EXHIBIT D
Government of Jamaica
This description of the Government of Jamaica is dated as of June 1, 2007 and appears as Exhibit (d) to the Government of Jamaica’s Annual Report on Form 18-K to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2007.
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EXCHANGE RATES
The following table shows exchange rate information for the selling of US dollars for the periods indicated. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York does not report a noon buying rate for the JA dollar. The official exchange rate published by the Bank of Jamaica for US dollars on May 29, 2007 was J$68.22 per US$1.00.
Foreign Exchange Rates
| | | | | | | | | |
Year | | Month | | Average for Period(1) | | End of Period | | Percentage Change (End of Period) | |
| | | | (spot weighted average ask in J$ for US$) | | | |
2002 | | | | 48.73 | | 50.97 | | 7.53 | |
2003 | | | | 58.24 | | 60.62 | | 18.93 | |
2004 | | | | 61.39 | | 61.63 | | 1.67 | |
2005 | | | | 62.60 | | 64.58 | | 4.79 | |
2006 | | | | 65.98 | | 67.15 | | 3.98 | |
2007 | | January | | 67.37 | | 67.55 | | 0.59 | (2) |
| | February | | 67.59 | | 67.55 | | 0.00 | (2) |
| | March | | 67.70 | | 67.80 | | 0.37 | (2) |
| | April | | 67.91 | | 68.08 | | 0.41 | (2) |
(1) | The weighted average of the exchange rates for annual periods is calculated as the simple average of end of month rates. |
(2) | As compared to the prior month. |
Source: Bank of Jamaica.
PRESENTATION OF CERTAIN INFORMATION
All references in this annual report on Form 18-K to “Jamaica” are to the Government of Jamaica. All references to “JA dollars” and “J$” are to Jamaica dollars, all references to “US dollars” and “US$” are to the lawful currency of the United States of America and all references to “€” are to euro. Historical amounts translated into JA dollars or US dollars have been converted at historical rates of exchange. References to annual periods (e.g., “2006”) refer to the calendar year ended December 31, and references to fiscal year or FY (e.g., “FY 2005/06” or “FY 2006/07”) refer to Jamaica’s fiscal year ended March 31. All references to “tonnes” are to metric tonnes. Jamaica publishes external economy information, such as external debt and goods and services exported, in US dollars. All international currencies, such as external debt denominated in Euro, are translated into US dollars. Domestic economy information is published by Jamaica in Jamaica dollars. The base year for gross domestic product data contained in this Form 18-K was changed in 2003 from 1986 to 1996. Components contained in tabular information in this annual report on Form 18-K may not add to totals due to rounding. The term “N/A” is used to identify economic or financial data that is not presented for a particular period because it is not applicable to such period and “n.a.” for economic or financial data that is not available.
Statistical information included in this report is the latest official data publicly available. Financial data provided may be subsequently revised in accordance with Jamaica’s ongoing maintenance of its economic data.
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JAMAICA
History
Originally settled by the Arawak Indians, Jamaica was first visited by Christopher Columbus in 1494 on his second voyage to the New World. Jamaica’s name derives from the Arawak word “Xaymaca”, which means “Land of Wood and Water”. In 1655 Admiral William Penn and General Robert Venables led a British force that conquered the island, ousting the Spaniards. Over the next 40 years, Jamaica became the stronghold of the Caribbean buccaneers who transformed Port Royal, then the island’s commercial center, into the richest city in the New World. The sugar industry, supported to a great extent by slaves transported from Africa until the abolition of slavery in 1834, formed the basis of the island’s economy. During its three centuries as a British colony, Jamaica was variously administered by a governor and a planter-controlled legislature, by British Crown Colony rule from London, England, and by limited representative government in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. The government granted universal adult suffrage in 1944. From 1958 to 1961, Jamaica was a member of the now-defunct West Indies Federation, which encompassed all of Britain’s Caribbean colonies. Although plans for independence first appeared in the 1940s, internal self-government did not begin until 1959. On August 6, 1962, Jamaica became an independent country within the British Commonwealth.
The historical development of the island has influenced Jamaican national symbols. Jamaica’s flag, a diagonal cross of gold on a green and black background, represents the statement, “The sun shineth, the land is green and the people are strong and creative”. The national crest incorporates the original Arawak inhabitants with the legend “Out of Many, One People”, which reflects the country’s multiracial heritage. Jamaica’s reggae music enjoys international renown.
Territory and Population
Jamaica, the third-largest island in the Caribbean Sea, is located 558 miles (898 kilometers) southeast of Miami, Florida, 90 miles (144.8 kilometers) south of Cuba and 100 miles (160.9 kilometers) southwest of Haiti. The island has an area of 4,411 square miles (11,420 square kilometers), and its highest point is the Blue Mountain Peak, which rises 7,402 feet (2,256 meters) above sea level. The capital city, Kingston, located on the island’s southeast coast, also serves as Jamaica’s major commercial center. The natural harbor in Kingston is the seventh largest in the world. The country’s second-largest city, Montego Bay, located on the island’s northwest coast, is Jamaica’s main center for tourism. See “The Jamaican Economy—Principal Sectors of the Economy—Tourism”.
From 2002 to 2006, Jamaica’s population grew at an average rate of approximately 0.5% per year. At December 31, 2006, Jamaica’s population was estimated at 2,673,800, a 0.5% increase over the December 31, 2005 population of 2,660,600. The last official census taken in 2001 indicated that 48.0% of Jamaica’s population lives in rural areas, while 52.0% lives in urban areas. Jamaica’s official language is English, and a majority of the population speaks a dialect.
Society
Diverse religious beliefs are represented in Jamaica, although Christian denominations predominate. Other major religious groups include adherents to the Rastafari, Bahai, Islamic and Jewish faiths.
Jamaica’s educational system is based on the British system. The school system consists of a pre-primary, a primary cycle of six years followed by a secondary cycle of five years. In some instances students pursue two years of additional secondary education. The educational system accommodates a variety of public and private schools. Post-secondary education is available to qualified candidates at community colleges, the University of Technology, Northern Caribbean University and the Jamaican campus of the University of the West Indies.
In addition to the formal school system, Jamaica has an adult literacy program, which contributed to reducing the illiteracy rate from 32.2% in 1987 to 24.6% in 1994, according to a 1994 survey. No comparable survey has been undertaken since 1994. There is also a government-directed employment and resource training program, which helps place high school graduates with private sector firms for “on-the-job” training. In addition, Jamaica instituted
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“Lift Up Jamaica”, a government-sponsored program that hires unemployed youths to do basic infrastructure work on a short-term basis.
In 2006, the average number of unemployed persons was 129,400, a decline of 5.8% from 137,400 in 2005. The average unemployment rate was 10.3% in 2006, a decline from 11.2% in 2005. The unemployment rate in Jamaica during the past five years has been relatively stable, ranging from a high of 14.2% in 2002 to a low of 10.3% in 2006. See “The Jamaican Economy—Employment and Labor”.
The following table shows selected social indicators applicable to Jamaica for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Social Indicators
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 |
Real GDP per capita(1) | | J$ | 87,881 | | J$ | 89,465 | | J$ | 89,847 | | J$ | 90,802 | | J$ | 92,533 |
Perinatal Mortality Rate (per thousand)(2) | | | 31.1 | | | 29.5 | | | 27.4 | | | 31.2 | | | 28.3 |
(1) | In constant 1996 prices. |
(2) | Defined as deaths in government hospitals occurring anytime from 28 weeks of pregnancy until seven days after birth. |
Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica, Planning Institute of Jamaica and Ministry of Health—Information Unit.
Governmental Structure and Political Parties
The Jamaica (Constitution) Order in Council 1962, or the Constitution, is the supreme law of Jamaica and sets forth the basic framework and legal underpinnings for governmental activity in Jamaica. The Constitution came into effect when Jamaica became an independent country on August 6, 1962, and includes provisions that safeguard the fundamental freedoms of the individual. While a simple majority of Parliament can enact amendments to the Constitution, certain amendments require ratification by a two-thirds majority in both houses of Parliament, and amendments altering fundamental rights and freedoms require the additional approval of a national referendum.
Jamaica is a parliamentary democracy based upon the British Westminster model, and a member of the British Commonwealth. The Head of State is the British Monarch, who is represented locally by the Governor-General of Jamaica. Traditionally, the British Monarch appoints the Governor-General upon the recommendation of the Jamaican Prime Minister. The actions of the Governor-General are, in most cases, of a purely formal and ceremonial nature. General elections are constitutionally due every five years at which time all seats in the House of Representatives will be up for election. The Constitution permits the Prime Minister to call elections at any time within or shortly beyond the five-year period, consistent with the Westminster model.
National legislative power is vested in a bicameral Parliament composed of a house of representatives and a senate. The House of Representatives comprises 60 members elected by the people in the general elections. Jamaica held its last general election on October 16, 2002. The Senate comprises 21 members appointed by the Governor-General, 13 of whom are appointed on the advice of the Prime Minister and eight of whom are appointed on the advice of the Leader of the Opposition. The President of the Senate is elected by its members. The members of the House of Representatives select their own chairman, known as the Speaker. The Prime Minister, usually the member most likely to command the support of the majority of the members of the House of Representatives, is appointed by the Governor-General. In addition to the national governing bodies, local government is administered through 12 parish councils and a statutory corporation that administers the Kingston and St. Andrew (KSAC) areas. The results of the last local government election, which took place in June 2003, accorded the opposition Jamaica Labour Party, or JLP, 11 of the 12 parish councils and the KSAC.
The principal policy-making body of the Government of Jamaica is the Cabinet, which is responsible for the general direction and control of Jamaica and whose members are collectively accountable to Parliament. The Cabinet consists of the Prime Minister and no fewer than 11 other members of the two Houses of Parliament. No fewer than two, and no more than four, members must be selected from the Senate. The Governor-General appoints members of the Cabinet upon the recommendation of the Prime Minister.
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The Jamaican judicial system is based on English common law and practice and consists of a Supreme Court, a Court of Appeal and local courts. Final appeals are made to the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council in the United Kingdom. A number of Caribbean nations, including Jamaica, are currently discussing the establishment of a Caribbean Court of Justice to replace the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council for those nations. Jamaica has signed an agreement to establish the Caribbean Court of Justice. In April 2005, Jamaica passed the Caribbean Court of Justice (Original Jurisdiction) Act 2005. The Act provides for the implementation of the provisions of the Agreement establishing the Caribbean Court of Justice in its original jurisdiction. The Caribbean Court of Justice, in its original jurisdiction, will hear and determine matters relating to the interpretation and application of the Revised Treaty of Chaguaramas establishing the Caribbean Community and Common Market.
Two major political parties dominate Jamaica’s political system. From Jamaica’s independence on August 6, 1962 until 1972, the JLP formed the government, while the People’s National Party, or PNP, assumed power in 1972. In late 1980, the JLP returned to power until February 1989, when Michael Manley led the PNP to victory and became Prime Minister. In 1992, Prime Minister Manley resigned as Prime Minister and leader of the PNP and was succeeded by Percival James (“P.J.”) Patterson, who was elected Prime Minister in 1993. In 1995, a former Chairman of the JLP formed a third political party, the National Democratic Movement. In the last general election, the PNP won 51.6% of the votes cast, and P.J. Patterson returned to the office of Prime Minister. In March 2006, Prime Minister Patterson resigned as Prime Minister and leader of the PNP and was succeeded by Portia Simpson-Miller. The recent changes in the leadership of the PNP and the JLP, currently lead by Mrs. Portia Simpson-Miller and by Mr. Bruce Golding, respectively, had no material effect in the politics nor in the economy of Jamaica. The Jamaican Constitution requires that a general election be held every five years, at which time all seats in the House of Representatives will be up for election. Given that the last general election was October 16, 2002, an election is constitutionally due to be held by October 2007, but the election may be extended to January 2008. However, the Prime Minister is constitutionally permitted to call an election at any time before.
The following table shows the parliamentary electoral results for the past six general elections:
Parliamentary Electoral Results
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 1980 | | 1983(1) | | 1989 | | 1993 | | 1997 | | 2002 |
| | (number of representatives) |
People’s National Party | | 9 | | 0 | | 45 | | 52 | | 51 | | 34 |
Jamaica Labour Party | | 51 | | 60 | | 15 | | 8 | | 9 | | 26 |
(1) | The People’s National Party did not contest the 1983 election, and the eight opposition senators were appointed as independents by the Governor-General. |
Source: Office of the Prime Minister.
International Relationships
Jamaica maintains diplomatic relations with almost every nation in the world. Jamaica is a member of the United Nations and its affiliated institutions, including the Food and Agriculture Organization, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank Group, the World Health Organization, the World Tourism Organization, the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the United Nations Environment Program. It is also a member of several other regional and international bodies, including the African, Caribbean Pacific Group of States; the Association of Caribbean States (ACS); the Caribbean Community and Common Market (CARICOM); the Commonwealth; the International Seabed Authority (the headquarters of which is located in Jamaica); the Latin American Economic System; and the Organization of American States.
Jamaica is a signatory to the Cotonou Agreement and is also a beneficiary of the Caribbean Basin Economic Recovery Act and the Caribbean-Canada Trade Agreement (CARIBCAN). In addition, as a member of the United Nations bloc of developing countries known as the Group of 77, Jamaica is eligible for the Generalized System of Preferences. Jamaica is also a member of the Group of 15, a group of 18 states focused on cooperation among developing countries in the areas of trade, investment and technology.
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Jamaica receives preferential tariff treatment on most of its products pursuant to, among others, the trade agreements described below.
Association of Caribbean States
ACS was created by treaty in July 1994 as a result of the efforts of 13 CARICOM signatories, other non-Commonwealth Caribbean countries and several Latin American nations. ACS was established primarily to further promote regional economic integration and cooperation in the areas of science and technology, energy, tourism, transportation, education and culture, as well as to coordinate the participation of member states in multilateral forums and to undertake concerted action to protect the environment, in particular the Caribbean Sea.
Caribbean Community and Common Market
CARICOM is a regional common market established by the Treaty of Chaguaramas in 1973 with the objectives of promoting the integration of the economies of the member states, coordinating the foreign policies of the independent member states and engaging in functional cooperation in the provision of services such as education, health and transportation among its member countries. CARICOM currently has 15 members consisting of the 12 independent English-speaking Caribbean territories and Suriname, Haiti and Montserrat. In addition, Cuba and the Dominican Republic, which are not members of CARICOM, have “observer status” in respect of some of the organs of CARICOM.
CARICOM’s principal activities have been in the area of economic integration by means of the creation of a Caribbean Common Market. However, members have also established common institutions in the areas of policy formulation and cooperation in the provision of such services as education and health and in such other areas as labor matters, agriculture, transportation, communications, tourism and disaster preparedness. CARICOM has agreed to amend the Treaty of Chaguaramas to establish the CARICOM Single Market and Economy, or CSME. The CSME would allow for the free movement of goods, capital, persons and services throughout the member states. The free movement of goods existed under the previous CARICOM treaty and Jamaica already complies with this phase. As part of the CSME, CARICOM members would also liberalize fiscal and monetary policies. These initiatives have not been formalized nor has a time frame been established. Central banks of member states are currently reviewing options and discussing possible parameters and time frames.
In January 2006, the CARICOM Single Market (CSM) was launched by Jamaica, Barbados, Belize, Guyana, Suriname and Trinidad and Tobago. The members of the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States joined the CSM in July 2006. The CSM contemplates the free movement of goods and services.
The adoption of the CARICOM Single Economy (CSE) is earmarked for 2008. The CSE contemplates the free movement of capital and persons. Jamaica has already transitioned into the free movement of capital. Member states are taking legislative and administrative actions to give effect to the free movement of skilled labor.
Caribbean-Canada Trade Agreement
The CARIBCAN is an agreement entered into by Canada and the CARICOM countries in 1986. This agreement established a program for trade, investment and industrial cooperation, and features the unilateral extension by Canada of preferential duty-free access to the Canadian market for many imports from CARICOM countries. CARIBCAN’s basic objectives are to enhance the Caribbean region’s existing trade and export earnings, improve its trade and economic development prospects, promote new investment opportunities, and encourage enhanced economic integration and cooperation within the region.
The Caribbean Basin Economic Recovery Act
The Caribbean Basin Initiative, or CBI, became effective on January 1, 1984, and represents a program of economic assistance by the United States to Caribbean countries designed to stimulate economic growth and to present new opportunities for development in the region. The Caribbean Basin Economic Recovery Act, an unprecedented trade proposal for the duty-free access of Caribbean products exported to the United States, forms the
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centerpiece of the program. The trade agreement was the first means by which the United States extended preferential trade provisions to any regional group of countries. All exports from Jamaica (other than specifically excluded products such as garments and textiles, footwear and other leather goods and petroleum products) benefit from the elimination of tariffs, which were as high as 44.0% at the time of entry into the United States. The US Congress subsequently passed the Caribbean Basin Recovery Expansion Act, or CBI II, in 1990, which improved the conditions of the original agreement by extending the life of the CBI and providing limited duty-free treatment for articles that had been excluded.
The Trade and Development Act of 2000
The Trade and Development Act of 2000, which includes The Caribbean Basin Trade Partnership Act, became effective on October 1, 2000, and contains tariff preferences on goods currently excluded from CBI II that are similar to the tariff preferences under the North American Free Trade Agreement, or NAFTA. The legislation provides for the reduction of tariffs by the United States on a variety of imports from 70 Caribbean, Central American and African countries. Of these countries, 25 Caribbean and Central American countries presently trade with the US under CBI II. As part of the Trade and Development Act of 2000, certain Jamaican exports, such as textiles, not currently eligible for duty-free treatment under CBI II receives treatment equivalent to that granted to comparable exports from Mexico under NAFTA. These provisions of the Trade and Development Act of 2000 relating to products excluded from CBI II will be in force for eight years, through September 2008.
Generalized System of Preferences
Under the aegis of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, the Generalized System of Preferences was designed to afford developing countries preferential access for a wide range of their exports to the markets of developed countries. The Generalized System of Preferences is an export-promotion tool with the objectives of increasing the export earnings of the developing countries, promoting industrialization in the developing countries and accelerating the rate of their economic growth.
Cotonou Agreement
In February 2000, the European Union and the African Caribbean Pacific group of countries, or ACP, concluded negotiations for a new twenty-year trade, industrial, financial and technical cooperation agreement. Jamaica ratified the new agreement, known as the Cotonou Agreement, in February 2001 and following ratification by 75% of member states and all EU members, the agreement formally entered into force on April 1, 2003. The agreement provides for:
| • | | duty-free access to the European market for goods exported from the ACP with certain local value-added qualifications; |
| • | | financial aid for the ACP; |
| • | | industrial and technological cooperation aimed at promoting a better international division of labor along lines advantageous to the ACP; and |
| • | | joint institutions to supervise observance of the agreement and to promote discussion between the groups of countries. |
The Cotonou Agreement was signed in Benin on June 23, 2000, during the ACP-EU Council of Ministers Meeting and replaced an earlier similar agreement among the same parties known as the Lomé IV Convention.
The Cotonou Agreement provides for an eight-year extension of the special trading arrangements for ACP exports previously provided under the Lomé IV Convention. The Cotonou Agreement also provides economic development support to the tourism industry and provides guaranteed access to European markets for certain maximum amounts of Jamaican sugar exports. See “The External Economy—Foreign Trade—Exports”.
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The special arrangements for the importation of bananas provided by the Cotonou Agreement and its predecessor the Lomé IV Convention have been challenged by the United States and four Latin American banana producers and held by the World Trade Organization, or WTO, to be inconsistent with WTO rules. In April 2001, the United States and the European Union announced an agreement by which the banana arrangements would be gradually phased out. Effective January 1, 2006, the European Union adopted a new “tariff-only” regime for bananas from countries which enjoy most favored nation status. The regime includes a duty-free annual quota for bananas originating in ACP countries. The Jamaican banana industry has taken steps to become more competitive with other banana producers in anticipation of the phase-out of these arrangements. See “The Jamaican Economy—Principal Sectors of the Economy—Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing”.
Jamaica, along with other members of the Caribbean ACP Forum, is now in the process of negotiating an Economic Partnership Agreement with the European Union that would replace certain existing agreements between the parties under the Cotonou agreement with respect to trade in primarily goods, including the commodity protocol for sugar, bananas and rice, among others. These negotiations are scheduled to be completed by December 2007.
Free Trade Area of the Americas
Jamaica is currently participating with all other countries of the Western Hemisphere (except Cuba) in the negotiations of the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA). The FTAA is expected to foster economic growth and development as well as hemispheric integration through trade liberalization.
THE JAMAICAN ECONOMY
General
Jamaica operates as a mixed, free market economy with state enterprises as well as private sector businesses. Major sectors of the Jamaican economy include agriculture, mining, manufacturing, tourism and financial and insurance services. As an open economy, Jamaica is well integrated into the global economy with intraregional trade contributing prominently to overall economic activity.
Since the early 1980’s, successive governments have implemented structural reforms aimed at fostering private sector activity and increasing the role of market forces in resource allocation. During this period, a large share of the economy has been returned to private sector ownership through divestment and privatization programs in areas such as agriculture, tourism, transportation, banking, manufacturing and communications. See “—Privatization”. Deregulation of markets, the elimination of price subsidies and price controls and the reduction and removal of trade barriers have reduced or eliminated production disincentives and anti-export biases.
In the early 1990’s, the reform process in Jamaica gained momentum with, among other developments, the liberalization of the foreign exchange market and the overhaul and simplification of the tax system. In addition to changes in personal income tax and corporate tax regimes, a number of indirect taxes were removed and replaced with a value-added tax. A Tax Administration Reform Project was implemented in 1994 aimed at broadening the tax base, facilitating voluntary compliance with the tax laws, improving the effectiveness of tax administration and tax collection and controlling tax evasion. To enhance compliance, Jamaica implemented a Tax Registration Number system aimed at broadening the tax base through the assignment of identification numbers to individuals and businesses. See “Public Finance—Tax Reform”.
Recent financial sector reforms include amendments to financial and banking laws designed to enhance the supervisory role of the Bank of Jamaica, establish the Financial Services Commission to regulate non-deposit taking financial institutions, improve the efficiency of financial intermediation and improve the Bank of Jamaica’s ability to conduct monetary policy. See “Public Finance—Financial Sector Restructuring”, “The Monetary System—The Financial System” and “—Legislation and Regulation”.
