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SC 13E3 Filing
Vacasa (VCSA) SC 13E3Going private transaction
Filed: 31 Jan 25, 5:19pm
Exhibit (c)(vi)
CONFIDENTIAL DISCUSSION MATERIALS December 29, 2024 Project Vista
CONFIDENTIAL Situation OverviewProject Vista Process Review Evolution of Casago Global, LLC(1) (“Casago”) Proposal Review of Casago Current Proposal Vista Valuation Today’s Agenda (1)Casago Global, LLC is the Parent and is indirectly acquiring Vista through its subsidiary Casago Holdings, LLC. 1 22
CONFIDENTIAL I.Situation Overview 3
1 Situation Overview Process Overview to Date At the direction of the Special Committee, PJT ran a broad process with 23 total parties engaging on a potential transaction. Ultimately, only one counterparty was able to provide an actionable indication of interest. May Jun Jul Initial Outreach and Marketing Total Parties Contacted: 18 Submitted Bids: 4 Notes from Process Diligence was focused on potential of business and intrinsic value of assets Counterparties dropped from process due to complexity of transformation to locally-driven, profitable business model, as well as overall transaction check size and potential future funding requirements to support the business Aug Sept Oct Expanded Marketing and Deep Diligence Additional Parties Contacted: 5 Submitted Bids: 2 Significant diligence done by financial sponsor Allowed Casago and Roofstock to evaluate acquisition together to enhance likelihood of a transaction and improve ability to pay 3 strategic buyers passed given churn dynamics and potential post transaction capital requirements Nov Dec Final Negotiations Active Parties Remaining: 1 Focus on go-forward business and transaction terms Active negotiations between Vista and Casago regarding purchase price and conditions Improved deal certainty through negotiations of key deal terms Counterparty negotiated with RCF providers to ensure that sufficient RCF holders would approve amendment to allow for a change of control CONFIDENTIAL 4
CONFIDENTIAL Evolution of Casago Proposals8/5/24 10/14/24 10/22/24 11/11/24 12/6/24 12/8/24 Current Terms Headline Purchase Price per Share $4.50 – 5.50 $5.00 $5.00 $5.00 $5.00 $5.00 $5.02 Starting Purchase Price Adj. Company Unit Threshold(1) As of Mar’25 NA NA 36,000 35,000 35,000 32,000 32,000 Reduction for Each Additional Month NA NA Held Constant (400) starting from Apr’25 (600) starting from Apr’25 (600) starting from May’25 (600) starting from Apr’25 Company Unit Step Down Mechanism(1) NA NA ($0.50) for every 1,500 units lower ($0.10) for every 333 units lower ($0.10) for every 500 units lower ($0.10) for every 500 units lower ($0.10) for every 500 units lower Implied Reduction in Value per Lost Unit NA NA $7.7K(2)(3) $6.9K(2)(4) $4.6K(2)(5) $4.6K(2)(5) $4.6K(2)(5) Termination Company Unit Threshold NA NA 30,000 30,000 25,000 24,000 24,000 Liquidity NA Cash and restricted cash closing conditions with no detail mentioned in issues list Working capital condition with no detail $7.5mm working capital cushion to Oct’24 forecast $7.5mm working capital cushion to Oct’24 forecast Minimum liquidity requirement $15mm minimum liquidity level(6) Purchase price adjustment if minimum liquidity is not met
