | |||||||||
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2009
Year insured: | Prime First Lien2 | Closed End Seconds | HELOC | Alt-A First Lien | Alt-A Option ARMs | Subprime First Lien | NIMs3 | Total Net Par Outstanding | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 and prior | $ | 8 | $ | - | $ | 320 | $ | 71 | $ | - | $ | 1,349 | 1 | $ | 1,749 | ||||||||||
2005 | - | - | 743 | 406 | 139 | 420 | 15 | 1,724 | |||||||||||||||||
2006 | 112 | 457 | 1,916 | 559 | 980 | 126 | 86 | 4,235 | |||||||||||||||||
2007 | - | 801 | 1,876 | 556 | 1,409 | 2,296 | 98 | 7,037 | |||||||||||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | - | 72 | - | 72 | |||||||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||
Total exposures | $ | 119 | $ | 1,258 | $ | 4,855 | $ | 1,592 | $ | 2,529 | $ | 4,263 | $ | 200 | $ | 14,816 | |||||||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
2. Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions.
3. NIMs are net interest margin securities.
Page 15
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 5)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
Year insured: | Super Senior | AAA Rated | AA Rated | A Rated | BBB Rated | BIG Rated | Total | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 and prior | $ | - | $ | 1,334 | $ | 56 | $ | 1 | $ | 18 | $ | 340 | $ | 1,749 | ||||||||
2005 | - | 253 | 88 | 46 | 462 | 875 | 1,724 | |||||||||||||||
2006 | - | 325 | - | 77 | 279 | 3,554 | 4,235 | |||||||||||||||
2007 | - | 301 | 803 | - | 671 | 5,261 | 7,037 | |||||||||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | 72 | - | 72 | |||||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
$ | - | $ | 2,214 | $ | 947 | $ | 124 | $ | 1,502 | $ | 10,030 | $ | 14,816 | |||||||||
% of total | 0.0 | % | 14.9 | % | 6.4 | % | 0.8 | % | 10.2 | % | 67.7 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. Home Equity Line of Credit ("HELOC") RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
Year insured: | Super Senior | AAA Rated | AA Rated | A Rated | BBB Rated | BIG Rated | Total | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 and prior | $ | - | $ | 27 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 293 | $ | 320 | ||||||||
2005 | - | 74 | - | - | 148 | 521 | 743 | |||||||||||||||
2006 | - | 55 | - | - | 230 | 1,630 | 1,916 | |||||||||||||||
2007 | - | 301 | 538 | - | - | 1,037 | 1,876 | |||||||||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
$ | - | $ | 458 | $ | 538 | $ | - | $ | 378 | $ | 3,482 | $ | 4,855 | |||||||||
% of total | 0.0 | % | 9.4 | % | 11.1 | % | 0.0 | % | 7.8 | % | 71.7 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. Closed End Seconds ("CES") RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
Year insured: | Super Senior | AAA Rated | AA Rated | A Rated | BBB Rated | BIG Rated | Total | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 and prior | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | ||||||||
2005 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
2006 | - | - | - | - | - | 457 | 457 | |||||||||||||||
2007 | - | - | 44 | - | - | 758 | 801 | |||||||||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
$ | - | $ | - | $ | 44 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 1,214 | $ | 1,258 | |||||||||
% of total | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 3.5 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 96.5 | % | 100.0 | % |
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Page 16
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 5)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. Alternative-A ("Alt-A") First Lien RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
Year insured: | Super Senior | AAA Rated | AA Rated | A Rated | BBB Rated | BIG Rated | Total | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 and prior | $ | - | $ | 71 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 71 | ||||||||
2005 | - | 63 | - | - | 143 | 200 | 406 | |||||||||||||||
2006 | - | - | - | - | - | 559 | 559 | |||||||||||||||
2007 | - | - | - | - | - | 556 | 556 | |||||||||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
$ | - | $ | 134 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 143 | $ | 1,315 | $ | 1,592 | |||||||||
% of total | 0.0 | % | 8.4 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 9.0 | % | 82.6 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. Alt-A Option Adjustable Rate Mortgage ("ARM") RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
Year insured: | Super Senior | AAA Rated | AA Rated | A Rated | BBB Rated | BIG Rated | Total | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 and prior | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | ||||||||
2005 | - | - | - | - | - | 139 | 139 | |||||||||||||||
2006 | - | 158 | - | - | - | 822 | 980 | |||||||||||||||
2007 | - | - | - | - | - | 1,409 | 1,409 | |||||||||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
$ | - | $ | 158 | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 2,370 | $ | 2,529 | |||||||||
% of total | 0.0 | % | 6.3 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 93.7 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. Subprime First Lien RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
Year insured: | Super Senior | AAA Rated | AA Rated | A Rated | BBB Rated | BIG Rated | Total | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 and prior | $ | - | $ | 1,232 | $ | 53 | $ | - | $ | 18 | $ | 46 | $ | 1,349 | ||||||||
2005 | - | 115 | 88 | 46 | 170 | - | 420 | |||||||||||||||
2006 | - | - | - | 77 | 49 | - | 126 | |||||||||||||||
2007 | - | - | 222 | - | 641 | 1,434 | 2,296 | |||||||||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | 72 | - | 72 | |||||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
$ | - | $ | 1,347 | $ | 363 | $ | 123 | $ | 949 | $ | 1,480 | $ | 4,263 | |||||||||
% of total | 0.0 | % | 31.6 | % | 8.5 | % | 2.9 | % | 22.3 | % | 34.7 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. NIMs RMBS by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
Year insured: | Super Senior | AAA Rated | AA Rated | A Rated | BBB Rated | BIG Rated | Total | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 and prior | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 1 | $ | 1 | ||||||||
2005 | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | 15 | |||||||||||||||
2006 | - | - | - | - | - | 86 | 86 | |||||||||||||||
2007 | - | - | - | - | 31 | 67 | 98 | |||||||||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
$ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 31 | $ | 169 | $ | 200 | |||||||||
% of total | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 15.3 | % | 84.7 | % | 100.0 | % |
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Page 17
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (4 of 5)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 20091
U.S. Alt-A First Lien
Year issued: | Net Par Outstanding | Pool Factor3 | Subordination4 | Cumulative Losses5 | 60+ Day Delinquencies6 | Number of Transactions | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2005 | $ | 406 | 62.0 | % | 4.8 | % | 7.5 | % | 36.7 | % | 8 | ||||||||
2006 | 588 | 60.7 | % | 4.8 | % | 7.3 | % | 36.4 | % | 7 | |||||||||
2007 | 527 | 70.3 | % | 3.1 | % | 6.4 | % | 41.1 | % | 3 | |||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
$ | 1,521 | 64.4 | % | 4.2 | % | 7.0 | % | 38.1 | % | 18 | |||||||||
U.S. CES
Year issued: | Net Par Outstanding | Pool Factor3 | Subordination4 | Cumulative Losses5 | 60+ Day Delinquencies6 | Number of Transactions | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2005 | $ | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||
2006 | 457 | 29.0 | % | -68.4 | % | 49.2 | % | 16.1 | % | 2 | |||||||||
2007 | 801 | 39.2 | % | -18.4 | % | 49.4 | % | 15.6 | % | 9 | |||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
$ | 1,258 | 35.5 | % | -36.6 | % | 49.3 | % | 15.8 | % | 11 | |||||||||
U.S. HELOC
Year issued: | Net Par Outstanding | Pool Factor3 | Subordination4 | Cumulative Losses5 | 60+ Day Delinquencies6 | Number of Transactions | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2005 | $ | 743 | 25.4 | % | 1.0 | % | 6.9 | % | 9.7 | % | 4 | ||||||||
2006 | 1,986 | 54.9 | % | 0.3 | % | 19.9 | % | 14.3 | % | 8 | |||||||||
2007 | 1,806 | 47.6 | % | 4.9 | % | 17.8 | % | 6.8 | % | 6 | |||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
$ | 4,535 | 47.1 | % | 2.2 | % | 16.9 | % | 10.6 | % | 18 | |||||||||
1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.
