EXHIBIT (c)(vi)
2004-05 Mid-Year Fiscal and Economic Review
QUEENSLAND’S 2004-05
MID YEAR FISCAL AND ECONOMIC REVIEW
The Mid Year Fiscal and Economic Review is required under the Government’s Charter of Social and Fiscal Responsibility and the Australian Loan Council’s Uniform Presentation Framework and provides an update on the fiscal and economic outlook for Queensland, based on assessments prepared by Queensland Treasury.
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
The current outlook for the economy in 2004-05 is in line with the 4¼% growth forecast at the time of the State Budget in June 2004. However, the composition of growth is anticipated to change slightly.
Domestic demand is expected to be stronger than forecast. Growth in private consumption is likely to be higher than expected in the State Budget, with interest rates remaining more supportive to growth for longer than initially expected and the impact of higher household wealth flowing through to consumer spending for a greater length of time than previously anticipated. Stronger consumption is also expected to be driven by a higher level of housing investment in 2004-05 than forecast in the Budget, reflecting a more supportive interest rate environment than expected at the time of the Budget and a backlog of construction work yet to be done.
Net exports are expected to detract slightly more from overall growth than forecast at the time of the State Budget. This primarily reflects stronger consumer spending and a higher $A exchange rate than anticipated at the time of the State Budget, which together should lead to growth in the volume of imports slightly above that originally forecast. At the same time, the appreciation in the $A over the last six months should also place downward pressure on the price of imported goods and services, leading to a marginally lower inflation forecast of 2¼% in 2004-05, compared with the 2½% anticipated at the time of the State Budget.
Stronger than anticipated domestic activity, particularly in labour-intensive industries, is expected to raise employment by 4% in 2004-05, compared with a forecast 2¼% in the State Budget. As a result, the year-average unemployment rate is forecast to fall to 5½% in 2004-05, compared with a Budget forecast of 6¼%.
A revised Economic Parameters Table incorporating these revisions is provided as Table 1 of Attachment A.
FISCAL OUTLOOK
GENERAL GOVERNMENT SECTOR
The General Government sector is expecting to record higher than forecast operating and cash surpluses for 2004-05 and the outyears.
- 2 -
A revised General Government operating surplus of $1.096 billion, up $450 million from the Budget estimate, is expected for 2004-05. The surplus reduces in 2005-06 largely due to the abolition of debits tax from 1 July 2005 at a cost of some $190 million per annum and an anticipated moderation in property market activity flowing through to transfer duty revenue. The upward revisions to forecast operating surpluses reflects revenue growth across a range of items. These higher operating surpluses will provide further capacity for both the future expansion and upgrading of infrastructure and the management of external impacts on the operating position.
At Budget time, transfer duty receipts were expected to fall markedly in line with an anticipated slow down in the property market. The reduction in receipts, while evident, has not been as large as originally expected. Land value increases in 2003-04 have also led to higher than forecast land tax receipts.
In addition, payroll tax estimates have been revised upwards in line with the strong employment growth being experienced.
Australian Government GST payments to Queensland have been revised upwards since the Budget to reflect updated forecasts in the Mid Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO). The forward estimates now also incorporate expected funding to Queensland for AusLink projects, which also contributes towards higher than forecast General Government sector capital expenditure.
Despite the increase in the $A exchange rate, royalty revenue has been revised upwards to reflect higher commodity prices, in particular coal, and increased export volumes.
The 2004-05 surplus is based on a 7.5% investment return on long-term financial assets held to meet future liabilities such as superannuation. While equity markets have performed well year-to-date, the estimate of investment returns remains unchanged given the high levels of investment market volatility in recent years.
The increase in General Government expenses over the 2004-05 Budget is primarily due to the following:
| | |
• | | expenditure offsets to increases in specific purpose payments and other revenues; |
| | |
• | | actuarial revisions to superannuation, long service leave and insurance expense estimates; |
| | |
• | | the final timing of expenses between 2003-04 and 2004-05; and |
| | |
• | | the expensing of Tugun Bypass construction costs for works being undertaken in New South Wales. |
The forward estimates also incorporate increased Community Service Obligation payments for uniform electricity prices for franchise customers arising from additional capital expenditure by energy retailers. This increased capital expenditure is being undertaken as part of the implementation of the recommendations of the Electricity Distribution and Service Delivery review.
- 3 -
A cash surplus of $1.509 billion is expected in 2004-05, $450 million greater than forecast at Budget time. This again reflects improvements across a range of revenue items, offset in part by higher than forecast capital spending.
The State’s net worth is expected to increase to $81.731 billion in 2004-05. This is $9.267 billion higher than the forecast of $72.464 billion at Budget time. The increase in net worth reflects the flow through of final 2003-04 balance sheet outcomes particularly in relation to the revaluation of land and other fixed assets and the improvement in the State’s 2003-04 actual and 2004-05 estimated operating position.
PUBLIC NON-FINANCIAL CORPORATIONS SECTOR
The Public Non-financial Corporations (PNFC) sector is projected to have a GFS net operating surplus of $148 million in 2004-05, an improvement of $111 million over the Budget estimate. This improvement represents a stronger than expected trading performance across a range of Government-owned corporations.
