Exhibit (c)(x)
October
Projections
( $ in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
FYE April 30, | | 2001A(1) | | 2002E | | 2003E | | 2004E | | 2005E | | 2006E |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
Net Sales | | $ | 649.6 | | | $ | 625.8 | | | $ | 647.3 | | | $ | 669.6 | | | $ | 697.4 | | | $ | 727.1 | |
|
|
|
|
Cost of Sales | | | 365.7 | | | | 355.3 | | | | 365.1 | | | | 376.0 | | | | 388.7 | | | | 403.7 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Gross Margin (Profit) | | | 283.9 | | | | 270.5 | | | | 282.2 | | | | 293.6 | | | | 308.7 | | | | 323.4 | |
|
|
|
|
Marketing and Administrative Expense | | | 232.0 | | | | 227.0 | | | | 233.3 | | | | 240.3 | | | | 249.1 | | | | 259.6 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
EBITDA | | | 51.9 | | | | 43.6 | | | | 48.9 | | | | 53.4 | | | | 59.6 | | | | 63.8 | |
|
|
|
|
Depreciation & Amortization | | | 12.1 | | | | 14.0 | | | | 14.1 | | | | 14.2 | | | | 14.8 | | | | 15.4 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Operating Income | | | 39.8 | | | | 29.5 | | | | 34.8 | | | | 39.2 | | | | 44.8 | | | | 48.4 | |
|
|
|
|
Gain on Sale of Subsidiaries | | | 7.5 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
|
|
|
|
Interest & other income | | | 3.7 | | | | 2.9 | | | | 2.8 | | | | 3.2 | | | | 3.7 | | | | 4.4 | |
|
|
|
|
Total Interest Expense | | | 6.7 | | | | 3.0 | | | | 1.9 | | | | 2.0 | | | | 2.1 | | | | 2.2 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Net Income from Cont. Ops. before Taxes | | | 44.3 | | | | 29.5 | | | | 35.7 | | | | 40.4 | | | | 46.5 | | | | 50.6 | |
|
|
|
|
Provision for Income Taxes | | | 16.8 | | | | 10.7 | | | | 13.3 | | | | 15.2 | | | | 17.6 | | | | 19.3 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Net Income from continuing ops | | $ | 27.5 | | | $ | 18.8 | | | $ | 22.4 | | | $ | 25.2 | | | $ | 28.9 | | | $ | 31.3 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Source: | | Company management as of mid-September 2001. |
|
|
|
|
(1) | | Includes results of on-going operations only. |
( $ in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
FYE April 30, | | 2001A | | 2002E | | 2003E | | 2004E | | 2005E | | 2006E |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
Cash | | $ | 88.5 | | | $ | 86.5 | | | $ | 99.3 | | | $ | 114.7 | | | $ | 134.0 | | | $ | 156.1 | |
|
|
|
|
Accounts receivable, net | | | 116.5 | | | | 118.0 | | | | 123.0 | | | | 126.6 | | | | 130.4 | | | | 134.5 | |
|
|
|
|
Inventories | | | 82.5 | | | | 84.0 | | | | 86.1 | | | | 88.4 | | | | 91.1 | | | | 94.5 | |
|
|
|
|
Prepaid expenses | | | 6.4 | | | | 6.4 | | | | 6.6 | | | | 6.8 | | | | 7.1 | | | | 7.4 | |
|
|
|
|
Deferred income taxes | | | 12.8 | | | | 12.8 | | | | 13.2 | | | | 13.7 | | | | 14.3 | | | | 14.9 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Total current assets | | | 306.7 | | | | 307.7 | | | | 328.2 | | | | 350.2 | | | | 376.9 | | | | 407.4 | |
|
|
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
|
Net property and equipment | | | 63.2 | | | | 61.4 | | | | 59.9 | | | | 58.6 | | | | 57.3 | | | | 56.0 | |
|
|
|
|
Deferred income taxes | | | 36.1 | | | | 35.5 | | | | 35.5 | | | | 35.5 | | | | 35.5 | | | | 35.5 | |
|
|
|
|
Other assets | | | 19.5 | | | | 16.6 | | | | 16.6 | | | | 16.6 | | | | 16.6 | | | | 16.6 | |
|
|
|
|
Total assets | | $ | 425.5 | | | $ | 421.1 | | | $ | 440.1 | | | $ | 460.8 | | | $ | 486.3 | | | $ | 515.5 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
|
|
|
|
Accounts payable | | $ | 38.6 | | | $ | 38.6 | | | $ | 42.1 | | | $ | 44.2 | | | $ | 46.7 | | | $ | 50.2 | |
|
|
|
|
Accrued expenses | | | 24.8 | | | | 24.8 | | | | 25.7 | | | | 26.5 | | | | 27.6 | | | | 28.8 | |
|
|
|
|
Income taxes payable | | | 11.1 | | | | 11.1 | | | | 11.5 | | | | 11.9 | | | | 12.4 | | | | 12.9 | |
|
|
|
|
Dividends payable | | | 1.9 | | | | 1.9 | | | | 1.9 | | | | 1.9 | | | | 1.9 | | | | 1.9 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Total current liabilities | | | 76.4 | | | | 76.4 | | | | 81.1 | | | | 84.5 | | | | 88.6 | | | | 93.7 | |
|
|
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
|
Total debt | | | 11.9 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
|
|
|
|
Retirement and deferred compensation plans | | | 114.6 | | | | 113.2 | | | | 112.4 | | | | 112.0 | | | | 111.9 | | | | 112.0 | |