In March 1996, Jamaica introduced its strategic plan for growth and development—the National Industrial Policy, or NIP. The NIP is intended to reinforce the private sector-led growth strategy that underpinned earlier economic reforms. The main components of this policy include:
| • | | macroeconomic policy aimed at creating the basis for growth in a stable environment; |
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| • | | an industrial strategy aimed at investment and trade promotion and developing the physical, economic and human infrastructure; |
| • | | social policy aimed at alleviating poverty; and |
The NIP targets five industry clusters that focus on export and foreign exchange earnings, as the foundation for long-term development:
| • | | bauxite, alumina and nonmetallic minerals. |
Gross Domestic Product
The Jamaican economy grew by 2.5% in 2006, its eighth consecutive year of real gross domestic product, or GDP, growth. The performance of the Jamaican economy in 2006 reflected improved performance in all sectors except manufacturing and construction and installation. Real GDP in the agriculture, forestry and fishing sector increased by 15.0% in 2006, an improvement over the 7.2% decline recorded in 2005. Higher output levels were recorded as the sector recovered from adverse weather conditions experience in 2004 and 2005. The agriculture, forestry and fishing sector contributed 5.8% to GDP in 2006. Real GDP in the electricity and water sector increased by 3.4% in 2006, following an increase of 4.1% in 2005. The hotels, restaurants and clubs sub-sector grew 12.1% in 2006, an increase in the growth rate from 3.1% in 2005. This sub-sector was positively impacted by significant growth in tourist arrivals. The mining and quarrying sector grew by 1.7% in 2006, a reduction in the growth rate from 3.4% in 2005. The construction and installation declined by 2.2% in 2006, after the increase of 7.3% in 2005. A contributing factor to the decline was the shortage of cement in the first half of the year, which resulted in reduced activities at construction sites. Delays in imports exacerbated the problem. The construction and installation sector contributed 10.1% to GDP in 2006. The manufacturing sector declined by 2.2% in 2006, reflecting reduced output within the food, beverage and tobacco sub-sector as the sole manufacturer of cigarettes shifted its operations from Jamaica to Trinidad and Tobago.
There are no commercial reserves of oil, gas or coal in Jamaica, and the country receives approximately 96.0% of its energy requirements from imported oil. The Government has been in negotiations with the Government of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago and Venezuela to have natural gas exported from each country to Jamaica. However, no such agreement has been concluded and no construction has begun of any natural gas import facilities. Increases in global oil prices may have a significant adverse effect on the Jamaican economy, particularly the competitiveness of the mining and quarrying and manufacturing sectors. Domestic energy output is limited to small hydropower plants, wood burning and the fiber left over from milled sugar cane. The main sources of imports of fuel are Venezuela, Mexico and the United States.
The Petrocaribe Agreement
On August 23, 2005, the Government entered into the Petrocaribe Energy Co-operation Agreement, or Petrocaribe Agreement, with the Government of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, effective as of June 29, 2005, for an automatically renewable one year term. The Agreement was extended for a further 12 months with effect from June 29, 2006. Under the Petrocaribe Agreement, Venezuela is directly supplying 23,500 hundred barrels per day (23,500 Bbl/day) of crude oil, refined products and liquefied petroleum gas or “LPG”, or its energy equivalents
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to Jamaica for its internal consumption. Prices for products are based on prevailing rates in the international oil market and deliveries to Jamaica are subject to the commercial policies and practices of Petroleos de Venezuela S.A., or PDVSA. Venezuela has agreed to make available to the Government a portion of the value of Jamaica’s purchases as a concessionary loan facility, the terms of which are determined by the prevailing price per barrel of oil internationally. Currently, the amount of concessionary financing available is 40% of the value of purchases, which is to be repaid over 25 years, including a two-year grace period, at an interest rate of 1%. Jamaica has the option of providing alternative forms of payments through goods and services. The Petrocaribe Agreement may be modified or terminated by Venezuela upon 30 days’ written notice to Jamaica.
In 2006, Parliament authorized the establishment of the Petrocaribe Development Fund to undertake the following activities in relation to the Petrocaribe Agreement:
| • | | Manage loan proceeds that flow to Jamaica; |
| • | | Provide financing for approved projects and receive loan repayments from borrowers; and |
| • | | Meet debt service obligations to Venezuela arising from the Agreement. |
At December 31, 2006, total inflows to the Petrocaribe Development Fund equaled US$205.9 million. At March 31, 2007, total inflows to the fund had increased to US$243.3 million. Approximately US$70.5 of this fund is attributable to Air Jamaica.
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The following table shows real GDP by economic sectors at constant 1996 prices and as a percentage of GDP for the five years ending December 31, 2006:
Sectoral Origin of Gross Domestic Product(1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 |
| | Amount | | % of Total | | Amount | | % of Total | | Amount | | % of Total | | Amount | | % of Total | | Amount | | % of Total |
| | (in millions of J$ at constant 1996 prices, except percentages) |
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing | | 14,112.5 | | 6.1 | | 14,793.7 | | 6.3 | | 13,509.6 | | 5.7 | | 12,534.0 | | 5.2 | | 14,411.0 | | 5.8 |
Export Agriculture | | 2,763.3 | | 1.2 | | 2,617.8 | | 1.1 | | 2,469.2 | | 1.0 | | 1,541.5 | | 0.6 | | 2,136.0 | | 0.9 |
Domestic Agriculture(2) | | 7,502.4 | | 3.3 | | 8,390.1 | | 3.6 | | 7,257.6 | | 3.1 | | 7,161.9 | | 3.0 | | 12,275.0 | | 5.0 |
Livestock, Forestry and Fishing | | 3,846.8 | | 1.7 | | 3,785.8 | | 1.6 | | 3,762.6 | | 1.6 | | 3,636.6 | | 1.6 | | n.a. | | |
Construction and Installation | | 22,305.6 | | 9.7 | | 22,636.4 | | 9.6 | | 23,863.3 | | 10.0 | | 25,585.0 | | 10.6 | | 25,021.0 | | 10.1 |
Manufacturing | | 31,366.2 | | 13.9 | | 31,698.2 | | 13.4 | | 32,401.0 | | 13.7 | | 32,037.0 | | 13.5 | | 31,337.0 | | 12.7 |
Mining and Quarrying | | 12,658.5 | | 6.5 | | 13,272.4 | | 5.6 | | 13,612.4 | | 5.7 | | 14,073.4 | | 5.8 | | 14,316.0 | | 6.8 |
Bauxite and Alumina | | 12,317.0 | | 6.4 | | 12,893.3 | | 6.5 | | 13,266.9 | | 5.6 | | 13,736.0 | | 5.7 | | n.a. | | |
Quarrying | | 341.5 | | 0.1 | | 379.1 | | 0.2 | | 345.5 | | 0.1 | | 337.4 | | 0.1 | | n.a. | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Goods | | 80,944.7 | | 35.2 | | 82,301.7 | | 35.0 | | 83,448.3 | | 35.1 | | 84,240.8 | | 35.0 | | 85,085.0 | | 34.5 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Distributive Trade | | 60,685.3 | | 22.0 | | 51,214.6 | | 21.8 | | 51,897.3 | | 21.9 | | 52,488.2 | | 21.8 | | 53,236.0 | | 21.6 |
Electricity and Water | | 9,071.6 | | 3.9 | | 9,499.6 | | 4.0 | | 9,491.8 | | 4.0 | | 9,895.6 | | 4.1 | | 10,222.0 | | 4.1 |
Financial and Insurance Services | | 18,891.6 | | 8.2 | | 19,697.1 | | 8.4 | | 19,554.8 | | 8.2 | | 19,635.3 | | 6.2 | | 20,065.0 | | 8.1 |
Government Services | | 23,391.1 | | 10.2 | | 23,442.7 | | 10.0 | | 23,489.2 | | 9.9 | | 23,560.7 | | 9.8 | | 23,687.0 | | 9.6 |
Hotels, Restaurants and Clubs | | 14,060.5 | | 6.1 | | 14,841.7 | | 6.3 | | 15,520.4 | | 6.5 | | 15,998.8 | | 6.6 | | 17,931.0 | | 7.3 |
Household and Private Non-Profit Institutions | | 1,094.9 | | 0.6 | | 1,098.8 | | 0.5 | | 1,102.1 | | 0.5 | | 1,107.2 | | 0.5 | | n.a. | | |
Real Estate and Business Services | | 11,761.2 | | 5.1 | | 11,971.1 | | 5.1 | | 12,223.8 | | 5.1 | | 12,452.0 | | 5.2 | | 12,761.0 | | 6.2 |
Transport, Storage and Communications | | 31,579.7 | | 13.7 | | 32,732.1 | | 13.9 | | 33,014.9 | | 13.9 | | 33,413.7 | | 13.9 | | 34,964.0 | | 14.2 |
Other Services(3) | | 4,131.6 | | 1.8 | | 4,274.0 | | 1.8 | | 4,411.2 | | 1.9 | | 4,553.7 | | | | 5,838.0 | | 2.4 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Services | | 164,567.6 | | 71.8 | | 163,771.7 | | 71.8 | | 170,716.6 | | 71.9 | | 173,113.2 | | 71.9 | | 178,594.0 | | 72.4 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less: Imputed Bank Service Charges | | 15,628.2 | | 6.8 | | 15,883.0 | | 6.8 | | 16,686.7 | | 7.0 | | 16,490.6 | | 6.8 | | 16,865.0 | | 6.8 |
Gross Domestic Product | | 220,084.0 | | 100.0 | | 235,180.4 | | 100.0 | | 237,476.1 | | 100.0 | | 240,863.5 | | 100.0 | | 246,814.0 | | 100.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | The gross domestic product series has been revised. This revision was made in order to capture the changing structure of industries in the manufacturing, financial and insurance services, business services and the miscellaneous services sectors. In addition, the base year has been changed from 1986 to 1996. |
(2) | For 2005 the category Domestic Agriculture also includes Livestock, Forestry and Fishing. |
(3) | For 2005 the category Other Services also includes Household and Private Non-Profit Institutions. |
Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica.
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The following table shows the rate of growth of real GDP by economic sectors at constant 1996 prices for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Rate of Growth of Real GDP by Sector(1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | | 2003 | | | 2004 | | | 2005 | | | 2006 | |
| | (%) | |
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing | | (7.0 | ) | | 4.8 | | | (8.7 | ) | | (7.2 | ) | | 15.0 | |
Export Agriculture | | (3.1 | ) | | (5.3 | ) | | (5.7 | ) | | (37.6 | ) | | 38.6 | |
Domestic Agriculture(2) | | (11.5 | ) | | 11.8 | | | (13.5 | ) | | (1.3 | ) | | n.a. | |
Livestock, Forestry and Fishing | | (0.1 | ) | | (1.6 | ) | | (0.1 | ) | | 1.3 | | | n.a. | |
Construction and Installation | | 2.6 | | | 1.5 | | | 5.4 | | | 7.3 | | | (2.2 | ) |
Manufacturing | | (0.9 | ) | | (0.8 | ) | | 2.7 | | | (1.3 | ) | | (2.2 | ) |
Mining and Quarrying | | 3.3 | | | 4.8 | | | 2.6 | | | 3.4 | | | 1.7 | |
Bauxite and Alumina | | 3.6 | | | 4.7 | | | 2.9 | | | 3.5 | | | n.a. | |
Quarrying | | (6.6 | ) | | 11.0 | | | (8.9 | ) | | (2.3 | ) | | n.a. | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Goods | | (0.5 | ) | | 1.7 | | | 1.4 | | | 1.0 | | | 1.0 | |
Distributive Trade | | 0.1 | | | 1.0 | | | 1.3 | | | 1.1 | | | 1.4 | |
Electricity and Water | | 4.6 | | | 4.7 | | | (0.1 | ) | | 4.1 | | | 3.4 | |
Financial and Insurance Services | | 6.2 | | | 4.3 | | | (0.7 | ) | | 0.4 | | | 2.1 | |
Government Services | | 0.5 | | | 0.2 | | | 0.2 | | | 0.3 | | | 0.1 | |
Hotels, Restaurants and Clubs | | 0.1 | | | 5.6 | | | 4.6 | | | 3.1 | | | 12.1 | |
Household and Private Non-Profit Institutions | | 0.5 | | | 0.4 | | | 0.3 | | | 0.5 | | | n.a. | |
Real Estate and Business Services | | 0.7 | | | 1.8 | | | 2.1 | | | 1.9 | | | 2.4 | |
Transport, Storage & Communications | | 6.2 | | | 3.6 | | | 0.9 | | | 1.2 | | | 4.6 | |
(1) | The gross domestic product series has been revised. This revision was made in order to capture the changing structure of industries in the manufacturing, financial and insurance services, business services and the miscellaneous services sectors. In addition, the base year has been changed from 1986 to 1996. |
(2) | For 2005 the category Domestic Agriculture also includes Livestock, Forestry and Fishing. |
Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica.
Principal Sectors of the Economy
Tourism
The tourism industry is the leading gross earner of foreign exchange for Jamaica and makes a significant contribution to employment. Tourism accounted for 48.8% of gross foreign exchange earnings from the productive sector in 2006. In 2006, the accommodation sub-sector alone employed 31,827 persons. Visitor arrivals in Jamaica have grown in the last decade, from 1.9 million visitors in 1997 to 3.0 million visitors in 2006. Total visitors’ accommodation has also grown during the last decade, from 21,984 rooms in 1996 to 26,653 rooms in 2006.
Jamaica’s tourist industry is continuing the growth trend, which began during the latter half of 2002. Visitor arrivals increased by 15.3% from 2,614,506 in 2005 to an all time high of 3,015,358 in 2006. Stopover arrivals, increased by 13.5% from 1,478,663 in 2005 to 1,678,905 in 2006. The increases in stopover visitor arrivals during 2006 were mainly the result of improvement in the global economy, an aggressive marketing campaign and increased airlift out of the United States, Jamaica’s major tourist market. Jamaica’s tourism also benefited from the diversion of visitors from destinations such as Mexico following damages to Cancún by Hurricane Dennis. The increase in cruise passengers in 2006 was consistent with the 10.8% increase in ship calls to Jamaica. On June 8, 2006, the world largest cruise ship, Freedom of the Seas, made its inaugural call in Montego Bay.
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For the first three months of 2007, total visitor arrivals was 883,874, a decrease of 0.5% compared to the same period of 2006; stopover arrivals totaled 427,252, a 2.1% decrease over the same period of in 2006; and cruise passengers totaled 411,622, an increase of 1.3% compared to the same period of 2006. The decreases in total visitor and stopover arrivals are attributable to the fact that visitors were not diverted from Mexico as they were following hurricane damages to Cancún in 2006.
The United States, Jamaica’s major tourist market, accounted for 70.9% of total stopover visitors in 2006, compared to 71.7% in 2005. Jamaica’s share of visitors from Europe decreased from 15.8% in 2005 to 15.3% in 2006. The decrease in market share was due to the reduction in air seats, mainly from continental Europe.
Average hotel room occupancy in was 62.1% (preliminary estimate) in 2006, 61.4% in 2005 and 57.9% in 2004. Approximately 65.8% of hotel rooms in Jamaica are in the all-inclusive hotel category. In 2006, the average room occupancy rate of all-inclusive hotels was 70.1%. Three hotel chains, Sandals Resorts International Limited, SuperClubs and RIU Resorts, operate the majority of the all-inclusive rooms.
Investment in visitor accommodation is growing as a number of major hotel projects reached completion, mainly along the North Coast of Jamaica from Negril to Ocho Rios. Since January 1999, several major hotel projects were completed and opened. Among them are the 430-room Ritz Carlton in Montego Bay, the 225-room Hedonism III Hotel in Runaway Bay, the 96-room FDR Pebbles in Trelawny and the 396-room Hotel Ríu in Negril. During 2002, five new hotels were constructed, providing an aggregate of approximately 123 additional rooms. These hotels were all operational in 2003. The second Ríu property in Negril, Club Ríu, opened in 2004 with 450 rooms. Couples Swept-Away added an additional 72 rooms in 2004. The third Ríu property in Ocho Rios, consisting of 846 rooms, was completed in 2005. The Piñero Group’s Bahía Principe Hotels purchased property in Runaway Bay to construct three hotels with a total of 1,900 rooms by the end of 2008. The first of these hotels was completed at the end of 2006.
The Sandals Whitehouse hotel, in which the Government is the majority owner, opened on the south coast in March 2005. This is the first major resort to be established on the south coast and is expected to be a catalyst for future tourism development in that part of the island. Additionally, in late 2004, construction also began on three new hotel properties with a total of 980 rooms in Montego Bay to be developed by Iberostar. The first of those three properties is scheduled to open in May 2007. Excellence Resorts plans to construct four hotel properties with a total of 1,650 rooms in Trelawny. Construction began on the Fiesta Resorts project consisting of 1,600 rooms in Lucca, Hanover, and is scheduled to be completed by 2009.
In September 2006, the Government and the Tavistock Group entered into a joint venture agreement for the development of the US$2.0 to US$4.0 billion Harmony Cove Resort in Trewlany. Construction on the first phase of the project is scheduled to begin in the next 18 to 24 months and take approximately three years to complete. The entire project is expected to be completed within the next 10 years. At completion, the resort is expected to include several luxury hotels and residences.
Total new investment is expected to be in the range of US$900 million to US$1.0 billion, excluding the cost of land acquisition. Some 8,000 rooms are expected to be constructed over the next three years.
In 2002, the Ministry of Industry and Tourism assisted industry participants affected by the events of September 11, 2001 through an Emergency Incentive Scheme, or EIS, a short term scheme to provide benefits to the accommodation and attraction sub-sectors for the purposes of refurbishing their facilities. Approved applicants received waivers and were part of a moratorium on payment of all taxes except for the General Consumption Tax. Industry participants also received incentives from the government in 2002 through the Hotel Incentive Act, the Resorts Cottages Incentive Act and the Short-Term Incentives Program II, or STIP II. STIP II is the second phase of the EIS and is available only to accommodation facilities, particularly small and medium size entities that do not benefit from any other support administered by the Ministry. The Government continues to provide incentives to qualified applicants under these programs on an ongoing basis.
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The following table shows the number of visitor arrivals for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Visitor Arrivals
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 | | % Change |
Foreign Nationals | | 1,179,083 | | 1,262,108 | | 1,326,918 | | 1,386,996 | | 1,578,207 | | 13.8 |
Non-resident Jamaicans | | 87,283 | | 88,177 | | 87,868 | | 91,667 | | 100,698 | | 9.9 |
Total Stop-over Visitors | | 1,266,366 | | 1,350,285 | | 1,414,786 | | 1,478,663 | | 1,678,905 | | 13.5 |
Cruise Passengers | | 865,419 | | 1,132,596 | | 1,099,773 | | 1,135,843 | | 1,336,453 | | 17.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Visitors | | 2,131,785 | | 2,482,881 | | 2,514,559 | | 2,614,506 | | 3,015,358 | | 15.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Average Length of Stay (nights) | | 10.2 | | 10.2 | | 9.9 | | 9.8 | | 9.8 | | 0.0 |
Source: Jamaica Tourist Board.
The following table shows the number of stopover visitors by country of origin for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Stop-over Visitors by Country of Origin
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 | | % Change | |
United States | | 925,629 | | 969,699 | | 996,131 | | 1,058,317 | | 1,190,721 | | 12.5 | |
United Kingdom and Ireland | | 125,859 | | 149,714 | | 161,606 | | 152,483 | | 178,429 | | 17.0 | |
Other European | | 53,230 | | 68,786 | | 80,319 | | 81,396 | | 77,645 | | (4.6 | ) |
Canada | | 97,413 | | 95,265 | | 105,623 | | 116,862 | | 153,569 | | 31.4 | |
Caribbean | | 41,138 | | 43,829 | | 49,443 | | 50,239 | | 55,948 | | 11.4 | |
Latin America | | 11,864 | | 10,886 | | 10,640 | | 8,428 | | 11,101 | | 31.7 | |
Japan | | 4,664 | | 4,182 | | 4,430 | | 4,304 | | 3,755 | | (12.8 | ) |
Other | | 6,569 | | 7,924 | | 6,594 | | 6,634 | | 7,737 | | 16.6 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 1,266,366 | | 1,350,285 | | 1,414,786 | | 1,478,663 | | 1,678,905 | | 13.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Jamaica Tourist Board.
The following table shows the percentage hotel room occupancy for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Hotel Room Occupancy
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006(1) |
| | (%) |
Kingston and St. Andrew | | 56.6 | | 54.9 | | 55.8 | | 58.8 | | 58.1 |
Montego Bay | | 54.7 | | 58.4 | | 63.5 | | 63.0 | | 62.5 |
Ocho Rios | | 58.7 | | 61.6 | | 63.0 | | 60.3 | | 65.2 |
Port Antonio | | 12.3 | | 17.8 | | 23.2 | | 15.4 | | 21.1 |
Mandeville | | 42.1 | | 44.7 | | 45.2 | | 33.9 | | 55.3 |
Negril | | 55.9 | | 55.9 | | 57.4 | | 63.1 | | 61.8 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 56.3 | | 55.5 | | 57.9 | | 61.4 | | 62.1 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Preliminary estimates. |
Source: Jamaica Tourist Board.
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The following table shows estimated visitor expenditure for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Estimated Visitor Expenditure
| | | | | | | | | |
| | Stop-over US$ per person per day | | Cruise US$ per passenger per day | | Total Visitor Expenditure US$ Million | | Visitor Expenditure % Change From Prior Year | |
2002 | | 91.7 | | 80.7 | | 1,209.0 | | (1.9 | ) |
2003 | | 95.3 | | 80.9 | | 1,351.0 | | 11.7 | |
2004 | | 101.9 | | 84.3 | | 1,437.0 | | 6.4 | |
2005 | | 103.5 | | 85.2 | | 1,545.0 | | 7.5 | |
2006(1) | | 111.7 | | 88.9 | | 1,887.0 | | 22.2 | |
(1) | Preliminary estimates. |
Source: Jamaica Tourist Board
The 22.1% increase in estimated visitor expenditures in 2006 over 2005 was primarily attributable to the diversion of visitors to Jamaica from Mexico following hurricane damages to Cancún.
In 2002, Jamaica upgraded its tourist infrastructure with the construction of the Port Antonio Marina yachting facility in Portland. The facility will allow Jamaica to compete with other yachting destinations in the region. Currently the Marina accommodates fishing and sailing yachts. In 2003, a management and operations contract for the Marina was awarded to Westrec Marinas.
Since 2002, Jamaica has made progress on the Highway 2000 project, a joint public-private sector project expected to cost US$300 million. Approximately 80% of the funding for the project will be provided by the private sector. The first segment of phase one of the project, consisting of approximately 83 kilometers, has been completed. The Portmore leg of Highway 2000 was opened in July 2006 and construction on the Kingston to Ocho Rios leg of the project is scheduled to begin by the end of 2007. As for the construction of the Northern Coastal Highway between Negril and Port Antonio, the first phase, Negril to Montego Bay, and the second phase of the project, Montego Bay to Ocho Rios, have been completed. Work on the third phase, Ocho Rios to Port Antonio, has begun and is scheduled to be completed by June 2008. Additionally, Jamaica divested the Sangster International Airport in 2003 and upgrading work on it has begun and is scheduled to be completed in August 2008. Upgrading work has also commenced on the Norman Manley International Airport. See “—Privatization”.
Funding for these projects comes from the European Investment Bank and the World Bank, as well as government funding and private investment in the form of loans or equity. Since 1997, Sangster International Airport has been a hub for Air Jamaica, which has increased the availability of flights and cargo space at that airport.
Potential future negative economic and other conditions in the United States and other countries may have an adverse effect on Jamaican tourism. Other factors that may affect the tourist industry include the availability of direct flights to and from the country, potential visitors’ perceptions of Jamaica’s crime rate, travel advisories issued by foreign authorities and development in other competing tourist destinations, including Mexico, the Dominican Republic, Florida, Cuba and other Caribbean destinations.