Capital spending in the PNFC sector has been revised upwards markedly in the outyears, primarily reflecting implementation of the Government’s commitment to a significant upgrade of the electricity transmission and distribution network.
LOAN COUNCIL ALLOCATION
Under the Australian Loan Council Financial Agreement, each jurisdiction provides a Loan Council Nomination, comprising the State Government cash surplus/deficit and additional items which contribute to net borrowing, giving an estimate of the Public Sector’s call on financial markets. The nominations are also considered by the Loan Council as to whether they are consistent with macroeconomic policy objectives.
The revised 2004-05 LCA surplus is $205 million (Budget-time deficit of $620 million), reflecting improved operating cash flows and lower borrowings by local councils.
ATTACHMENT A
Table 1
Major Queensland Economic Parameters1
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | Budget | | MYFER |
| | Outcome | | Forecast | | Forecast |
| | 2003-04 | | 2004-05 | | 2004-05 |
|
Gross state product 2 | | | 3.9 | | | | 41/4 | | | | 41/4 | |
Employment | | | 3.3 | | | | 21/4 | | | | 4 | |
Unemployment rate | | | 6.2 | | | | 61/4 | | | | 51/2 | |
Inflation | | | 2.9 | | | | 21/2 | | | | 21/4 | |
Average earnings 3 | | | 3.1 | | | | 4 | | | | 4 | |
Population | | | 2.2 | | | | 21/4 | | | | 21/4 | |
Notes: |
|
1. | | Figures not quoted as a fraction are an actual outcome. |
|
2. | | Chain volume measure, 2002-03 reference year. |
|
3. | | Average earnings are on a State Accounts basis. |
Table 2
Queensland’s Revised 2004-05 Loan Council Allocation
| | | | | | | | |
| | 2004-05 | | | 2004-05 | |
| | Budget | | | Revised | |
| | LCA | | | MYR | |
| | Estimate | | | Estimate | |
| | $ million | | | $ million | |
|
General Government sector cash deficit/(surplus)1 | | | (1,059 | ) | | | (1,509 | ) |
PNFC sector cash deficit/(surplus)1 | | | 1,541 | | | | 1,313 | |
Non-financial Public sector cash deficit/(surplus)1 | | | 482 | | | | (196 | ) |
Net cash flows from investments in financial assets for policy purposes | | | — | | | | — | |
Memorandum items2 | | | 138 | | | | (9 | ) |
Loan Council Allocation | | | 620 | | | | (205 | ) |
1. | | Figures in brackets represent surpluses. |
|
2. | | Primarily represents movement in Local Government borrowings. |
Table D.1
General Government Sector Operating Statement (1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | 2003-04 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2005-06 | | | 2006-07 | | | 2007-08 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | |
| | | | | | Actual | | | Budget | | | Budget | | | Projection | | | Projection | | | Projection | |
| | | | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | |
|
| | | | GFS Revenue | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Taxation revenue | | | 6,676 | | | | 6,338 | | | | 6,635 | | | | 6,590 | | | | 6,992 | | | | 7,382 | |
| | | | Current grants and subsidies | | | 10,992 | | | | 11,803 | | | | 12,130 | | | | 12,512 | | | | 12,980 | | | | 13,659 | |
| | | | Capital grants | | | 553 | | | | 468 | | | | 531 | | | | 494 | | | | 635 | | | | 796 | |
| | | | Sales of goods and services | | | 2,105 | | | | 2,142 | | | | 2,167 | | | | 2,206 | | | | 2,287 | | | | 2,358 | |
| | | | Interest income | | | 2,723 | | | | 1,215 | | | | 1,274 | | | | 1,331 | | | | 1,416 | | | | 1,499 | |
| | | | Other | | | 2,165 | | | | 2,043 | | | | 2,227 | | | | 2,298 | | | | 2,557 | | | | 2,433 | |
| | | | Total Revenue | | | 25,214 | | | | 24,009 | | | | 24,964 | | | | 25,431 | | | | 26,867 | | | | 28,127 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less | | GFS Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Gross operating expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Employee expenses | | | 10,004 | | | | 10,666 | | | | 10,886 | | | | 11,444 | | | | 12,091 | | | | 12,732 | |
| | | | Other operating expenses | | | 4,245 | | | | 4,406 | | | | 4,541 | | | | 4,624 | | | | 5,226 | | | | 5,508 | |
| | | | Depreciation | | | 1,460 | | | | 1,585 | | | | 1,598 | | | | 1,670 | | | | 1,717 | | | | 1,762 | |
| | | | Superannuation interest expense | | | 750 | | | | 757 | | | | 747 | | | | 806 | | | | 850 | | | | 892 | |
| | | | Other interest expense | | | 211 | | | | 202 | | | | 205 | | | | 220 | | | | 270 | | | | 291 | |
| | | | Current transfers | | | 4,500 | | | | 5,006 | | | | 5,030 | | | | 5,239 | | | | 5,303 | | | | 5,682 | |
| | | | Capital transfers | | | 704 | | | | 741 | | | | 861 | | | | 639 | | | | 616 | | | | 619 | |