CONFIDENTIALCasago Initial Terms (10/22) Casago Current Terms Price Reduction per Share Implied Price Any Closing Date Price Reduction per Share Implied Price 3/31/25 4/30/25 5/31/25 Unit Count Mgmt. Forecast (12/13): 35,042 35,042 34,590 34,286 Headline Purchase Price $5.00 36,000 Headline Purchase Price $5.02 32,000 31,400 30,800 ($0.10) $4.92 31,500 30,900 30,300 ($0.20) $4.82 31,000 30,400 29,800 ($0.30) $4.72 30,500 29,900 29,300 ($0.40) $4.62 30,000 29,400 28,800 ($0.50) $4.50 34,500 ($0.50) $4.52 29,500 28,900 28,300 ($0.60) $4.42 29,000 28,400 27,800 ($0.70) $4.32 28,500 27,900 27,300 ($0.80) $4.22 28,000 27,400 26,800 ($0.90) $4.12 27,500 26,900 26,300 ($1.00) $4.00 33,000 ($1.00) $4.02 27,000 26,400 25,800 ($1.10) $3.92 26,500 25,900 25,300 ($1.20) $3.82 26,000 25,400 24,800 ($1.30) $3.72 25,500 24,900 24,300 ($1.40) $3.62 25,000 24,400 24,000 ($1.50) $3.50 31,500 ($1.50) $3.52 24,500 24,000 ($1.60) $3.42 24,000 ($2.00) $3.00 30,000 Casago Unit Count Purchase Schedule Source: Vista Management. Note: Calculations of net churn after any adjustments for approved markets as agreed to by both parties. (1) Unit count must be greater than or equal to the threshold to receive the corresponding implied purchase price. (2) Implied price assumes share count of 23.3mm as stated in Casago’s 10/22/24 offer letter. (3)Reflects unit forecast provided in Vista Management’s financial forecast as of 12/13/24. Financial forecast as of 12/13/24 is approved for PJT’s use by Vista Management. Termination Threshold: 24,000 Company Units Purchase price adjustment thresholds decrease by 600 for each additional month past March Termination Threshold: 30,000 Company Units UNIT COUNT THRESHOLD BY CLOSE DATE AND PRICE REDUCTION PER SHARE(1) 3/31/25 Purchase price adjustment thresholds hold constant across time (3) Situation Overview 1 (2)6
CONFIDENTIAL MONTHLY NET CHURN TO REACH CASAGO PROPOSED UNIT THRESHOLDS(1)(2) Mar’25 / Apr’25 / May’25 Source: Vista Management. (1) Based on ending unit count as of 11/30/24. Reflects net churn to reach starting purchase price adjustment threshold and termination threshold in given month. (2)Calculations of net churn after any adjustments for approved markets as agreed to by both parties. (3)Reflects unit forecast provided in Vista Management’s financial forecast as of 12/13/24. Churn Requirement Implied by Casago Proposed Unit Purchase Schedule Starting Purchase Price Adjustment Threshold Termination Threshold Unit Step Down Mechanism Net Churn to Starting Purchase Price Adjustment Threshold Net Churn to Termination Threshold 10/22 Proposal Current Terms 36,000 36,000 36,000 32,000 31,400 30,800 30,000 30,000 30,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 ($0.50) for every 1,500 units lower ($0.10) for every 500 units lower
CONFIDENTIAL Vista’s Share Price Has Fallen Significantly Since De-SPAC Source: Capital IQ, Press, Company filings. Note: Market data as of 12/27/24. – $50 $100 $150 $200Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24 Jun-24 Sep-24 Dec-24 $3.81 (98.1%) SHARE PRICE PERFORMANCE SINCE DE-SPAC 10/21/22Lays off 280 workers 2/28/24Lays off 320 Workers 1/24/23Lays off 1,300 workers (17% of total workforce) 11/9/22Missed Consensus Q3’22 Adj. EBITDA by 22% 5/9/24Announces business transformation and organizational changesShare Price Performance Since De-SPAC (98.1%) Last 2 Years (82.5%) Last 12 Months (46.4%) Last 6 Months (18.2%) Last 3 Months 32.8% 9/6/231-for-20 Reverse Stock Split Situation Overview 1 8
CONFIDENTIAL II.Valuation Considerations 9