Jamaica has intensified its multifaceted approach to crime fighting and management, recording a 15.0% decline in major crimes in 2006, as compared to 2005. Major crimes continued to be concentrated in sections of the Kingston Metropolitan Region, including St. Catherine, where approximately 62.0% of all murders occurred. Measures taken by the government in 1993 to enhance security, particularly in the major resort areas of the north coast where special tourist security personnel were assigned, have been successful in reducing crimes against tourists. During 2006, Jamaica continued its program to modernize the country’s law enforcement infrastructure through:
| • | | the acquisition of new technologies and equipment; |
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| • | | enhanced training of the Security Forces; |
| • | | greater reliance on intelligence; |
| • | | a major program of legislative reform; and |
| • | | establishment of “Operation Kingfish” to target major criminal gangs, a “Hot Spot” strategy and a major investigation task force to focus on homicides and gun-related violence. |
Jamaica also increased its emphasis on crime and violence prevention strategies and improved community support. The Community Security Initiative and the Parish Crime Prevention Committees have started to yield positive returns.
Since 2002, a program of targeted social interventions has been implemented to complement crime control initiatives. This has been enhanced by a dedicated Community Security Initiative with assistance from the UK. In addition, Jamaica continues to improve its cooperation with other countries in areas of crime prevention and interdiction, and has strengthened its partnership with the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom and regional countries, including Colombia.
Jamaica has also identified that the perception by tourists of harassment by peddlers poses a threat to the growth of the tourism industry. Jamaica is addressing this concern through a major anti-harassment drive that includes the appointment of a director of anti-harassment to closely monitor and coordinate supporting initiatives, the introduction of a fully computerized monitoring system for cruise ship piers, and the implementation of special training programs for security officers in resort areas as well as for workers in the tourism industry.
Jamaica has a Master Plan for Sustainable Tourism which it adopted in 1998. The plan includes:
| • | | facilitating growth in selected areas; |
| • | | enhancing the visitor experience through development of products from Jamaica’s culture; |
| • | | creating heritage and diversified natural habitats; and |
| • | | developing a model to foster more community involvement in the tourism sector. |
Jamaica and the relevant members of the tourism sector have agreed upon the details of the Master Plan and its implementation. Jamaica believes that the implementation of the Master Plan will ensure Jamaica’s competitive position through product diversification and improvement, lead to the adoption of sound environmental practices and create opportunities to allow more Jamaicans to participate directly in the tourism sector. The implementation of the Master Plan will continue on an ongoing basis.
In December 2004, the Tourism Enhancement Act, 2004, was passed. The Act provides for a Tourism Enhancement Fee (TEF) of US$10.00 and US$2.00 to be paid by incoming airlines and cruise sleep passengers, respectively. Funds from the TEF are to be placed in a dedicated fund to be used solely for implementing the recommendations emanating from the Master Plan.
The tourism industry’s commitment to sound environmental practices was evidenced in 1998 by the selection of Jamaica as the pilot destination for the launch of the Green Globe Hotel Certification Program. The project was executed by the Environmental Audits for Sustainable Tourism initiative funded through the United States Agency for International Development, in collaboration with the Jamaica Hotels and Tourist Association. Through this program, environmental audits were conducted for twenty hotels and one tourism attraction. Four Jamaican hotels became the first in the world to attain Green Globe Certification.
Jamaica is located within the Atlantic hurricane zone and as a result, the island is subject to the effects of major hurricanes, particularly on the key sectors of the economy such as agriculture, tourism and mining. The government
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through its Office of Disaster Preparedness and Emergency Management (ODPEM) has initiated measures aimed at mitigating the effects of such major hurricanes on the island.
A vulnerability assessment of the tourism sector is being undertaken by the ODPEM such as the natural hazard risk reduction policy was approved by Cabinet on November 4, 2005. The disaster management legislation, called the ODPEM Act has been reviewed with the view to strengthening it. The National Development and Planning process is also being reviewed with a view to ensuring that hazard risk reduction measures are included into all major projects. Finally, on a going forward basis, a greater use of hazard data and vulnerability analysis is being incorporated into general development planning decisions.
Mining and Quarrying
The mining and quarrying sector of the Jamaican economy, dominated by the bauxite and alumina industries, is the country’s largest export sector. Jamaica is the fifth largest producer of bauxite in the world. Mining and quarrying accounted for 5.8% of Jamaica’s GDP and recorded real growth of 1.7% in 2006. The sector accounted for 33.1% of Jamaica’s export of goods and services in 2006.
During 2006, bauxite production increased by 5.3% to 14,865,352 tonnes and export of bauxite increased by 11.9% to 4,542,861 tonnes, as compared to 2005. Alumina production rose by 0.3% to 4,099,548 tonnes and exports of alumina fell 3.1% to 4,040,730 tonnes in 2006 as compared with 2005.
Results of operations in the bauxite and alumina sector are sensitive to fluctuations in global commodity prices. Foreign exchange earnings in the sector rose 17.2% to US$1,190.1 million in 2006, compared to US$1,015.8 million in 2005. The increase in foreign exchange earnings was due to higher bauxite shipments and the rise in alumina prices in 2006 as compared to 2005. Earnings from bauxite exports rose 14.9% from US$98.8 million in 2005 to US$113.5 million in 2006 due to the increase in exports and a more favorable export price.
Jamaica expects its average export price of alumina, which is indexed to the three-month price of aluminum on the London Metals Exchange, to be higher in 2007 relative to the price in 2006 due to continued strong aluminium prices resulting from the continued surge in commodity prices and a weaker US dollar, on which these prices are quoted, as well as continued strong Chinese demand which is projected to last beyond 2007.
In the first three months of 2007, alumina production increased by 0.6%, to 1,021,401 tonnes as compared to the first three months of 2006. Crude bauxite production totaled 1,717,827 tonnes, representing an increase of 4.1% compared to the same period in 2006. Crude bauxite and alumina exports amounted to 1,179,907 tonnes and 962,833 tonnes, respectively, in the first three months of 2007. This represents a 7.0% increase in bauxite exports but a 1.3% decrease in alumina exports as compared to the first three months of 2006.
In July 1998, the Government of Jamaica, the bauxite and alumina companies and the trade unions signed a memorandum of understanding, or Mining MOU, intended, among other things, to improve industrial relations in the sector, reduce long-term costs, further increase productivity and carry out modernization and expansion of plant capacities. As part of the Mining MOU, the parties tied wage increases in this sector to increases in productivity. Jamaica believes that the Mining MOU has resulted in lower costs, improved quality and better adherence to safety and environmental standards. In addition, the bauxite and alumina companies and the trade unions have historically entered into collective bargaining agreements. The current agreements, most of which have already been renegotiated, in keeping with the Mining MOU, cover extended contract periods of up to three years.
In late 2001, Jamaica revised the fiscal regime under which the bauxite industry operates, as part of its efforts to improve the competitiveness of the industry, attract additional investment and increase export earnings. The revisions to the regime involve a withdrawal of the bauxite production levy on certain specified conditions, including a minimum expansion capacity.
As a result of the new fiscal regime, capacity at the JAMALCO alumina plant has been expanded. In 2003, JAMALCO completed an expansion program, which increased capacity by 250,000 tonnes. Further expansion, completed as of April 1, 2007, increased capacity by an additional 150,000 tonnes. In addition, the Aluminum
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Company of America has announced plans to further expand the JAMALCO plant by an additional 1.35 million tonnes. The Alpart alumina plant has also undergone incremental expansion that added about 50,000 tonnes of incremental capacity during 2005. However, increased production of alumina is constrained in part by Jamaica’s ability to import natural gas. See “The Jamaican Economy—Gross Domestic Product”.
Jamaica believes that it has mineable bauxite reserves sufficient to last approximately 50 years under current expectations about mining practices and market demand. This estimate of reserves is based on a range of technological and economic factors, and is subject to revision from time to time. In addition, the cost of exploiting mineable reserves can vary significantly depending on such factors as the location and mineralogical character of the reserves and technological progress in the industry.
The following table shows the production, exports, prices and earnings of the bauxite and alumina sector for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Bauxite and Alumina Sector
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004(1) | | 2005 (2) | | 2006 |
Bauxite | | | | | | | | | | |
Production (tonnes) | | 13,119,449 | | 13,444,529 | | 13,296,482 | | 14,118,332 | | 14,865,352 |
Exports (tonnes) | | 4,074,111 | | 3,805,782 | | 3,338,119 | | 4,058,745 | | 4,542,861 |
Prices (US$ per tonne)(3) | | 26.1 | | 22.8 | | 24.2 | | 24.3 | | 24.7 |
Earnings (US$ million)(4) | | 106.3 | | 89.4 | | 80.7 | | 98.8 | | 113.5 |
Alumina | | | | | | | | | | |
Production (tonnes) | | 3,630,587 | | 3,843,610 | | 4,022,722 | | 4,058,634 | | 4,099,548 |
Exports (tonnes) | | 3,635,859 | | 3,839,900 | | 4,024,461 | | 4,169,518 | | 4,040,730 |
Prices (US$ per tonne)(3) | | 166.6 | | 182.0 | | 204.6 | | 220.9 | | 266.4 |
Earnings (US$ million)(4) | | 605.7 | | 684.9 | | 823.4 | | 920.9 | | 1,076.6 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total Earnings (US$ million) | | 712.1 | | 774.3 | | 904.1 | | 1,019.7 | | 1,190.1 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
(3) | Average price received. |
(4) | Includes exports of hydrate. |
Source: Jamaica Bauxite Institute.
Manufacturing
The manufacturing sector has experienced decline for the past two years primarily due to the relocation of a number of manufacturing companies out of Jamaica. During 2006, real GDP in the manufacturing sector declined by 2.4%. The closure of the sole manufacturer of cigarettes affected performance negatively and offset the increases in food processing and petroleum products. Manufacturing accounted for 12.7% of Jamaica’s GDP and 6.9% of Jamaica’s merchandise exports in 2006.
Since 1997, Jamaica has undertaken initiatives aimed at increasing long-term growth and exports in the manufacturing sector, and facilitating improved international competitiveness and higher levels of productivity. These initiatives include the provision of concessionary rates of financing, technical support, increased incentives and the fostering of strong linkages among key Government institutions. These measures included:
| • | | the removal of tariffs on capital goods and non-competing raw materials; |
| • | | the waiver of the GCT on capital equipment; and |
| • | | an accelerated depreciation plan; |
| • | | an interest rebate scheme for exporters; |
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| • | | a plan for low-interest financing of working capital by the Export-Import Bank of Jamaica; and |
| • | | a Government-sponsored debt restructuring program through the Development Bank of Jamaica. |
In November 2004, the United States Agency for International Development and the Royal Bank of Trinidad & Tobago made available US$300 million for environmentally friendly retooling programs.
In addition, Jamaica Trade and Invest (JTI/JAMPRO), Jamaica’s investment promotion agency, together with the Jamaica Exporters Association, has developed a strategic plan, Vision 2010, which is aimed at eliminating the country’s trade deficit by the year 2010.
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
During 2006, real Gross Domestic Product for the agriculture, forestry and fishing sector grew by 15.9%. The increase in GDP was due to more favorable weather conditions during 2006 than 2005 and the implementation of private sector and government-led initiatives aimed at improving production and productivity.
The implementation of the first phase of the New Agricultural Development Strategy aimed at transforming the agriculture sector by the year 2020 continued in 2006. The main objectives of the strategy include:
| • | | halting the decline of the agricultural sector in order to secure continued contribution to economic and social stability; |
| • | | contributing to increased employment, export earnings and food security; |
| • | | restoring productivity to agricultural resources lost due to deterioration in cultural practices and reduced investments; |
| • | | expanding the production of agricultural products, which have viable domestic and export markets and for which Jamaican farmers possess competitive advantages; |
| • | | promoting the development of agro-industry through the development of orchards, which can provide raw material for industry on an efficient basis; |
| • | | more efficient use of land; |
| • | | improvement in infrastructure; |
| • | | enhanced research and technology development; and |
In support of the strategy, the ministry of Agriculture embarked on a J$200 million Agricultural Development Project to increase production by focusing on eight priority areas. These priority areas include sheep and goats, green house, hydroponics, apiculture, organic agriculture, farmers registration, fruit tree crops and fisheries (marine and ornamental fish). As of the end of 2006, approximately J$87.3 million had been spent on five of the eight priority areas.
Since 1997, Jamaica has undertaken several initiatives to improve productivity and product quality while lowering production costs in the sugar and banana industries. In November 1997, Jamaica commenced a program to provide support to the local sugar industry following decades of financial losses in the industry. The critical points of the strategy are:
| • | | promotion of a sustainable private sector-led sugar cane industry; |
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| • | | promotion of a diversified industry having as its major outputs raw sugar, molasses, ethanol and bagasse, a by-product used in the production of electricity; and |
| • | | strengthening of the economy and social infrastructure of sugar-dependent areas. |
The publicly owned sugar estates, which annually generate over 70% of sugar production, are currently up for divestment. A Sugar Cane Enterprise Team has been appointed to oversee the divestment process, which is expected to be finalized before the end of 2007. Several parties have already expressed interest in acquiring the assets and the recent surge in interest in ethanol prompted by the U.S. government’s stated intention to reduce its dependence on foreign oil is expected to generate additional responses.
With respect to the banana industry, Jamaica participates in two externally supported projects that began in 1996: the United Kingdom/Northern Ireland/Jamaica Government project, aimed at reducing rejection due to peel scarring, and a European Union project, aimed at improving the competitiveness of the banana industry. Effective January 1, 2006, the European Union adopted a new “tariff-only” regime for bananas from countries that enjoy most favored nation status. The new regime also retains a duty-free annual quota for bananas originating in ACP countries so there has been no effect yet on Jamaica’s exports of bananas to the European Union. See “Jamaica—International Relationships—Cotonou Agreement”. Companies in the banana industry in Jamaica are also making efforts to increase competitiveness by diversifying and improving productivity. New products developed include banana-based drinks, banana flour and cereal products. Efforts to improve productivity include eliminating redundant labor and reducing labor costs through lower wage settlements. See “—Employment and Labor”.
The following table shows the production of selected agricultural products for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Production of Selected Agriculture Products
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 |
| | (in tonnes) |
Sugar cane | | 1,965,500 | | 1,775,700 | | 1,993,145 | | 1,368,729 | | 1,745,286 |
Yams | | 148,152 | | 152,238 | | 136,167 | | 107,294 | | 123,005 |
Bananas(1) | | 39,986 | | 39,936 | | 27,657 | | 11,560 | | 32,428 |
Potatoes | | 25,406 | | 30,305 | | 25,143 | | 32,966 | | 36,027 |
Citrus | | 136,738 | | 140,196 | | 131,364 | | 125,635 | | 120,092 |
Coffee | | 16,202 | | 14,142 | | 16,459 | | 8,897 | | 12,390 |
Cocoa | | 1,918 | | 1,834 | | 1,775 | | 550 | | 595 |
Pimento | | 950 | | 900 | | 960 | | 1,545 | | 1,600 |
(1) | Includes only export production data. |
Source: Planning Institute of Jamaica.
Construction and Installation
Real GDP for the construction and installation sector decreased by 2.2% in 2006 compared to 7.0% in 2005 due largely to disruption in the supply of cement. The construction and installation sector accounted for 10.1% of Jamaica’s GDP in 2006.
Privatization
Jamaica’s privatization program commenced in the early 1980’s with the divestment of public services and small entities such as garbage collection and sanitation services. Larger sales have included interests in the hotel sector, the National Commercial Bank, Telecommunications of Jamaica Limited, Air Jamaica Limited, Petrojam-Belize and the Caribbean Cement Company Limited. Jamaica has continued its program of privatization by divesting 80% of its interest in the power and energy company, Jamaica Public Service Company Limited, in 2001. The Government granted a concession for the management of the transhipment terminal of the Kingston seaport to APM Terminals and Amalgamated Stevedoring Co. Ltd., a consortium of foreign and local entities, in October 2001.
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The consortium assumed management of the terminal in February 2002. Additionally, negotiations for the development and operation of Sangster International Airport through the granting of a 30-year concession to Montego Bay Jamaica Airports Limited, a consortium of four foreign companies (Vancouver Airport Services Limited, Dragados Concessions S.A., Agencies Universares S.A. and Ashtrom Limited), was completed in March 2003. Since then the Sangster International Airport has been managed by the Montego Bay Jamaica Airports Limited.
In connection with the privatization of Air Jamaica Limited in 1994, Jamaica retained ownership for its own account of 25.0% of the airline’s ordinary shares and ownership of an additional 5.0% of its ordinary shares, which Jamaica was contractually obligated to contribute to an employee share ownership plan. During the period of privatization, Jamaica provided US$169.0 million in loans and assistance to the airline. In December 2004, Jamaica purchased the remaining 75% of the ordinary shares for US$1 and converted approximately US$395 million, the total liabilities of Air Jamaica owed to the Government, into ordinary shares. In 2005, Air Jamaica restructured its outstanding debt to third parties. The process of restructuring its operations and liabilities, which began in 2005, is ongoing.
The following table shows a summary of certain major entities privatized and the proceeds received by Jamaica since 2000 in relinquishing its majority or residual:
Summary of Certain Major Jamaican Entities Privatized (By Sale)(1)
| | | | | | | | | | |
Entity | | Year(s) of Privatization | | Type of Sale | | Payment Received in J$Million | | Payment Received in US$ Million | | Sector |
Ashtrom Jamaica Limited | | 2000 | | Shares | | 22.0 | | N/A | | Housing |
Jamaica Public Service Co. Ltd | | 2001 | | Shares | | N/A | | 201.0 | | Energy |
Aqualapia Limited | | 2002 | | Lease | | N/A | | N/A | | Agri-Business |
Sangster International Airport | | 2003 | | Lease | | N/A | | N/A | | Transportation |
Land – Ariguanabo (13.76 hectares) | | 2003 | | Assets | | 23.2 | | N/A | | Agri-Business |
Building (Lot 5A) – 60,000 square feet | | 2003 | | Lease | | 7.68 | | N/A | | Agri-Business |
Building (Lot 5B) – 60,000 square feet | | 2003 | | Lease | | 7.68 | | N/A | | Agri-Business |
Cotton Polyester Textile Company Ltd. | | 2005 | | Lease | | 7.55 | | N/A | | Manufacturing |
Land – Sill River (5 hectares) | | 2005 | | Assets | | 6.93 | | N/A | | Tourism |
Farm Machinery Center | | 2005 | | Lease | | N/A | | 0.18 | | Manufacturing |
(1) | Where payment is received in both JA dollars and US dollars for certain sales, the amounts listed are not equivalencies, but represent the portion of the payment received in each currency. This table does not include entities divested by FINSAC. |
Source: National Investment Bank of Jamaica Limited, Ministry of Finance and Planning.
Inflation
The macroeconomic stabilization program introduced in 1991, which focused on lowering inflation through tight fiscal and monetary policies and stability in the foreign exchange market, has contributed to a consistent reduction in the rate of inflation. Macroeconomic stability continues to be a primary focus of Jamaica under the National Industrial Policy, as Jamaica regards consistent low levels of inflation as the cornerstone of sustained long-term economic growth.
The inflation rate has decreased from a high of 80.2% in 1991 to 5.8.% in 2006. The 2006 inflation rate represented a decline from the 12.9% rate recorded in 2005, the 13.7% rate recorded in 2004 and the 14.1% rate recorded in 2003. The inflation rate for the 2006 calendar year reflected the influence of favorable weather conditions, which resulted in reduced prices for agricultural products. However, other facts that affected the rate of inflation were volatility in the price of crude oil on the international market and increased prices for imported items such as wheat, corn and other grains on the international commodities market.
Inflation rates in Jamaica are subject to a variety of factors, only some of which are in Jamaica’s control. Factors other than Jamaica’s policies that affect the rate of inflation include the rate of inflation of Jamaica’s main trading partners, international commodity prices, fluctuations in the exchange rate and weather conditions in the agriculture sector.
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The following table shows the changes in the consumer price index for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
| | |
Year | | Consumer Price Index Increase Over Previous Year |
| | (%) |
2002 | | 7.3 |
2003 | | 14.1 |
2004 | | 13.7 |
2005 | | 12.9 |
2006 | | 5.8 |
Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica.
Employment and Labor
In 2006, the total labor force in Jamaica comprised 1,253,100 persons, representing a 2.5% increase compared to 1,223,100 persons in 2004. The service sector employed 64.8% of the employed labor force in 2006, while the goods-producing sector accounted for 35.1% of the employed labor force in the same period. The agriculture and manufacturing sub-sectors accounted for 17.9% and 6.8% of the employed labor force, respectively. In 2006, four labor force surveys were conducted in January, April, July and October. Only two labor force surveys were conducted in each of 2001 (in January and April) and 2002 (in April and October), instead of the usual four, as resources of the Statistical Institute of Jamaica, which conducts the labor force surveys, were re-directed to conducting the census of 2001 and a 2002 survey of living conditions. Accordingly, for the purpose of comparison, the figures below for 2001, 2002 represent only two quarters for each year.
Average employment in 2006 was 1,123,700 compared to 1,085,800 in 2005. The average unemployment rate was 10.3% in 2006, a reduction from 11.2% in 2005. The average unemployment rate in Jamaica declined from a high of 14.2% in 2002 to a low of 10.3% in 2006.
There were 222 industrial disputes and 21 work stoppages in 2006 compared to 161 industrial disputes and 14 work stoppages in 2005, as difficulties were experienced in the negotiation of new wage and benefit packages. A total of 6,700 man-days were lost to work stoppages in 2006, resulting in an average of 2.9 lost man-days per worker involved in work stoppages.
In 1998, the Government, the bauxite and alumina producers and unions signed a memorandum of understanding, or MOU, which for the first time linked wage growth to productivity growth. This MOU applies to all of Jamaica’s bauxite and alumina producers and a majority of the workers. A similar agreement has already been adopted in the water and manufacturing sectors. See “—Principal Sectors of the Economy—Manufacturing”.
The following table shows certain labor force and employment data for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Labor Force and Employment
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 |
| | (in thousands of persons, except percentages) |
Total Population | | 2,621.7 | | 2,635.7 | | 2,648.2 | | 2,660.7 | | 2,673.8 |
Labor Force | | 1,208.2 | | 1,189.7 | | 1,194.8 | | 1,223.1 | | 1,253.1 |
Employed Labor Force | | 1,036.8 | | 1,054.1 | | 1,055.2 | | 1,085.8 | | 1,123.7 |
Unemployed Labor Force | | 171.5 | | 135.6 | | 139.6 | | 137.4 | | 129.4 |
Unemployment Rate (%) | | 14.2 | | 11.4 | | 11.7 | | 11.2 | | 10.3 |
Job-Seeking Rate (%) | | 5.7 | | 5.0 | | 6.1 | | 5.4 | | 5.6 |
Labor Force Participation Rate (%) | | 65.8 | | 64.4 | | 64.3 | | 64.2 | | 64.7 |
Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica, Labour Force Survey.
Note: The data above represents the derived annual average.