3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.
4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.
5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.
6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned ("REO") divided by net par outstanding.
Page 18
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (5 of 5)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 20091
U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs
Year issued: | Net Par Outstanding | Pool Factor2 | Subordination3 | Cumulative Losses4 | 60+ Day Delinquencies5 | Number of Transactions | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2005 | $ | 139 | 39.2 | % | 11.4 | % | 5.8 | % | 45.9 | % | 3 | ||||||||
2006 | 980 | 67.7 | % | 9.5 | % | 5.7 | % | 47.4 | % | 6 | |||||||||
2007 | 1,409 | 77.0 | % | 9.4 | % | 4.4 | % | 43.4 | % | 6 | |||||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
$ | 2,529 | 71.3 | % | 9.5 | % | 5.0 | % | 45.1 | % | 15 | |||||||||
U.S. Subprime First Lien
Year issued: | Net Par Outstanding | Pool Factor2 | Subordination3 | Cumulative Losses4 | 60+ Day Delinquencies5 | Number of Transactions | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2005 | $ | 497 | 36.8 | % | 49.0 | % | 5.0 | % | 36.6 | % | 9 | ||||||||
2006 | 49 | 75.1 | % | 22.8 | % | 2.1 | % | 32.5 | % | 1 | |||||||||
2007 | 2,296 | 75.7 | % | 27.8 | % | 5.7 | % | 46.2 | % | 10 | |||||||||
2008 | 72 | 77.7 | % | 35.3 | % | 2.9 | % | 36.7 | % | 1 | |||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
$ | 2,913 | 69.1 | % | 31.5 | % | 5.5 | % | 44.1 | % | 21 | |||||||||
1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2009. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 2009 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to adjustments.
2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.
3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.
4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.
5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.
Page 19
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings of Pooled Corporate Obligations as of September 30, 2009
Ratings1: | Net Par Outstanding | % of Total | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement2 | Avg. Current Enhancement2 | | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Super senior | $ | 23,463 | 39.4 | % | 25.2 | % | 22.6 | % | ||||||
AAA | 23,331 | 39.2 | % | 25.8 | % | 24.2 | % | |||||||
AA | 8,562 | 14.4 | % | 33.7 | % | 30.6 | % | |||||||
A | 2,513 | 4.2 | % | 25.8 | % | 23.5 | % | |||||||
BBB | 1,467 | 2.5 | % | 13.0 | % | 10.1 | % | |||||||
Below investment grade | 244 | 0.3 | % | 38.9 | % | 11.0 | % | |||||||
Total exposures | $ | 59,580 | 100.0 | % | 26.4 | % | 24.1 | % | ||||||
Distribution of Pooled Corporate Obligations by Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
Year insured: | Net Par Outstanding | % of Total | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement2 | Avg. Current Enhancement2 | | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 and prior | $ | 14,826 | 24.9 | % | 21.9 | % | 20.1 | % | ||||||
2005 | 13,704 | 23.0 | % | 25.0 | % | 22.2 | % | |||||||
2006 | 8,342 | 14.0 | % | 27.7 | % | 26.1 | % | |||||||
2007 | 22,708 | 38.1 | % | 29.8 | % | 27.0 | % | |||||||
2008 | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
$ | 59,580 | 100.0 | % | 26.4 | % | 24.1 | % | |||||||
Distribution of Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of September 30, 2009
Asset class: | Net Par Outstanding | % of Total | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement2 | Avg. Current Enhancement2 | Avg. Rating1 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CLOs/CBOs | $ | 32,557 | 54.6 | % | 27.1 | % | 24.3 | % | AAA | |||||
Synthetic investment grade pooled corporates | 12,621 | 21.2 | % | 17.4 | % | 15.9 | % | Super Senior | ||||||
Synthetic high yield pooled corporates | 11,975 | 20.1 | % | 36.8 | % | 31.8 | % | AAA | ||||||
Market Value CDOs of corporates | 1,492 | 2.5 | % | 17.0 | % | 34.5 | % | AAA | ||||||
Trust preferred - banks and insurance | 169 | 0.3 | % | 47.5 | % | 47.1 | % | A | ||||||
CDO of CDOs (corporate)3 | 39 | 0.1 | % | 24.1 | % | 20.4 | % | A- | ||||||
Other Pooled Corporates | 726 | 1.2 | % | N/A | N/A | A- | ||||||||
$ | 59,580 | 100.0 | % | 26.4 | % | 24.1 | % | AAA | ||||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to AGM's exposure, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the numbers shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.