| | | | Total Expenses | | | 21,874 | | | | 23,363 | | | | 23,868 | | | | 24,642 | | | | 26,073 | | | | 27,486 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Equals | | GFS net operating balance | | | 3,340 | | | | 646 | | | | 1,096 | | | | 789 | | | | 794 | | | | 641 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less | | Net acquisition of non-financial assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Purchases of non-financial assets | | | 2,415 | | | | 2,718 | | | | 2,845 | | | | 2,802 | | | | 2,739 | | | | 2,866 | |
| | | | Sales of non-financial assets | | | (356 | ) | | | (284 | ) | | | (330 | ) | | | (250 | ) | | | (234 | ) | | | (215 | ) |
| | | | Less Depreciation | | | 1,460 | | | | 1,585 | | | | 1,598 | | | | 1,670 | | | | 1,717 | | | | 1,762 | |
| | | | Plus Change in inventories | | | (13 | ) | | | 37 | | | | 61 | | | | 2 | | | | (19 | ) | | | (14 | ) |
| | | | Plus Other movements in non-financial assets | | | (83 | ) | | | 3 | | | | 4 | | | | 1 | | | | 2 | | | | 1 | |
| | | | Equals Total net acquisition of non-financial assets | | | 503 | | | | 889 | | | | 982 | | | | 885 | | | | 771 | | | | 876 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Equals | | GFS Net lending / (borrowing) (Fiscal Balance) | | | 2,838 | | | | (243 | ) | | | 114 | | | | (96 | ) | | | 23 | | | | (235 | ) |
Note: |
|
1. | | Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
Table D.2
Public Non-financial Corporations Sector Operating Statement (1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | 2003-04 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2005-06 | | | 2006-07 | | | 2007-08 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | |
| | | | | | Actual | | | Budget | | | Budget | | | Projection | | | Projection | | | Projection | |
| | | | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | |
|
| | | | GFS Revenue | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Current grants and subsidies | | | 1,000 | | | | 1,082 | | | | 1,055 | | | | 1,159 | | | | 961 | | | | 1,102 | |
| | | | Capital grants | | | 55 | | | | 49 | | | | 12 | | | | 6 | | | | 8 | | | | 8 | |
| | | | Sales of goods and services | | | 6,625 | | | | 6,700 | | | | 7,020 | | | | 7,629 | | | | 8,326 | | | | 8,430 | |
| | | | Interest income | | | 101 | | | | 72 | | | | 82 | | | | 74 | | | | 78 | | | | 82 | |
| | | | Other | | | 350 | | | | 339 | | | | 391 | | | | 329 | | | | 368 | | | | 388 | |
| | | | Total Revenue | | | 8,130 | | | | 8,242 | | | | 8,560 | | | | 9,197 | | | | 9,741 | | | | 10,010 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less | | GFS Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Gross operating expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Employee expenses | | | 1,517 | | | | 1,634 | | | | 1,664 | | | | 1,700 | | | | 1,753 | | | | 1,803 | |
| | | | Other operating expenses | | | 3,457 | | | | 3,477 | | | | 3,626 | | | | 3,960 | | | | 4,005 | | | | 4,209 | |
| | | | Depreciation | | | 1,216 | | | | 1,280 | | | | 1,269 | | | | 1,485 | | | | 1,586 | | | | 1,722 | |
| | | | Other interest expense | | | 742 | | | | 811 | | | | 758 | | | | 820 | | | | 852 | | | | 958 | |
| | | | Other property expenses | | | 1,052 | | | | 868 | | | | 940 | | | | 957 | | | | 1,287 | | | | 1,103 | |
| | | | Current transfers | | | 198 | | | | 135 | | | | 155 | | | | 78 | | | | — | | | | — | |
| | | | Capital transfers | | | 16 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
| | | | Total Expenses | | | 8,197 | | | | 8,205 | | | | 8,412 | | | | 9,000 | | | | 9,483 | | | | 9,795 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Equals | | GFS net operating balance | | | (67 | ) | | | 37 | | | | 148 | | | | 197 | | | | 258 | | | | 215 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less | | Net acquisition of non-financial assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Purchases of non-financial assets | | | 1,804 | | | | 3,123 | | | | 3,084 | | | | 3,390 | | | | 3,365 | | | | 3,175 | |
| | | | Sales of non-financial assets | | | (384 | ) | | | (51 | ) | | | (103 | ) | | | (42 | ) | | | (54 | ) | | | (54 | ) |
| | | | Less Depreciation | | | 1,216 | | | | 1,280 | | | | 1,269 | | | | 1,485 | | | | 1,586 | | | | 1,722 | |
| | | | Plus Change in inventories | | | (15 | ) | | | (3 | ) | | | 10 | | | | (25 | ) | | | 7 | | | | 15 | |
| | | | Plus Other movements in non-financial assets | | | (7 | ) | | | 25 | | | | 25 | | | | 36 | | | | 39 | | | | 42 | |
| | | | Equals Total net acquisition of non-financial assets | | | 182 | | | | 1,814 | | | | 1,747 | | | | 1,874 | | | | 1,771 | | | | 1,456 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Equals | | GFS Net lending / (borrowing) (Fiscal Balance) | | | (249 | ) | | | (1,777 | ) | | | (1,599 | ) | | | (1,677 | ) | | | (1,513 | ) | | | (1,241 | ) |
Note: |
|
1. | | Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
Table D.3
Non-financial Public Sector Operating Statement (1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | 2003-04 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2005-06 | | | 2006-07 | | | 2007-08 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | |
| | | | | | Actual | | | Budget | | | Budget | | | Projection | | | Projection | | | Projection | |
| | | | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | |
|
| | | | GFS Revenue | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Taxation revenue | | | 6,358 | | | | 5,960 | | | | 6,265 | | | | 6,204 | | | | 6,588 | | | | 6,966 | |
| | | | Current grants and subsidies | | | 10,817 | | | | 11,710 | | | | 12,001 | | | | 12,403 | | | | 12,870 | | | | 13,560 | |
| | | | Capital grants | | | 592 | | | | 517 | | | | 541 | | | | 497 | | | | 638 | | | | 799 | |
| | | | Sales of goods and services | | | 8,622 | | | | 8,665 | | | | 9,030 | | | | 9,680 | | | | 10,458 | | | | 10,635 | |
| | | | Interest income | | | 2,821 | | | | 1,273 | | | | 1,343 | | | | 1,393 | | | | 1,481 | | | | 1,568 | |
| | | | Other | | | 1,470 | | | | 1,514 | | | | 1,675 | | | | 1,666 | | | | 1,632 | | | | 1,712 | |
| | | | Total Revenue | | | 30,681 | | | | 29,639 | | | | 30,855 | | | | 31,843 | | | | 33,667 | | | | 35,240 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less | | GFS Expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Gross operating expenses | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Employee expenses | | | 11,520 | | | | 12,250 | | | | 12,499 | | | | 13,094 | | | | 13,793 | | | | 14,485 | |
| | | | Other operating expenses | | | 7,591 | | | | 7,361 | | | | 7,693 | | | | 8,087 | | | | 8,713 | | | | 9,184 | |
| | | | Depreciation | | | 2,676 | | | | 2,864 | | | | 2,867 | | | | 3,155 | | | | 3,303 | | | | 3,483 | |
| | | | Superannuation interest expense | | | 750 | | | | 757 | | | | 747 | | | | 806 | | | | 850 | | | | 892 | |
| | | | Other interest expense | | | 952 | | | | 1,000 | | | | 951 | | | | 1,027 | | | | 1,109 | | | | 1,236 | |
| | | | Current transfers | | | 3,216 | | | | 3,983 | | | | 3,994 | | | | 4,049 | | | | 4,231 | | | | 4,485 | |
| | | | Capital transfers | | | 703 | | | | 740 | | | | 860 | | | | 639 | | | | 616 | | | | 619 | |
| | | | Total Expenses | | | 27,407 | | | | 28,955 | | | | 29,611 | | | | 30,857 | | | | 32,615 | | | | 34,384 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Equals | | GFS net operating balance | | | 3,274 | | | | 684 | | | | 1,244 | | | | 986 | | | | 1,052 | | | | 856 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Less | | Net acquisition of non-financial assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | Purchases of non-financial assets | | | 4,219 | | | | 5,841 | | | | 5,929 | | | | 6,192 | | | | 6,103 | | | | 6,041 | |
| | | | Sales of non-financial assets | | | (740 | ) | | | (335 | ) | | | (433 | ) | | | (292 | ) | | | (288 | ) | | | (269 | ) |
| | | | Less Depreciation | | | 2,676 | | | | 2,864 | | | | 2,867 | | | | 3,155 | | | | 3,303 | | | | 3,484 | |
| | | | Plus Change in inventories | | | (28 | ) | | | 34 | | | | 71 | | | | (23 | ) | | | (12 | ) | | | 1 | |
| | | | Plus Other movements in non-financial assets | | | (90 | ) | | | 28 | | | | 29 | | | | 37 | | | | 41 | | | | 43 | |
| | | | Equals Total net acquisition of non-financial assets | | | 685 | | | | 2,704 | | | | 2,729 | | | | 2,759 | | | | 2,541 | | | | 2,332 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Equals | | GFS Net lending / (borrowing) (Fiscal Balance) | | | 2,589 | | | | (2,020 | ) | | | (1,485 | ) | | | (1,773 | ) | | | (1,489 | ) | | | (1,476 | ) |
Note: |
|
1. | | Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
Table D.4
General Government Sector Balance Sheet (1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2003-04 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2005-06 | | | 2006-07 | | | 2007-08 | |
| | | | | | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | |
| | Actual | | | Budget | | | Budget | | | Projection | | | Projection | | | Projection | |
| | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | |
|
Assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Cash and deposits | | | 1,729 | | | | 1,081 | | | | 1,493 | | | | 1,743 | | | | 1,614 | | | | 1,761 | |
Advances paid | | | 173 | | | | 202 | | | | 197 | | | | 209 | | | | 220 | | | | 231 | |
Investments, loans and placements | | | 16,157 | | | | 17,303 | | | | 17,753 | | | | 18,903 | | | | 20,063 | | | | 21,233 | |
Other non-equity assets | | | 4,318 | | | | 4,100 | | | | 4,363 | | | | 4,514 | | | | 4,929 | | | | 4,805 | |
Equity | | | 14,633 | | | | 14,131 | | | | 15,892 | | | | 17,688 | | | | 19,015 | | | | 19,883 | |