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Legal Proceedings
The Ministry of Transport and Works granted franchises to the National Transport Cooperative Society, or NTCS, in March 1995 to operate buses in the Kingston Metropolitan area. The Ministry of Transport and Works terminated the franchises with NTCS in September 1998. NTCS, in arbitration proceedings with the Ministry of Transport and Works, is claiming damages of approximately J$50 billion, plus interest, alleging breach of contract resulting from the termination of the franchises. On October 2, 2003 an arbitration tribunal awarded to NTCS the sum of J$4.5 billion, plus interest, to be paid by the Government. The Government commenced legal proceedings in the Supreme Court of Jamaica on October 27, 2003 challenging this award. Judgment was delivered on November 29, 2004 in favor of the Government and the arbitral award was set aside. The NTCS appealed the decision of the Supreme Court. The appeal was heard by the Court of Appeal in January 2006 and its decision is pending.
In addition, a claim has been filed with the International Court of Arbitration by Construction Developers Association Limited against the Ministry of Health acting through the Government of Jamaica for breach of contract. The claim involves a construction contract, dated December 9, 1992, in relation to the May Pen Hospital. The claimant claims that the Government of Jamaica unlawfully and in breach of the contract dismissed the Supervising Architect and wrongly interfered, or sought to interfere, with her assessment and certification process. The original claim by the claimant was for an amount alleged to have been assessed by the Supervising Architect equal to approximately J$1.8 billion. The current claim together with interest is approximately J$5 billion.
Under the construction contract, the claimant agreed to carry out construction and rehabilitation works at the May Pen Hospital in the parish of Clarendon for the contract sum of J$169.7 million or such other sum as should become payable at the times and in the manner specified in the contract conditions.
The arbitration proceedings are scheduled to take place in June 2007 in the Bahamas. The Government contends that it is not liable for any sum and, in any event, could not be liable for a sum in excess of J$1.0 billion.
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THE EXTERNAL ECONOMY
Balance of Payments
Jamaica’s balance of payments is dependent on international economic developments as well as domestic economic policies and programs. In 2006, the balance of payments recorded an overall surplus of US$230.1 million, as compared to a surplus of US$228.9 million in 2005. During the review period, the current account deficit increased by 1.7% to US$1,096.9 million from US$1,078.7 million in 2005. The deterioration in the current account deficit was primarily associated with increases in the merchandise trade deficit. The current account measures the trade balance plus the balance on services, income and current transfers.
The merchandise trade deficit increased by 14.1% to US$2,944.9 million in 2006 from US$2,581.3 million in 2005, reflecting the effect of an increase in imports that outweighed the increase in exports. For the purposes of this paragraph, exports include free-zone exports and goods procured in ports, and imports are recorded at their market value at the customs frontier of the economy from which they are exported and include free-zone imports and goods procured in ports. The value of exports increased by US$453.0 million to US$2,117.3 million in 2006 from US$1,664.3 million in 2005, primarily due to the increase in export earnings from refined mineral fuel, alumina, and waste and scrap metals. The value of imports expanded by US$816.6 million to US$5,062.2 million in 2006 from US$4,245.6 million in 2005, primarily due to an increase in the value of fuel, chemicals and machinery and transport equipment imported.
The surplus on the services account increased by 33.7% to US$802.1 million in 2006 from US$600.1 million in 2005, reflecting increased receipts from the tourism sector. Net income outflows increased by 0.7% to US$680.7 million in 2006 from US$675.9 million in 2005, mainly due to higher net outflows of investment income.
Net transfers grew consistently over the five years ending December 31, 2006, primarily as a result of increased remittances by Jamaicans living abroad. In 2006, net transfers increased by 9.4% to US$1,726.5 million from US$1,578.4 million in 2005.
The balance of payments results in 2006 were influenced by net inflows from official and private sources which was more than sufficient to finance the current account deficit. The increase in foreign capital inflows impacted net international reserves, which increased to US$2,317.6 million at December 31, 2006 from US$2,087.4 million at December 31, 2005.
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The following table shows Jamaica’s balance of payments for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Balance of Payments
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | | 2003 | | | 2004 | | | 2005 | | | 2006(1) | |
Current Account | | (1,074.4 | ) | | (772.6 | ) | | (509.4 | ) | | (1,078.7 | ) | | (1,097.0 | ) |
Goods Balance | | (1,870.5 | ) | | (1,942.6 | ) | | (1,944.5 | ) | | (2,581.3 | ) | | (2,944.9 | ) |
Exports(2) | | 1,309.1 | | | 1,385.6 | | | 1,601.6 | | | 1,664.3 | | | 2,117.3 | |
Imports(3) | | 3,179.6 | | | 3,328.2 | | | 3,546.1 | | | 4,245.6 | | | 5,062.2 | |
Services Balance | | 314.7 | | | 552.4 | | | 571.7 | | | 600.1 | | | 802.1 | |
Transportation | | (245.6 | ) | | (143.6 | ) | | (150.3 | ) | | (273.8 | ) | | (322.2 | ) |
Travel | | 950.3 | | | 1,102.7 | | | 1,151.5 | | | 1,295.7 | | | 1,613.4 | |
Other Services | | (390.0 | ) | | (406.7 | ) | | (429.5 | ) | | (421.8 | ) | | (489.1 | ) |
Goods and Services Balance | | (1,555.8 | ) | | (1,390.2 | ) | | (1,372.8 | ) | | (1,981.2 | ) | | (2,142.8 | ) |
Income | | (605.5 | ) | | (571.4 | ) | | (582.7 | ) | | (675.9 | ) | | (680.7 | ) |
Compensation of Employees | | 82.1 | | | 70.7 | | | 84.5 | | | 88.5 | | | 101.0 | |
Investment Income | | (687.6 | ) | | (642.1 | ) | | (667.2 | ) | | (764.4 | ) | | (781.7 | ) |
Current Transfers | | 1,086.9 | | | 1,189.1 | | | 1,446.1 | | | 1,578.4 | | | 1,726.5 | |
General Government | | 107.6 | | | 105.2 | | | 159.9 | | | 137.0 | | | 130.1 | |
Other Sectors | | 979.3 | | | 1,083.9 | | | 1,286.2 | | | 1,441.4 | | | 1,596.4 | |
Capital and Financial Account | | 1,074.4 | | | 772.5 | | | 509.4 | | | 1,078.7 | | | 1,097.0 | |
Capital Account | | (16.9 | ) | | 0.3 | | | 2.2 | | | (2.7 | ) | | (1.5 | ) |
Official | | 0.2 | | | 0.1 | | | 13.8 | | | 0.3 | | | 4.1 | |
Private | | (17.1 | ) | | (0.4 | ) | | (11.6 | ) | | (3.0 | ) | | (2.6 | ) |
Financial Account | | 1,091.3 | | | 772.8 | | | 507.2 | | | 1,081.4 | | | 1,095.5 | |
Other Official Investment | | 101.1 | | | (367.2 | ) | | 507.5 | | | 396.6 | | | 578.0 | |
Other Private Investments (including errors and omissions) | | 746.4 | | | 707.9 | | | 693.3 | | | 913.7 | | | 747.7 | |
Increase/(Decrease) in reserves(4) | | (243.7 | ) | | (432.1 | ) | | 693.6 | | | 228.9 | | | 230.2 | |
(2) | Based on recommendations contained in the IMF’s Balance of Payments Manual, exported goods include free-zone exports and goods procured in ports. |
(3) | Based on recommendations contained in the IMF’s Balance of Payments Manual, imported goods are recorded at their market value at the customs frontier of the economy from which they are exported and include free-zone imports and goods procured in ports. |
(4) | Official International Reserves held by Jamaica and the Bank of Jamaica. |
Source: Bank of Jamaica.
Foreign Trade
Total merchandise trade (exports plus imports) between Jamaica and its foreign trade partners in 2006 increased by 21.7% to US$7,633.9 million, as compared to US$6,270.9 million in 2005. The merchandise trade deficit rose by 14.3% in 2006 to US$3,666.9 million, as compared to US$3,207.9 million in 2005.
The deficit in 2006 resulted from a 19.2% increase in the value of imports, principally due to higher imports of fuels, machinery and transport equipment, manufactured goods, chemicals and foods. The value of exports increased by 29.5% due primarily to higher exports of alumina, bauxite, waste and scrap metals and rum.
The following table shows the performance of merchandise trade for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Merchandise Trade
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Imports(1) | | % Change | | Exports | | % Change | | | Balance | | | % Change |
| | (in millions of US$, except percentages) |
2002 | | 3,565.4 | | 4.8 | | 1,118.4 | | (8.6 | ) | | (2,447.0 | ) | | 12.3 |
2003 | | 3,671.6 | | 3.0 | | 1,194.5 | | 6.8 | | | (2,477.1 | ) | | 1.2 |
2004 | | 3,933.5 | | 7.1 | | 1,405.5 | | 17.7 | | | (2,528.0 | ) | | 2.1 |
2005 | | 4,739.4 | | 20.5 | | 1,531.5 | | 9.0 | | | (3,207.9 | ) | | 26.9 |
2006(2) | | 5,650.4 | | 19.2 | | 1,983.5 | | 29.5 | | | (3,666.9 | ) | | 14.3 |
(1) | Merchandise imports are cost, insurance and freight values, which differ in presentation from the import values presented in the balance of payments. |
Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica.
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Exports
Total exports during 2006 increased by 29.5% to US$1,983.5 million, compared to US$1,531.5 million in 2005, primarily due to the increase in earnings from mineral fuels. The value of sugar exported in 2006 amounted to US$89.7 million, which was 16.8% higher than the US$76.8 million exported in 2005. Banana exports were valued at US$13.4 million in 2006, 181.5% higher than the US$4.7 million exported in 2005. This was due to the ongoing recovery in the industry. For the purposes of this discussion, exports exclude free-zone exports and goods procured in ports.
Exports of apparel continued to decline in 2006, with earnings amounting to US$4.0 million, 57.4% below earnings in 2005. This trend reflects the decreased competitiveness of apparel exports due to higher production costs and the favorable trade treatment afforded to competing apparel exporting countries such as Mexico, in the United States market. The implementation of the United States Trade and Development Act of 2000, which provides Caribbean countries including Jamaica with NAFTA-like privileges, may remove some of the structural barriers in the United States to non-traditional exports from these countries. See “Jamaica—International Relationships—The Trade and Development Act of 2000”.
The following table shows Jamaica’s exports by sector for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Exports
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 (rev) | | 2005 (prel) | | 2006 (prel) |
Traditional Exports | | | | | | | | | | |
Agriculture | | | | | | | | | | |
Banana | | 17.6 | | 18.9 | | 12.2 | | 4.7 | | 13.4 |
Citrus | | 2.2 | | 3.2 | | 2.1 | | 1.5 | | 1.0 |
Coffee | | 31.8 | | 28.1 | | 38.8 | | 16.3 | | 29.6 |
Cocoa | | 0.9 | | 2.2 | | 0.9 | | 0.3 | | 1.0 |
Pimento | | 2.6 | | 3.2 | | 2.2 | | 2.9 | | 1.4 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 55.1 | | 55.6 | | 56.2 | | 25.7 | | 46.4 |
Mining and Quarrying | | | | | | | | | | |
Bauxite | | 106.3 | | 90.1 | | 80.4 | | 98.8 | | 113.2 |
Alumina | | 603.8 | | 688.9 | | 814.6 | | 920.3 | | 1,040.5 |
Gypsum | | 0.9 | | 1.0 | | 1.8 | | 2.1 | | 1.5 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 711.0 | | 780.0 | | 896.8 | | 1,021.2 | | 1,155.2 |
Manufacturing | | | | | | | | | | |
Sugar | | 66.2 | | 66.3 | | 98.1 | | 76.8 | | 89.7 |
Rum | | 34.0 | | 27.6 | | 28.6 | | 34.3 | | 41.0 |
Citrus Products | | 0.1 | | 0.2 | | 0.2 | | 0.1 | | 1.8 |
Coffee Products | | 0.7 | | 0.6 | | 0.7 | | 1.0 | | 2.5 |
Cocoa Products | | 1.3 | | 1.2 | | 1.0 | | 1.0 | | 1.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 102.3 | | 95.9 | | 128.6 | | 113.2 | | 136.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total Traditional Exports | | 868.5 | | 931.5 | | 1,081.6 | | 1,160.1 | | 1,337.6 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Non-Traditional Exports | | | | | | | | | | |
Food and Beverage | | | | | | | | | | |
Cucumbers | | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0.0 | | 0.0 |
Pumpkins | | 0.6 | | 0.6 | | 0.4 | | 0.3 | | 0.3 |
Dasheens | | 1.0 | | 1.2 | | 1.1 | | 0.7 | | 1.3 |
Sweet Potatoes | | 1.5 | | 1.8 | | 1.6 | | 2.0 | | 1.9 |
Yams | | 13.2 | | 13.9 | | 15.4 | | 15.2 | | 14.7 |
Mangoes | | 0.6 | | 0.9 | | 0.8 | | 0.9 | | 0.0 |
Papayas | | 4.3 | | 2.7 | | 2.1 | | 2.0 | | 2.6 |
Fish, Crustaceans & Mollusks | | 5.5 | | 8.0 | | 7.4 | | 9.9 | | 10.6 |
Other Food Exports | | 56.6 | | 64.3 | | 62.2 | | 57.4 | | 62.9 |
Beverages and Tobacco (excluding rum) | | 22.1 | | 24.7 | | 33.0 | | 44.6 | | 49.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 105.4 | | 118.1 | | 124.1 | | 133.0 | | 143.6 |
D-27
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 (rev) | | 2005 (prel) | | 2006 (prel) |
Inedible Materials | | | | | | | | | | |
Cut Flowers | | 0.1 | | 0.1 | | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0.0 |
Foliage & Other Live Plants | | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0.0 |
Limestone | | 1.2 | | 1.3 | | 1.6 | | 2.4 | | 1.8 |
Other | | 3.8 | | 4.9 | | 25.5 | | 16.2 | | 102.2 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 5.1 | | 6.3 | | 27.2 | | 18.6 | | 104.0 |
Apparel | | 19.0 | | 11.4 | | 10.5 | | 9.4 | | 4.0 |
Furniture | | 0.8 | | 0.8 | | 0.7 | | 0.7 | | 0.7 |
Other Exports | | 99.7 | | 96.5 | | 121.5 | | 179.9 | | 357.9 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 119.5 | | 108.7 | | 132.7 | | 190.0 | | 362.6 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total Non-Traditional Exports | | 230.0 | | 233.1 | | 284.0 | | 341.6 | | 610.2 |
| | | | | |
Re-Exports | | 19.8 | | 29.9 | | 39.9 | | 29.8 | | 35.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total Exports | | 1,118.4 | | 1,194.5 | | 1,405.5 | | 1,531.5 | | 1,983.5 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica.
The Jamaican sugar and banana industries and, less significantly, traditional rum and rice suppliers, currently enjoy preferential trade arrangements with respect to exports to the European Union pursuant to the Cotonou Agreement. The future of these preferential trade arrangements is important to Jamaica, as the EU is the only region with which Jamaica has consistently maintained a trade surplus. The Cotonou Agreement also provides guaranteed access to European markets for certain maximum amounts of Jamaican sugar exports.
The special arrangements for the importation of bananas provided by the Cotonou Agreement and its predecessor, the Lomé IV Convention, have been challenged by the United States and four Latin American banana producers. The WTO has ruled that these preferential access arrangements for ACP bananas unfairly restricts banana-producing Central and Latin American countries’ access to the European market. In April 2001, the United States and the European Union announced an agreement by which the banana arrangements would be gradually phased out. Effective January 1, 2006, the European Union adopted a new “tariff-only” regime for bananas from countries which enjoy most favored nation status. The regime includes a duty-free annual quota for bananas originating in ACP countries. See “Jamaica—International Relationships—Cotonou Agreement”.
The Jamaican banana industry has taken steps to make the industry more competitive in anticipation of the phase-out of the special arrangements under the Cotonou Agreement. The Jamaican banana industry accounted for approximately 0.3% of export earnings for 2005, compared with 0.9% in 2004. Jamaica has already commenced initiatives designed to improve the competitiveness of Jamaican bananas. See “The Jamaican Economy—Principal Sectors of the Economy—Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing”.
Imports
Merchandise imports increased by 19.2% to US$5,650.4 million in 2006 from US$4,739.4 million in 2005. The growth in the value of imports was dominated by increased importation of fuel, which was influenced by the rise of oil prices in the international markets, and increased imports of food, machinery and transport equipment and manufactured goods. For the purposes of this discussion, imports are cost, insurance and freight values and exclude free-zone imports and goods procured in ports.
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The following table shows Jamaica’s imports for the four years ended December 31, 2005:
Imports (c.i.f.)(1)
| | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005(2) |
| | (in millions of US$) |
Consumer Goods | | | | | | | | |
Food (incl. Beverages) | | 288.1 | | 280.5 | | 318.1 | | 450.9 |
Other Non-Durables | | 296.8 | | 306.5 | | 329.0 | | 382.8 |
Semi-Durables | | 115.7 | | 114.4 | | 133.8 | | 172.9 |
Durables – Motor cars | | 154.4 | | 135.1 | | 136.5 | | 94.9 |
Other Consumer Durables | | 237.1 | | 232.3 | | 254.3 | | 222.2 |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | 1,092.1 | | 1,068.8 | | 1,171.7 | | 1,323.7 |
Raw Materials and Intermediate Goods | | | | | | | | |
Food (incl. Beverages) | | 215.2 | | 230.1 | | 241.9 | | 202.4 |
Industrial Supplies | | 631.5 | | 714.3 | | 683.2 | | 915.2 |
Fuel and Lubricants | | 642.5 | | 797.7 | | 971.8 | | 1,360.6 |
Parts and Accessories of Capital Goods | | 312.0 | | 292.0 | | 267.2 | | 300.1 |
| | | | | | | | |
Total | | 1,801.2 | | 2,034.1 | | 2,164.1 | | 2,778.3 |
Capital Goods | | | | | | | | |
Transportation Equipment | | 2.8 | | 2.5 | | 2.4 | | 32.5 |
Other Industry Transportation | | 118.2 | | 74.1 | | 54.7 | | 65.4 |
Construction Materials | | 146.4 | | 171.4 | | 230.6 | | 179.0 |
Machinery and Equipment Excluding Transportation | | 393.9 | | 313.2 | | 302.4 | | 353.2 |
Other | | 10.8 | | 7.5 | | 7.6 | | 7.3 |
Total | | 672.1 | | 568.7 | | 597.7 | | 637.4 |
| | | | | | | | |
Total Imports | | 3,565.4 | | 3,671.6 | | 3,933.5 | | 4,739.4 |
| | | | | | | | |
(1) | Merchandise imports are c.i.f. values which differ in presentation from import values presented in the balance of payments. |
Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica.
Trading Partners
The United States, the United Kingdom and Canada are Jamaica’s main trading partners.
The following tables show the direction of trade for the five years ended December 31, 2005:
Exports (f.o.b.) by Destination
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2001 | | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005(1) |
| | (in millions of US$) |
NAFTA | | 577.2 | | 479.3 | | 536.3 | | 581.0 | | 694.9 |
of which USA | | 380.2 | | 314.3 | | 344.1 | | 302.1 | | 395.1 |
of which Canada | | 191.1 | | 157.2 | | 192.1 | | 273.5 | | 295.0 |
European Union | | 359.7 | | 348.4 | | 361.4 | | 454.3 | | 457.5 |
of which UK | | 157.1 | | 134.5 | | 153.0 | | 149.6 | | 163.4 |
CARICOM | | 50.6 | | 48.9 | | 50.7 | | 48.9 | | 50.1 |
Japan | | 27.8 | | 28.2 | | 25.2 | | 34.8 | | 16.0 |
Other countries | | 207.8 | | 213.6 | | 220.9 | | 286.5 | | 313.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 1,223.1 | | 1,118.4 | | 1,194.5 | | 1,405.5 | | 1,531.5 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica.
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Imports (c.i.f.) by Origin(1)
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2001 | | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005(2) |
| | (in millions of US$) |
NAFTA | | 1,755.3 | | 1,769.3 | | 1,797.2 | | 1,835.8 | | 2,151.9 |
of which USA | | 1,525.8 | | 1,546.6 | | 1,595.8 | | 1,605.8 | | 1,939.3 |
of which Canada | | 97.6 | | 112.6 | | 98.0 | | 103.7 | | 109.6 |
European Union | | 316.8 | | 374.6 | | 386.8 | | 317.0 | | 349.6 |
of which UK | | 102.5 | | 93.1 | | 149.2 | | 93.2 | | 112.4 |
CARICOM | | 433.0 | | 395.5 | | 482.2 | | 562.7 | | 752.2 |
Japan | | 187.5 | | 214.9 | | 175.6 | | 172.4 | | 217.8 |
Other countries | | 710.0 | | 811.1 | | 829.8 | | 1,045.6 | | 1,267.9 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 3,402.6 | | 3,565.4 | | 3,671.6 | | 3,933.5 | | 4,739.4 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Merchandise imports are c.i.f. values which differ in presentation from import values presented in the balance of payments. |
Source: Statistical Institute of Jamaica.
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INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
Net international reserves of the Bank of Jamaica increased to US$2,317.6 million at December 31, 2006, from US$2,087.4 million at December 31, 2005. Gross international reserves at December 31, 2006, were US$2,399.1 million, or approximately 25.0 weeks of merchandise imports. The increase in the international reserves during 2006 was mainly attributable to significant private and official capital inflows. See “Public Sector Indebtedness — External Debt” and “Public Finance—Revenue”.
At April 30, 2007, net international reserves of the Bank of Jamaica were US$2,292.4 million, with gross international reserves at US$2,570.1 million, or approximately 25.8 weeks of merchandise imports. The Bank of Jamaica’s internal target for minimum gross international reserves is 12 weeks of imports, which target is also reflected in the statutory guideline contemplated by pending amendments to the Bank of Jamaica Act.
The following table shows the Bank of Jamaica’s international reserves for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
International Reserves
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 |
| | (in millions of US$) |
Supplementary Fund | | 40.6 | | 86.7 | | 91.7 | | 43.2 | | 117.6 |
Special Drawing Rights | | 1.4 | | 0.1 | | 0.1 | | 0.0 | | 0.0 |
Other Reserves | | 1,601.1 | | 1,109.5 | | 1,790.1 | | 2,125.8 | | 2,281.5 |
Gross International Reserves | | 1,643.1 | | 1,196.3 | | 1,881.9 | | 2,169.0 | | 2,399.1 |
Total Foreign Liabilities | | 46.1 | | 31.3 | | 23.4 | | 81.6 | | 81.6 |
Net International Reserves | | 1,597.0 | | 1,165.0 | | 1,858.5 | | 2,087.4 | | 2,317.6 |
Gross Reserves in Weeks of Merchandise Imports | | 29.1 | | 18.3 | | 27.8 | | 27.0 | | 25.0 |
Source: Bank of Jamaica.
Exchange Rates
As part of its economic liberalization program, Jamaica began gradually dismantling exchange controls in 1990 and formally abolished all remaining exchange controls with the repeal in 1992 of the Exchange Control Act. The movement of foreign exchange into and out of Jamaica is unrestricted. All Jamaican residents are permitted to hold, invest and borrow foreign currency, and non-residents are permitted to invest and borrow both local and foreign currency in Jamaica. However, only an authorized dealer may carry on the business of trading in foreign currency or foreign currency instruments, and an authorized dealer must be party to any transaction involving the buying or selling of foreign currency or foreign currency instruments in return for Jamaican dollars and the lending or borrowing of foreign currency. Cambios and bureaux de change are authorized specifically to buy and sell foreign currency.