3. CDOs are collateralized debt obligations.
Page 20
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables by Year Issued as of September 30, 2009
Year issued: | Credit Cards | Auto | Manufactured Housing | Total Net Par Outstanding | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 and prior | $ | - | $ | 55 | $ | 329 | $ | 384 | |||||
2005 | - | 448 | - | 448 | |||||||||
2006 | - | 1,045 | - | 1,045 | |||||||||
2007 | 88 | 1,927 | - | 2,015 | |||||||||
2008 | - | 399 | - | 399 | |||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | |||||||||
$ | 88 | $ | 3,874 | $ | 329 | $ | 4,291 | ||||||
Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables Net Par Outstanding by Rating1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2009
Year insured: | Super Senior | AAA Rated | AA Rated | A Rated | BBB Rated | BIG Rated | Total | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2004 and prior | $ | - | $ | 4 | $ | 51 | $ | 94 | $ | 51 | $ | 184 | $ | 384 | ||||||||
2005 | - | 145 | - | 96 | 207 | - | 448 | |||||||||||||||
2006 | - | 1 | - | 48 | 996 | - | 1,045 | |||||||||||||||
2007 | - | 19 | - | - | 1,996 | - | 2,015 | |||||||||||||||
2008 | - | 14 | - | - | 385 | - | 399 | |||||||||||||||
2009 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
$ | - | $ | 183 | $ | 51 | $ | 238 | $ | 3,635 | $ | 184 | $ | 4,291 | |||||||||
% of total | 0.0 | % | 4.3 | % | 1.2 | % | 5.5 | % | 84.7 | % | 4.3 | % | 100.0 | % |
Distribution of U.S. Consumer Receivables by Asset Class as of September 30, 2009
Asset class: | Net Par Outstanding | % | Average Rating1 | Avg. Initial Credit Enhancement2 | Avg. Current Enhancement2 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Auto | $ | 3,874 | 90.3 | % | BBB | 11.5 | % | 24.2 | % | ||||||
Manufactured Housing | 329 | 7.6 | % | BBB | 27.5 | % | 26.7 | % | |||||||
Credit cards | 88 | 2.1 | % | BBB | 13.2 | % | 18.1 | % | |||||||
$ | 4,291 | 100.0 | % | BBB | 12.8 | % | 24.3 | % | |||||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinate tranches that are junior in the capital structure to AGM's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to adjustments.
Page 21
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Credit Derivative Exposure Profile
(dollars in millions)
Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Rating
| As of September 30, 2009 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ratings1: | Net Par Outstanding | % | ||||||
Super senior | $ | 23,461 | 40.1 | % | ||||
AAA | 21,490 | 36.7 | % | |||||
AA | 8,142 | 13.9 | % | |||||
A | 2,830 | 4.8 | % | |||||
BBB | 1,876 | 3.2 | % | |||||
Below investment grade | 746 | 1.3 | % | |||||
Total exposures | $ | 58,545 | 100.0 | % | ||||
Distribution of Credit Derivative Exposure by Sector and Average Rating
| As of September 30, 2009 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sector: | Net Par Outstanding | Average Rating1 | |||||
Public Finance | |||||||
United States | |||||||
General obligation | $ | 195 | A | ||||
Municipal utilities | 170 | BBB+ | |||||
Healthcare | 157 | A- | |||||
Tax backed | 97 | A | |||||
Transportation | 36 | A | |||||
Housing | 30 | AA- | |||||
Other public finance | 119 | BBB+ | |||||
Total public finance - U.S. | 804 | A- | |||||
Non-U.S.: | |||||||
Infrastructure finance | 1,142 | BBB | |||||
Regulated utilities | 478 | A- | |||||
Other public finance | 922 | AAA | |||||
Total public finance - non-U.S. | 2,542 | A | |||||
Total public finance | $ | 3,346 | A | ||||
Structured Finance | |||||||
United States | |||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | $ | 40,450 | AAA | ||||
Residential mortgage-backed and home equity | 412 | BBB- | |||||
Insurance securitizations | 369 | AA | |||||
Commercial receivables | 67 | BBB- | |||||
Other structured finance | 126 | B | |||||
Total structured finance - U.S. | 41,424 | AAA | |||||
Non-U.S.: | |||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | 13,079 | AAA | |||||
Residential mortgage-backed and home equity | 580 | AA | |||||
Structured credit | 78 | BBB | |||||
Insurance securitizations | 38 | A+ | |||||
Total structured finance - non-U.S. | 13,775 | AAA | |||||
Total structured finance | $ | 55,199 | AAA | ||||
Total exposures | $ | 58,545 | AAA | ||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
Page 22
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives
(dollars in millions)
Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives as of September 30, 2009
Credit Default Swaps ("CDS") by Asset Type: | Net Par Outstanding | Wtd. Avg. Credit Rating | 3Q-09 Unrealized Gain (Loss) | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
High yield corporates | $ | 39,367 | AAA | $ | 46.6 | ||||||
Trust preferred | 101 | AA | 0.3 | ||||||||
Market value CDOs of corporates | 1,492 | AAA | 1.5 | ||||||||
Investment grade corporates | 12,569 | Super senior1 | (22.2 | ) | |||||||
Total pooled corporate obligations | 53,529 | 26.2 | |||||||||
RMBS2: | |||||||||||
U.S. RMBS: | |||||||||||
Subprime | 77 | A | (0.1 | ) | |||||||
Other U.S. RMBS | 237 | B+ | 8.4 | ||||||||
International RMBS | 580 | A | (3.1 | ) | |||||||
Total RMBS | 894 | 5.2 | |||||||||
Other3 | 3,267 | A | (69.2 | ) | |||||||
Total | 57,690 | (37.8 | ) | ||||||||
Interest rate swaps and other financial guaranty contracts with embedded derivatives | 855 | A- | (26.7 | ) | |||||||
Total | $ | 58,545 | AA+ | $ | (64.5 | ) | |||||
1. The "super senior category," which is a category not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where the Company's AAA-rated exposure had additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to the Company's exposure or (2) the Company's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes the Company's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
2. Residential mortgage-backed securities is comprised of prime and subprime U.S. mortgage-backed and home equity securities and residential mortgage-backed and home equity securities.
3. Other includes all other U.S. and international asset classes, such as commercial receivables and international infrastructure and pooled infrastructure securities.
