Exhibit 99.12
Excerpts from Section C - “The Québec Economy: Recent Developments and Outlook for 2015 and 2016” of “Budget 2015-2016 - The Québec Economic Plan”, March 26, 2015
TABLE C.3
Economic outlook in Québec
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
(percentage change, unless otherwise indicated) | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
| | 2014 | | | 2015 | | | 2016 | |
| | | |
Output | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Real gross domestic product | | | 1.5 | | | | 2.0 | | | | 2.0 | |
| | | |
Nominal gross domestic product | | | 3.5 | | | | 3.8 | | | | 3.4 | |
| | | |
Nominal gross domestic product (billions $) | | | 376 | | | | 390 | | | | 403 | |
| | | |
Components of GDP (in real terms) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Final domestic demand | | | 1.2 | | | | 1.6 | | | | 1.3 | |
| | | |
– Household consumption | | | 2.1 | | | | 2.4 | | | | 1.9 | |
| | | |
– Government spending and investment | | | 1.0 | | | | 0.0 | | | | 0.0 | |
| | | |
– Residential investment | | | 0.1 | | | | 0.8 | | | | –1.5 | |
| | | |
– Non-residential business investment | | | –2.5 | | | | 2.8 | | | | 3.8 | |
| | | |
Exports | | | 2.5 | | | | 3.7 | | | | 3.0 | |
| | | |
Imports | | | 1.3 | | | | 1.9 | | | | 1.9 | |
| | | |
Labour market | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Population (thousands) | | | 8 215 | | | | 8 282 | | | | 8 348 | |
| | | |
Population aged 15 and over (thousands) | | | 6 802 | | | | 6 852 | | | | 6 897 | |
| | | |
Jobs (thousands) | | | 4 060 | | | | 4 097 | | | | 4 132 | |
| | | |
Job creation (thousands) | | | –1.1 | | | | 37.0 | | | | 35.6 | |
| | | |
Job creation | | | 0.0 | | | | 0.9 | | | | 0.9 | |
| | | |
Unemployment rate (%) | | | 7.7 | | | | 7.5 | | | | 7.3 | |
| | | |
Employment rate (%) | | | 59.7 | | | | 59.8 | | | | 59.9 | |
| | | |
Other economic indicators (in nominal terms) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |
Household consumption | | | 3.6 | | | | 3.6 | | | | 3.8 | |
| | | |
– Excluding food and rent | | | 3.7 | | | | 3.5 | | | | 3.8 | |
| | | |
Housing starts (thousands of units) | | | 38.8 | | | | 36.8 | | | | 35.7 | |
| | | |
Residential investment | | | 2.4 | | | | 3.5 | | | | 0.5 | |
| | | |
Non-residential business investment | | | 0.1 | | | | 6.5 | | | | 5.7 | |
| | | |
Wages and salaries | | | 2.0 | | | | 3.4 | | | | 3.4 | |
| | | |
Household income | | | 2.7 | | | | 3.4 | | | | 3.3 | |
| | | |
Net operating surplus of corporations | | | 6.7 | | | | 8.7 | | | | 6.5 | |
| | | |
Consumer price index | | | 1.4 | | | | 1.4 | | | | 2.3 | |
| | | |
– Excluding food and energy | | | 1.1 | | | | 2.0 | | | | 1.7 | |
| | | |
GDP per capita ($) | | | 45 715 | | | | 47 084 | | | | 48 295 | |
| | | |
Disposable income per capita ($) | | | 27 325 | | | | 28 118 | | | | 28 877 | |
Sources: | Institut de la statistique du Québec, Statistics Canada, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation and Ministère des Finances du Québec. |
C.30
TABLE C.5
Canadian financial markets
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(average annual percentage rate, unless otherwise indicated) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | |
| | 2013 | | | 2014 | | | 2015 | | | 2016 | |
| | | | |
Target for the overnight rate | | | 1.0 | | | | 1.0 | | | | 0.6 | | | | 0.8 | |
| | | | |
3-month Treasury bills | | | 1.0 | | | | 0.9 | | | | 0.6 | | | | 0.9 | |
| | | | |
10-year bonds | | | 2.3 | | | | 2.2 | | | | 1.7 | | | | 2.6 | |
| | | | |
Canadian dollar (in U.S. cents) | | | 96.6 | | | | 90.2 | | | | 78.1 | | | | 77.1 | |
Sources: | Statistics Canada, Bloomberg and Ministère des Finances du Québec. |
C.44