CONFIDENTIAL $889 $1,188 $1,118 $914 $835 $863 $930 $997 $1,043 33.6% (5.9%) (18.2%) (8.7%) 3.3% 7.9% 7.2% 4.6% Source: Company filings, Vista Management. Note: Reflects Vista Management forecast as of 12/13/24. (1) Net of restructuring expenses and business combination costs as provided by Vista Management. (2)Reflects unit forecast provided in Vista Management’s financial forecast as of 12/13/24. (3)Reflects total M&A spend, net of cash acquired, as provided by Vista Management. NET REVENUE $ in mm ADJUSTED EBITDA(1) $ in mm Vista Financial Forecast Growth % Margin %($37) ($29) $13 ($22) ($2) $16 $42 $69 $72 NM NM 1.2% NM NM 1.8% 4.5% 6.9% 6.9% Valuation 2 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E 2029E Ending Company Unit Count (Mgmt. Forecast as of 12/13/24)⁽²⁾ ~37,000 44,192 41,559 36,796 32,876 33,293 33,621 33,880 34,085 Total M&A Spend ($ in mm)⁽³⁾ $581.0 $104.4 $0.3 – – – – – – Liquidity ($ in mm) $339 $120 $83 $47 $42 $63 $79 $116 $9810
CONFIDENTIAL Available Cash Balance (End of Quarter) ($ in millions) Q4’24 Q1’25 Q2’25 Unrestricted Cash $85 $94 $113 (+) Restricted Cash 99 164 177 (-) Funds Payable to Owners (110) (169) (196) (-) Hospitality & Sales Tax Payables (27) (38) (43) Available Cash $47 $52 $52 Vista Definition of Cash A B C Key Commentary: Unrestricted cash is available for the Company to utilize in its operations, although a large portion of the balance is owed to homeowners and in taxes to local governments Restricted cash reflects business proceeds held in escrow funds due to state regulations Similarly comprises funds owed to owners and governmental authorities Cannot be used to fund the business Current liabilities that are paid out after recognizing revenue and therefore reduce cash Banks take a similar approach in their calculation of liquidity for the RCF financial covenant(1) A B C Valuation 2 Source: Vista Management. Note: Reflects projected balance sheet information as provided by Vista Management. Reflects Vista Management forecast as of 12/13/24. (1) Liquidity matches Available Cash in the current situation where there is no revolver availability. If the Company has an undrawn revolver, that amount is included in Liquidity but not in Available Cash. 11
CONFIDENTIAL Updated Prior Updated Prior Updated Prior Updated Prior Updated Prior Adj. EBITDA⁽¹⁾ ($2) $12 $16 $23 $42 $50 $69 $78 $72 $81 Capital Expenditures 7 6 8 7 9 7 9 8 10 9 Change in Net Working Capital & Non-Cash Adj.⁽²⁾ 5 1 21 (14) (13) (21) (22) (26) (20) (25) Free Cash Flow⁽³⁾ (8) 4 20 (7) 5 5 13 17 14 17 Source: Vista Management. Note: Reflects Vista Management forecast as of 12/13/24 and 10/16/24. (1) Net of restructuring expenses and business combination costs as provided by Vista Management. (2)Change in net working capital & other operating activities includes repayment of operating liabilities (i.e., financed insurance premiums and acquisition liabilities). Other non-cash adjustments include changes in long-term assets, such as reduction in right-of-use assets and intangible assets, and other income. (3)Reflects Adj. EBITDA net of restructuring expense and business combination costs, SBC expenses, tax expenses, capital expenditures, change in net working capital & other operating activities, and other non-cash adjustments. Assumes tax rate of 26.1% on EBIT, as provided by Vista Management. Summary of Key Changes 12/13 Forecast vs. 10/16 Forecast Latest Forecast (12/13) Prior Forecast (10/16) NET REVENUE ($ in millions) Valuation 2 Drivers of Updated Forecast: Sustained elevated churn levels across the business, particularly in Florida and Texas Continued headwinds in vacation rental industry $835 $863 $930 $997 $1,043 $841 $871 $940 $1,006 $1,052 2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E 2029E12
