The following table provides a breakdown of our total NAV and NAV per share by share class as of August 31, 2023 (dollar amounts in thousands, except per share data):
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NAV Per Share | | Class S Shares | | | Class T Shares | | | Class D Shares | | | Class M Shares | | | Class I Shares | | | Class F Shares | | | Class Y Shares | | | Total | |
Net asset value | | $ | 1,576,914 | | | $ | 35,592 | | | $ | 17,124 | | | $ | 118,931 | | | $ | 1,099,195 | | | $ | 18,950 | | | $ | 21,930 | | | $ | 2,888,636 | |
Number of outstanding shares | | | 62,906,183 | | | | 1,433,345 | | | | 688,215 | | | | 4,769,051 | | | | 45,364,880 | | | | 753,988 | | | | 906,648 | | | | 116,822,310 | |
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NAV per Share as of August 31, 2023 | | $ | 25.0677 | | | $ | 24.8313 | | | $ | 24.8815 | | | $ | 24.9381 | | | $ | 24.2301 | | | $ | 25.1334 | | | $ | 24.1877 | | | | | |
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Market Update
Longer-dated Treasury yields once again led the way higher in August, driven by reinforced hopes of a soft landing that allowed markets to walk back expectations of another rate hike. The 10-year Treasury yield rose 13bps in August and, at 4.09% as of August 31, 2023, is up 35bps since mid-July. Against this backdrop, the Bloomberg Agg returned -0.64% in August, bringing its YTD return to just 1.4% through August 31.
Transaction volume and commercial property prices continued their steady decline in July as the market adjusts to higher mortgage rates. Deal activity fell -74% from a year earlier and dropped to its lowest level of any month since the start of the pandemic in early 2020.1 To put the annual comparison in perspective, however, activity levels in July 2022 were near their all-time peak.
The RCA CPPI National All-Property Index fell -9.6% from a year earlier in July though prices have shown signs of stabilization over the past two months, as the national index actually rose by 5bps and 31bps in June and July, respectively.1 The 3-month moving average moved into positive territory in July (+0.6%), up from a low of -18.2% in January 2023.1
Among property types, apartments again saw the steepest decline at -12.2% as the highly rate-sensitive property type continues to adjust to higher mortgage rates.1 Notably, apartment prices rose 8bps in July from a month earlier, hinting that they may at last have seen the worst of the current cycle’s declines. Office saw the second-steepest decline at -8.3% from a year earlier.
Despite the uncertain price outlook, the fundamental picture underpinning most CRE assets (outside of office) continues to be relatively supportive. National vacancy rates are either declining or remain below pre-COVID levels in three of the four major sectors (Office being the outlier) as developers have been disciplined in adding new property types. In the retail, hotel and office sectors, real construction spending sits well below the peak of each of the prior three economic cycles.
Distressed activity has risen over the past year but has been largely concentrated in the office sector. Notably, distressed sales comprised just 1.8% of total sales in Q2 2023, compared to 2.0% for the average of the five-year period before the pandemic.1 The low level of distressed activity underscores the more disciplined underwriting since the global financial crisis (GFC).
Despite concerns that elevated interest rates and an increasingly restrained debt market will create a financing vacuum at a time when many commercial properties are in need of capital, the CRE capital markets are significantly more robust than during the leadup to the GFC. Not only is the debt market much more diversified—lenders outside banks and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) have sourced close to 40% of CRE lending growth in the past five years—but loans also have been made with more prudent terms than in the past.1
1 | MSCI Real Capital Analytics, as of July 31, 2023, latest data available. |