WBT - Earnings call transcript Q4 2019

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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Welbilt 2019 Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference call. [Operator Instructions].

I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Rich Sheffer. Please begin.

Richard Sheffer

to Fourth welcome and Earnings and Webcast. morning Welbilt's Quarter XXXX Call Good

the Bill Financial today and me Officer. call Joining on is Matosevic, Chief Officer; Agard, Josef Chief Marty Johnson, our and Chief Officer; our Operating Executive President our

forward-looking discussion, the begin to refer of Any website, Investor Slide Relations our statements, statement which can in our or not presentation are statements statements www.welbilt.com. call historical of differ could business section the regarding Before slides, harbor implied be forward-looking on expressed our please are that we and materially this safe our or made any X results found in our today. future facts from projections

in We results our affected or Our may as our other circumstances. any not factors, do information, by release be of including whether statement, events and revise any a update SEC or important result publicly in new obligation uncertainties forward-looking to filings. actual many press undertake identified risks and future

Today's our earnings include presentation to other our measures. reconciliations non-GAAP use non-GAAP Please for important financial both non-GAAP and measures. of and GAAP regarding release refer the and discussion information will

Now over to the turn I'd Bill. to like call

William Johnson

morning. and Rich, good Thanks,

in currency decrease in Americas headwind, both net The EMEA. a resulted delivered Slide in large today's net quarter. led in chain X a point basis weaker you end-market our from market despite globally of decrease an in and the demand fourth As presentation, and facing sales we customers saw now the quarter slowdown the earnings increase release a the of X% translation sales. in X.X% in on general foreign XX our margin a and continuation X.X%, organic to These of slowdowns

$X market $XX million large many in large being These million. late rollouts with paused. to XXXX being Welbilt rollouts the before XXXX $XX $XX to that ones has small sales, in vary ones can and continued million size, million through mid-year in benefited beginning from chain

So well replace comparisons end. as they first comps expect they as rollouts slowdown. lumpy to that the tend the those ended, tough launch XXXX lap they we when through new of have half as have to before we create XXXX Without to

North case commitments groups and in hit fourth fourth within buying targets. market We've worked many supporting usually dealers the and product. It to quarter the annual market over as to in general our with buying few in years, us for this indications well, groups and year the to improve quarter the their position general of of growth outgrow steady each low the a as appeared American demand Demand environment. last growth hard another the remains work strong allowing fourth but would quarter normal be dealers dealers that from in

that but impacted end and deliver this that the guidance. the to protracted believe our a air us as slowed slowdown, more than weren't much to of It they that them customers growth demand is relative was an We pocket surprise their it from came so a overall quarter able certainly to anticipated.

early in as progresses. soft XXXX to the are We before remain expecting conditions recovering year

X.X% by X.X%, base cost decreased his the dive of will adjust to production quarter, volumes I to adjusted headcount. reduced deeper comments. better or let take our did $X.X total XXX during variances EBITDA operating approximately our but people We steps our Marty increased with Operationally, points. margin margin basis our headcount overall into million match XX in the fourth or

Moving to Slide X.

the outlined achieving objectives key program on we May. our Day schedule for Investor at remains last Our transformation

our have each Majority our our been receiving responses, responses estimates more the Our in procurement responses have targeted and RFQs been active addressable we will of team and cover vetting material sourcing corroborate of has procurement coming spend. issued, initiating been with that for very events in savings. week. all These

now savings receive time and current we in small close to these new have line. our and suppliers from savings the implement activities new original delivered our net begun targeted very a that both remain We from will confident procurement with agreements fourth sourcing to quarter. We

in have schedule We to Wave their and see our and manufacturing activities. planned North continued American X X them make great progress plants on Wave with

most in to have related. equipment headcount the and into but layouts done of lines, of that, times new improve quarter will we've of during started We've and We assembly improve at I the the to efficiencies most where and significantly. test go lead to reductions second fourth we've equipment reductions the and contributed seen this the our of with take mentioned, fabrication steps delivery production plants volume quarter. install, These continued were the

finish have equipment we changes in continue new reduce which we began the these third program. flow signifies and quarters, to installing the North of implementing wave January, operations. As next plants the X the American moved next we fabrication the manufacturing X that our on of We over line further into transformation cost work expect

We on are faster the us the to X with applying track move should plants allow that deliver these savings we targeted from learnings and plans. first envisioned. to people We remain

their The plans, us our our higher achieving first of X Wave plus and targets. X savings plants procurement which team, from identified above confidence have original additional X, gives

is ideas, This the implement quarter of identifying of is and million the of XXXX. annualized approximately finally, for go are run rate inventory from the it begin and balance target processes our to and $XX seeing the our income run see XX- reaching the fourth we through completing changes, a cost these lower benefit expecting established up previously a savings of half and process the in new work As savings to only sheet, to why ramp XXXX, statement. a reminder, to meaningful implementing second to XX-month to

We to program been since we are fully transformation with the you committed early that have discussing savings delivering XXXX.