CONFIDENTIAL Source: Vista Management. (1) Reflects unit forecast provided in Vista Management’s financial forecast as of 12/13/24. Forecast Comparison Summary Unit Count Forecast 37,715 37,126 36,796 36,090 35,558 35,042 34,590 34,286 38,168 37,884 37,562 37,089 36,680 36,238 35,825 35,534 (453) (305) (8) (233) (124) (74) (39) (13) Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 May-25 COMPANY ENDING UNIT COUNT FORECAST COMPARISON Decrease / (Increase) in Net Churn : Valuation 2 Latest Forecast (12/13)(1) Prior Forecast (10/16) Actuals Recent churn performance has impacted near-term forecast of units under management.13
CONFIDENTIAL IV.Valuation Analysis 14
CONFIDENTIAL Valuation Summary Source: Vista Management, Company filings, Wall Street research, Capital IQ. Note: Market data as of 12/27/24. Reflects Vista Management forecast as of 12/13/24. Current Share Price: $3.81 ($ per share, rounded to the nearest $0.10, except for 52-week high / low and analyst price targets) DCF (excl.NOL) (PGR) WACC: 19.0% - 21.0% PGR: 2.0% - 3.0% DCF (incl.NOL) (PGR) WACC: 19.0% - 21.0% PGR: 2.0% - 3.0% 52 - Week High / Low Analyst Price Target # of Analysts Providing Price Target: 2 For Reference Only $1.80 $2.20 $2.07 $2.50 $3.00 $3.40 $11.70 $3.25 Casago Headline Purchase Price: $5.02 Valuation 2 15
CONFIDENTIAL Source: Vista Management. Note: Market data as of 12/27/24. Based on projected balance sheet information as of 12/31/24 as provided by Vista Management. Assumes mid-year convention. Reflects Vista Management forecast as of 12/13/24. (1) Net of restructuring expenses and business combination costs as provided by Vista Management. (2)Assumes 26.1% tax rate, as provided by Vista Management. (3) Includes repayment of operating liabilities (i.e., financed insurance premiums and acquisition liabilities). (4)Includes changes in long-term assets, such as reduction in right-of-use assets and intangible assets, and other income. (5)Assumes WACC of ~20.0%. See Vista Illustrative WACC analysis in appendix for further details. (6)Reflects convertible notes of $39mm based on $30mm investment and MOIC of 1.3x, net of 2.5% fees paid. (7) Includes revolver. (8)Reflects sum of unrestricted cash and restricted cash, net of funds payable to owners and hospitality & sales tax payable. (9)Based on FDSO of ~23mm. Includes impact of dilutive securities such as options and RSUs, per Vista Management guidance for 12/31/24. Class G shares conversion assumes 5/31/25 transaction close date. (10)Based on 2029E Adj. EBITDA of $72mm and Net Revenue of $1,043mm. Illustrative Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Perpetual Growth Rate ($ in millions, except per share data) Projected Terminal 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E 2029E Year Net Revenue $914 $835 $863 $930 $997 $1,043 $1,043 % Growth (8.7%) 3.3% 7.9% 7.2% 4.6% Adj. EBITDA (Pre-SBC)⁽¹⁾ ($22) ($2) $16 $42 $69 $72 $72 % Growth NA NA 167.5% 65.1% 3.7% % Margin NM 1.8% 4.5% 6.9% 6.9% (-) SBC (4) (8) (9) (11) (13) (13) Adj. EBITDA (Post-SBC)⁽¹⁾ ($6) $8 $32 $58 $58 $58 (-) D&A (11) (10) (10) (7) (6) (10) EBIT ($16) ($3) $22 $51 $53 $48 (-) Tax Expenses⁽²⁾ – – (6) (13) (14) (13) NOPAT ($16) ($3) $16 $37 $39 $36 (-) Capital Expenditures (7) (8) (9) (9) (10) (10) (-) Change in NWC & Other Operating Activities⁽³⁾ 1 16 (18) (27) (24) – (+) D&A 11 10 10 7 6 10 (+) Other Non-Cash Adjustments⁽⁴⁾ 5 5 5 4 4 4 Unlevered FCF ($8) $20 $5 $13 $14 $40 (x) Discount