Since the repeal of the Exchange Control Act in 1992, the exchange rate has been determined by market conditions and Jamaica has not set any trading band or target. Jamaica intends to conduct its macroeconomic policies in such a way as to maintain relative stability in the foreign exchange market.
During 2006, the JA dollar gradually decreased in value against the US dollar, with the JA/US dollar exchange rate falling from J$64.58 to US$1.00 at December 31, 2005 to J$67.15 to US$1.00 at December 31, 2006, a depreciation of 3.8%. Since the exchange rate is market-determined, there can be no assurance that the exchange rate will be maintained at current levels. The official exchange rate on May 31, 2007, was J$68.22 per US$1.00.
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The following table shows exchange rate information for the selling of US dollars, expressed in JA dollars, for the periods indicated:
Foreign Exchange Rates
| | | | | | | | | |
Year | | Month | | Average for Period(1) | | End of Period | | Percentage Change (End of Period) | |
(spot weighted average ask in J$ for US$) | |
2001 | | | | 46.19 | | 47.40 | | 4.11 | |
2002 | | | | 48.73 | | 50.97 | | 7.53 | |
2003 | | | | 58.24 | | 60.62 | | 18.93 | |
2004 | | | | 61.39 | | 61.63 | | 1.67 | |
2005 | | | | 62.60 | | 64.58 | | 4.79 | |
2006 | | | | 65.98 | | 67.15 | | 3.98 | (2) |
2007 | | January | | 67.37 | | 67.55 | | 0.59 | (2) |
| | February | | 67.59 | | 67.66 | | 0.00 | (2) |
| | March | | 67.70 | | 67.80 | | 0.37 | (2) |
| | April | | 67.91 | | 68.08 | | 0.41 | (2) |
(1) | The weighted average of the exchange rates for annual periods is calculated as the simple average of end of month rates. |
(2) | As compared to the prior month. |
Source: Bank of Jamaica.
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PUBLIC FINANCE
The Public Sector Budget
The Government of Jamaica includes all ministries, departments and agencies whose activities form part of the budgetary operation of the central administration. The operations of state-owned enterprises and public utilities are therefore excluded from the public sector budget.
Jamaica’s fiscal year runs from April 1 of each year to March 31 of the following year. Pursuant to the Constitution, the Minister of Finance and Planning is responsible for preparing estimates of revenue and expenditure before the close of the previous fiscal year and submitting those estimates to Parliament as early as possible in the fiscal year to which they relate. The Ministry of Finance and Planning, in conjunction with other ministries and departments, prepares a draft budget, which must be approved by the Cabinet prior to its submission to Parliament. Final approval by Parliament is usually granted by May of the relevant fiscal year.
The budget distinguishes between recurrent and capital expenditure. Recurrent expenditure refers to Jamaica’s day-to-day operating expenditure, while capital expenditure refers to Jamaica’s planned investment for the fiscal year. The major criteria used in determining allocation levels for recurrent expenditure are expenditure ceilings based on Jamaica’s economic policy, Jamaica’s priorities for the fiscal year, and commitments arising from the continuation of programs, projects and policies previously authorized by the Cabinet. Such commitments include interest on public debt, a statutory obligation that is paid first, as well as salaries, rent and public utilities. The major criteria used in deciding allocation levels for capital expenditure are current year projections for public investment, multilateral/bilateral programs and the implementation status of projects.
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The following table shows Jamaica’s fiscal results for FY 2002/03 through FY 2006/07 and the FY 2007/08 fiscal budget:
Government Revenue and Expenditure
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002/03 | | | 2003/04 | | | 2004/05 | | | 2005/06 | | | 2006/07 | | | Budget 2007/08 | |
Revenue | | 118,458.4 | | | 151,434.4 | | | 172,798.3 | | | 186,684.2 | | | 211,625.0 | | | 243,091.7 | |
Tax Revenue | | 102,858.6 | | | 131,069.5 | | | 150,481.6 | | | 162,575.9 | | | 188,299.5 | | | 217,630.2 | |
Income and Profits | | 40,566.7 | | | 54,265.1 | | | 62,872.1 | | | 66,492.7 | | | 76,321.1 | | | 88,941.8 | |
Production and Consumption | | 34,120.9 | | | 41,207.5 | | | 46,951.9 | | | 50,100.2 | | | 58,403.0 | | | 65,570.9 | |
Of which GCT (local) | | 17,014.5 | | | 22,149.3 | | | 25,122.7 | | | 29,436.0 | | | 33,306.0 | | | 37,866.4 | |
Trade Duty | | 28,171.0 | | | 35,596.9 | | | 40,657.6 | | | 45,983.0 | | | 53,575.3 | | | 61,9717.6 | |
Non-Tax Revenue(1) | | 4,882.9 | | | 9,044.0 | | | 9,824.5 | | | 11,802.4 | | | 14,048.5 | | | 14,340.6 | |
Bauxite Levy | | 1,762.7 | | | 2,137.9 | | | 2,479.1 | | | 3,124.6 | | | 4,169.9 | | | 4,268.2 | |
Capital Revenue(2) | | 8,039.9 | | | 8,596.7 | | | 5,793.2 | | | 8,464.1 | | | 3,293.3 | | | 3,562.4 | |
Grants | | 914.3 | | | 586.2 | | | 4,220.0 | | | 717.2 | | | 1,813.8 | | | 3,290.2 | |
Expenditure | | 149,029.0 | | | 178,732.2 | | | 199,487.8 | | | 207,724.1 | | | 249,101.0 | | | 278,181.0 | |
Recurrent Expenditure(3) | | 141,080.4 | | | 173,247.9 | | | 188,382.0 | | | 192,250.0 | | | 225,599.1 | | | 239,300.0 | |
Programs | | 27,463.1 | | | 24,615.2 | | | 32,081.0 | | | 40,846.3 | | | 49,120.3 | | | 49,320.0 | |
Wages and Salaries | | 51,496.7 | | | 60,463.1 | | | 63,516.8 | | | 63,108.1 | | | 78,660.9 | | | 88,510.2 | |
of which retroactive(4) | | 5,640.9 | | | 4,810.7 | | | 1,413.7 | | | 1,031.8 | | | 418.6 | | | 0.0 | |
Interest | | 62,120.6 | | | 88,169.6 | | | 92,784.2 | | | 88,295.7 | | | 97,817.9 | | | 101,469.8 | |
Domestic | | 46,934.8 | | | 71,460.7 | | | 72,642.9 | | | 65,394.6 | | | 71,295.9 | | | 70,487.5 | |
Foreign | | 15,185.7 | | | 16,708.8 | | | 20,141.3 | | | 22,901.0 | | | 26,522.0 | | | 30,982.3 | |
Capital Expenditure(5) | | 7,072.1 | | | 5,484.3 | | | 11,105.9 | | | 15,474.1 | | | 23,501.9 | | | 38,881.0 | |
IMF | | 876.6 | | | 842.1 | | | 340.0 | | | 0.0 | | | 0.0 | | | 0.0 | |
Unallocated | | 0.0 | | | 0.0 | | | 0.0 | | | 0.0 | | | 0.0 | | | 0.0 | |
Fiscal Surplus (Deficit) | | (30,570.6 | ) | | (27,297.8 | ) | | (26,689.5 | ) | | (21,039.9 | ) | | (37,476.0 | ) | | (35,089.3 | ) |
Loan Receipts | | 107,417.4 | | | 132,764.7 | | | 149,680.4 | | | 184,708.9 | | | 161,448.8 | | | 113,847.5 | |
External | | 23,258.8 | | | 24,615.8 | | | 38,668.8 | | | 53,788.5 | | | 32,499.9 | | | 17,233.1 | |
Domestic | | 84,158.6 | | | 108,148.9 | | | 111,011.6 | | | 130,920.4 | | | 128,948.9 | | | 96,614.4 | |
Amortization | | 89,917.3 | | | 97,621.7 | | | 129,753.7 | | | 139,971.2 | | | 122,049.7 | | | 102,183.7 | |
External | | 35,959.9 | | | 17,004.0 | | | 30,178.7 | | | 33,116.7 | | | 16,934.3 | | | 33,446.2 | |
Domestic | | 53,957.4 | | | 80,617.7 | | | 99,575.0 | | | 106,854.5 | | | 105,115.5 | | | 68,737.5 | |
Primary Surplus (Deficit) | | 31,549.9 | | | 60,871.7 | | | 66,094.7 | | | 67,255.7 | | | 60,341.9 | | | 66,380.5 | |
Overall Surplus (Deficit) | | (13,070.5 | ) | | 7,845.2 | | | (6,762.8 | ) | | 23,697.8 | | | 1,923.1 | | | (23,425.5 | ) |
GDP(6) | | 417,739.5 | | | 495,500.4 | | | 549,696.9 | | | 643,100.7 | | | 707,839.1 | | | 774,659.4 | |
(1) | Non-tax revenue includes user fees and interest revenue. |
(2) | Capital revenue includes royalties, loan repayments and divestment receipts. |
(3) | Recurrent expenditure refers to the Government’s day-to-day operational expenses. |
(4) | Retroactive wages and salaries represent payments, in any given year, of wages and salaries due for previous fiscal years. |
(5) | Capital expenditure refers to Jamaica’s investment for the fiscal year. |
(6) | GDP is calculated on a calendar year basis. Therefore, the number presented represents an estimate of GDP for the fiscal year. The gross domestic product series was revised in 2003. This revision was made in order to capture the changing structure of industries in the manufacturing, financial and insurance services, business services and the miscellaneous services sectors. In addition the base year has been changed from 1986 to 1996. |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning and Planning Institute of Jamaica.
Revenue and Expenditure
Jamaica posted a fiscal deficit in FY 2006/07 of J$37.5 billion, or 5.3% of GDP. This followed fiscal deficits in FY 2005/06 of J$21.0 billion, or 3.3% of GDP; in FY 2004/05 of J$26.7 billion, or 4.9% of GDP; in FY 2003/04 of J$27.3 billion, or 5.5% of GDP; and in FY 2002/03 of J$30.6 billion, or 7.3% of GDP. These deficits were partly due to the interest costs associated with the restructuring of Jamaica’s financial sector and to higher interest payments associated with the fiscal costs of supporting Jamaica’s monetary policy to achieve its inflation objective. The increase in the deficit in FY 2006/07 was due to a 19.9% increase in expenditure outweighing a 13.4% increase in revenue and grants. This increase was primarily a result of increased spending on wages and salaries, increased interest payments on internal and external debt and the decrease in the value of the Jamaican dollar. Capital expenditures also increased by 51.9%, due largely to spending associated with the hosting of the ICC Cricket World Cup 2007. Jamaica has achieved significant primary surpluses over the last five years. The fiscal operations
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recorded primary surpluses of 7.6% of GDP in FY 2002/03, 12.3% of GDP in FY 2003/04, 12.0% in FY 2004/05, 10.5% in FY 2005/06 and 8.5% in FY 2006/07.
The operations of the overall public sector recorded a deficit of 11.1% of GDP in FY 2002/03. This was followed by deficits of 3.3% in FY 2003/04, 6.4% of GDP in FY 2004/05, 4.5% in FY 2005/06 and a provisional 8.6% in FY 2006/07.
Total revenue for FY 2006/07 was J$211.6 billion, or 29.9% of GDP. This represented an increase of 13.4% over total revenue collected in FY 2005/06. This revenue performance was influenced mainly by increases in tax, non-tax and grant receipts. Total revenue collections, however, were 4.8% below budget, due mainly to lower than programmed growth in nominal income, less than expected collections from tax administrative measures and the cancellation of the Government’s plans to divest its 20% stake in the Jamaica Public Service Company Limited, following Mirants’ decision to sell its 80% stake.
Total expenditure for FY 2006/07 was J$249.1 billion, or 35.2% of GDP. This represented a 19.9% increase over FY 2005/06 and an increase of J$8.5 billion, or 3.5% over budget. Recurrent expenditure totaled J$225.6 billion in FY 2006/07, representing 90.6% of total expenditure, with capital expenditure representing 9.4% of total expenditure. Recurrent expenditure was 6.6% higher than budgeted mainly as a result of higher wages and salaries and domestic interest payments. Capital expenditure during FY 2006/07 was 18.6% lower than budgeted due primarily to slower than anticipated spending on some projects, as well as corrective measures taken by the Government to contain expenditure in light of the revenue shortfall.
The largest component of recurrent expenditure was interest costs, which represented 39.3% of total expenditure in FY 2006-07. This was lower than interest costs in previous years, however, which represented 42.5% of total expenditure in FY 2005/06, 46.5% in FY 2004/05, 49.3% in FY 2003/04 and 41.7% in FY 2002/03. Interest expenditure consumed 46.2% of total revenue in FY 2006/07. However, this was less than the 47.3% in FY 2005/06, 53.7% in FY 2004/05, 58.2% in FY 2003/04, 52.4% in FY 2002/03 and 41.4% in FY 2001/02. The increase in interest expenditure since FY 2001/02 primarily reflected the increase in domestic debt to cover the fiscal costs of Jamaica’s anti-inflation objectives and restructuring and rehabilitating the financial sector.
Expenditure on wages and salaries in FY 2006/07 increased to J$78.7 billion compared to J$63.1 billion in FY 2005/06 due principally to the impact of wage increases relating to a new Memorandum of Understanding (MOU), signed on May 30, 2006, between the Government and the Jamaican Confederation of Trade Unions. The MOU provides for a 20% wage increase over the two-year period from April 2006 to March 2008. Wages and salaries represented 31.6% of total expenditure in FY 2006/07 compared to 30.4% of total expenditure in FY 2005/06.
FY 2007/08 Budget
The FY 2007/08 budget remains consistent with Jamaica’s overall macroeconomic program, which has as its primary goals the maintenance of single digit inflation, relative stability in the foreign exchange market, maintenance of adequate foreign reserves, the reduction of domestic interest rates and the acceleration of economic growth.
For FY 2007/08, Jamaica has targeted a budget deficit of J$35.1 billion. Budgeted revenue for FY 2007/08 amounts to J$243.1 billion, with 89.5% projected to be received from tax revenue. Tax revenue is budgeted to increase by 15.6% over FY 2006/07 primarily as a result of the normal increase in the base revenue generated from increased economic activity, augmented by aggressive revenue enhancement measures. See “Tax Reform”.
Expenditure is budgeted to increase by 11.7% over FY 2006/07 due mainly to a 65.4% increase in capital expenditure. Interest expenditure is budgeted to increase by 3.7% due to a projected 16.8% increase in external payments underpinned by the increased stock of bonds. The FY 2007/08 expenditure budget is projected to be J$278.2 billion, comprising J$239.3 billion for recurrent expenditure and J$38.9 billion for spending on capital projects. Of the recurrent budget, J$49.3 billion is allocated to programs, J$88.5 billion is allocated to wages and salaries and J$101.5 billion to interest payments.
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Tax Reform
Prior to 1986, the individual income tax base in Jamaica included all sources of income with a graduated marginal rate structure ranging from 30.0% to 57.5%. There were no standard deductions, but taxpayers could qualify for 16 separate tax credits which had been gradually added to the tax system over the years. Because these credits came into existence on different dates and were not indexed to inflation, their value had been substantially eroded over the years. Jamaica further narrowed its tax base by permitting employers to grant non-taxable perquisites to employees, which were not required to be reported as income.
In 1986, Jamaica introduced tax reforms that included a flat tax rate for individuals and a uniform standard deduction, or income exemption level, which replaced the former system of tax credits. A flat tax rate and an income threshold replaced the progressive rate structure. Since 1993, the personal income tax rate has been 25.0%. The threshold after which taxes are paid has increased over time. Effective January 2006, the threshold was raised to J$193,440. The corporate tax rate is 33 1/3%.
The following table shows the changes in personal income tax rate and threshold since 2001:
Personal Income Tax Rates and Thresholds
| | | | | | |
Effective Date | | Rate (%) | | Threshold (J$) | | Increase (%) |
January 2002 | | 25 | | 120,432 | | 19.9 |
January 2003 | | 25 | | 120,432 | | — |
January 2004 | | 25 | | 120,432 | | — |
January 2005 | | 25 | | 120,432 | | — |
July 2005 | | 25 | | 169,104 | | 40.4 |
January 2006 | | 25 | | 193,440 | | 14.4 |
January 2007 | | 25 | | 193,440 | | — |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning.
Jamaica implemented a tax administration reform project in 1994. The goal of the project is to broaden the tax base, facilitate voluntary compliance with the tax laws, improve the effectiveness of tax administration and tax collection, and control tax evasion.
In 1996, Jamaica implemented a tax compliance program aimed at improving the efficiency and effectiveness of tax administration and compliance through the implementation of a tax registration number system which assigned individuals and businesses identification numbers. The registration of taxpayers, which began in March 1996, is ongoing. The system became operational on November 18, 1996. At March 31, 2007, 1,710,000 confirmed taxpayer registration numbers had been assigned.
As a part of the reform of the tax system, the Revenue Administration Act was amended in FY 1998/99 to strengthen the enforcement capacity of tax administration. These amendments enabled the reorganization of revenue departments on the basis of functions rather than tax type, and the sharing of information among the revenue departments. The re-organization was completed in December 1999.
In April 2000, Jamaica announced its intention to gradually eliminate the income tax on dividends paid by publicly listed companies in order to encourage the movement of funds into the equity market and away from fixed income securities. The gradual elimination of this tax occurred over a three-year period. Effective June 1, 2000 the tax rate applicable to dividends was lowered to 20.0%. Effective April 1, 2001, the rate was reduced to 10.0% and, as of April 1, 2002, the tax was eliminated.
In April 2003, Jamaica implemented a J$13.8 billion tax and user fee package. The measures include the imposition of GCT on some previously zero-rated and exempt goods and services, a 2% tax on imports, and a 15% bet winnings tax on the national lottery. Legislative measures to amend the Income Tax and Customs Act are being implemented together with other measures under the tax administrative reform project. These include the removal of tax exemptions previously granted to certain public sector entities, in furtherance of which the Public Enterprises (Removal of Tax Concessions) Act, 2003 became effective in December 2003.
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In April 2005, Jamaica implemented a J$9.4 billion tax package. The measures included an increase in the standard GCT from 15.0% to 16.5% effective May 1, 2005, increase in the special consumption tax on cigarettes, effective April 15, 2005 and an increase in the GCT rate for the tourism sector from 6.25% to 8.25%. The income tax threshold was also increased from J$120,432 to J$169,104, effective July 1, 2005 and to J$193,440, effective January 1, 2006.
Financial Sector Restructuring
Jamaica has experienced significant problems within its financial sector as a result of the interrelationships between affiliated banks, building societies and insurance companies, weak management practices and the significant slowing of the rate of inflation. Between 1993 and 1998, the Minister of Finance and Planning, pursuant to powers vested in him under amendments to the Banking Act, the Financial Institutions Act and the Bank of Jamaica Act, placed 12 financial institutions under temporary management and intervened in 10 financial institution groups that included banks, insurance companies and their non-core businesses. Two institutions, FIS and FINSAC, were created by Jamaica to facilitate the resolution of the failed banks and to proceed with the restructuring and reorganization of the financial sector.
Intervention and Divestment
Jamaica’s intervention in the financial sector, through FINSAC, was undertaken to rehabilitate financial institutions with liquidity and solvency problems and to protect depositors. This intervention resulted in the protection of 1.5 million deposit accounts with a value of J$68.7 billion and 569,000 individual insurance policies with a total face value of J$174.4 billion. FINSAC��s intervention also provided protection to 55,000 beneficiaries of private pension funds, which had a total value of J$19.0 billion.
The types of assistance FINSAC has provided include the assumption of deposit and other liabilities, the provision of liquidity support, the purchase of ordinary and preference shares, the acquisition of under-performing assets and the provision of subordinated loans. In exchange for such assistance, FINSAC has acquired a combination of equity, board seats and the assets in numerous financial institutions and their related companies. FINSAC’s activities in the banking sector also involved the merger of several financial institutions under its control to create Union Bank of Jamaica Limited, which was subsequently sold in March 2001 for J$1.6 billion.
FINSAC financed its operations through the issuance of government-guaranteed securities. A portion of these securities was repaid with the first installment of the proceeds of loans from the Inter-American Development Bank, or IADB, the Caribbean Development Bank, or CDB and World Bank and an additional portion was repaid with the proceeds of the divestment of approximately J$11.7 billion in assets and property, including many major Jamaican banks, insurance companies, hotels and other businesses. As of April 1, 2001, the remaining J$79.3 billion in government-guaranteed securities issued by FINSAC were assumed by Jamaica as direct obligations. See “Public Sector Indebtedness”.
As a result of the FINSAC intervention, FINSAC assumed investments in various financial institutions, non-performing loan portfolios and other financial assets, the great majority of which it has divested to the private sector. FINSAC aggressively marketed its non-performing loan portfolio, which resulted in its sale by the end of 2002. In addition, in 2002 FINSAC sold its shareholdings in two of the largest financial institutions that had been in need of intervention and rehabilitation, the National Commercial Bank (the largest commercial bank in Jamaica at that time) and Life of Jamaica (a major insurance company in Jamaica).
Proceeds from these sales have been used to reduce FINSAC liabilities and, consequently, the public sector debt associated with the rehabilitation of the financial sector.
With the fulfillment of FINSAC’s responsibilities of intervening and rehabilitating institutions and subsequently disposing of its majority equity stakes in intervened institutions, the government scaled down the operations of FINSAC as of July 2003. The management of the government’s minority stakes in institutions in which FINSAC intervened as well as the responsibility of completing the legal procedures required to formally close down institutions that have already ceased operations have been assumed by FIS.
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Improvements in the Legislative and Regulatory Framework
Along with the efforts at restructuring the financial sector through FINSAC, Jamaica has also focused its attention on regulatory and supervisory reform. A number of key amendments to Jamaica’s financial legislation came into effect in October 1997, and provided for:
| • | | more efficient and effective powers for remedial action taken by the supervisory authorities in respect of distressed institutions; |
| • | | reduced capacity for institutions to lend to, or invest in, related entities; |
| • | | a more stringent computation of capital adequacy; |
| • | | a more precise definition of non-performing loans and power for the supervisory authorities to prescribe accounting rules; and |
| • | | greater control by supervisory authorities over changes of ownership and a stricter definition of a “fit and proper person” for management, directors and owners of financial institutions. |
See “The Monetary System—Legislation and Regulation”. The Deposit Insurance Act was also passed in March 1998, to establish a scheme for the protection of depositors. See “The Monetary System—Legislation and Regulation—The Deposit Insurance Protection Act”.
After its initial response to the crisis, Jamaica has maintained its efforts to foster the effective supervision and regulation of the financial sector. This involved regulatory reform focused mainly on streamlining the supervision of the sector. The Financial Services Commission, or FSC, which became operational on August 2, 2001, is the sole regulatory and supervisory agency for non-deposit taking financial institutions, unit trusts, mutual funds, insurance, and pension funds. The Bank of Jamaica has retained its supervisory functions in the new regime, and its powers have been bolstered with the passage of legislation giving the Supervisor of Banks greater autonomy to intervene in troubled institutions through temporary management. The supervisory structure is complemented by the creation of the Regulatory Policy Council, or RPC, an umbrella entity comprised of the head of the FSC, the Supervisor of Banks, the head of the Jamaica Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Financial Secretary or a nominee. The RPC utilizes a proactive and coordinated approach to developing policy for the financial sector, thus helping in the detection of problems and sharing of information among the supervisors.