expect we growth end through and have improvements, to markets be a hit air run environment. the in improving year, half though that begin not on the of pocket in even the We more We cut achieving back will cost-efficient and we'll efforts in investment positioned for our short-term operations. second our leaner do to these demand

happens, As confident will are be amplified. gain we that margin our this

I'll to segment summary that, for With our the Josef of results. a turn call over

Josef Matosevic

Thank line and decreased you, the in our year. the Starting top with results Bill, within X.X% sales review everyone. from on prior will the I Americas, segments. morning, good Slide X the quarter

with, As to Bill surprised, conferred failed discussed, as dealer we demand we anticipated quarter our fourth were were materialize. partners when

are been the expansion announcing in new striving been, further of ever group categories have at strongest than through relationship product to the see as confident primary we and this have in improved buying We XXXX. and level dealer they level cultivate both and

believe quarter. year-over-year We in its still fourth continued sales the XX% tables some saw again we have new included that equipment by have a in coffee be in this forward in half a last with large Last rollouts relationships. with We We partnerships be fully basis. the expect some with begin large seen fourth total key beverage prep and dealer and to third we been investments this rollouts long-term dining to comp fryers remain negative began Frymaster chains. committed This to on year. projects large quarter quarter customers refrigerated Delfield channel a in two QSR year, chain testing second move nitro do that some will customers, up XXXX units, a large chain on growth a of in has brands to casual multiple expect large rollouts Multiplex as of but year-over-year slowdown the down that and the pause appears lack of chain from basis resulted year's versus in in large we rollouts have to as year's

compared in last a year. Finally, mainly KitchenCare orders aftermarket in quarter, to bulk-buy sales declined the from decrease

EMEA at on Slide Looking X.

fourth and strong for organic region Third-party comp decreased large rollouts currency fryers net to X.X% also XX.X%; translation a year's market large machines Overall with We the a marine a Frymaster beverage in while XX%; Convotherm net Ovens foreign general Crem led sector; distributor. headwind. in economic drink coffee softness Merrychef last lower system the with and ovens large tough had sales a was Combi Multiplex the in high-speed quarter. with distributoR; chain; decreased sales in soft quarter sales a from

Moving X. to Slide

increased sales translation sales net of foreign Third-party was X.X%. in X.X%; organic currency a increased X.X%; while headwind APAC net

categories, are win with with to is Sales growth. continuing reflected product product, and sales the win newest full-automated this their machine. market chain We in decreased which business although in some local general global multiple the slightly quarter, regional chains in Crem did APAC APAC large Unity across chains to

innovation to continue program. confidence have in We our

few a highlights share To here.

is a growth products practice store Unity Fresh soon. large example First, chains We're how with opportunities. new of of couple testing The to within incremental from provide and with a will machine Crem coffee wins continue in these convenience expect to see innovation great Blend.

in addition also In global stores are adopting chain customer trials the China, local that large to we U.S. progressing the machines customers several are in with well. these field in

Barista-style to EXX iF In remain new addition expresso AWARD, Crem's about machine potential globally. XXXX excited DESIGN won Crem we the

European level our Décor provide its X awards. our Year and the ovens design both McDonald's the of to to high and Our Subway we also U.K. the Equipment equipment are evident Welbilt to Supplier the awarded recent and with with service XXXX customers. testaments and great commitment our for was Merrychef of customers the Partner we These sell Year. to with awarded U.K. of

Marty into the operating our let initial quarter Marty? of get and now details will XXXX I the outlook.

Martin Agard

the I'm on Thanks, some start with going on drivers morning, EBITDA adjusted and Josef, comments good Slide to shown X. margin everyone. operating

pricing lower in price volume, we we mix put positive pricing volume, that net Americas. saw the March's flat to at pricing, to by and through the offset increase these Looking with favorable net list related

EMEA that January also a we benefit and from price implemented APAC. We had in the increases

for, was in tariffs, as exposure year. XXXX paying costs, got later in We round tariffs last a received new this the tariff were QX were we to September. compared in Material including an this prior but tariffs that exclusion of of quarter we flat offset

This Other absorption manufacturing challenges from driven the mainly some this and warranty, were volume mainly smaller along impact a expenses, from warranty issues. headwind labor, point quarter. was with XX a basis specific environment, lower by overhead

of volume the the the headwinds, our actions or In cost X.X%. did structure headcount during reduce we take to reducing approximately by XXX face quarter,

less third quarter. was than impact the overall in the experienced So

reductions to measures by productivity transformation the as staffing program to in our fine-tuned help we the ensure see we being adjustments isolate productivity-driven the environment. adapt as our headcount required have We by headcount delivered also volume-driven actions the demand clearly while targets to efficiencies well plants and

quarter. SG&A quarter the FX compared accrual on year's driver an to for compensation incentive the adjusted to contributor this a fourth here in for was and period. expansion biggest incentive in in reduction year's last The compensation was increase point the margin basis excluding an XXX basis in

by elevated certain also reading inclusion transformation you're is costs the If face statement, of related the income and concluded to investments of the litigation. the SG&A program

track through can You specifics the reconciliation schedules. the non-GAAP

quarter, million. due to Free the an cash in timing was free year full XXXX accounts Slide to by full cash increase a million is payable X. Moving primarily This decrease in reduction capital in flow of bringing for driven from million the $XX.X expenditures. year flow our a and $XX $XX.X to

