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Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
September 30, 2010
Financial Supplement
Table of Contents | Page | ||
---|---|---|---|
New Business Production and Consolidated Statements of Operations | 1 | ||
Consolidated Balance Sheets | 2 | ||
Adjusted Book Value | 3 | ||
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written | 4 | ||
Investment Portfolio | 5 | ||
Financial Guaranty Profile | 6-8 | ||
Largest Exposures by Sector | 9-11 | ||
Claims Paying Resources | 12 | ||
Loss and LAE Reserves by Segment/Type | 13 | ||
Below Investment Grade Exposures | 14 | ||
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data | 15 | ||
Glossary | 16-17 | ||
Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures | 18-19 |
This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for periods ended March 31, 2010, June 30, 2010 and September 30, 2010. For the purposes of this financial supplement, all references to the "Company" shall mean AG Re.
Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements: | ||||
Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade or change in outlook of Assured Guaranty Ltd. or its affiliates and/or of transactions insured by Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s subsidiaries, both of which have occurred in the past; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, Assured Guaranty's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the world's credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses implicating the adequacy of Assured Guaranty's expected loss estimates; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to Assured Guaranty; (7) deterioration in the financial condition of our reinsurers, the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverable actually received and the risk that reinsurers may dispute amount owed to us under our reinsurance agreements; (8) the possibility that Assured Guaranty will not realize insurance loss recoveries or damages expected from originators, sellers, sponsors, underwriters or servicers of residential mortgage-backed securities transactions; (9) decreased demand or increased competition; (10) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (11) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (12) other governmental actions; (13) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty's business strategy; (14) contract cancellations; (15) Assured Guaranty's dependence on customers; (16) loss of key personnel; (17) adverse technological developments; (18) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (19) natural or man-made catastrophes; (20) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (21) management's response to these factors; and (22) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. | ||||
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
New Business Production and Consolidated Statements of Operations
(dollars in millions)
| Three Months Ended September 30, | | Nine Months Ended September 30, | | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % Change versus 3Q-09 | % Change versus YTD 2009 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 2009 | 2010 | 2009 | |||||||||||||||||
Consolidated new business production analysis: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Present value of new business production ("PVP") by source | |||||||||||||||||||||
Assured Guaranty Corp. | $ | 3.1 | $ | 35.5 | (91)% | $ | 13.0 | $ | 148.9 | (91)% | |||||||||||
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. 1 | - | 28.7 | (100)% | 181.3 | 28.7 | 532% | |||||||||||||||
Third parties 1 | - | - | NM | - | - | NM | |||||||||||||||
Total PVP | 3.1 | 64.2 | (95)% | 194.3 | 177.6 | 9% | |||||||||||||||
Less: PVP of credit derivatives | - | - | NM | - | 0.6 | (100)% | |||||||||||||||
PVP of financial guaranty insurance | 3.1 | 64.2 | (95)% | 194.3 | 177.0 | 10% | |||||||||||||||
Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP | 0.5 | 2.3 | (78)% | (28.2 | ) | 11.8 | NM | ||||||||||||||
Total: Financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums ("GWP") | 2.6 | 61.9 | (96)% | 222.5 | 165.2 | 35% | |||||||||||||||
Plus: Financial guaranty installment adjustment 2 | (6.2 | ) | (5.4 | ) | 15% | (19.2 | ) | 7.6 | NM | ||||||||||||
Total: Financial guaranty GWP | (3.6 | ) | 56.5 | (106)% | 203.3 | 172.8 | 18% | ||||||||||||||
Plus: Other segment GWP | - | (0.9 | ) | (100)% | - | (0.9 | ) | (100)% | |||||||||||||
Total GWP | $ | (3.6 | ) | $ | 55.6 | NM | $ | 203.3 | $ | 171.9 | 18% | ||||||||||
Revenues: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Net earned premiums | $ | 39.1 | $ | 11.4 | 243% | $ | 113.5 | $ | 144.1 | (21)% | |||||||||||
Net investment income | 20.3 | 20.3 | 0% | 62.7 | 68.2 | (8)% | |||||||||||||||
Net realized investment gains (losses) | 0.8 | (7.5 | ) | NM | 6.6 | (35.1 | ) | NM | |||||||||||||
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Credit derivative revenues | 4.4 | 4.9 | (10)% | 13.6 | 14.6 | (7)% | |||||||||||||||