A new Insurance Act was enacted in December 2001 to repeal and replace the Insurance Act of 1972 and to provide measures to strengthen corporate governance, the rulemaking process and establish prompt corrective action. Reform of the pensions system has also been progressing with a new National Pensions Act, which became effective in March 2005. This new Act includes new requirements for pension funds such as registration, licensing, investment limits, minimum solvency standards and information disclosure.
In addition, a Financial Crimes Unit was established in the Office of the Director of Prosecutions. This unit is responsible for tracking possible violations of Jamaica’s Money Laundering Act of 1996, and other irregular bank transactions. The unit has been complemented with the establishment of a Commercial Court that has the responsibility of ensuring that financial crimes and civil suits are dealt with expeditiously.
Jamaica’s efforts at restructuring the financial sector were aided in 2000 by the provision of loan packages from the IADB, the World Bank and the CDB. The IADB approved a loan of US$150 million to be released in two tranches, the World Bank approved two loans totaling US$150 million, and CDB approved a loan of US$25 million. The proceeds of the first installment of these loans have been used to redeem debt incurred by FINSAC as part of its intervention in the financial sector, or FINSAC debt. The loan package reduces Jamaica’s debt servicing costs as the interest rates on these loans are significantly lower than that on the FINSAC debt. The provision of these loans is contingent upon the satisfaction of numerous conditions relating to the financial sector reform project. All of the conditions for disbursement of the first tranche of loans were met, and on March 31, 2001, the IADB, World Bank and CDB released funds to Jamaica totaling US$162.5 million. These funds were used to redeem FINSAC debt. Proceeds totaling US$40 million from the release of the second tranche were received from IADB in the last quarter
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of FY 2001/02. This was facilitated on the basis that Jamaica had made an early disbursement request and had substantially satisfied the conditions for the release of the second tranche. The loan agreement with IADB was also amended to facilitate a third tranche release, which was incumbent on satisfying the remaining conditions. Funds for the third tranche release, totaling US$47.9 million, were received from IADB and CDB in the third quarter of FY 2002/03. In FY 2002/03, the World Bank also provided a second loan totaling US$75 million.
In connection with the loans from IADB, CDB and the World Bank, Jamaica agreed to an International Monetary Fund, or IMF, Staff Monitored Program, or SMP, in 2000. A second SMP was adopted in July 2002 which covered the period April 2002 to March 2003. The 2002 SMP was the last such arrangement between the IMF and Jamaica due to the fact that the IMF decided to revamp the SMP. The SMP was an informal and flexible instrument for dialogue between the IMF and Jamaica on the country’s economic policies. The program focused on strategies to advance the resolution of the financial sector difficulties, as well as to consolidate recent gains in economic stabilization, and to lay the foundation for strong economic growth. It also provided a framework within which specific macroeconomic targets were to be achieved. The IMF Staff Monitored Program established quarterly quantitative targets and structural benchmarks, which were used to monitor Jamaica’s progress. Jamaica consistently achieved these macro-economic performance targets. Following the IMF’s decision to revamp the SMP, Jamaica and the IMF engaged in discussions to identify a process that would facilitate the IMF’s monitoring of the implementation and progress of Jamaica’s macroeconomic program. In August 2004, Jamaica and the IMF agreed on a program of intensified surveillance of Jamaica’s economic program.
Although Jamaica does not subscribe to the voluntary Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS), established by the IMF in 1996 as a mechanism for IMF member states to provide economic and financial data to the public, Jamaica is taking steps to become a SDDS subscriber. As one of the steps to subscribe to the SDDS, Jamaica became a subscriber to the General Data Dissemination Standard in 2002.
During 2005, Jamaica participated in an IMF/World Bank Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP), which is a joint initiative of the IMF and World Bank to provide member countries with a comprehensive evaluation of their financial systems. FSAPs are designed to assess the stability of the financial system as a whole and not that of individual institutions. They have been developed to help countries identify and remedy weaknesses in their financial structure, thereby enhancing their resilience to macroeconomic shocks and cross-border contagion. In May 2005, the IMF/World Bank issues a report on the financial assessment that was undertaken in 2005 that indicated that, while Jamaica’s financial systems appeared well capitalized and supervision had been strengthened in recent years, there was a need to further strengthen the prudential framework for security dealers, enhance the oversight of conglomerates and develop and test crisis management systems. The report also recommended that priority be given to overhauling the payments system and introducing a central depository for fixed income securities. The requirements for the payments system reform and the introduction of a central securities depository for fixed income securities have been defined and requests for proposal for the design of these systems are expected to be sent out by the end of June 2007.
Jamaica believes that the most significant difficulties in the financial sector have been identified and appropriate remedial measures have been implemented. There can be no assurance, however, that substantial additional financial assistance or other government action may not be required in the future as developments in the financial sector continue to evolve.
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PUBLIC SECTOR INDEBTEDNESS
General
Under Section 116 of the Jamaica Constitution, all loans charged on Jamaica’s Consolidated Fund, including all external debt payments such as those under the debt securities, represent a statutory charge on the revenue and assets of Jamaica. See “Public Finance—The Public Sector Budget”. These statutory charges are paid without any requirement of Parliamentary approval, directly from revenue and assets, before funds are available to Jamaica for other policies and programs.
The Constitution and the Financial Administration and Audit Act give the Ministry of Finance and Planning overall responsibility for the management of Jamaica’s public debt. The Loan Act limits the amount of funds which may be borrowed. In February 2004, the Jamaican Parliament passed legislation increasing the amount of funds which Jamaica may borrow. Jamaica has never defaulted on any of its external or domestic debt obligations.
Domestic Debt
At March 31, 2007, Jamaica’s domestic debt was J$513.9 billion. At December 31, 2006, Jamaica’s domestic debt, which excludes government-guaranteed securities, was J$536.7 billion, an increase of 11.8% when compared with the level at the end of December 2006. Jamaica has incurred domestic debt primarily to provide budgetary financing, to provide assistance to the Bank of Jamaica in its liquidity management objectives, to cover Bank of Jamaica losses, to cover the capitalization of accrued interest on the Bank of Jamaica’s holding of former FINSAC securities, and by assumption of debt obligations of certain public sector entities. In March 2001, Jamaica issued J$23.8 billion in local registered stocks to replace FINSAC liabilities in connection with the sale of Union Bank of Jamaica Limited. In addition, in April 2001, Jamaica assumed the remaining J$79.3 billion in government-guaranteed securities issued in connection with the intervention in the financial sector.
In addition to this level of domestic debt, Jamaica has guaranteed certain financial obligations of public sector entities, which carry out major infrastructure projects from time to time. At March 31, 2007, the extent of these guarantees was approximately J$12.0 billion.
Jamaica’s domestic debt consists of local registered stocks, treasury bills, bonds and loans. At December 31, 2006, 16.8% of the outstanding domestic debt was scheduled to mature within one year, 46.4% between one and five years, and the remaining 36.8% after five years. The interest rate composition of the domestic debt at December 31, 2006 was 40.1% contracted on a fixed rate basis, while 59.8% was contracted on a floating interest rate basis.
At March 31, 2007, Jamaica’s domestic debt was J$513.9 billion and 13.1% of outstanding domestic debt was scheduled to mature in one year, 42.6% in five years and the remaining 44.3% after five years. At March 31, 2007, approximately 53.6% of the domestic debt was on a floating rate basis and 46.4% on a fixed rate basis. Of the total debt at March 31, 2007, 14.5% was denominated in or indexed to the US$ and 85.4% was J$-denominated.
Local registered stocks are medium-term to long-term debt instruments issued by Jamaica. At December 31, 2006, local registered stocks represented 42.9% of total domestic debt, as compared to 47.0% at December 31, 2005. In October 1999, Jamaica implemented an auction system for the sale of local registered stocks. Previously, both price and coupon rates were set by Jamaica.
At December 31, 2006, Jamaica had J$294.4 billion of domestic bonds outstanding, representing 54.9% of total domestic debt. This represents a J$53.8 billion, or 22.4% increase over the level outstanding at December 31, 2005. Jamaica issues both local and foreign currency-denominated bonds in the domestic market. Foreign currency denominated bonds that are issued in Jamaica are classified as domestic debt. At December 31, 2006, J$49.6 billion of the domestic debt were US$-denominated and J$24.3 billion were US$-indexed instruments.
Issuance of treasury bills is limited by statute to a maximum of J$12.0 billion in total outstanding treasury bills. The outstanding stock of treasury bills at December 31, 2006 was J$4.2 billion, representing 0.8% of total domestic
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debt. The stock of treasury bills continues to decrease in keeping with Jamaica’s planned reduction of the stock of treasury bills in an effort to extend the average maturity of the domestic debt. Treasury bills are auctioned on a multiple-price basis.
The following table shows domestic debt for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Domestic Debt
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 |
| | (in millions of J$) |
Securities | | | | | | | | | | |
Treasury Bills | | 4,150.0 | | 4,400.0 | | 3,750.0 | | 3,500.0 | | 4,200.0 |
Local Registered Stocks | | 240,843.3 | | 228,509.3 | | 220,290.5 | | 225,762.8 | | 229,978.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 244,993.3 | | 232,909.3 | | 224,040.5 | | 229,262.8 | | 234,178.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Bonds | | | | | | | | | | |
Investment Debenture | | 41,498.6 | | 80,631.2 | | 120,585.6 | | 156,968.0 | | 219,969.9 |
Land | | 439.6 | | 546.5 | | 560.2 | | 418.2 | | 547.9 |
US$ Denominated | | 27,920.3 | | 45,955.7 | | 48,919.1 | | 52,872.5 | | 49,583.5 |
US$ Indexed | | 29,574.4 | | 51,174.8 | | 39,915.8 | | 30,381.4 | | 24,331.8 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 99,432.9 | | 178,308.2 | | 209,980.7 | | 240,640.1 | | 294,433.1 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Loans | | | | | | | | | | |
Commercial Banks | | 5,652.0 | | 6,616.5 | | 11,649.5 | | 9,344.8 | | 7,543.0 |
Other (including Public Sector) | | 1,028.5 | | 0.2 | | 1,291.3 | | 851.5 | | 518.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 6,680.5 | | 6,616.7 | | 12,940.8 | | 10,196.3 | | 8,061.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 351,106.7 | | 417,834.3 | | 446,961.9 | | 480,099.2 | | 536,673.1 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning.
The following table shows the amortization schedule for domestic debt outstanding as at March 31, 2007:
Domestic Debt Amortization Schedule
as at March 31, 2007
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2007 | | 2008 | | 2009 | | 2010 | | 2011 |
| | (in millions of J$) |
Bonds(1) | | 52,637.0 | | 64,677.4 | | 60,121.6 | | 49,982.4 | | 43,552.2 |
Loans | | 2,845.7 | | 2,715.9 | | 1,936.3 | | 563.3 | | 325.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 55,482.7 | | 67,393.3 | | 62,057.6 | | 50,545.7 | | 43,877.9 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning.
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The following table shows the interest schedule for domestic debt outstanding as at March 31, 2007:
Central Government Domestic Debt Interest Schedule
as at March 31, 2007
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2007 | | 2008 | | 2009 | | 2010 | | 2011 |
| | (in millions of J$) |
Bonds(1) | | 45,025.8 | | 50,772.0 | | 41,815.4 | | 34,371.9 | | 28,631.1 |
Loans | | 813.9 | | 649.6 | | 304.6 | | 91.7 | | 46.2 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 45,839.7 | | 51,421.6 | | 42,120.0 | | 34,463.6 | | 28,677.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning.
The following table shows the maturity structure of domestic debt outstanding as at December 31, 2006:
Domestic Debt Maturity Structure
as at December 31, 2006
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Less than 1 year | | 1-5 years(1) | | 5-10 years(1) | | 10 years & over (2) | | Total |
| | (in millions of J$) |
Local Registered Stocks | | 14,131.8 | | 97,492.1 | | 60,756.8 | | 57,597.6 | | 229,978.3 |
Treasury Bills | | 4,200.0 | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | 4,200.0 |
Land Bonds | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | 547.9 | | 547.9 |
Debentures | | 45,127.2 | | 96,808.3 | | 34,204.3 | | 43,830.1 | | 219,969.9 |
US$ Indexed Bonds | | 13,276.7 | | 11,055.1 | | N/A | | N/A | | 24,331.8 |
US$ Denominated Bonds | | 10,985.2 | | 37,926.8 | | N/A | | 671.5 | | 49,583.5 |
Euro Denominated Bonds | | N/A | | 340.1 | | N/A | | N/A | | 340.1 |
Loans | | 2,443.9 | | 5,182.2 | | 48.5 | | 46.8 | | 7,721.4 |
Other | | N/A | | N/A | | N/A | | 0.2 | | 0.2 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 90,164.8 | | 248,804.6 | | 95,009.6 | | 102,694.1 | | 536,673.1 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning.
The following table shows the interest rate composition of domestic debt outstanding as at December 31, 2006:
Domestic Debt Interest Rate Composition
as at December 31, 2006
| | | | |
| | Principal Amount Outstanding | | Share of Outstanding Debt |
| | (in millions of J$) | | (%) |
Variable Rate Debt | | 320,845.7 | | 59.8 |
Fixed Rate Debt | | 215,437.8 | | 40.1 |
Non Interest-Bearing Debt | | 389.6 | | 0.1 |
| | | | |
Total Debt | | 536,673.1 | | 100.00 |
| | | | |
External Debt
At December 31, 2006, public sector external debt was US$5,795.6 million, an increase of 7.8% from December 31, 2005. At December 31, 2006, 75.6% of public sector external debt was denominated in US dollars, 18.6% was denominated in Euro and 3.0% was denominated in Japanese yen.
At March 31, 2007, the stock of external debt was US$6,035.3 million, of which 75.6% was denominated in US dollars, 18.8% was denominated in Euro and 3.0% was denominated in Japanese yen.
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Bond issues of US$3,449.0 million represented the largest creditor category of Jamaica’s public sector external debt, accounting for 59.5% of total external indebtedness at December 31, 2006. Bilateral and multilateral obligations accounted for 33.5% of external debt at December 31, 2006. Multilateral indebtedness was US$1,224.9 million at December 31, 2006.
Due to a reduction in the Government’s investment program, the Government’s budgetary allocations to projects supported by IDB loans, fell significantly. This situation delayed the project execution, extended the project timelines and, in some cases, even prevented the achievement of the Inter-American Development Bank’s development objectives. As a result, the Inter-American Development Bank has limited its lending program and recently approved a new country strategy for Jamaica for the period 2006-2009, in which the bank links its loans to budget support rather than investment loans, committing to increase its loan portfolio by an additional US$125 million (US$90 million for budget support and US$35 million for direct lending to the private sector). Traditional investment loans may also be used if joint agreement is reached between the bank and the Government.
In August 2000, Jamaica raised US$225 million through an offering of 12.75% fixed rate notes due 2007. Jamaica made further issuances in May 2001 of US$400 million 11.75% fixed rate notes due 2011 and in December 2001 of US$250 million 11.625% fixed rate notes due 2022. In June 2002, Jamaica registered a US$700 million shelf registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and subsequently in June 2002, issued US$300 million 10.625% notes due 2017 off that shelf. On October 14, 2003, Jamaica issued a US$50 million 9.0% fixed rate bond maturing October 2008 which was distributed among investors in the Caribbean. In February 2004, Jamaica issued €200 million 10.5% fixed rate notes due 2009. In March 2004, Jamaica issued US$50 million 9.5% fixed rate notes maturing September 2008. In April 2004, US$125 million was raised through the re-opening of the existing US$300 million 10.625% bonds due 2017. In July 2004, Jamaica issued €200 million 11% bonds due 2012 and in October 2004, €150 million 10.5% bonds due 2014, with both issuances placed primarily with investors in Europe. In June 2005, Jamaica raised US$300 million through an offering of 9.0% fixed rate notes due 2015. In October 2005, Jamaica made further issuances of 9.25% US$250 million notes due 2025 and in February 2006, 8.50% US$250 million notes due 2036. In March 2007, Jamaica issued US$350 million 8.0% fixed rate amortizing notes due 2039.
In January 2003, Jamaica issued a US$40 million guarantee with respect to a bridge loan for the Highway 2000 Project to build a toll road across Jamaica. In January 2004, the bridge financing was replaced by a government-guaranteed US$75 million long-term loan facility. In July 2005, Jamaica issued US$325 million in guarantees with respect to loans to facilitate the financial restructuring of Air Jamaica Limited, the national airline. In December 2006, Jamaica issued US$200 million in guarantees with respect to loans to facilitate the restructuring of certain indebtedness of Clarendon Alumina Production Limited, a bauxite refiner wholly owned by Jamaica.
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The following table shows medium and long-term public sector external debt by creditor category for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
External Debt by Creditor
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 |
| | (in millions of US$) |
Bilateral | | | | | | | | | | |
OECD | | 914.1 | | 894.0 | | 871.2 | | 726.9 | | 624.1 |
Non-OECD | | 98.7 | | 85.7 | | 66.6 | | 69.9 | | 93.9 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 1,012.8 | | 979.7 | | 937.8 | | 796.8 | | 718.0 |
Multilateral | | | | | | | | | | |
IADB(1) | | 520.4 | | 495.7 | | 617.6 | | 614.5 | | 569.3 |
IMF(2) | | 28.5 | | 12.1 | | 0.9 | | 0.0 | | 0.0 |
IBRD(3) | | 488.0 | | 454.1 | | 428.6 | | 404.6 | | 373.0 |
Other | | 187.7 | | 201.8 | | 260.2 | | 263.4 | | 282.6 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 1,224.6 | | 1,163.7 | | 1,307.3 | | 1,282.5 | | 1,224.9 |
Commercial Banks | | 45.0 | | 96.6 | | 232.4 | | 223.2 | | 282.0 |
Other Commercial | | 252.4 | | 259.7 | | 245.8 | | 146.5 | | 121.8 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 297.4 | | 356.3 | | 478.2 | | 369.7 | | 403.8 |
Bonds | | 1,812.6 | | 1,692.4 | | 2,397.1 | | 2,926.4 | | 3,449.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 4,347.5 | | 4,192.1 | | 5,120.4 | | 5,375.4 | | 5,795.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Inter-American Development Bank. |
(2) | International Monetary Fund. |
(3) | International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning.
The following table shows Jamaica’s external debt by debtor for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
External Debt by Debtor
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 |
| | (in millions of US$) |
Government Direct | | 3,973.7 | | 3,798.3 | | 4,586.3 | | 4,635.8 | | 4,878.7 |
Government-Guaranteed | | 339.6 | | 375.9 | | 528.9 | | 735.9 | | 915.3 |
Bank of Jamaica | | 34.2 | | 17.9 | | 5.2 | | 3.7 | | 1.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 4,347.5 | | 4,192.1 | | 5,120.4 | | 5,375.4 | | 5,795.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning.
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The following table shows the amortization schedule for external debt outstanding as at March 31, 2007:
External Debt Principal Amortization Schedule
as at March 31, 2007
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2007 | | 2008 | | 2009 | | 2010 | | 2011 | | 2012 |
| | (in millions of US$) |
Multilateral | | | | | | | | | | | | |
IADB | | 55.8 | | 70.5 | | 67.9 | | 64.5 | | 58.6 | | 52.7 |
IBRD | | 35.9 | | 46.6 | | 48.8 | | 41.4 | | 36.2 | | 35.4 |
Other | | 22.8 | | 36.1 | | 32.4 | | 28.7 | | 26.6 | | 27.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 113.5 | | 153.7 | | 149.1 | | 134.6 | | 121.4 | | 115.1 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Commercial Banks | | 70.0 | | 32.6 | | 30.0 | | 28.5 | | 24.7 | | 20.5 |
Other Commercial | | 8.7 | | 8.0 | | 10.2 | | 5.0 | | 5.0 | | 5.0 |
Bonds | | 236.9 | | 117.4 | | 314.5 | | 30.0 | | 438.1 | | 14.3 |
Bilateral | | 78.0 | | 101.8 | | 77.6 | | 68.2 | | 63.8 | | 58.4 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 507.1 | | 413.0 | | 581.4 | | 275.3 | | 653.0 | | 513.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning.
The following table shows the interest schedule for external debt outstanding as at March 31, 2007:
External Debt Interest Schedule
as at March 31, 2007
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2007 | | 2008 | | 2009 | | 2010 | | 2011 | | 2012 |
| | (in millions of US$) |
Multilateral | | | | | | | | | | | | |
IADB | | 29.5 | | 37.1 | | 33.6 | | 30.4 | | 27.2 | | 23.9 |
IBRD | | 12.2 | | 21.6 | | 19.4 | | 17.0 | | 14.8 | | 12.7 |
Other | | 10.6 | | 16.7 | | 15.5 | | 13.9 | | 12.5 | | 11.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 52.3 | | 75.4 | | 68.5 | | 61.3 | | 54.5 | | 47.9 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Commercial Banks | | 24.6 | | 40.8 | | 39.0 | | 37.5 | | 36.2 | | 15.3 |
Other Commercial | | 0.9 | | 1.0 | | 0.8 | | 0.6 | | 0.5 | | 0.3 |
Bonds | | 277.9 | | 332.6 | | 320.8 | | 288.1 | | 261.5 | | 231.1 |
Bilateral | | 17.6 | | 21.7 | | 16.4 | | 13.9 | | 11.7 | | 9.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 373.3 | | 471.5 | | 445.5 | | 401.4 | | 364.4 | | 327.3 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning.
The following table shows the maturity structure for external debt outstanding as at December 31, 2006:
Total External Debt Maturity Structure
as at December 31, 2006
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Less than 1 year | | 1-5 years | | 5-10 years | | 10 years & over | | Total |
| | (in millions of US$) |
Bilateral | | 1.0 | | 97.6 | | 242.7 | | 376.7 | | 718.0 |
Multilateral | | 4.2 | | 97.5 | | 108.2 | | 1,015.1 | | 1,224.9 |
IADB | | 0.0 | | 15.2 | | 36.6 | | 517.7 | | 569.4 |
IBRD | | 1.0 | | 57.3 | | 30.0 | | 284.5 | | 372.9 |
Other | | 3.1 | | 25.0 | | 41.7 | | 212.9 | | 282.6 |
Commercial Bank | | 33.9 | | 40.4 | | 64.4 | | 143.3 | | 282.0 |
Other Commercial | | 2.8 | | 86.2 | | 32.8 | | 0.0 | | 121.8 |
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| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Less than 1 year | | 1-5 years | | 5-10 years | | 10 years & over | | Total |
| | (in millions of US$) |
Bonds | | 225.0 | | 763.3 | | 1,085.7 | | 1,375.0 | | 3,449.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 266.2 | | 1,084.9 | | 1,533.8 | | 2,910.1 | | 5,795.6 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning.
The following table shows the interest rate composition of external debt outstanding as at December 31, 2006:
External Debt Interest Rate Composition
as at December 31, 2006
| | | | |
| | Principal Amount Outstanding | | Share of Outstanding Debt |
| | (in millions of US$) | | (%) |
Variable Rate Debt | | 1,298.2 | | 22.4 |
Fixed Rate Debt | | 4,497.4 | | 77.6 |
| | | | |
Total Debt | | 5,795.6 | | 100.0 |
| | | | |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning.