Cash increased debt by by balance our decreased $XX.X million $XX.X the quarter, while overall during million.

and at within, Our May's of at the range Day. at turns X.X Investor leverage ratio finished the high end the we year shared but remains

to the XXXX I'd today's foreign like range have year XX, X% we release. between guidance earnings few impact minus little a to initial sales, comments our for the Slide on translation. in with that currency with provided to we forecasted Beginning set for up on Finally, no X% make

a the down second half growth and in the of with high year to quarter are single-digits mid- in returning sales down second in the We to in year. slow quarter the first the the to also start forecasting percent before

year's our we on We cannot in comparisons X% of first current to we both sales, EMEA from that tough and in against represented Americas replace pipeline have had rollouts XXXX. last which quarter approximately where count

to In general in addition, the current linger conditions midyear. segments' expecting are both until soft we market markets

due first We coronavirus. by the also disruption expect sales the quarter caused in the APAC weak to in to be

full-staff disruption potential but and the to EMEA into are Our lost to to China plants Americas China component chain region could second good finished operating from the back below but in slowly quarter isolated levels. quarter only due are sales visibility been to in monitoring spill shortages. we still have have At goods speed and deferred this the or for first closely our supply spread China time, up coming in or the that to

improve to both more but Americas, the expect against sales of segment expect on general sales. we put second in the through Few projects XXXX second to expect realization from price remain large to chain half list will in and did here in and specifics In seeing tough comps begin are market large price chains get in first choppy the the half then. year our the the and QX increases pipeline launched the optimistic some quarter. by We

be In large a sales chain expecting are quarter first conditions. year general the ongoing with to relatively EMEA, we flat the in due to very last and comp rollouts for soft year's tough market

We as market and stabilizes. the by are midyear expecting the return growth get general to to easier comps

to APAC due start expect from region and full even on year. expect off to the midyear the We get a back tough the by the We growth China coronavirus get to disruption market. the to end to return currently for

would EBITDA a ranges Our XX year be basis to margin adjusted operating full improvement XX.X%, and XX.X% XXXX. which XXX point guidance over between

due positive the the said, this may the balance in before positive lower the the absorption of driver a quarter overcome first to the pricing volumes volume net be and challenges, expecting we we're drivers, unfavorable for the be on and driver of That impact for lower to year. at related turning Looking year.

absorption half material in the on the although lumpy statement transformation expected off XXXX's expect are balance favorable a recovery year, We're fourth as headwind work inventory low that income high-cost the the through other expect the inventory second manufacturing we expecting through and turn see the second and benefits headwind stemming turned. By the that to program. be our procurement and bit be positive and tariffs. costs our to impact in roll positive year, midyear sheet is plants the by from quarter the costs we due as a our will the Other quarter subside transformation tariffs by quarter-by-quarter from start quarter's to the second to here. of of visible being made the We through for to costs quarter ruling start improvements we and savings realize first manufacturing program as being to from

be we attainment. to a below-target target expecting incentive We're our XXXX to compensation SG&A restore XXXX's as headwind levels following in

maintenance investment In new transition our the XXXX, continue will in our a our our our and functional and And project investments lines very common addition, product for customers we out infrastructure. portal incremental systems to to are to planning controller continue will on for journey benefits. to to in the increase controller build we we some of to in operational small some IT leverage rationalize begin as systems make we as

Overall, margin the midpoints across our notice first ranges are is about of return basis half before second solid with year as net is growth to program. deliver line savings be down expecting points margin and quarter from drivers the weak you'll in top last XX Overall, the guidance particularly up begin compared progress we second we to year QX slightly to year-over-year weak, transformation margins expected then to our XXXX. prior our quarter and in the realizing growth from the a even

from P&L there. down the Moving

EPS a diluted biggest higher share. here in discuss The XXXX. much is for item to tax $X.XX our adjusted to for range rate guidance expectation is per effective Our $X.XX

rate Our valuation and from expected but to is XX% XXXX's interest of that allowance deductibility Cuts on the Jobs XXXX. enacted overall to XX% we rate, the limitations expect comparable be base impact of related a expense a was with Act Tax to

delever we of valuation following the program decreases rate the through tax grows our transformation our ultimately, expect of reducing execution income diminish as in the and back interest we levels, capture expense this and should allowance to this sheet, interest. effective our As to deductibility statutory the balance years,

Operator, for comments. now call we'll open my concludes questions. That the up

Operator

Instructions]. [Operator

of from of Your Jeff the Hammond KeyBanc. question comes first line today

Jeffrey Hammond

all-in or in kind inefficiencies an of through $XXX,XXX about the in given of savings you to the this does incremental basis? savings talk of it kind this kind on soft And looks like just savings get and terms Can what then getting some like the enable kind fourth think you year to about patch, anything general, through in of are quarter. talked of going of of accelerate of before? just cadence kind you -- the you So the got you're you the be

William Johnson

Yes.