Factor⁽⁵⁾ 0.91 0.76 0.63 0.53 0.44 0.44 Discounted Cash Flow ($7) $16 $3 $7 $6 $17 Perpetual Growth Rate 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% WACC 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% PV of Cash Flows $25 $24 $24 $25 $24 $24 $25 $24 $24 PV of Terminal Value 109 99 90 113 102 93 117 106 96 TEV $134 $123 $114 $138 $127 $117 $142 $130 $120 (-) Convertible Notes⁽⁶⁾ (38) (38) (38) (38) (38) (38) (38) (38) (38) (-) Gross Debt⁽⁷⁾ (81) (81) (81) (81) (81) (81) (81) (81) (81) (+) Available Cash⁽⁸⁾ 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Implied Equity Value (Excl. NOLs) $62 $51 $42 $66 $55 $45 $70 $58 $48 Implied Share Price (Excl. NOLs)⁽⁹⁾ $2.70 $2.24 $1.83 $2.86 $2.38 $1.96 $3.04 $2.54 $2.09 Premium / (Discount) to Current (29.2%) (41.3%) (51.9%) (24.8%) (37.5%) (48.6%) (20.2%) (33.4%) (45.1%) (+) PV of NOL 9 9 8 9 9 8 9 9 8 Implied Equity Value (Incl. NOLs) $71 $60 $50 $75 $63 $53 $79 $67 $56 Implied Share Price (Incl. NOLs)⁽⁹⁾ $3.10 $2.61 $2.19 $3.27 $2.76 $2.32 $3.45 $2.92 $2.45 Premium / (Discount) to Current (18.7%) (31.4%) (42.6%) (14.3%) (27.5%) (39.2%) (9.5%) (23.4%) (35.7%) Memo: Implied 2029E EBITDA Multiple (excl. NOL) (10) 3.6x 3.4x 3.3x 3.8x 3.6x 3.4x 3.9x 3.7x 3.5x Memo: Implied 2029E Revenue Multiple (excl. NOL) (10) 0.2x 0.2x 0.2x 0.3x 0.2x 0.2x 0.3x 0.3x 0.2x Key Assumptions: Valuation date of 12/31/24 Assumes 26.1% effective tax rate, as provided by Vista Management Valuation 2 16
CONFIDENTIAL NOL Valuation Source: Vista Management. Note: Reflects Vista Management forecast as of 12/13/24. (1) Taxable income assumes ~62% of Vista Holding estimate, as provided by Vista Management. (2)TRA payout assumes 85% of value of TRA NOLs utilized, based on 26.1% tax rate, as provided by Vista Management. (3)Assumes cost of equity of ~20.0%. See Vista Illustrative WACC analysis in appendix for further details. Key Assumptions: Valuation date of 12/31/24 Perpetual growth rate of 2.5% in post-forecast period (2030E – 2042E) Assumes 26.1% effective tax rate, as provided by Vista Management ($ in millions) Projected 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E 2029E 2030E 2031E 2032E 2033E 2034E 2035E 2036E 2037E 2038E 2039E 2040E 2041E 2042E Pretax Income ($151) ($28) ($14) $12 $42 $46 $47 $48 $50 $51 $52 $53 $55 $56 $57 $59 $60 $62 $63 Taxable Income⁽¹⁾ (13) (20) (14) (2) 12 12 12 13 14 15 17 20 23 28 31 31 39 40 41 Pre-TCJA NOLs Beginning Balance $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – (-) Utilization – – – – (10) – – – – – – – – – – – – – – Ending Balance $10 $10 $10 $10 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – Total Federal NOLs (excl. Pre-TCJA) Beginning Balance $212 $225 $245 $259 $261 $259 $249 $239 $228 $217 $205 $191 $175 $156 $134 $109 $84 $53 $21 (+) Additions 13 20 14 2 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – (-) Utilization – – – – (2) (10) (10) (10) (11) (12) (13) (16) (19) (23) (24) (25) (31) (32) (21) Ending Balance $225 $245 $259 $261 $259 $249 $239 $228 $217 $205 $191 $175 $156 $134 $109 $84 $53 $21 – NOLs Utilized – – – – $12 $10 $10 $10 $11 $12 $13 $16 $19 $23 $24 $25 $31 $32 $21 (x) Tax Rate 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% 26.1% Value of NOLs – – – $3 $3 $3 $3 $3 $3 $4 $4 $5 $6 $6 $7 $8 $8 $5 TRA NOLs Utilized – – – – – – – – – – – – – 2 24 25 31 32 21 TRA Payout on NOL Usage⁽²⁾ – – – – – – – – – – – – – $1 $5 $6 $7 $7 $5 Value of NOLs to Vista – – – $3 $3 $3 $3 $3 $3 $4 $4 $5 $5 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 (x) Discount Factor⁽³⁾ 0.91 0.76 0.63 0.53 0.44 0.37 0.31 0.25 0.21 0.18 0.15 0.12 0.10 0.09 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 PV of NOLs – – – $2 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Perpetual Growth Rate 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% Cost of Equity 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% Sum of NOLs Utilized $267 $267 $267 $270 $270 $270 $270 $270 $270 Sum of PV of NOLs $9 $9 $8 $9 $9 $8 $9 $9 $8 Valuation 2 17