Debt Service Indicators
Public sector external debt as a percentage of GDP decreased to 57.1% at December 31, 2006 from 57.4% at December 31, 2005. External debt as a percentage of exports of goods and services declined to 85.4% at December 31, 2006 from 90.7% at December 31, 2005. External debt service payments as a percentage of exports of goods and services decreased to 15.2% during 2006 from 15.2% during 2005.
The following table shows public sector external debt indicators for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Debt Indicators
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 |
| | (in millions of US$, except percentages) |
External Debt Service Principal | | 506.9 | | 500.4 | | 493.4 | | 543.0 | | 258.8 |
Interest | | 291.3 | | 312.4 | | 302.8 | | 358.2 | | 385.6 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | 798.2 | | 812.8 | | 796.2 | | 901.2 | | 644.4 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Exports of Goods and Services(1) | | 4,432.5 | | 5,047.5 | | 5,534.0 | | 5,929.0 | | 6,789.4 |
External Debt Service Ratio (%) | | 18.0 | | 16.1 | | 14.4 | | 15.2 | | 9.5 |
Interest on External Debt/Exports of Goods and Services (%)(1) | | 6.6 | | 6.2 | | 5.5 | | 6.0 | | 5.7 |
External Debt Outstanding/Exports of Goods and Services (%)(1) | | 98.1 | | 83.1 | | 92.5 | | 90.6 | | 85.4 |
External Debt/GDP (%)(2) | | 54.4 | | 54.2 | | 59.1 | | 57.4 | | 57.1 |
Domestic Debt/GDP (%)(3) | | 86.1 | | 89.0 | | 83.7 | | 79.4 | | 78.7 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total Debt/GDP (%)(2) | | 140.5 | | 143.8 | | 142.8 | | 136.7 | | 135.8 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | Exports of goods, services and current transfers. |
(2) | Calculated by converting external debt to Jamaica dollars using the end of period exchange rate. |
(3) | Calculated using Jamaica dollars. |
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning and Bank of Jamaica.
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Debt Records
Jamaica has never defaulted on any of its external or domestic debt obligations, which under the Jamaican Constitution are paid without any requirement of Parliamentary approval, directly from revenue and assets of Jamaica, before funds are available to Jamaica for other policies and programs. In the last ten years, Jamaica has been involved in only one debt restructuring.
On January 25, 1993, Jamaica entered into a multi-year debt service rescheduling arrangement with the Paris Club comprised of OECD creditor governments and their agencies. This accord spanned the 36-month consolidation period from October 1, 1992 through September 30, 1995. Pursuant to the Paris Club Accord, the parties finalized the single outstanding bilateral implementing agreement in January 1996.
In March 1996, Jamaica formally completed a three-year extended fund facility with the International Monetary Fund.
External Public and Publicly Guaranteed Debt (including Bank of Jamaica debt)(1)
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Interest | | | Issue Date | | Final Maturity | | Currencies | | Principal Amount Outstanding at March 31, 2007 |
| | % | | | | | | | | | (in US$) |
Multilateral Organizations | | | | | | | | | | | |
World Bank | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD, JPK, GBP, CAD, EUR | | 366,254,562 |
Inter-American Dev. Bank | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD, JPK, GBP, CAD, EUR | | 530,496,062 |
Others | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD, JPK, GBP, CAD, EUR, SDR | | 279,434,775 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Multilateral Organizations | | | | | | | | | | | 1,209,185,399 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Foreign Governments (including Original Loans and Paris Club) | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD, JPK, GBP, CAD, EUR | | 702,950,747 |
Bonds (Global) USD | | | | | | | | | | | |
USD400 mn 2011 | | 11.75 | % | | May 1, 2001 | | May 15, 2011 | | USD | | 400,000,000 |
USD300 mn + USD125 mn 2017 | | 10.63 | % | | June 20, 2002 | | June 20, 2017 | | USD | | 425,000,000 |
USD250 mn 2022 | | 11.63 | % | | Dec. 19, 2001 | | Jan. 15, 2022 | | USD | | 250,000,000 |
USD50 mn 2008 | | 9.00 | % | | Oct 14, 2003 | | Oct 14, 2008 | | USD | | 50,000,000 |
USD225 mn 2007 | | 12.75 | % | | Sept. 1, 2000 | | Sept. 1, 2007 | | USD | | 225,000,000 |
USD50 mn 2008 | | 9.50 | % | | March 5, 2004 | | Sept. 8, 2008 | | USD | | 50,000,000 |
USD300 mn 2015 | | 9.0 | % | | June 2, 2005 | | June 2, 2015 | | USD | | 300,000,000 |
USD250 mn 2025 | | 9.25 | % | | October 18, 2005 | | October 18, 2025 | | USD | | 250,000,000 |
USD250 mn 2036 | | 8.50 | % | | February 28, 2006 | | February 28, 2006 | | USD | | 250,000,000 |
USD125 mn 2015 | | Variable | | | July 2005 | | July 2015 | | USD | | 125,000,000 |
USD200 mn 2015 | | 9.375 | % | | July 2005 | | July 2015 | | USD | | 200,000,000 |
USD200 mn 2021 | | 8.5 | % | | Nov. 16, 2006 | | Nov. 16, 2021 | | USD | | 200,000,000 |
USD150 mn 2039 | | 8.0 | % | | March 15, 2007 | | March 15, 2039 | | USD | | 350,000,000 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total (Global) USD | | | | | | | | | | | 3,075,000,000 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
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| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Interest | | | Issue Date | | Final Maturity | | Currencies | | Principal Amount Outstanding at March 31, 2007 |
| | % | | | | | | | | | (in US$) |
Bonds (EUR) | | | | | | | | | | | |
EUR200 mn 2012 | | 11.00 | % | | July 27, 2004 | | July 27, 2012 | | EUR | | 266,660,000 |
EUR150 mn 2014 | | 10.50 | % | | Oct. 27, 2004 | | Oct. 27, 2014 | | EUR | | 199,995,000 |
EUR200 mn 2009 | | 10.50 | % | | Feb. 11, 2004 | | Feb. 11, 2009 | | EUR | | 266,660,000 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total (EUR) | | | | | | | | | | | 733,315,000 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Commercial Banks | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD | | 275,187,530 |
Other Commercial (Export Credit) | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD, JPK, GBP, CAD, EUR | | 39,705,497 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | 6,035,344,173 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | LEGEND: USD = United States Dollar; CAD = Canadian Dollar; JPK = Japanese Yen; EUR = Euro; SDR = Special Drawing Rights. |
External Public Debt(1)
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Interest | | | Issue Date | | Final Maturity | | Currencies | | Principal Amount Outstanding at March 31, 2007 |
| | % | | | | | | | | | (in US$) |
Multilateral Organizations | | | | | | | | | | | |
World Bank | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD, JPK, GBP, CAD, EUR | | 366,254,562 |
Inter-American Dev. Bank | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD, JPK, GBP, CAD, EUR, UOA | | 530,616,606 |
Others | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD, JPK, GBP, CAD, EUR, SDR | | 183,952,890 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Multilateral Organizations | | | | | | | | | | | 1,080,824,058 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Foreign Governments (including Original Loans and Paris Club) | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD, JPK, GBP, CAD, EUR | | 684,314,818 |
Bonds (Global) USD | | | | | | | | | | | |
USD400 mn 2011 | | 11.75 | % | | May 1, 2001 | | May 15, 2011 | | USD | | 400,000,000 |
USD300 mn+US$125 mn 2017 | | 10.63 | % | | June 20, 2002 | | June 20, 2017 | | USD | | 425,000,000 |
USD250 mn 2022 | | 11.63 | % | | Dec. 19, 2001 | | Jan. 15, 2022 | | USD | | 250,000,000 |
USD50 mn 2008 | | 9.00 | % | | Oct 14, 2003 | | Oct 14, 2008 | | USD | | 50,000,000 |
USD225 mn 2007 | | 12.75 | % | | Sept. 1, 2000 | | Sept. 1, 2007 | | USD | | 225,000,000 |
USD50 mn 2008 | | 9.50 | % | | March 5, 2004 | | Sept. 8, 2008 | | USD | | 50,000,000 |
USD300 mn 2015 | | 9.0 | % | | June 2, 2005 | | June 2, 2015 | | USD | | 300,000,000 |
USD250 mn 2025 | | 9.25 | % | | October 18, 2005 | | October 17, 2025 | | USD | | 250,000,000 |
USD250 mn 2036 | | 8.50 | % | | February 28, 2006 | | February 28, 2036 | | USD | | 250,000,000 |
USD350 mn 2039 | | 8.0 | % | | March 15, 2007 | | March 15, 2039 | | USD | | 350,000,000 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total (Global) USD | | | | | | | | | | | 2,550,000,000 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Bond (EUR) | | | | | | | | | | | |
EUR 200 mn 2012 | | 11.00 | % | | July 27, 2004 | | July 27, 2012 | | EUR | | 266,660,000 |
EUR 150 mn 2014 | | 10.50 | % | | Feb. 11, 2004 | | Feb. 11, 2009 | | EUR | | 199,995,000 |
EUR 200 mn 2009 | | 10.50 | % | | Oct. 27, 2004 | | Oct. 27, 2014 | | EUR | | 266,660,000 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | 733,315,000 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Commercial Banks | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD | | 127,591,244 |
Other Commercial (Export Credit) | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD | | 34,287,247 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | 5,210,332,367 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | LEGEND: USD = United States Dollar; CAD = Canadian Dollar; JPK = Japanese Yen; EUR = Euro; SDR = Special Drawing Rights, which are units of measure derived from a group of currencies which constitute the International Monetary Fund loan portfolio; UOA = Units of Accounts, which are units of measure derived from a group of currencies which constitute the Inter-American Development Bank loan portfolio; GBP = British Pound Sterling. |
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External Guaranteed Debt(1)
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Interest | | | Issue Date | | Final Maturity | | Currencies | | Principal Amount Outstanding at March 31, 2007 |
| | % | | | | | | | | | (in US$) |
Multilateral Organizations | | | | | | | | | | | |
Inter-American Dev. Bank | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD | | 32,881,456 |
Others | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD, EUR | | 95,479,885 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Multilateral Organizations | | | | | | | | | | | 128,361,341 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Foreign Governments (including Original Loans) | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD | | 17,315,660 |
Commercial Banks | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD | | 147,596,286 |
Other Commercial (Export Credit) | | Various | | | Various | | Various | | USD, CAD | | 5,418,250 |
Bonds | | | | | | | | | | | |
US$ 125 million due 2015 | | Variable | | | July 2005 | | July 2015 | | USD | | 125,000,000 |
US$ 200 million due 2015 | | 9.375 | % | | July 2005 | | July 2015 | | USD | | 200,000,000 |
US$ 200 million due 2021 | | 8.5 | % | | November 2006 | | November 2006 | | USD | | 200,000,000 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | 823,691,537 |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | LEGEND: USD = United States Dollar; CAD = Canadian Dollar; EUR = Euro. |
Bank of Jamaica Debt(1)
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | Interest | | Issue Date | | Final Maturity | | Currencies | | Principal Amount Outstanding at April 30, 2007 |
| | % | | | | | | | | (in US$) |
Foreign Governments (including Original Loans) | | Various | | Various | | Various | | USD | | 1,320,270 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | 1,320,270 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
(1) | LEGEND: USD = United States Dollar; SDR = Special Drawing Rights. |
D-49
Summary Economic Information
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | | 2003 | | | 2004 | | | 2005 | | | 2006 | |
| | (in millions of US$, except where noted) | |
DOMESTIC SECTOR(1) | | | |
Nominal Gross Domestic Product (J$ millions) | | 229,984.0 | | | 235,190.4 | | | 237,475.1 | | | 240,863.5 | | | 246,814.0 | |
Nominal GDP (US$ millions)(2) | | 4,719.4 | | | 4,037.9 | | | 3,866.7 | | | 3,850.4 | | | 3,739.6 | |
Percent Change in Real GDP | | 1.1 | | | 2.3 | | | 1.0 | | | 1.4 | | | 2.5 | |
GDP per capita (J$/person) | | 87,881.0 | | | 89,465.0 | | | 89,847.0 | | | 90,802.0 | | | 92,533.0 | |
Inflation | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Consumer Price Index (Percent Change) | | 7.3 | | | 14.1 | | | 13.7 | | | 12.9 | | | 5.8 | |
Interest Rates (Percent) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Weighted Average Loan Rate | | 18.3 | | | 19.3 | | | 17.7 | | | 17.3 | | | 17.6 | |
Weighted Average Deposit Rate | | 8.9 | | | 8.7 | | | 7.8 | | | 7.0 | | | 6.6 | |
Treasury Bill Yield(3) | | 17.0 | | | 22.1 | | | 14.9 | | | 13.6 | | | 12.3 | |
Unemployment Rate (Percent)(4) | | 14.2 | | | 11.4 | | | 11.7 | | | 11.3 | | | 10.3 | |
EXTERNAL SECTOR | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Average Annual Nominal Exchange Rate (J$/US$) | | 48.7 | | | 58.2 | | | 61.4 | | | 62.6 | | | 66.0 | |
Export of Goods | | 1,309.1 | | | 1,385.6 | | | 1,601.6 | | | 1,664.3 | | | 2,117.3 | |
Alumina | | 603.8 | | | 688.9 | | | 814.6 | | | 920.3 | | | 1,040.5 | |
Sugar | | 66.2 | | | 66.3 | | | 98.1 | | | 76.8 | | | 89.7 | |
Imports of Goods | | 3,179.6 | | | 3,328.2 | | | 3,546.1 | | | 4,245.6 | | | 5,062.2 | |
Goods Balance | | (1,870.5 | ) | | (1,942.6 | ) | | (1,944.5 | ) | | (2,581.3 | ) | | (2,944.9 | ) |
Current Account Balance | | (1,074.4 | ) | | (772.6 | ) | | (509.4 | ) | | (1,078.7 | ) | | (1,097.0 | ) |
Net Foreign Direct Investments | | 404.9 | | | 604.4 | | | 549.3 | | | 581.5 | | | n.a. | |
Increase/(Decrease) in Reserves | | (243.7 | ) | | (432.0 | ) | | 693.5 | | | 228.9 | | | 230.2 | |
Net International Reserves of the Bank of Jamaica | | 1,597.0 | | | 1,165.0 | | | 1,858.5 | | | 2,087.4 | | | 2,317.6 | |
Weeks of Coverage of Goods Imports(5) | | 29.1 | | | 18.3 | | | 27.8 | | | 27.0 | | | 25.0 | |
PUBLIC FINANCE (J$ millions)(6) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Revenue and Grants | | 118,458.4 | | | 151,434.4 | | | 172,798.3 | | | 186,684.2 | | | 211,625.0 | |
Expenditure | | 149,029.0 | | | 178,732.2 | | | 199,487.8 | | | 207,724.1 | | | 249,101.0 | |
Fiscal Surplus (Deficit) | | (30,570.6 | ) | | (27,297.8 | ) | | (26,689.5 | ) | | (21,039.9 | ) | | (37,476.0 | ) |
Percent of GDP | | (7.3 | ) | | (5.6 | ) | | (4.9 | ) | | (3.3 | ) | | (5.3 | ) |
Primary Surplus | | 31,549.9 | | | 60,871.7 | | | 66,094.7 | | | 67,255.7 | | | 60,341.9 | |
Primary Surplus as a percent of GDP | | 7.6 | | | 12.3 | | | 12.0 | | | 10.5 | | | 8.5 | |
Loan Receipts | | 107,417.4 | | | 132,764.7 | | | 149,680.4 | | | 184,708.9 | | | 161,448.8 | |
Amortization | | 89,917.3 | | | 97,621.7 | | | 129,753.7 | | | 139,971.2 | | | 122,049.7 | |
Overall Surplus (Deficit) | | (13,070.5 | ) | | 7,845.2 | | | (6,762.8 | ) | | 23,697.8 | | | 1,923.1 | |
Overall Public Sector Surplus (Deficit)(7) | | (46,281.7 | ) | | (16,190.9 | ) | | (35,419.4 | ) | | (41,256.4 | ) | | (23,425.5 | ) |
Overall Public Sector Surplus (Deficit) as a percent of GDP | | (11.1 | ) | | (3.3 | ) | | (6.7 | ) | | (4.5 | ) | | (8.6 | ) |
PUBLIC DEBT | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Domestic Debt (J$ millions)(8) | | 351,106.7 | | | 417,834.3 | | | 446,961.9 | | | 480,099.2 | | | 536,673.1 | |
Percent of GDP | | 86.1 | | | 89.0 | | | 83.7 | | | 79.4 | | | 78.7 | |
Public Sector External Debt | | 4,347.5 | | | 4,192.1 | | | 5,120.4 | | | 5,375.5 | | | 5,795.6 | |
Percent of GDP | | 54.4 | | | 54.2 | | | 59.1 | | | 57.4 | | | 57.1 | |
Total Public Sector Debt | | 572,696.7 | | | 671,956.9 | | | 762,534.6 | | | 827,253.9 | | | 925,842.8 | |
Percent of GDP | | 140.5 | | | 143.2 | | | 142.8 | | | 136.7 | | | 135.8 | |
External Debt Service Ratio | | 18.0 | | | 16.1 | | | 14.4 | | | 15.2 | | | 9.5 | |
TOURISM | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Visitor Arrivals | | 2,131,785 | | | 2,482,881 | | | 2,514,559 | | | 2,614,506 | | | 3,015,358.0 | |
Occupancy Rate (% Hotel Rooms) | | 56.3 | | | 55.5 | | | 57.9 | | | 61.4 | | | 62.1 | |
Visitor Expenditures(9) | | 1,209.0 | | | 1,351.0 | | | 1,437.0 | | | 1,545.0 | | | 1,887.0 | |
(1) | The gross domestic product series has been revised. This revision was made in order to capture the changing structure of industries in the manufacturing, financial and insurance services, business services and the miscellaneous services sectors. In addition, the base year has been changed from 1986 to 1996. |
(2) | Calculated using the average annual exchange rate. |
(3) | Tenors of Treasury Bills are approximately 182 days. |
(4) | Includes all persons without jobs, whether actively seeking employment or not. In 2003, three labor force surveys were conducted (in April, July and October). Only two labor force surveys were conducted in each of 2001 (in January and April) and 2002 (in April and October). Accordingly, for the purpose of comparison, the figures for 2001, 2002 and 2003 represent only two quarters for each year. |
(5) | Calculated on the basis of gross international reserves. |
(6) | Fiscal year data from April 1 to March 31. For example, 2003 refers to the period April 1, 2002 to March 31, 2003. |
(7) | Overall Public Sector comprises the central government, the Bank of Jamaica, governmental statutory bodies and authorities and government-owned companies. |
(8) | Does not include contingent liabilities in the form of guarantees of certain obligations of public entities. |
Source: Bank of Jamaica, Statistical Institute of Jamaica, Ministry of Finance and Planning and Jamaica Tourist Board.
D-50
THE MONETARY SYSTEM
Bank of Jamaica
The Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) was established in 1960 pursuant to the Bank of Jamaica Act 1960 and commenced operations in 1961. The Bank of Jamaica Act, together with the Banking Act 1992, the Financial Institutions Act, the Building Societies Act and the Bank of Jamaica (Building Societies) Regulations provides the Bank of Jamaica with the statutory authority for regulating the activities of the banking system. Amendments to the Bank of Jamaica Act designed to give greater autonomy to the Bank of Jamaica were drafted and tabled in Parliament.
Amendments to the Banking Act and the Bank of Jamaica Act designed to strengthen the Bank of Jamaica’s oversight in banking activities became law in October 1997 and March 2002, respectively. Amendments to the Financial Institutions Act, which regulates other financial institutions such as finance houses and merchant banks, and the Building Societies Act, which regulates building societies, also became law in October 1997 and March 2002, respectively. See “—The Financial System” and “—Legislation and Regulation”. Amendments to the Bank of Jamaica Act, subjecting money transmitters and remittance agencies to licensing regimes and regulations comparable to those applicable to other institutions that deal with approved foreign currency, became law in January 2004. These amendments will bring Jamaica in line with the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF) 40 revised recommendations
In addition to its operations relating to the issue and redemption of currency and as banker to Jamaica, the Bank of Jamaica’s primary role has shifted to the development and implementation of monetary policies aimed at achieving Jamaica’s inflation objectives and maintaining long-term stability in the foreign exchange market. As the banking supervisory authority, the Bank of Jamaica is also required to ensure the soundness and development of the financial system pursuant to the Banking Act, the Financial Institutions Act and the Building Societies Act and BOJ (Building Societies) Regulations.
Money Supply and Interest Rates
The monetary base expanded by 17.3% in 2006, following increases of 9.7% and 11.2% in 2005 and 2004, respectively. The monetary base comprises currency issue in the hands of the public, plus vault cash held in the banking system, statutory cash reserves and demand deposits of commercial banks held at the Bank of Jamaica. The faster growth rate in 2006 was primarily reflected in a faster rate of increase in currency in circulation relative to 2005. Money supply (M2) grew by 12.3% in 2006, relative to growth of 8.0% in 2005 and 15.2% in 2004. The expansion in M2 in 2006 was largely reflected in an increase in narrow money, which is comprised of currency in circulation and demand deposits. Currency in circulation and demand deposits increased by 20.8% and 19.9%, respectively, in 2006.
Following an increase in the rates on the Bank of Jamaica’s open market instruments in March 2003, the commercial banks weighted average loan rate increased from 18.3% at December 31, 2002 to 19.3% at December 31, 2003. Since then, with reductions in the rates on the Bank of Jamaica’s open market instruments, the weighted average loan rate declined to 17.6% at the December 31, 2006.
D-51
The following tables show determinants of money supply and interest rates for the five years ended December 31, 2006:
Money Supply
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 |
| | (in millions of J$) |
Narrow Money (M1) | | 51,480.8 | | 55,254.6 | | 67,823.4 | | 72,736.2 | | 86,885.5 |
Currency | | 20,366.2 | | 23,145.5 | | 26,643.7 | | 29,630.2 | | 35,780.8 |
Quasi-Money(1) | | 113,539.3 | | 128,238.0 | | 143,608.9 | | 155,584.4 | | 169,527.3 |
Monetary Base(2) | | 35,757.8 | | 40,526.4 | | 45,055.6 | | 49,417.7 | | 57,975.5 |
Broad Money (M2) | | 165,020.2 | | 183,492.6 | | 211,432.3 | | 228,320.6 | | 256,412.8 |
(1) | Quasi-money comprises time deposits and savings deposits. |
(2) | The monetary base comprises currency issue in the hands of the public, plus vault cash held in the banking system, statutory cash reserves and demand deposits of commercial banks held at the Bank of Jamaica. |
Source: Bank of Jamaica.
Interest Rates
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2002 | | 2003 | | 2004 | | 2005 | | 2006 |
| | (%) |
Weighted Average Loan Rate | | 18.3 | | 19.3 | | 17.7 | | 17.3 | | 17.6 |
Weighted Average Time Deposit Rate | | 8.9 | | 8.7 | | 7.8 | | 7.0 | | 6.6 |
Treasury Bill Yield(1) | | 17.0 | | 22.1 | | 14.9 | | 13.6 | | 12.3 |
(1) | Tenors of treasury bills are approximately 182 days. |
Source: Bank of Jamaica.