-- is margin, that specifics in So I'll glide would Marty on doing the we but of second I say of laid we're of and the in benefits those path -- won't can more first we in place realize all the this transformation put out of, middle on Marty the comment in quarter, things kind still the and factories, materialize. lot a to start the until that we let

stuff, have, which keep we'll that place RFQs through probably action of the X/X moving from be glide out I to to the to, path bleed run cost we set a some over not million changed May we'll next and and we've those of little the of for of we've what exception our and we're exiting the in through total X/X out several now. -- $XX plans the with right that figure get bit there's the year. rate last spend -- adjust suppliers through XXXX the exiting $XX And procurement are about But we're basis. of Any... mean, with going we're through The and in actions starting put that and rate. which us as is With the the of XXXX improvement working items months, other to ones million run

Martin Agard

Yes.

I think that's right.

bridges margin related done that very to starting pickups. in break few won't in see these the be managing degree, while they'll fill benefits out some to half, are Just and, on bit we're a the to but first that through, small, year. to things procurement a I still we little flow in and cadence do. small cost say the volume, taking we would We've out the through enacting headcount will really

is quarter really third quarter. that The transitional

in of we're the The through. to some come a sales, up starting get full volume the procurement some question headcount bit should through back of also extent the should start it the is, of inventory. we to gets how quickly show the taking it now To how little and actions be stuff is

the benefits hard really sheet come in, to stuff say, there into this real a to having we So the be positive then its the but in way as and third it's a expect by some see made to when is balance little -- And should the fourth contributor. quarter.

William Johnson

the job But volumes. falling I good in teams did taking -- a with taking fourth good also say, the a would headcount did quarter Jeff, of down we job of

that. look patch And close to and a productivity-related. what's at so we're what's And don't continue really We of at driving the soft we that we're in. volume-related, taking kind those the of that look efficiency- issue both with the cloud we're

Jeffrey Hammond

you year? all-in you're the to transformation the quantify Did Okay. going incremental for savings from get

Martin Agard

actually didn't We whole second. minimis in the number first year. de low say put very I'd in small, almost on quarter, the the a still

of kind The quarter million third, and somewhere million rate. the between rate, $X.X run that fourth $X run

quarter. So $X I know, million million, million, I in $X don't think, $X the third

teens, So on year, imagine end going the that's in here. I the up to

Jeffrey Hammond

the just think you just sizable and, Okay. a give mentioned incentives. on a Can And I think, big color I then headwind? investments you SG&A, that's on why some lift, little more such

William Johnson

equipment interface and give which across an cost-wise but look savings projects base also a supply to XXXX we KitchenConnect And have XXXX things is launching one And our was of controller. for common so will step-function to Yes. common kind all do, things in strategic what beginning they innovations. realizing I that's I And terms we people from us big the user a controller of customers, here improvement common the the way the advantage was do. training the we're that. of trying -- to did with -- of just when all first throughout in at mean in and been connects I the lift platforms, got end the the and us of peaks before and one a digital XXXX, that our of the the heavy to from user-interface both cost for our of are a of start

that. to as you start of then get that, driver So kind it's It's single lift a there. this we're savings can about we really heavy biggest through. but But year, of been, imagine, for coming and peak excited probably us the

the on the acquisition, And side U.S. is then Crem the investment our would say we're with is I Crem into -- launching other our Crem SG&A

do this as sites And customers. that got and with that, add some Crem we've to out growth on hoping traction of year seeing we're gain for so vector start had to beta starting a us. to and beta, resources lot We've a units there to with we're

Operator

the of Dobre R.W. Your of comes Mig next from question line Baird.

Mircea Dobre

this with fourth the the lower said that to actions headcount heard you've of I you maybe looking volumes. that taken of quarter. most all Just believe to start virtually do -- I've in that has with

things savings, get year, outlook you correct meaning P&L? start the and let's Or as is that these headcount getting costs three also the So come I'm into the back the here half back of are start then for to the permanence interpretation as looking my on year these part on incremental that plan of rehiring of savings are, there. quantification savings, some So volumes things announced the strategy. is do of folks? that you're coming say, your before the of kind these you've I'll in back, better one, but And to level your

William Johnson

Yes.

transformation there's think program, of And got not to volume down, return, I need actions get to it would and comes we're right? the back, out, people volume, right? -- many volume it's It's sword So we're taking but -- track with not coming a that and that. the people as on anticipate, as -- when double-edged the all we you've does with keeping

of say, lot transformation efficiency I of this this of the fourth relates was out by took fabrication year we're lot of the first and A take to the plants, second or we've but will of XX% like -- it factories the end quarter kind be savings right transforming quarter would the some for And gains, second of will probably and the we second that. in -- things, -- people I quantify, the from volume. and in as a -- on because first of kind quarter out say second and of the tracking through what of most savings the come to year. X now, towards those implemented as was would rest the to we But more quarter so