Losses incurred on credit derivatives | (2.0 | ) | (27.9 | ) | (93)% | (25.2 | ) | (36.5 | ) | (31)% | |||||||||||
Net unrealized gain (loss), excluding losses incurred | (53.9 | ) | (28.8 | ) | 87% | 55.1 | (8.1 | ) | NM | ||||||||||||
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives | (51.5 | ) | (51.8 | ) | (1)% | 43.5 | (30.0 | ) | NM | ||||||||||||
Other income | 7.0 | 30.8 | (77)% | (9.8 | ) | 30.8 | NM | ||||||||||||||
Total revenues | 15.7 | 3.2 | 391% | 216.5 | 178.0 | 22% | |||||||||||||||
Expenses: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expenses | 12.9 | 43.9 | (71)% | 80.4 | 93.9 | (14)% | |||||||||||||||
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs | 8.9 | (1.6 | ) | NM | 27.4 | 35.6 | (23)% | ||||||||||||||
Other operating expenses | 5.1 | 9.5 | (46)% | 17.4 | 20.6 | (16)% | |||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 26.9 | 51.8 | (48)% | 125.2 | 150.1 | (17)% | |||||||||||||||
Income before income taxes | (11.2 | ) | (48.6 | ) | (77)% | 91.3 | 27.9 | 227% | |||||||||||||
Provision (benefit) for income taxes | 1.5 | 1.0 | 50% | 3.3 | (1.2 | ) | NM | ||||||||||||||
Net income | (12.7 | ) | (49.6 | ) | (74)% | 88.0 | 29.1 | 202% | |||||||||||||
Less after-tax adjustments: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Realized gains (losses) on investments | 0.9 | (7.0 | ) | NM | 6.4 | (34.8 | ) | NM | |||||||||||||
Non-credit impairments unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | (53.6 | ) | (28.3 | ) | 89% | 55.3 | (9.3 | ) | NM | ||||||||||||
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable | 7.0 | 24.9 | NM | (9.9 | ) | 24.9 | NM | ||||||||||||||
Operating income (loss) 3 | $ | 33.0 | $ | (39.2 | ) | NM | $ | 36.2 | $ | 48.3 | (25)% | ||||||||||
1. Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. became an affiliate of AG Re effective July 1, 2009. PVP for the six months ended June 30, 2009 is included in "Third parties" line.
2. Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.
3. The Company revised its definition of operating income in 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. Prior periods are presented on a basis consistent with the current definition.
Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.
NM = Not meaningful
Page 1
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions)
| As of | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2010 | December 31, 2009 | |||||||
Assets | |||||||||
Investment portfolio: | |||||||||
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value | $ | 2,289.7 | $ | 1,895.3 | |||||
Short-term investments, at fair value | 91.3 | 224.6 | |||||||
Total investment portfolio | 2,381.0 | 2,119.9 | |||||||
Cash | 13.1 | 10.9 | |||||||
Premiums receivable, net of ceding commissions payable | 401.1 | 446.2 | |||||||
Ceded unearned premium reserve | 0.5 | 0.5 | |||||||
Deferred acquisition costs | 381.6 | 342.0 | |||||||
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses | 0.4 | 0.9 | |||||||
Credit derivative assets | 68.2 | 68.4 | |||||||
Deferred tax asset, net | 4.4 | 9.7 | |||||||
Salvage and subrogation recoverable | 88.0 | 65.3 | |||||||
Other assets | 51.7 | 22.9 | |||||||
Total assets | $ | 3,390.0 | $ | 3,086.7 | |||||
Liabilities and shareholder's equity | |||||||||
Liabilities | |||||||||
Unearned premium reserve | $ | 1,403.0 | $ | 1,301.5 | |||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve | 165.0 | 122.3 | |||||||
Credit derivative liabilities | 372.6 | 379.4 | |||||||
Reinsurance balances payable, net | 10.2 | 9.9 | |||||||
Other liabilities | 29.2 | 20.9 | |||||||
Total liabilities | 1,980.0 | 1,834.0 | |||||||
Shareholder's equity | |||||||||
Common stock | 1.4 | 1.4 | |||||||
Additional paid-in capital | 856.6 | 856.6 | |||||||
Retained earnings | 433.7 | 357.7 | |||||||
Accumulated other comprehensive income | 118.3 | 37.0 | |||||||
Total shareholder's equity | 1,410.0 | 1,252.7 | |||||||
Total liabilities and shareholder's equity | $ | 3,390.0 | $ | 3,086.7 | |||||
Page 2
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Adjusted Book Value
(dollars in millions)
| As of | | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2010 | December 31, 2009 | % Change versus 12/31/2009 | ||||||||
Reconciliation of shareholder's equity to adjusted book value: | |||||||||||
Shareholder's equity | $ | 1,410.0 | $ | 1,252.7 | 13% | ||||||
Less after-tax adjustments: | |||||||||||
Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | (214.4 | ) | (243.2 | ) | (12)% | ||||||
Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect | 118.3 | 37.0 | 220% | ||||||||
Operating shareholder's equity | $ | 1,506.1 | $ | 1,458.9 | 3% | ||||||
After-tax adjustments: | |||||||||||
Less: Deferred acquisition costs | 381.4 | 341.7 | 12% | ||||||||
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue | 77.0 | 83.3 | (8)% | ||||||||
Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed | 1,367.9 | 1,270.4 | 8% | ||||||||
Adjusted book value | $ | 2,569.6 | $ | 2,470.9 | 4% | ||||||
Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.