Total Financial Assets | | | 37,010 | | | | 36,817 | | | | 39,698 | | | | 43,057 | | | | 45,841 | | | | 47,913 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-Financial Assets | | | 61,981 | | | | 58,479 | | | | 64,457 | | | | 66,921 | | | | 69,333 | | | | 71,868 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Assets | | | 98,991 | | | | 95,296 | | | | 104,155 | | | | 109,978 | | | | 115,174 | | | | 119,781 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Liabilities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Advances received (2) | | | — | | | | — | | | | 501 | | | | 501 | | | | 502 | | | | 503 | |
Borrowing | | | 3,208 | | | | 3,571 | | | | 2,752 | | | | 3,496 | | | | 4,391 | | | | 4,864 | |
Superannuation liability | | | 11,930 | | | | 13,607 | | | | 13,161 | | | | 14,275 | | | | 15,413 | | | | 16,574 | |
Other employee entitlements and provisions | | | 3,590 | | | | 3,540 | | | | 3,623 | | | | 3,676 | | | | 3,731 | | | | 3,798 | |
Other non-equity liabilities | | | 2,540 | | | | 2,114 | | | | 2,387 | | | | 2,408 | | | | 2,409 | | | | 2,415 | |
Total Liabilities | | | 21,268 | | | | 22,832 | | | | 22,424 | | | | 24,356 | | | | 26,446 | | | | 28,154 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net Worth | | | 77,723 | | | | 72,464 | | | | 81,731 | | | | 85,622 | | | | 88,728 | | | | 91,627 | |
Net Financial Worth | | | 15,742 | | | | 13,985 | | | | 17,274 | | | | 18,701 | | | | 19,395 | | | | 19,759 | |
Net Debt | | | (14,851 | ) | | | (15,015 | ) | | | (16,190 | ) | | | (16,858 | ) | | | (17,004 | ) | | | (17,858 | ) |
Note: |
|
1. | | Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
|
2. | | From 2004-05 the Australian Bureau of Statisitcs (ABS) has requested that Commonwealth debt be classified as Advances received, rather than Borrowing. |
Table D.5
Public Non-financial Corporations Sector Balance Sheet (1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2003-04 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2005-06 | | | 2006-07 | | | 2007-08 | |
| | | | | | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | |
| | Actual | | | Budget | | | Budget | | | Projection | | | Projection | | | Projection | |
| | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | |
|
Assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Cash and deposits | | | 1,025 | | | | 771 | | | | 871 | | | | 887 | | | | 1,198 | | | | 1,167 | |
Investments, loans and placements | | | 997 | | | | 938 | | | | 1,019 | | | | 1,037 | | | | 1,057 | | | | 1,079 | |
Other non-equity assets | | | 1,909 | | | | 1,718 | | | | 1,972 | | | | 2,018 | | | | 2,001 | | | | 1,954 | |
Equity | | | 60 | | | | 60 | | | | 61 | | | | 66 | | | | 73 | | | | 85 | |
Total Financial Assets | | | 3,992 | | | | 3,487 | | | | 3,923 | | | | 4,008 | | | | 4,329 | | | | 4,285 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-Financial Assets | | | 27,160 | | | | 29,826 | | | | 29,781 | | | | 32,976 | | | | 35,206 | | | | 37,037 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Assets | | | 31,152 | | | | 33,313 | | | | 33,704 | | | | 36,984 | | | | 39,535 | | | | 41,322 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Liabilities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Deposits held | | | 84 | | | | 77 | | | | 63 | | | | 63 | | | | 64 | | | | 64 | |
Borrowing | | | 12,066 | | | | 14,664 | | | | 13,099 | | | | 14,218 | | | | 15,017 | | | | 15,889 | |
Other employee entitlements and provisions | | | 3,954 | | | | 3,834 | | | | 4,056 | | | | 4,174 | | | | 4,546 | | | | 4,389 | |
Other non-equity liabilities | | | 1,314 | | | | 1,286 | | | | 1,493 | | | | 1,740 | | | | 1,788 | | | | 1,991 | |
Total Liabilities | | | 17,419 | | | | 19,861 | | | | 18,711 | | | | 20,195 | | | | 21,415 | | | | 22,333 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net Worth | | | 13,733 | | | | 13,452 | | | | 14,993 | | | | 16,789 | | | | 18,120 | | | | 18,989 | |
Net Financial Worth | | | (13,427 | ) | | | (16,374 | ) | | | (14,788 | ) | | | (16,187 | ) | | | (17,086 | ) | | | (18,048 | ) |
Net Debt | | | 10,128 | | | | 13,032 | | | | 11,272 | | | | 12,357 | | | | 12,826 | | | | 13,707 | |
Note: |
|
1. | | Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
Table D.6
Non-financial Public Sector Balance Sheet (1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2003-04 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2005-06 | | | 2006-07 | | | 2007-08 | |
| | | | | | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | |
| | Actual | | | Budget | | | Budget | | | Projection | | | Projection | | | Projection | |
| | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | |
|
Assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Financial Assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Cash and deposits | | | 2,754 | | | | 1,852 | | | | 2,365 | | | | 2,630 | | | | 2,812 | | | | 2,928 | |
Advances paid | | | 157 | | | | 186 | | | | 181 | | | | 194 | | | | 205 | | | | 218 | |
Investments, loans and placements | | | 17,145 | | | | 18,184 | | | | 18,762 | | | | 19,930 | | | | 21,111 | | | | 22,303 | |