Mircea Dobre

Right. are savings But X% this? with you what the it's dollar a healthy Can with mean headcount of I pretty not us? associated number. that is -- share

Martin Agard

guess this not I forward. is of part going the bit is say really. this actions I of to later -- that will mean these I'd quarter. offsetting play the a the We extent lot in little a there's volume, took out

We now continue first the here to quarter. take in some

posted, have So to attributed we do not the some will in expect, reflect we do recorded around, savings stuff of that our quarter second concluded volume But gains. start -- comes these we we any about the are transformation quarters. outpacing productivity to as just really this and effects, of

into workforce, and fourth quantify and part, our then for to headcount too time, and in start the and the quarter shows that bit. out able volume from to actions really with a extent most standpoint, in try to the see third and that to do To about. incremental in first And existing will transformation we'll to inventory second materialize for quarter. parse quarter actions and/or volume, far, the up try But in what be we be be really what is savings what more the we're out. productive so we're that'll continue to a talking to goes the start is, we've small the was productivity quarter that'll so comes is key production gains you savings over that taken And coming back, the

Mircea Dobre

Okay.

can incentive Going in XXXX XXXX? what XXXX versus versus in a comp, you give us for plan? the headwind were is Or dollar you in terms put where back to sense differently, your

Martin Agard

Yes. -- of XXXX, I was say kind we was roughly XXXX. in XXXX in payout. it it's what would -- a good pretty of was have half

Mircea Dobre

by it's million, off? 'XX? my math, versus I in the something mean XXXX $XX headwind And like I am

Martin Agard

the points not You're I the off. think range minus. basis of margin, it or way would on in plus XX

the So but you're ZIP that, than a higher right it's code. little in

Mircea Dobre

Okay.

looking when final the the for mean, I'm midpoint I guidance, think look, I $XXX with something up So I'm at million question of of me. EBITDA. coming your like for

million $XXX in done You've XXXX.

you're basically on a at decline. the modest, million So saying $XX midpoint, EBITDA additional revenue organic

how trying pieces to you about, the call get of savings million, million $XX I'm said figure benefit as we So it, in out because you million to worth moving QX. here had $X $X of

have $X QX. in million You about

you us So as this we math $XX the figure? comp, we some from a $XX pieces million. bit is, little have can do a below get with the moving it's comfortable which headwind what how that get incentive maybe to Can to million help with of we other to

Martin Agard

bit of we'll is from with over even bit a get think the lift -- I -- do standpoint, margin mean pricing of effects. that I we little the Yes. think volume the in of course a excess a year from

certainly, there's around, and tariffs we And to kick margin, -- middle by part, of little So we in going half, also the that guidance impact bit range, XXX basis would points. the drive cost in from net the net pricing. for will the a gave, most material think, that, positive and second we point of that's the the think

and then stuff. we're back And the there. Similarly, back, costs, of some gains. as some volume burden give think manufacturing like get And will the bit, a other big We see then the up Crem the that we we get time. show a IT of bit and We plants carrying that the the the some also of first of common this impact how little there's talked making, quarter to driving going productivity controller we fourth into I about soon are gains incentive investments SG&A. that's quarter's comp is but as quantified SG&A and really through investments should that and

do So that that there's when that's of weighted, really comes on you XX flat think back-half from together, add where sort a range sales. the we again, midpoint of but points of admittedly all expansion, basis margin

Operator

William Blair. from the next comes of Your Maria from De question line Larry

Lawrence De Maria

this I other about initially besides the the of you're what we're out market And market. reasons none this gives difficult and, underperforming this underperformance, are this curious uncertainty I'm reasons the weakness half seeing? Curious guys, of recovery? constant general you are of you're seeing, in in you specifically why comps from what market there, kind -- sort confidence around guess, expectations. second the the seeing than the What specifically but market

William Johnson

lot Yes. is ranging A from of mean of a lot of things replacement-type think -- not number business. bricks-and-mortar up. renovations, this remember, to out got I there's I there's just a there you new going

pauses I strategy softness it's And of kind The put the market of chains, follow I changes actually. their there's by CEO of to until be all caused and the general chains some change the some set. the hold large started the then they we projects -- larger the been seeing some in mean the review of the which there's of they in lag chain quarter that fourth business. market slowdown kind the get on and And chain some And there's that. or quarter. so to spending that been at customers, -- by some think general with in tends of third

times we come We're seeing of we it's think just it's is think that I doing -- as projects these of that some of hard kind Everything think, the are There outperforming. second the any just sector projects works one board. couple mean I -- there's out. a point across a in said we is start to So kind I a that's now, to soft. lot well. just generally the of of half, the

are of -- decent in things. There that general it recover -- smaller to And starts on couple that of the to them rollouts not at the half on win. the ones. side the kind We'll lapping kind a the in we should of XXXX of -- just second little comps And point. They're the a be banking are that we're some second should of the half. market, little-bit-larger hopefully, in bit