Page 3
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(in millions)
| Three Months Ended September 30, 2010 | Nine Months Ended September 30, 2010 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type | |||||||||
Sector: | |||||||||
U.S. Public Finance: | |||||||||
General obligation | $ | 142 | $ | 18,437 | |||||
Tax backed | 8 | 5,177 | |||||||
Municipal utilities | 50 | 4,930 | |||||||
Transportation | 1 | 1,843 | |||||||
Healthcare | - | 1,690 | |||||||
Higher education | 54 | 1,443 | |||||||
Housing | - | 390 | |||||||
Infrastructure finance | - | 2 | |||||||
Other public finance | - | 185 | |||||||
Total U.S. public finance | 255 | 34,097 | |||||||
Non-U.S. Public Finance: | |||||||||
Infrastructure finance | - | 8 | |||||||
Other public finance | - | 8 | |||||||
Total non-U.S. public finance | - | 16 | |||||||
Total public finance | $ | 255 | $ | 34,113 | |||||
U.S. Structured Finance: | |||||||||
Consumer receivables | $ | 50 | $ | 400 | |||||
Other structured finance | - | 250 | |||||||
Total U.S. structured finance | 50 | 650 | |||||||
Non-U.S. Structured Finance: | |||||||||
Total non-U.S. structured finance | - | - | |||||||
Total structured finance | $ | 50 | $ | 650 | |||||
Total exposures | $ | 305 | $ | 34,763 | |||||
Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
Page 4
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Investment Portfolio
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)
| Amortized Cost | Pre-Tax Book Yield | After-Tax Book Yield | Fair Value | Annualized Investment Income 1 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Investment portfolio, available for sale: | ||||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturity securities: | ||||||||||||||||||
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies | $ | 174.8 | 3.16% | 3.09% | $ | 186.0 | $ | 5.5 | ||||||||||
Agency obligations | 246.7 | 3.89% | 3.80% | 272.1 | 9.6 | |||||||||||||
Obligations of states and political subdivisions | 71.5 | 4.66% | 4.44% | 76.7 | 3.3 | |||||||||||||
Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions 2 | 4.2 | 4.41% | 4.23% | 4.4 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||
Corporate securities | 534.4 | 4.01% | 3.69% | 561.9 | 21.4 | |||||||||||||
Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS") 3: | - | |||||||||||||||||
Residential MBS ("RMBS") | 730.7 | 5.19% | 5.09% | 767.3 | 37.9 | |||||||||||||
Commercial MBS ("CMBS") | 257.0 | 4.85% | 4.56% | 269.7 | 12.5 | |||||||||||||
Asset-backed securities 4 | 144.7 | 2.63% | 2.61% | 149.3 | 3.8 | |||||||||||||
Foreign government securities | 2.1 | 4.44% | 3.87% | 2.3 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||
Total fixed maturity securities | 2,166.1 | 4.35% | 4.19% | $ | 2,289.7 | 94.3 | ||||||||||||
Short-term investments | 91.3 | 0.17% | 0.16% | 91.3 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||
Total investment portfolio | $ | 2,257.4 | 4.18% | 4.02% | $ | 2,381.0 | $ | 94.5 | ||||||||||
Ratings 5: | Fair Value | % | | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Treasury and government obligations | $ | 186.0 | 8.1% | ||||||||
Agency obligations | 272.1 | 11.9% | |||||||||
AAA/Aaa | 1,146.7 | 50.1% | |||||||||
AA/Aa | 346.5 | 15.1% | |||||||||
A/A | 263.2 | 11.5% | |||||||||
BBB | - | 0.0% | |||||||||
Below investment grade ("BIG") 6 | 74.6 | 3.3% | |||||||||
Not rated | 0.6 | 0.0% | |||||||||
Total fixed maturity securities available for sale | $ | 2,289.7 | 100.0% | ||||||||
Duration of investment portfolio (in years): | 3.4 | ||||||||||
Average ratings of investment portfolio | AA+ | ||||||||||
1. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.
2. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("S&P") or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. ("Moody's") average A+.
3. $0.3 million is U.S. subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of AAA.
4. Contains no collateralized debt obligations ("CDOs") of asset-backed securities ("ABS").
5. Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications.
6. Included in the investment portfolio are securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies of $105.7 million in par with carrying value of $34 million.