Page 23
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures
As of September 30, 2009
(in millions)
Credit Name: | Net Par Outstanding | Rating1 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Jersey (State of) | $ | 2,907 | AA- | |||
New York (State of) | 2,314 | AA | ||||
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) | 2,060 | AA | ||||
New York (City of) New York | 1,579 | AA- | ||||
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) State Sales Tax | 1,472 | AA | ||||
Houston Texas Water and Sewer | 1,462 | A+ | ||||
New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority | 1,436 | AA+ | ||||
Washington (State of) | 1,421 | AA | ||||
University of California Board of Regents | 1,420 | AA | ||||
Chicago (City of) Illinois | 1,419 | A+ | ||||
Wisconsin (State of) | 1,401 | A+ | ||||
Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of) | 1,340 | AA- | ||||
California (State of) | 1,307 | A | ||||
Port Authority of New York and New Jersey | 1,300 | AA- | ||||
Los Angeles California Unified School District | 1,268 | AA | ||||
Illinois Toll Highway Authority | 1,260 | AA | ||||
Illinois (State of) | 1,213 | AA | ||||
California (State of) Department of Water Resources | 1,209 | A- | ||||
Atlanta Georgia Water & Sewer System | 1,167 | BBB+ | ||||
New York MTA Dedicated Tax | 1,157 | AA- | ||||
Broward County Florida School Board | 1,101 | AA- | ||||
New York MTA Transportation Authority | 1,086 | A | ||||
Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of) | 1,028 | BBB- | ||||
Denver Colorado School District No.1 | 1,017 | A+ | ||||
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources | 992 | AA | ||||
Los Angeles California Department of Water and Power | 980 | AA- | ||||
Connecticut (State of) | 966 | AA- | ||||
Long Island Power Authority | 952 | A- | ||||
Chicago-O'Hare Airport | 944 | A | ||||
Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania | 921 | BBB | ||||
District of Columbia | 915 | A+ | ||||
Detroit Michigan Sewer | 907 | A | ||||
Michigan (State of) Gas & Motor Vehicle Tax | 902 | AA | ||||
San Diego County California Water | 901 | AA | ||||
Kentucky (Commonwealth of) | 896 | AA- | ||||
Chicago Illinois Public Schools | 887 | A+ | ||||
Michigan (State of) | 882 | A+ | ||||
New York State Thruway | 877 | AA- | ||||
Florida (State of) | 875 | AA+ | ||||
New Jersey Turnpike Authority | 874 | A | ||||
Metro Washington Airport | 873 | AA- | ||||
Louisiana (State of) Gas and Fuel Tax | 864 | A+ | ||||
Oregon (State of) | 846 | AA- | ||||
San Diego California Unified School District | 831 | AA | ||||
Hawaii (State of) Department of Hawaiian Home Lands | 829 | AA | ||||
California State University System | 826 | AA- | ||||
Austin Texas Combined Utility | 821 | AA- | ||||
Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport | 801 | A+ | ||||
Clark County Nevada School District | 798 | AA | ||||
Skyway Concession Company LLC | 793 | BBB | ||||
Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures | $ | 57,297 | ||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Page 24
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
Credit Name: | Net Par Outstanding | Rating1 | Current Credit Enhancement % | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | $ | 1,460 | AA- | 40.0 | % | |||||
US AA Rated Previously Insured Cash Flow CLO | 1,364 | AA | 30.9 | % | ||||||
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | 1,135 | Super senior | 14.0 | % | ||||||
International AAA Cash Flow CLO | 1,119 | AAA | 34.5 | % | ||||||
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | 811 | Super senior | 23.4 | % | ||||||
US Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | 769 | Super senior | 14.9 | % | ||||||
US Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | 754 | Super senior | 29.4 | % | ||||||
International Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | 735 | A | 30.9 | % | ||||||
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | 726 | AAA | 25.0 | % | ||||||
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-I | 715 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||
MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2007-NCW | 664 | BB | 34.6 | % | ||||||
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | 652 | Super senior | 18.3 | % | ||||||
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-F | 607 | CCC | 0.5 | % | ||||||
MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-3 | 605 | CCC | 11.5 | % | ||||||
Americredit 2007-B-F | 578 | BBB | 15.9 | % | ||||||
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | 562 | AAA | 24.3 | % | ||||||
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | 522 | Super senior | 29.7 | % | ||||||
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | 521 | Super senior | 24.5 | % | ||||||
US Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | 512 | Super senior | 14.4 | % | ||||||
Eastland CLO LTD | 510 | Super senior | 29.6 | % | ||||||
Denali Capital CLO VII, Ltd. | 498 | AAA | 20.6 | % | ||||||
US Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | 492 | AA | 46.7 | % | ||||||
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | 461 | Super senior | 25.0 | % | ||||||
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | 461 | Super senior | 12.9 | % | ||||||
Avenue CLO V, Ltd. | 458 | AAA | 16.4 | % | ||||||
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | 433 | Super senior | 11.9 | % | ||||||
BIG Synthentic CDS | 428 | AAA | 36.0 | % | ||||||
BIG Synthentic CDS | 427 | AAA | 24.3 | % | ||||||
BIG Synthentic CDS | 419 | AA | 23.7 | % | ||||||
Chruchill Financials CLO | 415 | AAA | 34.7 | % | ||||||
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-FXD2 | 411 | BB | 20.8 | % | ||||||
Grayson CLO LTD | 410 | Super senior | 21.7 | % | ||||||
IG Systhentic CDS | 406 | Super senior | 13.9 | % | ||||||
IG Systhentic CDS | 399 | Super senior | 14.0 | % | ||||||
Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation, Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2007-1 | 388 | CCC | 7.2 | % | ||||||
BIG Synthentic CDS | 385 | Super senior | 36.4 | % | ||||||
StoneTower CLO III | 381 | AA- | 21.0 | % | ||||||
IG Systhentic CDS | 377 | Super senior | 11.0 | % | ||||||
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-A | 374 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||
US Super AAA Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | 371 | AAA | 29.5 | % | ||||||
HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-12 | 361 | BB | 11.9 | % | ||||||
CENT CDO 15 | 360 | Super senior | 16.8 | % | ||||||
StoneTower CLO V | 357 | Super senior | 27.7 | % | ||||||
BIG Synthentic CDS | 354 | AAA | 34.0 | % | ||||||
MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-1 | 350 | B | 7.4 | % | ||||||
BIG Synthentic CDS | 348 | AAA | 24.7 | % | ||||||
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2005-D | 346 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||