Other non-equity assets | | | 2,695 | | | | 2,254 | | | | 2,659 | | | | 2,640 | | | | 2,616 | | | | 2,586 | |
Equity | | | 993 | | | | 772 | | | | 994 | | | | 998 | | | | 1,000 | | | | 1,011 | |
Total Financial Assets | | | 23,745 | | | | 23,248 | | | | 24,961 | | | | 26,392 | | | | 27,744 | | | | 29,046 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-Financial Assets | | | 89,107 | | | | 88,271 | | | | 94,204 | | | | 99,864 | | | | 104,505 | | | | 108,871 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Assets | | | 112,852 | | | | 111,519 | | | | 119,165 | | | | 126,256 | | | | 132,249 | | | | 137,917 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Liabilities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Deposits held | | | 85 | | | | 86 | | | | 63 | | | | 63 | | | | 65 | | | | 65 | |
Advances received (2) | | | — | | | | — | | | | 501 | | | | 501 | | | | 502 | | | | 502 | |
Borrowing | | | 15,248 | | | | 18,152 | | | | 15,826 | | | | 17,690 | | | | 19,382 | | | | 20,732 | |
Superannuation liability | | | 11,930 | | | | 13,607 | | | | 13,161 | | | | 14,275 | | | | 15,413 | | | | 16,574 | |
Other employee entitlements and provisions | | | 4,180 | | | | 4,172 | | | | 4,249 | | | | 4,339 | | | | 4,479 | | | | 4,663 | |
Other non-equity liabilities | | | 3,686 | | | | 3,038 | | | | 3,634 | | | | 3,766 | | | | 3,680 | | | | 3,755 | |
Total Liabilities | | | 35,129 | | | | 39,055 | | | | 37,434 | | | | 40,634 | | | | 43,521 | | | | 46,291 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net Worth | | | 77,723 | | | | 72,464 | | | | 81,731 | | | | 85,622 | | | | 88,728 | | | | 91,627 | |
Net Financial Worth | | | (11,384 | ) | | | (15,807 | ) | | | (12,473 | ) | | | (14,242 | ) | | | (15,777 | ) | | | (17,245 | ) |
Net Debt | | | (4,723 | ) | | | (1,984 | ) | | | (4,918 | ) | | | (4,500 | ) | | | (4,179 | ) | | | (4,150 | ) |
Note: |
|
1. | | Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
|
2. | | From 2004-05 the Australian Bureau of Statisitcs (ABS) has requested that Commonwealth debt be classified as Advances received, rather than Borrowing. |
Table D.7
General Government Sector Cash Flow Statement (1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2003-04 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2005-06 | | | 2006-07 | | | 2007-08 | |
| | | | | | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | |
| | Actual | | | Budget | | | Budget | | | Projection | | | Projection | | | Projection | |
| | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | |
|
Receipts from operating activities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Taxes received | | | 6,635 | | | | 6,337 | | | | 6,634 | | | | 6,589 | | | | 6,991 | | | | 7,381 | |
Grants and subsidies received | | | 11,535 | | | | 12,273 | | | | 12,747 | | | | 13,012 | | | | 13,617 | | | | 14,442 | |
Sales of goods and services | | | 2,448 | | | | 2,384 | | | | 2,405 | | | | 2,456 | | | | 2,542 | | | | 2,611 | |
Other receipts | | | 5,104 | | | | 3,652 | | | | 3,830 | | | | 3,938 | | | | 3,991 | | | | 4,466 | |
Total | | | 25,721 | | | | 24,646 | | | | 25,616 | | | | 25,995 | | | | 27,141 | | | | 28,900 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for operating activities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for goods and services | | | (14,305 | ) | | | (14,691 | ) | | | (14,931 | ) | | | (15,931 | ) | | | (17,175 | ) | | | (18,097 | ) |
Grants and subsidies | | | (4,954 | ) | | | (5,603 | ) | | | (5,735 | ) | | | (5,753 | ) | | | (5,793 | ) | | | (6,174 | ) |
Interest | | | (209 | ) | | | (202 | ) | | | (207 | ) | | | (222 | ) | | | (273 | ) | | | (293 | ) |
Other payments | | | (704 | ) | | | (654 | ) | | | (715 | ) | | | (664 | ) | | | (666 | ) | | | (646 | ) |
Total | | | (20,172 | ) | | | (21,150 | ) | | | (21,588 | ) | | | (22,570 | ) | | | (23,907 | ) | | | (25,210 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net cash inflows from operating activities | | | 5,549 | | | | 3,496 | | | | 4,028 | | | | 3,425 | | | | 3,234 | | | | 3,690 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for investments in non-financial assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Purchases of non-financial assets | | | (2,415 | ) | | | (2,718 | ) | | | (2,845 | ) | | | (2,802 | ) | | | (2,739 | ) | | | (2,866 | ) |
Sales of non-financial assets | | | 356 | | | | 284 | | | | 330 | | | | 250 | | | | 234 | | | | 215 | |
Total | | | (2,059 | ) | | | (2,434 | ) | | | (2,515 | ) | | | (2,552 | ) | | | (2,505 | ) | | | (2,651 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for investments in financial assets for policy purposes | | | (632 | ) | | | (105 | ) | | | (146 | ) | | | (206 | ) | | | (578 | ) | | | (186 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for investments in financial assets for liquidity purposes | | | (2,398 | ) | | | (1,492 | ) | | | (1,561 | ) | | | (1,147 | ) | | | (1,163 | ) | | | (1,176 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Receipts from financing activities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Advances received net (2) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (3 | ) | | | (3 | ) | | | (3 | ) | | | (3 | ) |