Page 5
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(dollars in millions)
Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type
| As of September 30, 2010 | | | | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Par Outstanding | Avg. Rating 1 | | | | ||||||||||||||
U.S. Public Finance: | |||||||||||||||||||
General obligation | $ | 43,876 | A+ | ||||||||||||||||
Tax backed | 21,603 | A+ | |||||||||||||||||
Municipal utilities | 14,691 | A | |||||||||||||||||
Transportation | 9,528 | A | |||||||||||||||||
Healthcare | 6,634 | A | |||||||||||||||||
Higher education | 4,719 | A+ | |||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure finance | 1,930 | BBB+ | |||||||||||||||||
Housing | 921 | AA | |||||||||||||||||
Investor-owned utilities | 912 | BBB+ | |||||||||||||||||
Other public finance | 2,320 | BBB | |||||||||||||||||
Total U.S. public finance | 107,134 | A+ | |||||||||||||||||
Non-U.S. Public Finance: | |||||||||||||||||||
Regulated utilities | 6,135 | BBB+ | |||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure finance | 4,019 | BBB | |||||||||||||||||
Pooled infrastructure | 1,835 | AA- | |||||||||||||||||
Other public finance | 944 | A | |||||||||||||||||
Total non-U.S. public finance | 12,933 | A- | |||||||||||||||||
Total public finance | 120,067 | A | |||||||||||||||||
U.S. Structured Finance: | |||||||||||||||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | 6,550 | AA+ | |||||||||||||||||
RMBS | 3,438 | BB+ | |||||||||||||||||
Consumer receivables | 2,055 | A | |||||||||||||||||
CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures | 1,638 | AAA | |||||||||||||||||
Insurance securitizations | 1,336 | A+ | |||||||||||||||||
Structured credit | 1,214 | A- | |||||||||||||||||
Commercial receivables | 1,104 | BBB | |||||||||||||||||
Other structured finance | 176 | BBB+ | |||||||||||||||||
Total U.S. structured finance | 17,511 | A+ | |||||||||||||||||
Non-U.S. Structured Finance: | |||||||||||||||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | 3,011 | AA+ | |||||||||||||||||
Commercial receivables | 982 | A- | |||||||||||||||||
RMBS | 890 | AAA | |||||||||||||||||
Structured credit | 822 | BBB | |||||||||||||||||
Insurance securitizations | 664 | CCC- | |||||||||||||||||
CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures | 361 | AA- | |||||||||||||||||
Other structured finance | 15 | AAA | |||||||||||||||||
Total non-U.S. structured finance | 6,745 | A+ | |||||||||||||||||
Total structured finance | 24,256 | A+ | |||||||||||||||||
Total net par outstanding | $ | 144,323 | A+ | ||||||||||||||||
| Assumed from AGC | Assumed from AGM | Third Party | Total Net Par Outstanding | % | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Finance: | |||||||||||||||||||
U.S. public finance | $ | 24,322 | $ | 56,705 | $ | 26,107 | $ | 107,134 | 74.2% | ||||||||||
Non-U.S. public finance | 3,647 | 6,021 | 3,265 | 12,933 | 9.0% | ||||||||||||||
Total public finance | 27,969 | 62,726 | 29,372 | 120,067 | 83.2% | ||||||||||||||
Structured Finance: | |||||||||||||||||||
U.S. structured finance | 12,401 | 1,413 | 3,697 | 17,511 | 12.1% | ||||||||||||||
Non-U.S. structured finance | 4,169 | 612 | 1,964 | 6,745 | 4.7% | ||||||||||||||
Total structured finance | 16,570 | 2,025 | 5,661 | 24,256 | 16.8% | ||||||||||||||
Total net par outstanding | $ | 44,539 | $ | 64,751 | $ | 35,033 | $ | 144,323 | 100.0% | ||||||||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. To the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.
Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.
Page 6
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)
Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio
| September 30, 2010 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ratings 1: | Net Par Outstanding | % | |||||||
Super senior | $ | 3,300 | 2.3% | ||||||
AAA | 9,369 | 6.5% | |||||||
AA | 48,067 | 33.3% | |||||||
A | 55,986 | 38.8% | |||||||
BBB | 22,214 | 15.4% | |||||||
BIG | 5,387 | 3.7% | |||||||
Total net par outstanding | $ | 144,323 | 100.0% | ||||||
Distribution of BIG Exposures by Sector as of September 30, 2010
| Net Par Outstanding | % of Total Net Par Outstanding | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Finance: | ||||||||||
Infrastructure finance | $ | 441 | 0.3% | |||||||
General obligation | 238 | 0.2% | ||||||||
Municipal utilities | 187 | 0.1% | ||||||||
Tax backed | 128 | 0.1% | ||||||||
Healthcare | 49 | 0.0% | ||||||||
Higher education | 4 | 0.0% | ||||||||
Other public finance | 623 | 0.5% | ||||||||
Total public finance | 1,670 | 1.2% | ||||||||
Structured Finance: | ||||||||||
RMBS | 1,915 | 1.3% | ||||||||
Insurance securitizations | 644 | 0.4% | ||||||||
Pooled corporate obligations | 588 | 0.4% | ||||||||
Consumer receivables | 360 | 0.2% | ||||||||
Commercial receivables | 131 | 0.1% | ||||||||
Structured credit | 43 | 0.0% | ||||||||
Other structured finance | 36 | 0.1% | ||||||||
Total structured finance | 3,717 | 2.5% | ||||||||
Total BIG exposures | $ | 5,387 | 3.7% | |||||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. To the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured's exposure or (2) Assured's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.