CIFC Funding 2006-1 | 341 | AAA | 22.5 | % | ||||||
Muir Grove CLO | 340 | AAA | 19.0 | % | ||||||
KKR Financial CLO 2005-1 | 340 | AAA | 21.3 | % | ||||||
Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures | $ | 27,212 | ||||||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Page 25
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
10 Largest Healthcare and Non-U.S. Exposures
As of September 30, 2009
(in millions)
10 Largest Healthcare Exposures
Credit Name: | Net Par Outstanding | Rating1 | State | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carolina HealthCare System | $ | 217 | AA- | NC | ||||
Hospital Sisters Health Services Inc | 204 | AA- | IL | |||||
CHRISTUS Health | 192 | A+ | TX | |||||
Carilion Health System | 189 | A | VA | |||||
St. Lukes Health System | 187 | A | MO | |||||
SSM Health Care | 179 | AA- | MO | |||||
MultiCare Health System | 173 | A+ | WA | |||||
Catholic Health Initiatives | 168 | AA | CO | |||||
Memorial Hermann Healthcare | 166 | A | TX | |||||
Catholic Health System (fka Mercy Health System) | 165 | A+ | OH | |||||
Total top 10 healthcare exposures | $ | 1,840 | ||||||
10 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures
Credit Name: | Net Par Outstanding | Rating1 | | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quebec Provence | $ | 1,949 | A | |||||
Sydney Airport Finance Company | 1,334 | BBB | ||||||
Thames Water Utility Finance Plc | 1,126 | BBB+ | ||||||
Channel Link Enterprises Finance Plc | 901 | BBB | ||||||
International AAA Sovereign Debt Synthetic CDO | 821 | AAA | ||||||
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | 752 | Super senior | ||||||
International Super AAA Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO | 605 | Super senior | ||||||
Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency | 565 | AA- | ||||||
Artesian Finance II Plc (Southern) - Swap Policy | 505 | A- | ||||||
CPT 259 - Bear Stearns HY - Sperlonga A | 487 | AA- | ||||||
Total top 10 non-U.S. exposures | $ | 9,045 | ||||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Page 26
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures
As of September 30, 2009
(in millions)
10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures
Servicer: | Net Par Outstanding | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP | $ | 6,471 | |||
American Home Mortgage Acceptance, Inc. | 1,857 | ||||
GMAC Mortgage, LLC | 1,217 | ||||
Specialized Loan Servicing, LLC | 919 | ||||
Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC | 907 | ||||
One West | 787 | ||||
Wells Fargo Bank Minnesota, N.A. | 774 | ||||
First Tennessee Bank N.A. | 474 | ||||
Litton Loan Servicing LP | 325 | ||||
Flagstar Bank, FSB | 322 | ||||
Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures | $ | 14,053 | |||
Page 27
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 2)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
Below Investment Grade Exposures by Asset Type: | Weighted Average Remaining Life | Net Par Outstanding | Average Rating1 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Finance: | |||||||||||
United States | |||||||||||
General obligation | 6.9 | $ | 684 | BB | |||||||
Healthcare | 10.2 | 279 | BB- | ||||||||
Tax backed | 12.0 | 219 | BB | ||||||||
Municipal utilities | 8.4 | 166 | D | ||||||||
Higher education | 10.0 | 9 | BB | ||||||||
Housing | 10.3 | 7 | B | ||||||||
Other public finance | 2.5 | 84 | B | ||||||||
Total public finance - U.S. | 8.3 | 1,448 | B+ | ||||||||
Non-U.S.: | |||||||||||
Infrastructure finance | 3.4 | 229 | BB | ||||||||
Total public finance - non-U.S. | 3.4 | 229 | BB | ||||||||
Total public finance | 7.6 | $ | 1,677 | B+ | |||||||
Structured Finance: | |||||||||||
United States | |||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed securities | 5.3 | $ | 9,811 | B- | |||||||
Consumer receivables | 3.2 | 184 | BB | ||||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | 2.5 | 163 | CCC+ | ||||||||
Other structured finance | 5.5 | 126 | B | ||||||||
Total structured finance - U.S. | 5.2 | 10,284 | B- | ||||||||
Non-U.S.: | |||||||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | 2.6 | 81 | CCC | ||||||||
Total structured finance - non-U.S. | 2.6 | 81 | CCC | ||||||||
Total structured finance | 5.2 | $ | 10,365 | B- | |||||||
Total below investment grade exposures | 5.5 | $ | 12,042 | B- | |||||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
Page 28
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
Below Investment Grade Exposures Greater Than $50 Million as of September 30, 2009
Name or Description | Weighted Average Remaining Life | Net Par Outstanding | Internal Rating1 | Current Credit Enhancement | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Countrywide HELOC 2006-I | 4.8 | $ | 715 | CCC | 0.0 | % | |||||||
Private US Residential MBS | 2.6 | 664 | BB | 34.6 | % | ||||||||
Countrywide HELOC 2006-F | 4.2 | 607 | CCC | 0.5 | % | ||||||||
MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-3 | 3.2 | 605 | CCC | 11.5 | % | ||||||||
Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-FXD2 | 4.2 | 411 | BB | 20.8 | % | ||||||||
Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation, Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2007-1 | 4.5 | 388 | CCC | 7.2 | % | ||||||||
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-A | 4.4 | 374 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||||
HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-12 | 3.9 | 361 | BB | 11.9 | % | ||||||||
MASTR Adjustable Rate Mortgages Trust 2007-1 | 3.8 | 350 | B | 7.4 | % | ||||||||
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2005-D | 4.4 | 346 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||||
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-B | 4.5 | 325 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||||
GMACM 2004-HE3 | 4.1 | 293 | BB | 0.3 | % | ||||||||
IndyMac Home Equity Mortgage Loan Asset-Backed Trust, Series 2007-H1 | 4.8 | 268 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||||
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-12SL | 20.8 | 255 | CCC | -74.7 | % | ||||||||
Aeroporti Di Roma Romulus Finance S.R.L. (Rome Airport) | 3.4 | 229 | BB | N/A | |||||||||
Soundview Home Loan Trust 2007-WMC1 | 3.3 | 213 | CCC | 15.9 | % | ||||||||
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-1SL | 21.1 | 210 | CCC | -77.9 | % | ||||||||
HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-1 | 4.4 | 203 | BB | 14.4 | % | ||||||||
Harborview 2006-1 | 2.2 | 202 | CCC | 9.9 | % | ||||||||
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-10SL | 20.0 | 202 | CCC | -60.5 | % | ||||||||
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2005-C | 4.2 | 175 | BB | 0.2 | % | ||||||||
Detroit (City of) Michigan School District | 6.2 | 175 | BB | N/A | |||||||||
Flagstar Home Equity Loan Trust 2006-2 | 3.2 | 173 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||||
HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-10 | 4.4 | 171 | B | 6.4 | % | ||||||||
Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2007-S2 | 2.3 | 157 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||||
CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2006-3 | 4.7 | 154 | CCC | 3.4 | % | ||||||||
Jefferson County Alabama Sewer | 8.5 | 151 | D | N/A | |||||||||
Renaissance Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-3 | 6.4 | 146 | BB | 27.6 | % | ||||||||
Jefferson County Alabama School Limited Obligation | 11.6 | 144 | BB | N/A | |||||||||
Detroit (City of) Michigan | 4.5 | 137 | BB+ | N/A | |||||||||
New Orleans Louisiana | 3.8 | 135 | BB | N/A | |||||||||
American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2007-4 | 6.0 | 126 | CCC | 3.2 | % | ||||||||
IndyMac IMSC Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-HOA1 | 6.6 | 126 | CCC | 4.0 | % | ||||||||
NRG Peaker Finance Company LLC | 5.5 | 126 | B | NA | |||||||||
International Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | 2.7 | 115 | CCC | 12.9 | % | ||||||||
Conseco Finance Securitization MH Series 2001-2 | 1.9 | 103 | BB | 18.3 | % | ||||||||
Countrywide AltA 2005-22T | 5.1 | 102 | B | 6.7 | % | ||||||||
CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2006-2 | 4.7 | 91 | CCC | 2.7 | % | ||||||||
Deutsche Alt-B Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2006-AB1 | 5.1 | 90 | CCC | 8.0 | % | ||||||||
Deutsche Alt-B Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2006-AB4 | 3.4 | 87 | CCC | 3.2 | % | ||||||||
ACE Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-GP1 | 2.9 | 86 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||||
Mashantucket Pequot Tribe Connecticut | 2.5 | 84 | B | N/A | |||||||||
Erie (City of) Pennsylvania | 9.0 | 83 | BB+ | N/A | |||||||||
GreenPoint Manufactured Housing Contract Trust Pass Through Certificates Series 2000-4 | 4.7 | 81 | BB | 16.8 | % | ||||||||
Harrisburg (City of) Pennsylvania | 13.2 | 77 | BB+ | N/A | |||||||||
International Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO | 2.7 | 77 | CCC | 12.9 | % | ||||||||
DeKalb County Medical Center - Georgia | 13.5 | 74 | BB | N/A | |||||||||
Goldman AltA 2005-X | 2.4 | 71 | BB | 11.4 | % | ||||||||
CSMC Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-3 | 7.3 | 71 | CCC | 3.3 | % | ||||||||
CWHEQ Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-H | 3.9 | 70 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||||
Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-6 ALT | 4.3 | 69 | CCC | 3.7 | % | ||||||||
CWALT, Inc., Alternative Loan Trust 2005-62, Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2005-62 | 2.0 | 66 | CCC | 14.1 | % | ||||||||
ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2007-SL1 | 21.3 | 65 | CCC | -46.2 | % | ||||||||
St. Barnabas Health System - New Jersey | 10.3 | 62 | BB | N/A | |||||||||
DSLA Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-AR5 | 2.5 | 60 | CCC | 10.0 | % | ||||||||
Page 29
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2)
As of September 30, 2009
(dollars in millions)
Name or Description | Weighted Average Remaining Life | Net Par Outstanding | Internal Rating1 | Current Credit Enhancement | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FFMLT 2007-FFC | 4.1 | 60 | CCC | 0.0 | % | ||||||||
Deutsche Alt-B Securities Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2006-AB3 | 3.2 | 59 | CCC | 3.6 | % | ||||||||
Luminent Mortgage Trust 2006-2 | 1.2 | 55 | CCC | 11.5 | % | ||||||||
CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2006-4 | 4.8 | 52 | CCC | 4.7 | % | ||||||||
Total | 5.5 | $ | 11,227 | ||||||||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Page 30
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Surveillance Categories
(dollars in millions)
Net Par Outstanding by Surveillance Category1
| September 30, 2009 | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Description: | Net Par Outstanding | % of Total | Number of Credits in Category | |||||||||
Category 1 | $ | 4,803 | 39.9 | % | 114 | |||||||
Category 2 | 4,942 | 41.0 | % | 51 | ||||||||
Category 3 | 2,297 | 19.1 | % | 17 | ||||||||
BIG Total | $ | 12,042 | 100.0 | % | 182 | |||||||
1. Effective January 1, 2009 Assured Guaranty adopted ASC 944-20. Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of below investment grade ("BIG") credits. The BIG credits are divided into three categories: BIG Category 1: BIG transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make material losses possible, but for which no losses have been incurred. Non-investment grade transactions on which liquidity claims have been paid are in this category. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly. BIG Category 2: BIG transactions for which expected losses have been established but for which no unreimbursed claims have yet been paid. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly. BIG Category 3: BIG transactions for which expected losses have been established and on which unreimbursed claims have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly.
Page 31
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Type
(in millions)
Loss and LAE Reserves by Type: | As of September 30, 2009 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Loss and LAE reserves | $ | 3.3 | |||
Credit derivatives reserves | 119.5 | ||||
Total loss and LAE reserves | $ | 122.8 | |||
Page 32
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses
As of September 30, 2009
(in millions)
| Total Net Par Outstanding for BIG transactions | 3Q-09 Incurred Losses24 | Loss and Loss Expense Adjustment Reserves34 | Expected Loss in Unearned Premium Reserve | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Financial Guaranty1 | |||||||||||||||
Prime first lien | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 0.1 | |||||||
Closed end seconds | 995 | (12.5 | ) | 58.1 | 212.0 | ||||||||||
HELOC | 3,482 | (0.6 | ) | - | 134.5 | ||||||||||
Alt-A first lien | 1,315 | (0.0 | ) | - | 184.9 | ||||||||||
Alt-A option ARMs | 2,370 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 381.7 | |||||||||||
Subprime first lien | 1,649 | 2.3 | 38.3 | 63.2 | |||||||||||
Total U.S. RMBS | 9,811 | (8.1 | ) | 99.7 | 976.4 | ||||||||||
Other structured finance | 553 | (3.0 | ) | 23.1 | 53.0 | ||||||||||
Public finance | 1,678 | (15.3 | ) | - | 36.3 | ||||||||||
Total Financial Guaranty | $ | 12,042 | $ | (26.4 | ) | $ | 122.8 | $ | 1,065.7 | ||||||
1. Includes financial guaranty and insured derivatives in the insured portfolio.
2. Includes loss and loss adjustment expenses (recoveries) and incurred losses on credit derivatives.
3. Includes loss and loss adjustment expense reserves for credit derivatives.
4. The Company adopted ASC 944-20 effective January 1, 2009.
Page 33
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.