Borrowing (net) | | | (343 | ) | | | 40 | | | | (38 | ) | | | 733 | | | | 886 | | | | 473 | |
Total | | | (343 | ) | | | 40 | | | | (41 | ) | | | 730 | | | | 883 | | | | 470 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net increase/(decrease) in cash held | | | 116 | | | | (495 | ) | | | (235 | ) | | | 250 | | | | (129 | ) | | | 147 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net cash from operating activities and investments in non-financial assets | | | 3,490 | | | | 1,062 | | | | 1,513 | | | | 873 | | | | 729 | | | | 1,039 | |
less Finance leases and similar arrangements | | | — | | | | 3 | | | | 4 | | | | 2 | | | | 2 | | | | 1 | |
GFS Surplus/(deficit) | | | 3,490 | | | | 1,059 | | | | 1,509 | | | | 871 | | | | 727 | | | | 1,038 | |
Note: |
|
1. | | Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
|
2. | | From 2004-05 the Australian Bureau of Statisitcs (ABS) has requested that Commonwealth debt be classified as Advances received, rather than Borrowing. |
Table D.8
Public Non-financial Corporations Sector Cash Flow Statement (1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2003-04 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2005-06 | | | 2006-07 | | | 2007-08 | |
| | | | | | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | |
| | Actual | | | Budget | | | Budget | | | Projection | | | Projection | | | Projection | |
| | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | |
|
Receipts from operating activities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Grants and subsidies received | | | 1,031 | | | | 1,007 | | | | 1,115 | | | | 1,187 | | | | 993 | | | | 1,133 | |
Sales of goods and services | | | 7,192 | | | | 7,436 | | | | 7,824 | | | | 8,439 | | | | 9,008 | | | | 9,247 | |
Other receipts | | | 747 | | | | 789 | | | | 716 | | | | 794 | | | | 844 | | | | 874 | |
Total | | | 8,970 | | | | 9,232 | | | | 9,655 | | | | 10,420 | | | | 10,845 | | | | 11,254 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for operating activities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for goods and services | | | (4,696 | ) | | | (5,109 | ) | | | (5,222 | ) | | | (5,664 | ) | | | (5,883 | ) | | | (6,129 | ) |
Grants and subsidies | | | (129 | ) | | | (126 | ) | | | (171 | ) | | | (77 | ) | | | 1 | | | | 1 | |
Interest | | | (801 | ) | | | (798 | ) | | | (809 | ) | | | (877 | ) | | | (921 | ) | | | (1,023 | ) |
Other payments | | | (1,017 | ) | | | (915 | ) | | | (1,018 | ) | | | (1,011 | ) | | | (986 | ) | | | (950 | ) |
Total | | | (6,642 | ) | | | (6,948 | ) | | | (7,220 | ) | | | (7,629 | ) | | | (7,789 | ) | | | (8,101 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net cash inflows from operating activities | | | 2,328 | | | | 2,284 | | | | 2,435 | | | | 2,791 | | | | 3,056 | | | | 3,153 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for investments in non-financial assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Purchases of non-financial assets | | | (1,804 | ) | | | (3,123 | ) | | | (3,084 | ) | | | (3,390 | ) | | | (3,365 | ) | | | (3,175 | ) |
Sales of non-financial assets | | | 384 | | | | 51 | | | | 103 | | | | 42 | | | | 54 | | | | 54 | |
Total | | | (1,420 | ) | | | (3,072 | ) | | | (2,981 | ) | | | (3,348 | ) | | | (3,311 | ) | | | (3,121 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for investments in financial assets for policy purposes | | | (6 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for investments in financial assets for liquidity purposes | | | (52 | ) | | | (64 | ) | | | (30 | ) | | | (39 | ) | | | (39 | ) | | | (39 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Receipts from financing activities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Borrowing (net) | | | (823 | ) | | | 1,393 | | | | 1,065 | | | | 1,140 | | | | 816 | | | | 887 | |
Deposits received (net) | | | 2 | | | | — | | | | (22 | ) | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | | | 1 | |
Distributions paid | | | (774 | ) | | | (753 | ) | | | (767 | ) | | | (734 | ) | | | (795 | ) | | | (1,098 | ) |
Other financing (net) | | | 692 | | | | 106 | | | | 146 | | | | 206 | | | | 583 | | | | 186 | |
Total | | | (902 | ) | | | 746 | | | | 422 | | | | 613 | | | | 605 | | | | (24 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net increase/(decrease) in cash held | | | (53 | ) | | | (107 | ) | | | (154 | ) | | | 17 | | | | 311 | | | | (31 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net cash from operating activities and investments in non-financial assets | | | 907 | | | | (788 | ) | | | (546 | ) | | | (557 | ) | | | (255 | ) | | | 32 | |