Page 7
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)
Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of September 30, 2010
| Net Par Outstanding | % of Total | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S.: | |||||||||
Public Finance | |||||||||
California | $ | 15,908 | 11.0% | ||||||
New York | 9,177 | 6.4% | |||||||
Florida | 7,467 | 5.2% | |||||||
Texas | 7,406 | 5.1% | |||||||
Illinois | 6,053 | 4.2% | |||||||
Pennsylvania | 5,897 | 4.1% | |||||||
New Jersey | 4,050 | 2.8% | |||||||
Massachusetts | 3,759 | 2.6% | |||||||
Michigan | 3,738 | 2.6% | |||||||
Washington | 3,449 | 2.4% | |||||||
Other states | 40,230 | 27.8% | |||||||
Total Public Finance | 107,134 | 74.2% | |||||||
Structured finance (multiple states) | 17,511 | 12.1% | |||||||
Total U.S. | 124,645 | 86.3% | |||||||
Non-U.S.: | |||||||||
United Kingdom | 11,048 | 7.6% | |||||||
Australia | 2,471 | 1.7% | |||||||
France | 628 | 0.4% | |||||||
Italy | 529 | 0.4% | |||||||
Canada | 407 | 0.3% | |||||||
Other | 4,595 | 3.3% | |||||||
Total non-U.S. | 19,678 | 13.7% | |||||||
Total net par outstanding | $ | 144,323 | 100.0% | ||||||
Page 8
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 2)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)
25 Largest U.S Public Finance Exposures
Credit Name: | Net Par Outstanding | Internal Rating 1 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
California (State of) | $ | 1,312 | A- | ||||
New Jersey (State of) | 1,286 | AA- | |||||
New York (City of) New York | 1,167 | AA- | |||||
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) | 1,032 | AA | |||||
New York (State of) | 934 | AA- | |||||
Washington (State of) | 899 | AA- | |||||
Los Angeles California Unified School District | 839 | AA- | |||||
Wisconsin (State of) | 827 | AA- | |||||
Port Authority of New York and New Jersey | 725 | AA- | |||||
Florida (State of) | 714 | AA+ | |||||
Illinois (State of) | 665 | BBB+ | |||||
Long Island Power Authority | 633 | A- | |||||
Chicago (City of) Illinois | 595 | AA- | |||||
Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania | 588 | BBB- | |||||
Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport | 573 | A+ | |||||
New York MTA Transportation Authority | 551 | A | |||||
Michigan (State of) | 538 | A+ | |||||
Hawaii (State of) Department of Hawaiian Home Lands | 538 | AA | |||||
District of Columbia | 528 | A+ | |||||
Philadelphia Pennsylvania School District | 494 | A | |||||
Miami-Dade County Florida School District | 493 | A- | |||||
Los Angeles California Department of Water and Power - Electric Revenue Bonds | 489 | AA- | |||||
Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) State Sales Tax | 472 | AA | |||||
Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of) | 471 | BBB- | |||||
Clark County Nevada School District | 470 | AA- | |||||
Total top 25 U.S public finance exposures | $ | 17,833 | |||||
Page 9
25 Largest U.S Structured Finance Exposures
Credit Name: | Net Par Outstanding | Internal Rating 1 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIICA Holdings, LLC | $ | 405 | AA | ||||
Shenandoah Trust Capital I Term Securities | 394 | A+ | |||||
Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2 | 323 | CCC | |||||
Private Structured Credit Transaction | 266 | BBB+ | |||||
Jupiter Securitization Company | 260 | AAA | |||||
DB Master Finance LLC, Series 2006-1 | 234 | BBB- | |||||
Applebees Enterprises LLC | 233 | BBB- | |||||
Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited | 225 | AAA | |||||
Timberlake Financial, LLC Floating Insured Notes | 221 | BBB | |||||
Prudential Closed Block Reinsurance Treaty | 200 | A+ | |||||
Spirit Master Funding, LLC 2005-1 | 194 | BBB | |||||
Ford Credit Floorplan Master Owner Trust 2006-6 ABN AMRO - Ford Floorplan | 187 | AA | |||||
Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J | 172 | CCC | |||||
280 Funding I | 165 | AAA | |||||
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | 163 | Super Senior | |||||
Private Student Loan Transaction | 155 | CCC | |||||
Stone Tower Credit Funding | 134 | AAA | |||||
Field Point IV, Limited | 132 | AA- | |||||
Private Student Loan Transaction | 128 | AAA | |||||
Private Student Loan Transaction | 125 | CCC | |||||
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | 122 | B | |||||
Hertz Vehicle Financing, LLC Series 2005-2 & 3 | 120 | BBB | |||||
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | 119 | BBB- | |||||
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | 112 | BB | |||||
Liberty CLO Ltd | 107 | Super Senior | |||||
Total top 25 U.S structured finance exposures | $ | 4,896 | |||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. To the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.