Summary Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions)
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||||||||||
Statutory Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Net income (loss) | $ | 435.3 | $ | (1,376.7 | ) | $ | 312.9 | $ | 339.6 | $ | 293.5 | $ | 242.0 | ||||||||
Policyholders' surplus | $ | 1,140.0 | $ | 710.8 | $ | 1,608.8 | $ | 1,543.1 | $ | 1,510.7 | $ | 1,181.4 | |||||||||
Contingency reserve | 1,226.0 | 1,281.6 | 1,094.3 | 1,011.0 | 906.9 | 1,099.5 | |||||||||||||||
Qualified statutory capital | 2,366.0 | 1,992.4 | 2,703.1 | 2,554.1 | 2,417.6 | 2,280.9 | |||||||||||||||
Unearned premium reserve | 2,380.0 | 2,520.1 | 2,274.6 | 2,070.8 | 1,850.4 | 1,649.2 | |||||||||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves | 1,105.0 | 1,688.0 | 98.1 | 53.0 | 54.4 | 48.2 | |||||||||||||||
Total policyholders' surplus & reserves | 5,851.0 | 6,200.5 | 5,075.8 | 4,677.9 | 4,322.4 | 3,978.3 | |||||||||||||||
Present value of installment premiumse | 824.0 | 962.6 | 1,113.0 | 827.9 | 803.4 | 727.3 | |||||||||||||||
Standby line of credit/stop loss | 498.0 | 550.0 | 550.0 | 550.0 | 550.0 | 525.0 | |||||||||||||||
Total claims-paying resources | $ | 7,173.0 | $ | 7,713.1 | $ | 6,738.8 | $ | 6,055.8 | $ | 5,675.8 | $ | 5,230.6 | |||||||||
Statutory Financial Ratios | |||||||||||||||||||||
Expense ratio | 13.5 | % | 9.1 | % | 30.0 | % | 29.9 | % | 27.8 | % | 26.8 | % | |||||||||
Other Financial Information (Statutory basis): | |||||||||||||||||||||
Net debt service outstanding (end of period) | $ | 581,685 | $ | 631,886 | $ | 623,158 | $ | 552,695 | $ | 497,625 | $ | 454,359 | |||||||||
Gross debt service outstanding (end of period) | 770,509 | 834,426 | 858,458 | 765,632 | 686,134 | 633,037 | |||||||||||||||
Net par outstanding (end of period) | 388,950 | 424,393 | 426,512 | 376,456 | 351,398 | 325,808 | |||||||||||||||
Gross par outstanding (end of period) | 503,071 | 545,568 | 564,515 | 498,619 | 472,374 | 442,932 | |||||||||||||||
Ceded par to all Assured Guaranty companies | 32,414 | 32,927 | 30,872 | 37,590 | 44,599 | 44,707 | |||||||||||||||
Ceded par to other companies | 81,707 | 88,248 | 107,131 | 84,573 | 76,377 | 72,417 | |||||||||||||||
Ratios: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Net par insured to statutory capital | 164:1 | 213:1 | 158:1 | 147:1 | 145:1 | 143:1 | |||||||||||||||
Capital ratio1 | 246:1 | 317:1 | 231:1 | 216:1 | 206:1 | 199:1 | |||||||||||||||
Financial resources ratio2 | 81:1 | 82:1 | 92:1 | 91:1 | 88:1 | 87:1 | |||||||||||||||
Gross debt service written: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Public finance | $ | 1,723 | $ | 85,666 | $ | 133,792 | $ | 127,294 | $ | 120,745 | $ | 88,157 | |||||||||
Structured finance | - | 5,193 | 57,434 | 48,794 | 40,347 | 63,971 | |||||||||||||||
Total gross debt service written | $ | 1,723 | $ | 90,859 | $ | 191,226 | $ | 176,088 | $ | 161,092 | $ | 152,128 | |||||||||
1. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured divided by qualified statutory capital.
2. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured by total claims paying resources.
Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures [present value of installment premiums (e)].
Page 34
Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and International obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report.
Other Public Finance. Other domestic public finance obligations insured by FSA include bonds secured by revenues and guarantees from the Federal government, financings supported by specific state or local government entity revenues and stadium financings.
Residential Mortgage Loans. Obligations primarily backed by residential mortgage loans generally take the form of conventional pass-through certificates or pay-through debt securities, but also include other structured products. Included are:
- •
- Alt-A closed-end second lien-mortgage (CES). Backed by fully amortizing loans secured by a second lien on residential property.
- •
- Prime Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC). Primarily backed by second liens and made to higher quality ("prime") borrowers.
- •
- Alt-A first-lien mortgages. Collateralized by fixed and floating rate loans secured by first lien on residential property.
- •
- Alt-A Option Adjustable Rate Mortgage (Option ARM). Primarily backed by first lien mortgage loans made to prime borrowers (on average) who have the choice of various monthly payment options.
- •
- Subprime U.S. RMBS. Characterized by lower quality borrowers and higher levels of structural credit protection through subordination and/or excess spread.
- •
- Net interest margin securitizations (NIMs). Securities backed by the senior portion of residual cash flows from securitization of domestic residential mortgage loans.
Consumer Receivables. Obligations primarily backed by consumer receivables which include conventional pass-through and pay-through securities as well as more highly structured transactions. Consumer receivables backing these insured obligations primarily include: automobile loans, credit card receivables, student loans and manufactured housing loans. Consumer receivable transactions in AGM's insured portfolio tend to be concentrated in the subprime automobile loan sector.
Pooled Corporate Obligations. Funded or synthetic Obligations primarily backed by pooled corporate obligations include corporate loans or corporate bonds. These obligations are generally referred to as collateralized loan obligations ("CLOs"), collateralized bond obligations ("CBOs"), market value CDOs ("MV CDOs") and comparable risks under CDS obligations.
Financial Products. Represents GIC's issued by FSAH's Financial Products segment, which was not part of Assured Guaranty's acquisition of FSAH on July 1, 2009.
Other Structured Finance. Other structured finance in FSA's insured portfolio include bonds or other securities backed by goverment securities, letters of credit or repurchase agreements collateralized by government securities, securities backed by a combination of assets that include elements of more than one of the categories set forth above and unsecured corporate obligations satisfying FSA's underwriting criteria. Other structured finance obligations insured by FSA also include first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such utilities and other obligations backed by investor-owned utilities. Other structured finance obligations include securitization of life insurance risks and airplane leases, including transactions benefiting from third-party financial guaranty insurance.