[indiscernible]. So

Lawrence De Maria

Okay.

it. got So

I point. X up a up bring with You good here. just questions follow If could

the specifically how a next age I spending period years, out the secondly, of expecting for in given and X the clarification, the you belief age replacement the Could fleet? cycle. coronavirus? correctly, plays good you of talk years then is, the First, think recover that a all you're to in replacement bolus on that in tailwind entering kind equipment given could what if a previous about half. about XQ that fact, There's of on of that just expecting maybe negatively And the of market comment potentially it we're you on if you're And second over demand ago. kind few the understand in

Is that year. net neutral a for correct? So the

William Johnson

questions happening. second of we that. but of we to or second or of for quarter. on the had in from impacted really this getting It half had know point even in pieces to of kind else let's And to though don't the The expected on we parts the that second have sales Asia. the first the in in our a anticipate our we lost hasn't chain any really at what manufacture and revenue don't we shortfalls anywhere first perspective, kind from sales quarter So alternate first impact enough we be. and there. we in quarter terms unknown couple a it's kind supply our obviously ability what and world, time, in get in know suppliers know months not will enough China, that we bit coronavirus, of of that terms start suppliers I work We here, It's the place think, had with return one. two for the inventory through cover will impact mean an

we're just the like actions that other sites of in cause main we make don't place in it to in putting world action So and else monitoring problems the kind around globe. sure everybody I just think

So I I think kind sorry, first of a question. pragmatic approach. I'm your forgot

Lawrence De Maria

Just eight of so. talking ago from bolus or of about replacement the the from years previous kind cycle sales

William Johnson

Yes.

So cycle. the replacement

a about I bubble think this we believe is do we've coming. coming, and always talked bubble there

repairs. I think year two extending or just it can by get extended a their by people

the on. 'XX, pick sales We may seeing bit an a of back up up XX-year where cycle. a cycle of well, little know. XX-year, maybe XX-, cycle, don't were be we're coming I 'XX kind starting on XX-year period 'XX, X-year of time finance of instead so to And But the -- that it's

see. we'll So

here the think I some a to for could it in XX next point nice us at be tailwind XX months.

Operator

Your David next of from MacGregor line of question Longbow. the comes

David MacGregor

getting about mentioned -- in talking coronavirus, you're suppliers you the talking been place. you've in Bill, second that

your Marty, think, the your for is okay in chain I supply comments, talked about you first quarter.

quarter, Second second risk. some us? you guess, Can quarter risk I there's put magnitude some that around for

Martin Agard

some for we've And things this go that now I for point. some know, on to it's I grills But small think what kind time example, fryers for maybe of parts prepare had don't we -- we and for have like we [indiscernible] know piece at Ice. that, that. and relatively

run if So for we have big I our an point okay I the I busier to to would up just months, in probably probably the in think little months, a okay. We're But ability Ice our being that. kind in to the are think shape. one -- -- concern months prebuild do be build on I in to a is harder limited bit say quarter stock had second going the first to build the of have summer I to we're to the we our little summer we'll normally for ability quarter Ice.

David MacGregor

half and through. expect activity? saying activity come to on the here I that of lot the would second been And there's saying is bit you're guess half. a in in about items in gives Or of just that backlog there what that could terms in quite confidence you it just seeing Okay. get backlog recovery talk bidding about that will today of talk a you're seeing you second maybe you things there's that? Or the give is specific call in And you better confidence bidding

William Johnson

at we second as Well, obviously see a working chain we've and activity rollouts Yes. of and year. we for on the and of business think things half or we that, things centered but rollouts our most like around is year on I look been customers, the specific the specific any our comment can't

not it's like mean I So things up. have popped just kind of

to are these we pushed, chains that want and been the do things So them. know have

pulling question on Just forward. trigger and the a moving it them of

need So to them. to paybacks they want or them a said, some for menu-expansion and do like pretty -- it's do that and are I ones good item sizable and for have there

question they're of to So we when. going them. know just do a It's

through been to think have at the point. that general I market X X down will quarters

to replacement, it rebound expecting see we're a lot there some is So business. because repair it is of --

David MacGregor

in or by normal the the have April? end end So hand of third a in order to quarter, orders you would to March, of when, see those need

William Johnson

second pretty have second half. the read a good quarter, the in Sometime we'll on

David MacGregor

Okay.

for that. aftermarket just the [indiscernible]? volumes to Okay. well And it -- interested And that's that in business. quarter? I then is just that's losing And just Or of and it can repair given has second space. should I parts, how better a down, the the expect and expectations you're happened business that talk as the aftermarket the the thinking are maybe OEMs wanted the about to mentioned of But aftermarket ask you up was activity quarter. some and you we share function the in just guess a about generic consolidation and maybe are in fact that about negative you picks fourth business

William Johnson

Yes.

