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Current Account and Foreign Trade |
CURRENT ACCOUNT AND FOREIGN TRADE
| (balance in EUR billion) | |
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Item | January to November 2009 | | January to November 2008 | |
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Foreign trade | 122.9 | | 171.0 | |
Services | -18.0 | | -14.5 | |
Factor income (net) | 38.9 | | 40.1 | |
Current transfers | -34.3 | | -33.9 | |
Supplementary trade items | -10.4 | | -11.4 | |
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Current account | 99.1 | | 151.3 | |
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Source: Statistisches Bundesamt, German exports in November 2009: -3.1% on November 2008, press release of January 8, 2010 (http://www.destatis.de/jetspeed/portal/cms/Sites/destatis/Internet/EN/press/pr/2010/01/PE10__006__51,templateId=renderPrint.psml).
Excessive Deficit Procedure |
In July 2009, Germany notified the European Commission that the general government deficit was expected to reach 3.9% of GDP in 2009, which is well above the reference value of 3% of GDP, while general government gross debt was estimated to amount to 73.9% of GDP in 2009, which continues to exceed the 60% of GDP reference value and on a rising trend.
In light of these developments, the European Commission decided to initiate an excessive deficit procedure against Germany by adopting a report on Germany’s budget and economic situation on October 7, 2009. This report, which was the first step in the excessive deficit procedure, analyzes the reasons for the breach of the reference values with due regard to the economic background and all other relevant factors. The report states that the expected deficit is exceptional since it mainly results from the global financial crisis and the worldwide economic downturn. Nonetheless, the report states that the expected deficit clearly exceeds the Maastricht Treaty reference value and is not expected to be temporary. In addition, Germany’s general government gross debt to GDP ratio, which has been well above the 60% of GDP reference value since 2002, cannot be considered as “sufficiently diminishing and approaching the reference value at a satisfactory pace& #148; in the sense of the Maastricht Treaty and the Stability and Growth Pact. However, considering other relevant factors which have to be taken into account in the decision on the existence of an excessive deficit according to the Stability and Growth Pact, the report states that such relevant factors present on balance a relatively favorable picture of Germany’s public finances.
The report of the European Commission is addressed to the Economic and Financial Committee, which subsequently formulated an opinion. On November 11, 2009, the European Commission, taking this opinion and its own October report into account, recommended that the Ecofin Council rule on the existence of an excessive deficit in Germany. On December 2, 2009, the Ecofin Council opened the excessive deficit procedure for Germany. Having found that special circumstances on account of the impact of the global economic crisis allowed for correction of the deficit in the medium term (rather than the short term), the Ecofin Council called on Germany to reduce its deficit to below the 3% of GDP threshold by 2013.
Mainly due to the global financial crisis and the worldwide economic downturn, in addition to Germany, 19 other countries of the European Union are currently subject to an excessive deficit procedure.
According to its Autumn Forecast published on November 3, 2009, the European Commission predicts the German general government deficit to equal 3.4% of GDP in 2009 and 5.0% of GDP in 2010. Based on first preliminary calculations of the Federal Statistical Office, the German general government deficit was 3.2% of GDP in 2009. Furthermore, the Federal Government currently expects the deficit to rise to nearly 6% of GDP in 2010 due to further shortfalls in tax revenues and increasing public expenditures. In addition, the Federal Government expects general government debt to amount to 73% of GDP in 2009 and to rise to 78% of GDP in 2010.
Sources: : European Commission, Commission adopts reports under excessive deficit procedure for Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia and Slovenia, press release of October 7, 2009
(http://europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/09/1428&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=en); European Commission, Report from the Commission, Germany, Report prepared in accordance with Article
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104(3) of the Treaty, release of October 7, 2009 (http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/publication15935_en.pdf); European Commission, Commission Opinion on the existence of an excessive deficit in Germany, dated November 11, 2009 (http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/publication16164_en.pdf); Council of the European Union, Council opens excessive deficit procedures for nine member states and follows up its recommendations to five others, press release of December 2, 2009
(http://www.se2009.eu/polopoly_fs/1.26243!menu/standard/file/111688.pdf); European Commission, Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, Commission Staff Working Document, European Economic Forecast, Autumn 2009 (http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/publication16055_en.pdf); Federal Ministry of Finance, Bundeskabinett billigt Haushaltsentwurf 2010, press release of December 16, 2009 (http://www.bundesfinanzministerium.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/Finanzpolitik/2009/12/20091612__PM58.html); Statistisches Bundesamt, Germany experiencing serious recession in 2009, press release of January 13, 2010 (http://www.destatis.de/jetspeed/portal/cms/Sites/destatis/Internet/EN/press/pr/2010/01/PE10__012__811,templateId=renderPrint.psml).
Other Recent Developments |
On September 27, 2009, general elections for the Bundestag (one of the two Houses of Parliament) were held, with the following results:
| % of Votes | | Seats | |
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CDU/CSU | 33.8 | | 239 | |
SPD | 23.0 | | 146 | |
FDP | 14.6 | | 93 | |
Die Linke | 11.9 | | 76 | |
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 10.7 | | 68 | |
Others | 6.0 | | — | |
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Total | 100.0 | | 622 | |
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Source: The Federal Returning Officer, Official final result of the 2009 Bundestag election, press release of October 14, 2009.
(http://www.bundeswahlleiter.de/en/bundestagswahlen/BTW_BUND_09/presse/75_EndgueltigesErgebnis.html).Angela Merkel, who held the office since the last general elections for the Bundestag in 2005, was reelected as Chancellor of the Federal Republic. As from October 28, 2009, the new Federal Government is formed by a coalition of the Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU) and the Free Democratic Party (FDP).
Sources: Die Bundesregierung, Chancellor Angela Merkel sworn in, October 28, 2009
(http://www.bundesregierung.de/nn_6538/Content/EN/Artikel/2009/10/2009-10-28-vereidigung-bundeskanzlerin__en.html);Bundesministerium des Innern, Wachstum. Bildung. Zusammenhalt. - 17. Legislaturperiode hat begonnen (http://www.bmi.bund.de/SharedDocs/Kurzmeldungen/DE/2009/10/koalitionsvertrag.html); Wachstum. Bildung. Zusammenhalt. Koalitionsvertrag zwischen CDU, CSU und FDP, 17. Legislaturperiode (http://www.bmi.bund.de/cae/servlet/contentblob/773606/publicationFile/43158/koalitionsvertrag.pdf).
In December 2009, within the framework set out by the law on the further stabilization of the financial market (Gesetz zur Fortentwicklung der Finanzmarktstabilisierung), the first liquidation sub-agency (Abwicklungsgesellschaft) was established for WestLB, comprising a portfolio of structured securities, other risk positions and non-strategic business operations in a total amount of EUR 85 billion.
Source: SoFFin Bundesanstalt für Finanzmarktstabilisierung, Bundesanstalt für Finanzmarktstabilisierung errichtet Abwicklungsanstalt der WestLB, press release of December 14, 2009 (http://www.soffin.de/presse_archiv_14.12.09.php).
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant Landwirtschaftliche Rentenbank has duly caused this amendment to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized, at Frankfurt am Main, Federal Republic of Germany, on the 20th day of January, 2010.
| | LANDWIRTSCHAFTLICHE RENTENBANK | |
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| | By /s/ Dr. Horst Reinhardt | |
| | Name: Dr. Horst Reinhardt | |
| | Title: Member of the Board of Managing Directors | |
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| | By /s/ Martin Middendorf | |
| | Name: Martin Middendorf | |
| | Title: Director | |
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