Page 35
Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:
This Financial Supplement references financial measures that are not financial measures that are in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("non-GAAP financial measures") which management uses in order to assist analysts and investors in evaluating the Company's financial results. These non-GAAP financial measures are defined below. In each case, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented and a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and GAAP financial measure is provided. This presentation is consistent with how the Company's management, analysts and investors evaluate the Company's financial results and is comparable to estimates published by analysts in their research reports.
(a) PVP or present value of new business: PVP is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, on insurance and credit derivative contracts written in the current period, discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009. Management believes that PVP is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at the approximate taxable equivalent yield per year on the Company's general investment portfolio, while under ASC 944-20, "Financial Services-Insurance," these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under ASC 944-20 management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, prepayments, amortizations, refundings, contract terminations or defaults that may or may not result from changes in market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refundings, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults or other factors that management cannot control or predict. PVP should not be viewed as a substitute for gross written premiums determined in accordance with GAAP.
(b) Operating income: Operating income is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (which excludes noncontrolling interest in consolidated variable interest entities) adjusted for the following:
1) Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on investments;
2) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which are unrealized gains (losses) other than the Company's net estimate of after-tax incurred economic credit losses for credit derivatives;
3) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities; and
4) Elimination of goodwill and settlement of pre-existing relationships.
Management believes that operating income is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of operating income enhances the understanding of the Company's results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of its business. Realized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities are excluded because these gains (losses) are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for net income (loss) determined in accordance with GAAP.
(c) Operating shareholder's equity ("Operating Shareholder's Equity"): Operating shareholder's equity is a non-GAAP financial measure calculated as shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. (which excludes noncontrolling interest in consolidated variable interest entities) reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following fair value adjustments deemed to be unrelated to credit impairment. The specific adjustments are:
1) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives which are unrealized gains (losses) other than the present value of estimated economic credit losses;
2) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities; and
3) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on investment portfolios, recorded as a component of accumulated comprehensive income, excluding foreign exchange revaluation.
Management believes that operating shareholder's equity is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of operating ROE enhances the understanding of the Company's shareholder's equity excluding unrealized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities, which are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. determined in accordance with GAAP.
Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"): Operating ROE represents operating income for the specified period divided by the average of operating shareholder's equity at the beginning and the end of the specified period. Management believes that Operating ROE is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of Operating ROE enhance the understanding of the Company's return on shareholder's equity by highlighting the underlying profitability relative to shareholder's equity excluding the effect of unrealized gains and losses on the Company's investment portfolio, credit derivatives and committed capital securities for both net income and shareholder's equity. Realized gains (losses) on investments, non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives, and unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities are excluded because these gains (losses) are heavily influenced by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as substitutes for ROE determined in accordance with GAAP.
(d) Adjusted Book Value "(ABV"): Subsequent to the adoption of ASC 944-20 on January 1, 2009 and the acquisition of Financial Security Assurance Holdings (FSAH) on July 1, 2009, adjusted book value, which is a non-GAAP financial measure, is calculated as shareholder's equity attributable to AGM (which excludes noncontrolling interest in consolidated subsidiaries) less after-tax fair value adjustments deemed to be non-economic, plus after-tax unearned premium reserves net of ceded unearned premium reserve and deferred acquisition costs, plus the after-tax present value of estimated future revenues on contracts written in credit derivative contract form. The specific adjustments to shareholder's equity attributable to AGM are:
1) Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives other than the present value of estimated economic credit losses;
2) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities;
3) Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on investment portfolios, recorded as a component of accumulated comprehensive income, excluding foreign exchange revaluation,
4) Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs'
5) Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated future revenue on credit derivatives in force, less future ceding commissions and premium taxes, discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009;
6) Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss, net of ceded unearned premium reserve; and
7) Addition of the after-tax value of unearned premium reserve on credit derivatives net of prepaid reinsurance.
Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure for management, equity analysts and investors because the calculation of adjusted book value permits an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and shareholder's equity. The premiums described above will be earned in future periods, but may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults and other factors that management cannot control or predict. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for shareholder's equity attributable to AGM determined in accordance with GAAP.
(e) Net present value of estimated future installment premiums on credit derivatives in force: Net present value of estimated installment premiums on credit derivatives in force is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as the present value of estimated future revenue from our credit derivative in-force books of business, net of reinsurance and discounted at 6% for September 30, 2009. Management believes that net present value of estimated future revenue in force is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. Estimated future premiums may change from period to period due to changes in par outstanding, maturity, or other factors that management cannot control or predict that result from market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults, or other factors. There is no comparable GAAP financial measure.
(f) Expense Ratio: Expense ratio is calculated by dividing the sum of ceding commissions expense (income), profit commission expense, acquisition costs and operating expenses by net earned premiums plus net credit derivative premiums earned included in realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives.
Page 36
Contacts: | ||
Equity Investors: Sabra Purtill Managing Director, Investor Relations (212) 408-6044 spurtill@assuredguaranty.com | ||
Ross Aron Associate, Investor Relations (212) 261-5509 raron@assuredguaranty.com | ||
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 31 West 52nd Street New York, NY 10019 (212) 974-0100 www.assuredguaranty.com | Fixed Income Investors: Robert Tucker Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations (212) 339-0861 rtucker@assuredguaranty.com | |
Michael Walker Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations (212) 261-5575 mwalker@assuredguaranty.com | ||
Media: Betsy Castenir Managing Director, Corporate Communications (212) 339-3424 bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com | ||
Ashweeta Durani Vice President, Corporate Communications (212) 408-6042 adurani@assuredguaranty.com |
Table of Contents
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Selected Financial Highlights (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated Income Statement1 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Detailed Income Statement (Non-GAAP) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated Balance Sheets1 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Capital and Claims Paying Resources (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. New Business Production (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Investment Portfolio As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Run-Off of Global Insured Structured Finance Portfolio (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Estimated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Net Future Installment Premiums (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 4) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 4) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 4) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (4 of 4) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") Profile (1 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (4 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (5 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Credit Derivative Exposure Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures As of September 30, 2009 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 10 Largest Healthcare and Non-U.S. Exposures As of September 30, 2009 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 10 Largest Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures As of September 30, 2009 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 2) As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 2) As of September 30, 2009 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Surveillance Categories (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Type (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses As of September 30, 2009 (in millions)
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