CONFIDENTIAL Appendix 18
CONFIDENTIAL Vista Illustrative WACC Analysis Source: Company filings, Bloomberg, Capital IQ, U.S. Treasury. Note: Market data as of 12/27/24. Assumes Vista has no debt in long-term steady state. (1) 20-year U.S. Treasury rate. (2)Historical supply-side equity risk premium (historical equity risk premium minus price-to-earnings ratio calculated using three-year average earnings). (3)CRSP 10y decile size premium. (4)Calculated as risk-free rate + beta-adjusted equity risk premium + size premium. (5)Reflects historical beta for Vista since going public in December 2021. Unlevered Beta Calculation Company Tax Rate Levered Beta Debt Equity Value Current Debt / Equity Unlevered Beta Vista 26.1% 1.45 ⁽⁵⁾ – $88 – 1.45 Cost of Equity Calculation Risk Free Rate⁽¹⁾ 4.89% Equity Risk Premium⁽²⁾ 6.22% Levered Beta 1.447 Beta-Adj. Premium 9.00% Size Premium⁽³⁾ 6.22% Country Risk Premium – Cost of Equity⁽⁴⁾ 20.11% Levered Beta Calculation Unlevered Beta⁽⁵⁾ 1.447 Debt / Equity - Levered Beta 1.447 WACC Calculation Cost of Equity 20.11% WACC 20.11% ($ in millions)19
CONFIDENTIAL Illustrative Analysis at Various Prices ($ in millions, except per share data) Analysis at Various Prices Premium to Current (%) – 5% 18% 32% 44% Share Price ($) $3.81 $4.00 $4.50 $5.02 $5.50 % Premium / (Discount) to: Metric: 52-Week High $11.70 (67%) (66%) (62%) (57%) (53%) 52-Week Low $2.07 84% 93% 117% 143% 166% 30-Day VWAP $3.92 (3%) 2% 15% 28% 40% 60-Day VWAP $3.41 12% 17% 32% 47% 61% 90-Day VWAP $3.14 21% 27% 43% 60% 75% (x) FDSO⁽¹⁾ 23 23 23 23 23 Implied Equity Value $88 $92 $103 $115 $126 (+) Convertible Notes⁽²⁾ 38 38 38 38 38 (+) Gross Debt⁽³⁾ 81 81 81 81 81 (-) Available Cash⁽⁴⁾ (47) (47) (47) (47) (47) Implied TEV $160 $164 $175 $187 $198 TEV / Revenue Multiples 2024E $914 ⁽⁵⁾ 0.17x 0.18x 0.19x 0.21x 0.22x 2025E $835 ⁽⁵⁾ 0.19x 0.20x 0.21x 0.22x 0.24x Source: Company filings, Vista Management, Capital IQ. Note: Market data as of 12/27/24. Based on projected balance sheet information as of 12/31/24 as provided by Vista Management. (1) Based on FDSO of ~23mm. Includes impact of dilutive securities such as options and RSUs, per Vista Management guidance for 12/31/24. Class G shares conversion assumes 5/31/25 transaction close date. (2)Reflects convertible notes of $38.25mm based on $30mm investment and MOIC of 1.3x, net of 2.5% fees paid. (3) Includes revolver. (4)Reflects sum of unrestricted cash and restricted cash, net of funds payable to owners and hospitality & sales tax payable. (5)Reflects Vista Management forecast as of 12/13/24. Casago Headline Purchase Price For Reference Only20
CONFIDENTIALBroker Date Price Target Prem. / (Disc.) to Current Buy / Hold / Sell Valuation Methodology 11/15/24 N/A NA Hold N/A 11/12/24 $2.50 (34.4%) Hold TEV / ‘25E EBITDA: 2.0x 11/11/24 N/A NA Hold N/A 11/11/24 $3.25 (14.7%) Buy N/A 11/11/24 N/A NA Hold N/A Median $2.88 (24.5%) Share Price as of 12/27/24 $3.81 Vista Broker Research Perspectives Source: Wall Street research, Capital IQ. Note: Market data as of 12/27/24. For Reference Only21