Page 10
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 2)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)
25 Largest non-U.S Exposures
Credit Name: | Net Par Outstanding | Internal Rating 1 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southern Gas Networks PLC | $ | 488 | BBB | ||||||
United Utilities Water PLC | 463 | A | |||||||
Paragon Mortgages (No.13) PLC | 388 | AAA | |||||||
International Infrastructure Pool | 376 | A- | |||||||
International Infrastructure Pool | 376 | A- | |||||||
International Infrastructure Pool | 375 | A- | |||||||
Ballantyne Re PLC Floating Rate Notes | 370 | CC | |||||||
Powercor Australia LLC | 347 | A- | |||||||
DBNGP Finance Co Pty Ltd Note Issue 1 & 2 | 309 | BBB | |||||||
Taberna Europe CDO II PLC | 283 | BBB- | |||||||
PB Domicile 2006-1 | 282 | AAA | |||||||
Orkney Re II, PLC | 274 | CCC | |||||||
National Grid Gas PLC | 271 | A | |||||||
A28 Motorway | 269 | BBB | |||||||
Quebec Province | 262 | A+ | |||||||
Societe des Autoroutes du Nord et de l'est de France S.A. | 254 | BBB+ | |||||||
Harbourmaster CLO I B.V. | 250 | AAA | |||||||
Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II | 249 | Super Senior | |||||||
Scotland Gas Networks PLC | 247 | BBB | |||||||
Thames Water Utility Finance PLC | 244 | BBB+ | |||||||
Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited | 242 | BB | |||||||
Capital Hospitals (Issuer) PLC | 239 | BBB- | |||||||
Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III | 235 | Super Senior | |||||||
Spirit Issuer PLC | 230 | BBB- | |||||||
Stichting Profile Securitisation I | 224 | Super Senior | |||||||
Total top 25 largest non-U.S exposures | $ | 7,547 | |||||||
1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. To the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.
Page 11
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Claims Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)
| As of | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2010 | December 31, 2009 | ||||||
Claims paying resources | ||||||||
Policyholders' surplus | $ | 1,091 | $ | 1,129 | ||||
Contingency reserve | — | — | ||||||
Qualified statutory capital | 1,091 | 1,129 | ||||||
Unearned premium reserve | 1,009 | 848 | ||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves2 | 209 | 139 | ||||||
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves | 2,309 | 2,116 | ||||||
Present value of installment premium3 | 303 | 349 | ||||||
Standby line of credit/stop loss | 200 | 200 | ||||||
Total claims paying resources | $ | 2,812 | $ | 2,665 | ||||
Net par outstanding 1 | $ | 141,810 | $ | 116,117 | ||||
Net debt service outstanding 1 | $ | 227,748 | $ | 190,089 | ||||
Ratios: | ||||||||
Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital | 130:1 | 103:1 | ||||||
Capital ratio4 | 209:1 | 168:1 | ||||||
Financial resources ratio5 | 81:1 | 71:1 |
1. Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. ("AG Re") numbers are the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory as this company files Bermuda statutory financial statements. Net par outstanding and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. Under statutory accounting, such amounts would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., the rights and interests of bondholders and their lien on pledged revenues or other security are terminated in accordance with bond documentation) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., bond documentation does not provide a procedure for termination of such rights, interests and lien other than through payment of all outstanding debt in full; funds are deposited in an escrow account for future payment of the debt; and if the funds deposited prove insufficient to pay the outstanding debt in full, the issuer continues to be legally obligated to make payment on such debt).
2. Reserves as of September 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009 are reduced by approximately $0.1 billion and $0, respectively, for benefit related to representation and warranty recoverables.
3. Includes financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives.
4. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
5. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.