aftermarket year. since So OEM I -- with last largest two the houses merged the -- think

effect inventories the so going what and the And through is looking at on they're industry. their

a so the their bulk saw level think towards them. service sure kind a our rather less they service year-end are more hand quarter objectives inventory do, of pause level, what and inventory make have bulk XXXX, on And would to buys lead which little think that buys. will that than think they in I in -- fourth be I for I improved bit The and we normally of in increased stated

going So until positive of XXXX. distribution inventory levels. everything consolidation terms multiple to from warehouses the they're of do quarter their in their telling fourth us not is They're also

I of a impact see the not we'll through So XXXX, that little we merged. bit we as of X thought an big as an when effect think kind heard but first

So softest carries to that I it's through the when It quarter. be would it in -- quarter expect -- the bulk always and the them kind buy fourth they did quarter. our do comes to a of first quarter parts first

throughout be the So see then in -- in probably we'll there. normal for recover second year it quarter the and

David MacGregor

consolidate You wouldn't expect those warehouse in the to be half operations? as it slower second they

Martin Agard

in don't level higher stated a Parts I because Heritage than what Town -- service is what think their wants what so they than had the higher plans. they've level service a want

used high, are And to terms so bit not carrying. I more think remain they're going a the inventory what to in if levels little of

David MacGregor

in you're just the how for of about positioned and could me if question of that. of influence the kind that the phenomenon think marketplace Last Okay. for and ghost whole emergence you talk kitchens you is just

William Johnson

Yes.

if bids -- and on quarter had requests, think remember, right, had third of kind on it fourth one I we lot year. do you effect of we things, our projects. that last of get big these a that a a We moved big last these out of was year, kind and

that's out are are building of every there out there. about just forming bid models in pretty players and participate still some that for speculative. they're kind ghost There We are that kitchens. So these

well likes it's everybody But lot become of think that a is a we'll these to it and to prevalent. And solution a in for of a on Welbilt they'll kind but more turnkey not buying pretty of kitchens I see. And they as think out, more there's the and I about, these positioned I figure lot going story lot think do of the projects. talk a marketplace.

Operator

Your Joyner the from John question BMO. comes of next line of

John Joyner

can understand more say, out. if how and just down, but case may I'm just -- say, North the, mean guess, within I I America? know in quarter the have, aftermarket, broke So I to I'm trying a double the it understand was little down, it what flavor of you digits bit or particularly a was the aftermarket more organic be, to you chains bit general between the color trying magnitude the little of give declines on market

Richard Sheffer

this is John, Yes. Rich.

was a percent aftermarket QX. down in as in So kind mid-single-digit of -- low,

market, think buys. general pretty turned a there I with actually percent strong couple the of That going year-end the -- down. to expected we out the be pickup to had

in the the the biggest the the drop down business, fourth quarter a softness was in in chain but XX-ish how was which that big we the neighborhood fourth So still rolling in saw large the quarter. out, of was percent driver of change

John Joyner

helpful. your kind you can that's similar I then -- -- then And color? terms in about And of the Okay. what outlook? give of mean

Martin Agard

large is I think offset say Americas going outlook, prepared things a year-over-year, what XXXX's And we chain with we the little in think time. some would low buying on over groups. recovery yes, the good we down the the of digits, in terms will and be market stuff, In being by that I have commented single in of general do bit that remarks,

that'll So back that, to offset us -- flat. we think gets that's

William Johnson

primary we in XXXX XXXX of some And XXXX. we in growth saw significant buying from added and activities that categories like group our

more anticipate -- of that we coming in XXXX. So and

John Joyner

then And Okay. more. just maybe Excellent. one

You implementing the things mentioned those that the you learned, and you're I exactly? What from waves into of that transformation guess, some current waves. are programs initial your

William Johnson

Yes.

it, everywhere the is, line the are biggest to to So we've aggressive there reductions had. assembly efficiency and worked on thing significantly. processes, or because the probably that -- think the efficiencies fabrication more on the put I we've the be know And is improved be that

We So what fast. and we do understand to it's needs -- can -- happen. I it think

sooner we learned of effectivity real sooner than the plant, we hire we had engineer get doubling the roll rather we to it all hire that you're were engineering people people to out, to plant transfer the it effect that than aggressive kind on -- these reduction, you things how people. lot then in that knowledge the the there out having a And to than get able terms could doing needed rather the need out, rather more there headcount upfront and more savings waiting of is be engineers while get get in later, of think that so of I to if So also from you quicker. a

teams got there, So and these we in us later months, and plants I transformation really we that's think up year, in faster. before staffed couple of accelerate months X, move the a helping got X last

the are ones. big those So X

Operator

next Your the Wertheimer question of of comes Research. line Melius Rob from

Robert Wertheimer

a was you've decent sort the and detail. amount happened purchasing share that confident as a in there Maybe the this, clear evaporation like of of you issue been are given on general kind willingness in to you fairly But that of in just opposed channel, quarter? you've feel pretty any an