Distributions paid | | | (774 | ) | | | (753 | ) | | | (767 | ) | | | (734 | ) | | | (795 | ) | | | (1,098 | ) |
GFS Surplus/(deficit) | | | 133 | | | | (1,541 | ) | | | (1,313 | ) | | | (1,291 | ) | | | (1,050 | ) | | | (1,066 | ) |
Note: |
|
1. | | Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
Table D.9
Non-financial Public Sector Cash Flow Statement (1)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | 2003-04 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2004-05 | | | 2005-06 | | | 2006-07 | | | 2007-08 | |
| | | | | | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | | | Revised | |
| | Actual | | | Budget | | | Budget | | | Projection | | | Projection | | | Projection | |
| | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | | | $ million | |
|
Receipts from operating activities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Taxes received | | | 6,318 | | | | 5,959 | | | | 6,263 | | | | 6,203 | | | | 6,587 | | | | 6,965 | |
Grants and subsidies received | | | 11,428 | | | | 12,105 | | | | 12,676 | | | | 12,928 | | | | 13,532 | | | | 14,368 | |
Sales of goods and services | | | 9,519 | | | | 9,644 | | | | 10,073 | | | | 10,740 | | | | 11,395 | | | | 11,704 | |
Other receipts | | | 5,074 | | | | 3,699 | | | | 3,811 | | | | 3,989 | | | | 4,034 | | | | 4,235 | |
Total | | | 32,339 | | | | 31,407 | | | | 32,823 | | | | 33,860 | | | | 35,548 | | | | 37,272 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for operating activities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for goods and services | | | (18,885 | ) | | | (19,595 | ) | | | (20,011 | ) | | | (21,396 | ) | | | (22,853 | ) | | | (24,022 | ) |
Grants and subsidies | | | (3,985 | ) | | | (4,555 | ) | | | (4,700 | ) | | | (4,551 | ) | | | (4,710 | ) | | | (4,964 | ) |
Interest | | | (941 | ) | | | (928 | ) | | | (948 | ) | | | (1,026 | ) | | | (1,117 | ) | | | (1,231 | ) |
Other payments | | | (1,425 | ) | | | (1,302 | ) | | | (1,470 | ) | | | (1,407 | ) | | | (1,375 | ) | | | (1,309 | ) |
Total | | | (25,237 | ) | | | (26,380 | ) | | | (27,129 | ) | | | (28,380 | ) | | | (30,055 | ) | | | (31,526 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net cash inflows from operating activities | | | 7,102 | | | | 5,027 | | | | 5,694 | | | | 5,480 | | | | 5,493 | | | | 5,746 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for investments in non-financial assets | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Purchases of non-financial assets | | | (4,219 | ) | | | (5,841 | ) | | | (5,929 | ) | | | (6,192 | ) | | | (6,103 | ) | | | (6,041 | ) |
Sales of non-financial assets | | | 740 | | | | 335 | | | | 433 | | | | 292 | | | | 288 | | | | 269 | |
Total | | | (3,479 | ) | | | (5,506 | ) | | | (5,496 | ) | | | (5,900 | ) | | | (5,815 | ) | | | (5,772 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for investments in financial assets for policy purposes | | | (30 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | 5 | | | | — | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Payments for investments in financial assets for liquidity purposes | | | (2,451 | ) | | | (1,557 | ) | | | (1,591 | ) | | | (1,186 | ) | | | (1,202 | ) | | | (1,215 | ) |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Receipts from financing activities | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Advances received net (2) | | | — | | | | — | | | | (3 | ) | | | (3 | ) | | | (3 | ) | | | (3 | ) |
Borrowing (net) | | | (1,108 | ) | | | 1,432 | | | | 1,028 | | | | 1,873 | | | | 1,702 | | | | 1,358 | |
Deposits received (net) | | | 3 | | | | — | | | | (22 | ) | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | | | 2 | |
Other financing (net) | | | 26 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
Total | | | (1,079 | ) | | | 1,432 | | | | 1,003 | | | | 1,871 | | | | 1,700 | | | | 1,357 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net increase/(decrease) in cash held | | | 63 | | | | (604 | ) | | | (390 | ) | | | 265 | | | | 181 | | | | 116 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Net cash from operating activities and investments in non-financial assets | | | 3,622 | | | | (479 | ) | | | 198 | | | | (420 | ) | | | (322 | ) | | | (26 | ) |
less Finance leases and similar arrangements | | | — | | | | 3 | | | | 3 | | | | 2 | | | | 2 | | | | 2 | |
GFS Surplus/(deficit) | | | 3,622 | | | | (482 | ) | | | 195 | | | | (422 | ) | | | (324 | ) | | | (28 | ) |
Note: |
|
1. | | Numbers may not add due to rounding. |
|
2. | | From 2004-05 the Australian Bureau of Statisitcs (ABS) has requested that Commonwealth debt be classified as Advances received, rather than Borrowing. |