Page 12
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Segment/Type
(in millions)
| As of September 30, 2010 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial Guaranty Direct | Financial Guaranty Reinsurance | Total Financial Guaranty | Other | Total | ||||||||||||
Financial Guaranty segments insurance reserves by segment and type: | |||||||||||||||||
Gross loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts: | |||||||||||||||||
Case | $ | - | $ | 162.5 | $ | 162.5 | $ | 0.3 | $ | 162.8 | |||||||
Incurred but not reported ("IBNR") and portfolio | - | - | - | 2.2 | 2.2 | ||||||||||||
Total gross loss and LAE reserves | $ | - | $ | 162.5 | $ | 162.5 | $ | 2.5 | $ | 165.0 | |||||||
Ceded loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts: | |||||||||||||||||
Case | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 0.2 | $ | 0.2 | |||||||
IBNR and portfolio | - | - | - | 0.2 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||
Total ceded loss and LAE reserves | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | 0.4 | $ | 0.4 | |||||||
Loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance: | |||||||||||||||||
Case | $ | - | $ | 162.5 | $ | 162.5 | $ | 0.1 | $ | 162.6 | |||||||
IBNR and portfolio | - | - | - | 2.0 | 2.0 | ||||||||||||
Total net loss and LAE reserves | $ | - | $ | 162.5 | $ | 162.5 | $ | 2.1 | $ | 164.6 | |||||||
Salvage and subrogation recoverable on financial guaranty contracts: | |||||||||||||||||
Gross | $ | - | $ | 88.0 | $ | 88.0 | $ | - | $ | 88.0 | |||||||
Ceded 1 | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||
Net salvage and subrogation recoverable | $ | - | $ | 88.0 | $ | 88.0 | $ | - | $ | 88.0 | |||||||
Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts 2: | |||||||||||||||||
Case gross | $ | 1.1 | $ | 88.9 | $ | 90.0 | $ | - | $ | 90.0 | |||||||
Case ceded | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||
Case net credit derivative reserves | $ | 1.1 | $ | 88.9 | $ | 90.0 | $ | - | $ | 90.0 | |||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance | $ | - | $ | 162.5 | $ | 162.5 | |||||||||||
Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts | 1.1 | 88.9 | 90.0 | ||||||||||||||
Net Loss and LAE reserves | $ | 1.1 | $ | 251.4 | $ | 252.5 | |||||||||||
1. Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets.
2. Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet incorporate estimates of expected losses.
3. Gross of salvage and subrogation assets.
Page 13
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)
Public Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million
Name or Description | Net Par Outstanding | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S. Public Finance: | |||||||
Detroit (City of) Michigan | $ | 215 | |||||
Jefferson County Alabama Sewer | 177 | ||||||
Michigan Higher Education Loan Authority Series XVII | 161 | ||||||
Guaranteed Student Loan transaction | 136 | ||||||
Finance Authority of Maine | 91 | ||||||
Guaranteed Student Loan transaction | 69 | ||||||
Orlando Tourist Development Tax - Florida | 62 | ||||||
Mashantucket Pequot Tribe, Connecticut | 55 | ||||||
Total | $ | 966 | |||||
Non-U.S. Public Finance: | |||||||
Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited | $ | 242 | |||||
Cross City Tunnel Motorway Finance Limited | 115 | ||||||
Hellenic Republic | 97 | ||||||
Total | $ | 454 | |||||
U.S. Structured Finance: | |||||||
U.S. RMBS: | |||||||
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2 | $ | 323 | |||||
Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J | 172 | ||||||
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | 122 | ||||||
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | 112 | ||||||
MORTGAGEIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2 | 83 | ||||||
Deutsche Alt-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3 | 67 | ||||||
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | 63 | ||||||
CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9 | 58 | ||||||
Private Residential Mortgage Transaction | 57 | ||||||
Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D | 55 | ||||||
Total U.S. RMBS | 1,112 | ||||||
Other: | |||||||
Private Student Loan Transaction | 155 | ||||||
Private Student Loan Transaction | 125 | ||||||
Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD. | 73 | ||||||
Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD. | 72 | ||||||
Private Student Loan Transaction | 64 | ||||||
Rental Car Finance Corp 2006-1 | 60 | ||||||
Attentus CDO I Limited | 58 | ||||||
Taberna Preferred Funding II, LTD. | 57 | ||||||
Rental Car Finance Corp 2007-1 | 50 | ||||||
Total Other | 714 | ||||||
Total | $ | 1,826 | |||||
Non-U.S. Structured Finance: | |||||||
Ballantyne Re PLC | $ | 370 | |||||
Orkney Re II, PLC | 274 | ||||||
Total | $ | 644 | |||||
Total | $ | 3,890 | |||||
Page 14
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data
(in millions)
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | ||||||||||||||||
Claims Paying Resources 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Policyholders' surplus | $ | 1,091 | $ | 1,129 | $ | 1,220 | $ | 1,097 | $ | 741 | $ | 691 | ||||||||||
Contingency reserve | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
Qualified statutory capital | 1,091 | 1,129 | 1,220 | 1,097 | 741 | 691 | ||||||||||||||||
Unearned premium reserve | 1,009 | 848 | 720 | 629 | 444 | 356 | ||||||||||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves | 209 | 139 | 37 | 18 | 18 | 26 | ||||||||||||||||
Total policyholders' surplus and reserves | 2,309 | 2,116 | 1,977 | 1,744 | 1,203 | 1,073 | ||||||||||||||||
Present value of installment premium | 303 | 349 | 345 | 366 | 230 | 174 | ||||||||||||||||
Standby line of credit/stop loss | 200 | 200 | 200 | 200 | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
Total claims paying resources | $ | 2,812 | $ | 2,665 | $ | 2,522 | $ | 2,310 | $ | 1,433 | $ | 1,247 | ||||||||||
Other Financial Information (Statutory basis) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Net par outstanding (end of period) | $ | 141,810 | $ | 116,117 | $ | 111,715 | $ | 106,253 | $ | 63,927 | $ | 49,806 | ||||||||||
Net debt service outstanding (end of period) | $ | 227,748 | $ | 190,089 | $ | 184,541 | $ | 174,173 | $ | 94,652 | $ | 74,925 |
1. AG Re's numbers are the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory as this company files Bermuda statutory financial statements.