During the five years ending December 31, 2006, the yield on 182-day treasury bills increased from 17.0% in 2002 to 22.1% in 2003, and in subsequent years declined to reach a low of 12.3% in 2006. At December 31, 2006, the treasury bill yield was 12.3% for bills of 92 days maturity. The reduction in yields in 2006 was consistent with the continued increase in investor confidence.
The Bank of Jamaica monitors the level of liquid assets outstanding to ensure that at all times supervised financial institutions meet their statutory liquidity obligations. The liquid assets requirement for deposit taking institutions was 23.0% at December 31, 2006 and commercial banks held excess liquid assets of J$31.7 billion above the statutory minimum requirements.
In the summer of 1998, the Bank of Jamaica announced its medium-term goal to reduce cash reserve requirements for commercial banks. As a first step towards meeting this goal, the Bank of Jamaica reduced in increments the reserve requirement for commercial banks from 25% prior to August 1998 to 17% in May 1999, thereby equalizing the cash reserve requirement for commercial banks and other deposit-taking institutions. Having equalized the cash reserve requirement, further reductions were gradually effected, resulting in an overall reduction to 9.0% at December 31, 2006.
The Financial System
Jamaica’s financial system is integrated with regional and international financial markets. Since the beginning of the liberalization process in 1991 until 1994, the banking and insurance services sector expanded significantly. Since 1995, however, the financial system has undergone consolidation as a result of a combination of closures and mergers. At December 31, 2006, there were six commercial banks, five merchant banks and finance houses and four building societies in operation in Jamaica. Since then, one institution has surrendered its merchant bank license, bringing to four the number of licensed merchant banks.
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At December 31, 2006, the assets and liabilities of commercial banks amounted to J$438.4 billion, representing a 16.6% increase over December 31, 2005. On the asset side, total loans and advances were J$153.4 billion at December 31, 2006, representing an increase of 16.2% compared to 2005. On the liabilities side, total deposits were J$282.9 billion in 2006, representing an increase of 14.9% compared to 2005.
The total assets and liabilities of deposit-taking financial intermediaries other than commercial banks (i.e., building societies, merchant banks and finance houses) were J$152.3 billion at December 31, 2006, representing an increase of 13.5% over 2005. Outstanding loans and advances in these entities at December 31, 2005 was J$55.2 billion, representing an increase of 22.0% over 2005, while deposits were J$87.6 billion, representing an increase of 15.0% from 2005.
Legislation and Regulation
Laws and regulations governing the financial sector include:
| • | | The Bank of Jamaica Act 1960; |
| • | | The Financial Institutions Act 1992; |
| • | | The Securities Act 1993; |
| • | | The Building Societies Act and the related Bank of Jamaica (Building Societies) Regulations Act 1995; |
| • | | The Industrial and Provident Societies Act and the related Bank of Jamaica (Industrial and Provident Societies) Regulations 1995; |
| • | | The Insurance Act 2001; and |
| • | | The Financial Services Commission Act 2001. |
Parliament amended the Industrial and Provident Societies Act in 1997 to remove the ability of these institutions to accept deposits without the written authority of the Minister of Finance and Planning.
Jamaica implemented upgraded deposit-taking financial legislation in the form of the Financial Institutions Act and the Banking Act in 1992 to provide for, among other things, a standardized legal framework for the operations of commercial banks and other licensed deposit-taking intermediaries, including enhanced minimum capital adequacy standards. In addition, these acts provide the Bank of Jamaica, in certain instances, and the Minister of Finance and Planning, in others, with the means to take actions such as issuing “cease and desist” orders and assuming temporary management of such institutions when there is evidence of unsound banking practices or where the institution’s financial viability is in jeopardy.
In order to strengthen the existing regulatory framework, in light of the difficulties in the financial sector, Parliament passed amendments to the Banking Act, the Financial Institutions Act, the Building Societies Act and the Industrial and Provident Societies Act in October 1997. Some features of these amendments include:
| • | | empowering the Minister of Finance and Planning to take control of the shares of any licensee that is no longer viable, to effect a sale of the licensee’s shares or assets or to restructure the entity in the interest of its depositors; |
| • | | empowering the Supervisor of Banks to issue “cease and desist” orders in respect of financial institutions experiencing problems and to require special audits of these institutions; |
| • | | enhancing the existing “fit and proper” criteria which relate to directors, significant shareholders and senior management of licensees; |
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| • | | tightening credit limits for unsecured lending, and prohibiting the issuance of unsecured credit to any affiliated parties; |
| • | | imposing a lower ceiling on total lending to or investment in all affiliated parties; |
| • | | tightening investment limits; |
| • | | reducing the non-accrual period for interest on non-performing loans from six months to three months; |
| • | | imposing minimum solvency standards and risk-based criteria; |
| • | | specifying the obligations of bank auditors in the presentation of findings and imposing obligations on auditors to report irregularities to the Bank of Jamaica; |
| • | | allowing for the examination of the accounts of holding companies of supervised financial institutions; and |
| • | | prohibiting industrial and provident societies from taking deposits without written authorization from the Minister. |
These revisions provide the Bank of Jamaica, in certain instances, and the Minister, in others, with a wider range of sanctions and greater powers of intervention to use with respect to troubled financial institutions. See also “Public Finance—Financial Sector Restructuring—Improvements in the Legislative Framework”.
In March 2002, further amendments were made to Jamaican banking laws to grant the Bank of Jamaica expanded powers to supervise financial institutions with deposit-taking capability. These amendments include:
| • | | the transfer to the Bank of Jamaica of powers of the Minister to assume temporary management of deposit-taking institutions in the event that the Bank of Jamaica believes that such an intermediary is, or appears, unlikely to meet its obligations; |
| • | | the granting to the Bank of Jamaica of powers to assess fines for specific offenses under the Banking Act and Financial Institutions Act; |
| • | | the granting to the Bank of Jamaica of power to require a deposit taking institution to legally separate its banking operations from investment activities undertaken on behalf of investor clients; |
| • | | the granting to the Bank of Jamaica of power to effectively carry out consolidated supervision of banks and other companies which are members of a group of which the bank is a member; and |
| • | | the broadening of the types of cases in which a bank may disclose information concerning specific customer accounts. |
These revisions have significantly increased the scope of the Bank of Jamaica’s regulatory authority, including its powers of intervention, by expanding the Bank of Jamaica’s ability to temporarily manage troubled financial institutions. See also “Public Finance—Financial Sector Restructuring—Improvements in the Legislative Framework”.
Additionally, on February 12, 2004, amendments were passed to the Bank of Jamaica Act, which effectively brought all operators of remittance companies or agencies under the supervisory ambit of the Bank of Jamaica. The regulatory regime for remittance entities came into effect in July 2005 and involves a licensing requirement that entails fit and proper due diligence checks and assessments of their systems and procedures prior to licensing, as well as both on and off site reviews and assessments.
Supervisory powers were further expanded in March 2005 by amendments to the Bank of Jamaica Act to clarify the Bank of Jamaica’s ability to share information with other Supervisors in keeping with the FATF’s revised 40 Recommendations on Anti-Money Laundering and the Combating of the Financing of Terrorism. Similarly, supervisory powers of sanction were also expanded to expressly deal with breaches by financial institutions of their
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obligations under non-financial statutes under which specific obligations were imposed (e.g., the Money Laundering Act and the Terrorism Prevention Act). This was achieved by amendments to the Banking Act and Financial Institutions Act which were passed into law in December 2004. As regards the Bank of Jamaica (Building Societies) Regulations, the amendments were passed in Parliament in February 2005.
The Money Laundering Act will be repealed and replaced by the Proceeds of Crime Act (POCA), which was passed by Parliament in 2005 and will come into effect upon the expiration of the requisite notice period. See “—Proceeds of Crime Act” below.
Omnibus Bill
Jamaica has identified a need to consolidate the Banking Act, the Financial Institutions Act and the Bank of the Bank of Jamaica (Building Society) Regulations, in tandem with related subsidiary regulations. Accordingly, in 2006, the Bank of Jamaica continued the process of drafting an Omnibus Bill. The new Omnibus Bill will also seek to include all legislative amendments necessary to achieve the fullest possible compliance with the Basel Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision. The Bill will also provide a broader framework for regulation and consolidated supervision with respect to the activities of licensed, deposit-taking entities and their financial holding companies. Revisions to the draft Bill now in process are focused on issues such as: the proposed role of credit bureaus, enhancements to banking supervisory powers with respect to the investigation and prosecution of illegal deposit-taking activities, clarity on the circumstances in which illegal activity will be deemed to have taken place, electronic reporting and consolidated and conglomerate supervision.
Deposit Insurance
In March 1998, Parliament passed the Deposit Insurance Protection Act, designed to protect depositors through the establishment of a Deposit Insurance Scheme, or the Scheme. The Deposit Insurance Act established the Jamaica Deposit Insurance Corporation which administers the Scheme and ultimately the Deposit Insurance Fund, or the Fund. The financial institutions covered under the Scheme are all commercial banks, merchant banks and building societies, and all deposits (excluding government deposits and inter-bank deposits) held at these institutions are insured under the Scheme. The insured institutions must contribute to the Fund by paying initial and annual premium which will be used to pay depositors in circumstances where an insured institution is unable to meet its deposit liabilities.
When the Scheme was established the coverage limit was J$200,000 (per depositor, per institution), but was increased to J$300,000 on July 31, 2001. As at December 31, 2006, the coverage provided by the Jamaica Deposit Insurance Corporation protected approximately 95.6% of accounts in licensed institutions or 25.4% of the total value of deposits held in insured financial institutions. The Government has further increased the coverage limit to J$600,000, effective July 1, 2007.
In addition, the Deposit Insurance Act also provides for the sharing of information between the Bank of Jamaica and the Jamaica Deposit Insurance Corporation, to enable the Corporation to be fully apprised at all material times of the financial condition of the institutions it insures.
Credit and Provisioning Regulations
The Bank of Jamaica has substantially completed the process of re-drafting regulations to provide specific legal guidelines for credit classification and provisioning for bad and doubtful debts. The regulations are being reviewed in order to achieve a greater level of consistency with international standards such as the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and standards and principals issued by the Basel Committee of Banking Supervisors.
Capital Adequacy Regulations
In 2004, regulations were promulgated establishing minimum risk-based capital standards for commercial banks and licensed financial institution. These regulations introduced the concept of Tier I and Tier II capital utilized by regulators internationally, which define eligible components and provide the framework for assigning risk weights to
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on and off balance sheet items. Under the regulations, the overall minimum capital to be maintained in relation to risk assets is 10%. At December 31, 2006, all supervised institutions were in compliance with the proposed regulations.
Qualifications of Auditors Regulations
The Bank of Jamaica has drafted regulations that specify the standards for auditors in undertaking an external audit of a supervised financial institution. Among other things, the criteria specified in these regulations relate to the independence, experience and qualification of the external auditors. These proposed regulations would also require prior notification to the Bank of Jamaica of proposed appointments. The Bank of Jamaica would also be empowered to object to the appointment of an auditor if, in the view of the Bank of Jamaica, there is evidence that such auditor is not in compliance with the provisions of the regulations.
Bank of Jamaica (Credit Unions) Regulations
The Bank of Jamaica has drafted regulations applicable to credit unions prescribing prudential criteria and minimum solvency standards covering, inter alia, essential areas such as capital adequacy, liquid assets, credit and provisioning, submission of financial statements and remedial action that can be taken by supervisory authorities with respect to problem credit unions. Theses draft regulations are expected to be presented to Parliament in 2007.
Money Laundering Act and Forfeiture of Assets Act
In an effort to combat the problems of drug trafficking, Jamaica passed the Money Laundering Act in late 1996, which became effective on January 5, 1998. This legislation makes money laundering a criminal offense. In addition, financial institutions (broadly defined to include banks, merchant banks, building societies, insurance companies, securities dealers/advisors, currency exchanges and cooperative societies) are required to report suspicious transactions being conducted through accounts of their customers and establish and implement programs, procedures and systems for detecting suspicious transactions. In January 2002, money transfer and remittance agencies were designated financial institutions for the purposes of, and making them subject to all requirements under, the Money Laundering Act.
During 1999, Parliament amended the Money Laundering Act. As a consequence of these amendments, the offense of money laundering has been widened to include offenses involving corruption, fraud or dishonesty. Previously, money laundering offenses only related to dealing with the benefits or proceeds derived from the commission of drug offenses. Additionally, the amendments make it a criminal offense for a person to disclose information or any other matter, relating to a money laundering investigation, whether proposed or being carried out, by the designated authority, except to authorized persons or under specific circumstances outlined in the legislation.
Pursuant to these amendments, financial institutions (except Cambios whose reporting limit is US$8,000) are now required to report to the Director of Public Prosecutions all cash transactions equal to or exceeding US$50,000 or the equivalent in any other currency.
During 2003, the Jamaican Cabinet approved the drafting of further amendments to the Money Laundering Act and Regulations to take into account changes in international requirements as stated in the revised 40 FATF recommendations. These amendments will widen the range of predicate offenses, adjust threshold reporting requirements, provide an avenue for the future regulation of “gatekeeper” professions, treat with funds transfer activities, and expand the range of tools available for investigation and prosecution of money laundering offenses. The requisite Bill was tabled in Parliament and was put before a Joint Select Committee of Parliament for review. Subsequently, Jamaica took the decision to address the enhancement to the Anti-Money Laundering framework through another statute, the Proceeds of Crime Act, that was being drafted at the same time. This will lead to a more comprehensive Anti-Money Laundering regime consistent with international best practices.
In 2004 Jamaica upgraded its Anti-Money Laundering Guidance Notes (originally issued during the 1990s) to include, inter alia, provisions consistent with the revised FATF 40 Recommendations of 2003 and the Eight Special Recommendations for Terrorist Financing. The Guidance Notes took effect from August 2004 and provide specific
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guidance to all institutions supervised by the Bank of Jamaica on the detection and prevention of Money Laundering and the Financing of Terrorism. Revisions to the Guidance Notes were issued in March and June 2005 to incorporate, among other things, the recent Ninth Recommendation of the FATF on combating of terrorism financing. Further revisions comprised primarily of enhanced guidance customer due diligence verification were made in 2006 and will take effect in 2007.
The Money Laundering Act will be repealed and replaced by the Proceeds of Crime Act (POCA), which was passed by Parliament in 2005 and will come into effect upon the expiration of the requisite notice period. See “—Proceeds of Crime Act” below.
The Drug Offences (Forfeiture of Proceeds) Act
Jamaica also passed a Drug Offences (Forfeiture of Proceeds) Act in 1994 which became effective that same year. This legislation allows Jamaica to confiscate assets which are used to facilitate drug trafficking. The statute also allows the Jamaican authorities to confiscate assets acquired with the proceeds from the sale and distribution of illicit drugs.
Drug Offences (Forfeiture of Proceeds) Act will be repealed and replaced by the Proceeds of Crime Act (POCA), which was passed by Parliament in 2005 and will come into effect upon the expiration of the requisite notice period. See “—Proceeds of Crime Act” below.
Proceeds of Crime Act
The POCA was tabled in Parliament in 2005 and passed into law in 2007. It is due to take effect in 2007, at the end of a proscribed notice period. Once in effect, the POCA will broaden the range of offenses (to include all serious crimes) the proceeds of which may be subject to forfeiture. The statute is expected to address critical issues relating to the investigatory tools necessary to proceed with forfeiture actions, and incorporate new concepts for “civil forfeiture” (i.e. forfeiture without criminal conviction) and “criminal lifestyle”, which effectively acts as a reversal of the burden of proof as regards to the acquisition of assets suspected to be derived from or used in connection with criminal activity. The POCA will also address loopholes currently hampering investigative and prosecutorial efforts to combat money laundering that exist under the current Drug Offences (Forfeiture of Proceeds) Act. The Drug Offences (Forfeiture of Proceeds) Act, which was promulgated in 1994, is designed to provide a scheme for depriving persons who have been convicted of specified drug crimes of the benefits of their illicit activity.
Terrorism Prevention Act
The Terrorism Prevention Act gives effect to the UN Convention on the Suppression of the Financing of Terrorism as well as to various other UN Security Council resolutions. This Act imposes reporting obligations on financial institutions which will assist the authorities in identifying, tracing and ultimately forfeiting assets owned or controlled by terrorists, and provides law enforcement with the widest range of investigative tools to achieve these objectives. The Terrorism Prevention Act was passed by the Parliament in March 2005 and came into effect in June 2005.
The Financial Investigations Division Bill
The Financial Investigations Division Bill was tabled in Parliament in 2004 and is being reviewed by a Joint Select Committee of Parliament. This Bill proposes to give the existing Financial Investigations Division (FID) of the Ministry of Finance the necessary statutory powers and protections to carry out that Division’s mandate of investigating and prosecuting financial crime including money laundering and the financing of terrorism. The Bill has been reviewed further by the Financial Crimes Legislative Task Force and enhancements are being recommended to ensure both consistency with FATF and Egmont requirements and to ensure that the Bill does not conflict with the recently passed POCA.
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The FID also operates as Jamaica’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) and the passage of the statute will assist the FID in attaining membership with the Egmont Group of FIU.
Performance Targets
As part of its overall financial sector stability monitoring strategy the Bank of Jamaica implemented a program of quarterly performance targets with a view to ensuring that all supervised entities meet certain minimum prudential and regulatory standards. Performance targets are set with each institution in certain key operational areas which include capital adequacy in relation to risk management and non-performing loans, asset quality, earnings and liquidity. The Bank of Jamaica assesses each institution’s adherence to the prescribed targets on an ongoing basis through on-site and off-site monitoring.
Supervisory Framework
Standards of Best Practices
To date, the Bank of Jamaica has issued 12 Standards of Best Practices and Guidance for the management of deposit-taking entities. These include:
| • | | Standards of Best Practices for Capital Management |
| • | | Standards of Best Practices for Credit Risk Management |
| • | | Standards of Best Practices for Securities Portfolio Management |
| • | | Standards of Best Practices for Liquidity Risk Management |
| • | | Standards of Best Practices for Interest Rate Management |
| • | | Standards of Best Practices for Foreign Exchange Risk Management |
| • | | Standards of Best Practices for Internal Controls |
| • | | Standards of Best Practices for Real Estate Appraisal Management |
| • | | Standards of Best practices for the Management or Investment of Customers’ Funds |
| • | | Guidance Notes for the Prevention and Detection of Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing Activities |
| • | | Guidelines for Fit and Proper Assessments |
| • | | Standards of Best Practices for Country and Transfer Risk |
Since the 2005 FSAP exercise, the Bank of Jamaica has systematically revised these standards in order to further promote the establishment of comprehensive risk management processes in deposit-taking institutions in accordance with the revised Basel Core Principals and as necessary precursor to full implementation of the Basel II framework. See “Public Finance—The Public Sector Budget—Improvements in the Legislative and Regulatory Framework”. In 2006, the standards relating to credit risk and market risk management were updated considerably. In addition, the drafting of a new overarching standard on “Effective Corporate Governance and Risk Management” was well advanced by the end of 2006. This new standard is expected to be issued in 2007.
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Basel II
The Bank of Jamaica is adopting Basel II under a four-phased approach leading to full implementation by 2010. Basel II represents a major revision of the international standard on bank capital adequacy that was introduced in 1988. It provides a more comprehensive framework for regulatory capital and risk management.
Consolidated and Conglomerate Supervision of Financial Groups
In 2006, the Bank of Jamaica developed its regime of consolidated/conglomerate supervision. Specifically, it continued to promote the reconfiguration of financial institutions to form structures that will facilitate effective monitoring and supervision on a consolidated basis. Further progress was also made in the development of the legal framework for consolidated supervision under the draft Omnibus Bill.
The Stock Market
The Jamaica Stock Exchange, or JSE, is the oldest and largest stock exchange in the English-speaking Caribbean. It was established as a private limited company in August 1968, and floor trading commenced in February 1969. The JSE is a self-regulatory organization, although the Financial Services Commission has regulatory oversight. The JSE has in place a comprehensive code of rules governing members’ conduct and market operations, and has not experienced any market scandal during its 37-year history. The Financial Services Commission also regulates the Jamaican securities industry. Transactions done on the floor of the JSE are settled using a T+3 cycle.
The JSE has undertaken several modernization initiatives in recent years. In 1997, the JSE established a formal relationship with the CUSIP Service Bureau for the assignment of international securities identification numbers (ISIN) for Jamaican securities. In 1998, the Jamaica Central Securities Depository Limited, designed in conformity with G-30 standards, was incorporated as a legal entity and began operations on June 1, 1998. In February 2000, the JSE introduced automated trading, and as of May 2000 all securities listed on the JSE are traded remotely from brokers’ offices.
A total of 5.6 billion shares (including blocks) traded in 2006, an increase of 125.8% from the 2.5 billion shares traded in 2005. The value of shares traded in 2006 amounted to J$37.0 billion, a decrease of 9.1% from 2005. For the first three months of 2007, 556 million shares traded (including blocks), with a total value of J$7.7 billion. In 2006, three companies were added to the market. The JSE ended 2006 with 44 listed companies.
The stock market index declined by 3.67% from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2006. In 2006, the index peaked at 103,750.12 points in January and registered a low of 80,414.7 in July before ending at 100,678.0 at December 29, 2006. On April 24, 2007, the index closed at 90,615.51 points, representing a 10% decrease from the beginning of 2007.
At December 29, 2006 market capitalization totaled J$822.9 billion, down 2.0% from 2005. The top 10 listed companies account for approximately 15.3% of market capitalization, with the top three listed companies accounting for 7.5% of market capitalization at December 31, 2005. At April 24, 2007, there were 40 domestic companies and four foreign companies listed on the JSE, and market capitalization totaled J$740.8 billion.
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The following table shows yearly trading data for the Jamaica Stock Exchange for the years 2001 to 2006:
Jamaica Stock Exchange Trading Data
| | | | | | | | | | |
Period | | Period-End Market Capitalization | | Value Traded | | Period-End Market Index | | No. of Listed Companies | | No. of Brokers |
| | (in millions of J$) | | (in millions of J$) | | | | | | |
2001 | | 197,717.5 | | 5,948.4 | | 35,723.6 | | 43 | | 10 |
2002 | | 292,297.9 | | 7,636.9 | | 45,396.2 | | 41 | | 10 |
2003 | | 512,884.4 | | 24,237.3 | | 67,586.7 | | 42 | | 10 |
2004 | | 879,297.2 | | 35,994.8 | | 112,655.5 | | 41 | | 11 |
2005 | | 839,852.8 | | 40,746.7 | | 104,510.4 | | 41 | | 11 |
2006 | | 822,862.4 | | 37,041.0 | | 100,678.0 | | 44 | | 11 |
Source: Jamaica Stock Exchange.
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SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the United States Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant the Government of Jamaica has duly caused this annual report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized, in the City of Kingston, Jamaica on June 1, 2007.
| | |
GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA |
| |
By: | | /s/ Omar Davies |
Name: | | Omar Davies |
Title: | | Minister of Finance and Planning |
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