The following table provides a breakdown of our total NAV and NAV per share by share class as of June 30, 2024 (dollar amounts in thousands, except per share data):
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NAV Per Share | | Class S Shares | | | Class T Shares | | | Class D Shares | | | Class M Shares | | | Class I Shares | | | Class F Shares | | | Class Y Shares | | | Total | |
Net asset value | | $ | 1,624,981 | | | $ | 24,389 | | | $ | 11,092 | | | $ | 130,840 | | | $ | 1,224,134 | | | $ | 18,915 | | | $ | 21,900 | | | $ | 3,056,251 | |
Number of outstanding shares | | | 64,756,939 | | | | 981,226 | | | | 445,233 | | | | 5,242,961 | | | | 50,605,194 | | | | 746,412 | | | | 906,648 | | | | 123,684,613 | |
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NAV per Share as of June 30, 2024 | | $ | 25.0935 | | | $ | 24.8557 | | | $ | 24.9121 | | | $ | 24.9554 | | | $ | 24.1899 | | | $ | 25.3414 | | | $ | 24.1546 | | | | | |
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Market Update
Treasury yields moved lower in June, driven by moderating inflation data. The 2-year yield fell -19bps, to 4.72%, while the 10-year yield dropped -11bps, to 4.40%. Against the declining yield environment, the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index returned 0.95% in June. However, the index is down -0.71% year to date and -0.23% over the last five years amid significant interest rate volatility.
Commercial real estate deal volume and pricing remained muted in May as buyers and sellers have not yet found an attractive meeting point in today’s elevated rate environment.
| • | | Transaction volume was $122 billion over the first five months of the year, representing a -17% decline compared to the same period in 2023. This represents a notable improvement from April 2023, however, when transaction volume was down -65% year over year.1 |
| • | | Annual property price declines have moderated from approximately -14% in July 2023 to -2.5% in May 2024.1 Property prices have shown signs of a potential trough recently, declining between just -19bps and -25bps during the past three months.1 |
Broad sentiment among market participants has taken a turn for the better in recent quarters while optimism is growing that the market is in the process of troughing, though the shape and timing of any recovery is highly uncertain.
CRE fundamentals outside of Office have remained resilient and lent support to the market, as strong fundamentals have allowed property owners to offset some of the impact of higher interest rates.
Demand for space has clearly decelerated from historic levels yet remains robust in most property sectors as net absorption is significantly positive in three of the four major sectors. Multifamily demand, in particular, has seen a sharp improvement over the past year, while the industrial sector has found a more sustainable level. Retail has continued to act as the unsung hero of the CRE asset class, and even malls posted positive absorption and a dip in vacancy in the most recent quarter.
Rent growth across the CRE market has slowed in recent quarters, though that can be linked almost exclusively to an increase in new construction rather than a decrease in demand. Crucially, this supply headwind is fading—while we expect deliveries in these sectors to remain elevated this year, a plunge in new construction starts portends a more favorable 2025 and beyond.
Office remains the clear outlier as a massive retrenchment among tenants continues to drive net operating income lower while the vacancy rate steadily rises.1
Ultimately, we expect transaction and lending activity to pick up in the coming quarters but believe the outlook for property values—and therefore, CRE equity investors—is much foggier. We expect CRE debt to benefit from increasing refinancing volumes and continue to outperform CRE equity in a high-for-longer rate scenario.
1 | MSCI Real Capital Analytics, as of May 31, 2024, latest data available. |