Page 15
Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report for the year ended December 31, 2009.
General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.
Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.
Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.
Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.
Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.
Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution's revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.
Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.
Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.
Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.
Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the UK.
Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.
Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.
Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in "tranches," with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company's financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.
Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") and Home Equity Securities are obligations backed by closed-end first mortgage loans and closed- and open-end second mortgage loans or home equity loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate ("ARM") and option adjustable-rate ("Option ARM") mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including "prime", "subprime" and "Alt-A". A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with
Page 16
higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.
Structured Credit Securities include program-wide credit enhancement for commercial paper conduits in the U.S., and securities issued in whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Program-wide credit enhancement generally involves insuring against the default of ABS in a bank-sponsored commercial paper conduit. Securities issued in whole business and intellectual property securitizations are backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.
Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as automobile loans and leases, credit card receivables and other consumer receivables.
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") and other commercial real estate related exposures are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multi-family, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.
Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.
Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/ reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.
Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.
Page 17
Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:
The Company references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP").
Assured Guaranty's management and board of directors utilize non-GAAP measures in evaluating the Company's financial performance and as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing these non-GAAP financial measures, investors, analysts and financial news reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally. In addition, Assured Guaranty's presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty's financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results.
The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure and describe why they are useful. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented above. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.
Operating Income: Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of the Company's financial guaranty insurance business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company's financial results as compared to the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income for AG Re is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AG Re, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:
- 1)
- Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, including other than temporary impairments, and credit and interest rate related gains and losses from sales of securities. Impairments and losses from sales of credit-impaired securities, the timing of which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of other sales that would result in gains or losses, such as interest rate related gains or losses, is largely subject to the Company's discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company's tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company's business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.
- 2)
- Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.
- 3)
- Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of net premium receivables. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period's foreign exchange revaluation gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.
Operating Shareholder's Equity: Management believes that operating shareholders' equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excluding fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use operating shareholders' equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s common shares. Many of the Company's fixed income investors also use operating shareholders' equity to evaluate the Company's capital adequacy. Operating shareholders' equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholder's equity for AG Re is defined as shareholder's equity attributable to AG Re, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:
- 1)
- Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
- 2)
- Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.
Adjusted Book Value: Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholders' equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to
Page 18
recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value for AG Re is operating shareholder's equity for AG Re, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:
- 1)
- Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued that will be expensed in future accounting periods.
- 2)
- Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.
- 3)
- Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.
Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue: Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure. This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company's credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and is discounted at 6% (which represents the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.
PVP or present value of new business production: Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of insurance and credit derivative contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6% (the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.
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Contacts: Equity Investors: Sabra Purtill Managing Director, Investor Relations (212) 408-6044 spurtill@assuredguaranty.com Ross Aron Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations (212) 261-5509 raron@assuredguaranty.com | ||
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. 30 Woodbourne Avenue Hamilton HM 08 Bermuda www.assuredguaranty.com | Fixed Income Investors: Robert Tucker Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations (212) 339-0861 rtucker@assuredguaranty.com Michael Walker Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations (212) 261-5575 mwalker@assuredguaranty.com Media: Betsy Castenir Managing Director, Corporate Communications (212) 339-3424 bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com Ashweeta Durani Vice President, Corporate Communications (212) 408-6042 adurani@assuredguaranty.com |
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. September 30, 2010 Financial Supplement
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. New Business Production and Consolidated Statements of Operations (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Consolidated Balance Sheets (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Adjusted Book Value (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Investment Portfolio As of September 30, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 2) As of September 30, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 2) As of September 30, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Claims Paying Resources (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Segment/Type (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Below Investment Grade Exposures As of September 30, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data (in millions)
Glossary