CONFIDENTIAL Vista Broker Financial Forecast Source: Wall Street research, Vista Management. Note: Reflects Vista Management forecast as of 12/13/24. (1) Net of restructuring expenses and business combination costs as provided by Vista Management. Net Revenue Broker Report Date 2024E 2025E 2026E 11/15/24 $927 $860 N/A 11/12/24 920 885 N/A 11/11/24 920 800 824 11/11/24 903 770 769 11/11/24 922 937 1,001 Median $920 $860 $824 Management Forecast $914 $835 $863 Adjusted EBITDA Broker Report Date 2024E 2025E 2026E 11/15/24 ($6) $3 N/A 11/12/24 (9) 29 N/A 11/11/24 (11) (3) 2 11/11/24 (10) (0) 10 11/11/24 (5) 55 70 Median ($9) $3 $10 Management Forecast⁽¹⁾ ($22) ($2) $16 ($ in millions) For Reference Only22
CONFIDENTIAL These materials were prepared by PJT Partners LP (“PJT Partners”, “we” or “us”) solely for the information and assistance of the Special Committee (“Special Committee”) of Vista (the “Company”) in order to assist the Special Committee in connection with its consideration of the matters referred to herein. These materials are incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with, any oral information provided by PJT Partners in connection with these materials. These materials and any oral information provided by PJT Partners in connection with these materials (collectively, the “Confidential Information”), as well as any information derived from the Confidential Information, may not be communicated, reproduced, disclosed (in whole or in part) to, or relied upon by, any other person, referred to, or used for any purpose, other than with PJT Partners’ prior written consent. The Confidential Information is based on information publicly available, provided by or on behalf of the Company or obtained from other sources. We assume no responsibility for independent verification of any such information, and we have assumed and relied upon the accuracy and completeness of such information for purposes of preparing the Confidential Information. Neither we nor any of our affiliates or agents, make any representation or warranty, express or implied, in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the Confidential Information, or any data it generates and expressly disclaim any and all liability in relation to any such Confidential Information. The Confidential Information is based on financial, economic, market and other conditions prevailing as of the date of such Confidential Information and is subject to change. We undertake no obligation or responsibility to update or revise any of the Confidential Information. Any valuation, appraisal or conclusion of a financial nature contained in these materials results from the application by PJT Partners of techniques and principles generally adopted in the context of the preparation of financial presentations of this nature, and PJT Partners cannot and does not warrant that the use of different techniques and principles would not lead to a different result. Our analyses do not purport to be an appraisal of any assets or liabilities of the Company or any other party, nor have we evaluated the solvency of the Company or any other party under any laws relating to bankruptcy, insolvency or similar matters. We are not legal, regulatory, accounting or tax advisors and these materials do not constitute legal, regulatory, accounting, tax or other specialist advice. 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