William Johnson

Yes. lost We're very we share. confident haven't

Robert Wertheimer

Or stopped And I of just was about you bit already, we've talked customer general was? business the do little trends? confidence do for you've it real of anything it buying? Was you then a don't there people -- that to denote think or what but why a miss just know, it up sort nature -- driver mean, talked seized -- I about that the underlying and

William Johnson

to coronavirus decision-making. in Yes. And and on just It's reasons, one dealers people on any is right is this because slowness you marketplace. diffused it's extended, talk now and reps having it's your slow I pretty -- some business general marketplace, thing. When hard different it's hard lot that finger put effect a a as tell see there's the But right very that I replacement, is I to now. and stated repair but and it's being just their an customers, everybody of earlier, can we we of a -- the think,

Operator

Your comes of Liptak the Seaport. next of question line from Walter

Walter Liptak

a of question. follow-on Kind the to last

it margin. first too? sounds you the a like sales about will it down quarter-over-quarter thinking EBITDA for quarter, be and basis, year-over-year you're for As Are that thinking

Martin Agard

to That a high we mid- digits. talk the single is year a against that comment Yes. quarter That's about year-over-year first ago.

Walter Liptak

to margin EBITDA and sales both expecting you are sequentially, And Great. Okay. be down?

Martin Agard

Yes.

Walter Liptak

flow. get can I if some numbers wonder cash I on G&A free Great. and CapEx, XXXX Okay.

Martin Agard

$XX in in From 'XX. spent $XX range. million a something million CapEx standpoint, We the

So numbers, probably those let's between it'll say. be X

Richard Sheffer

going CapEx it we it 'XX. G&A was prior years levels than it, on. don't to with XXXX back guide should that be believe the similar get up levels to specifically in other should while flow, Free cash we that's to where increase from

So savings of the to to starts we the come investment I drive think down, some spending start transformation through.

in back over of it range, You net should XXX% that see certainly, and $XXX million conversion income.

Walter Liptak

and idea one little give if more about any last warranty quarter? the I dollar you Okay. us a more from the in me the is issue. And that the overhang first magnitude is there just can bit Great. wonder for

Martin Agard

wasn't just a won't it. and amount. It I related the to of get isolated it brand, -- to one out I dollar pieces won't was break substantial, couple

William Johnson

overhang. No

Operator

from question King. next Godfrey George line of the Your comes CL of

George Godfrey

questions. Two

back point The [ph], uplift Day what the that of organic level and the to XX% XXX order would margin the revenue in a first number? thinking second basis May you one XX% Investor EBITDA in is would to to be adjusted that growth achieve going XXXX minimum from half on need

William Johnson

what run that in $XX our to what be you we're we're what said, rate said going And Well, I our there's the that -- Investor think X% that we we run X% is which with to kind minus talking told think and million flattish-type is with May. consistent here of on plus of at of this see you we can guidance in exactly that the we which rate -- flat of million end range, kind was can sales, year, Day. that guidance $XX at achieve we

more can it makes certainly challenging, it we do So but it.

George Godfrey

Okay.

So that was my point.

the basis So X% XXX points is in are get organic you increased or control to flat, X%, that my call levers without it, question. your like revenue to to feel

William Johnson

Yes. That's how we establish the ranges.

George Godfrey

relative there are get that flow securitization And to to or it number? I get of necessary that XXXX any million million? don't your provide figure million question. any in Are in $XX add-backs of cash that'll the be then adjustments whatever there to $XX like is you program adjusted to Is to that the $XXX on determination adjustments or guidance. following up XXXX understand any had free you EBITDA,

William Johnson

was There that. anything a to onetime thing. a kind -- of are that not No. reimpose securitization don't like expect We AR

watch there is won't So to really deal down of stuff to year, we single-biggest as with. start next but later there of kind cost to through they wind be thing That'll in the in off-balance-sheet kind the -- have do transformation on-balance-sheet, year. the anything, kick

Operator

I are back the for no And to Johnson questions call queue. further remarks. Instructions]. turn Mr. [Operator in there concluding

William Johnson

we thank to appreciates team I up end team the get would the back entire their our our The region in APAC with efforts for to dealing like while call, really coronavirus. today's Before and plants your efforts. management running

profitable growth more significantly and to believe dollars right I the that reiterate has to to drive on strategy bottom want the can I focus line. Welbilt Next,

to our our growth of expect approach by sales more and, drive profitable We go-to-market and by to improving improving dollars margins. to deliver operations therefore,

Despite foodservice end the experiencing of in markets, on the growth headwinds are some for the commercial we prospects currently we industry. our are positive short-term long-term

our program move resolve transformation into will has to Our apparent XXXX of I and believe beyond. executing second this half investments investors program to and our not continue we the as in wavered, become

delevering day. morning, sheet. confidence Thanks growth I profitable and have concludes This continue in for XXXX team balance fourth and delivering a have this earnings the to great again us joining today's quarter call. this

Operator

this gentlemen, participating. today's concludes Thank and you call. for Ladies conference

You disconnect. now may

Welbilt (WBT) 25 Feb 202019 Q4 Earnings call transcript