|
|
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
|
Stockholders’ equity | | | 222.7 | | | | 231.6 | | | | 246.6 | | | | 264.4 | | | | 285.8 | | | | 309.7 | |
|
|
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity | | $ | 425.5 | | | $ | 421.1 | | | $ | 440.1 | | | $ | 460.8 | | | $ | 486.3 | | | $ | 515.5 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Source: | | Company management as of mid-September 2001. |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
( $ in millions) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
FYE April 30, | | 2002E | | 2003E | | 2004E | | 2005E | | 2006E |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
Net income | | $ | 18.8 | | | $ | 22.4 | | | $ | 25.2 | | | $ | 28.9 | | | $ | 31.3 | |
|
|
|
|
Depreciation and amortization | | | 14.0 | | | | 14.1 | | | | 14.2 | | | | 14.8 | | | | 15.4 | |
|
|
|
|
Non-cash interest expense on deferred comp | | | 1.9 | | | | 1.9 | | | | 2.0 | | | | 2.1 | | | | 2.2 | |
|
|
|
|
Other non-cash items | | | 1.1 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
|
|
|
|
Change in working capital | | | (6.2 | ) | | | (3.0 | ) | | | (3.1 | ) | | | (3.3 | ) | | | (3.3 | ) |
|
|
|
|
Cash from discontinued operations | | | 2.7 | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Cash from operations | | | 32.3 | | | | 35.4 | | | | 38.2 | | | | 42.4 | | | | 45.6 | |
|
|
|
|
|
Capital expenditures | | | 12.2 | | | | 12.6 | | | | 12.9 | | | | 13.5 | | | | 14.0 | |
|
|
|
|
Dividends Paid | | | 7.4 | | | | 7.4 | | | | 7.4 | | | | 7.4 | | | | 7.4 | |
|
|
|
|
Deferred comp contributions | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
|
|
|
|
Deferred comp payments | | | 3.2 | | | | 2.7 | | | | 2.4 | | | | 2.2 | | | | 2.0 | |
|
|
|
|
Other | | | (0.7 | ) | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | | | | — | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Cash available for debt repayment / other items | | | 10.2 | | | | 12.7 | | | | 15.4 | | | | 19.3 | | | | 22.1 | |
|
|
|
|
|
Cash used in financing activities | | $ | 12.3 | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | | | $ | — | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | | $ | (2.1 | ) | | $ | 12.7 | | | $ | 15.4 | | | $ | 19.3 | | | $ | 22.1 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Source: | | Company management as of mid-September 2001. |
Project Ranger
Revenue
(FYE April 30; $ in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | 2001A(1) | | 2002E | | 2003E | | 2004E | | 2005E | | 2006E | | CAGR |
| | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
Western Europe | | $ | 163.9 | | | $ | 145.1 | | | $ | 139.5 | | | $ | 139.5 | | | $ | 143.7 | | | $ | 148.0 | | | | - | 2.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
Eastern Europe | | | 28.0 | | | | 26.7 | | | | 27.6 | | | | 28.4 | | | | 29.3 | | | | 30.1 | | | | | 1.5 | % |
|
|
|
|
Latin America | | | 36.2 | | | | 36.5 | | | | 38.4 | | | | 39.6 | | | | 40.7 | | | | 42.0 | | | | | 3.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
Asia | | | 28.9 | | | | 26.9 | | | | 27.5 | | | | 28.3 | | | | 29.1 | | | | 30.0 | | | | | 0.8 | % |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | | |
|
| Total International | | | 257.0 | | | | 235.2 | | | | 233.0 | | | | 235.8 | | | | 242.8 | | | | 250.1 | | | | - | 0.5 | % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
Chemical Specialties | | | 169.5 | | | | 161.5 | | | | 166.1 | | | | 171.7 | | | | 177.9 | | | | 185.0 | | | | | 1.8 | % |
|
|
|
|
Plumbing Products Group | | | 111.4 | | | | 113.0 | | | | 121.6 | | | | 127.6 | | | | 133.5 | | | | 139.7 | | | | | 4.6 | % |
|
|
|
|
Partsmaster Group | | | 43.6 | | | | 43.7 | | | | 46.3 | | | | 47.6 | | | | 49.1 | | | | 50.5 | | | | | 3.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
Landmark Direct | | | 41.9 | | | | 43.2 | | | | 47.3 | | | | 50.6 | | | | 54.2 | | | | 57.9 | | | | | 6.7 | % |
|
|
|
|
RPG | | | 26.2 | | | | 29.2 | | | | 33.0 | | | | 36.3 | | | | 39.9 | | | | 43.9 | | | | | 10.9 | % |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | | |
|
| Total Domestic | | | 392.6 | | | | 390.6 | | | | 414.3 | | | | 433.8 | | | | 454.6 | | | | 477.0 | | | | | 4.0 | % |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | | |
|
Total Company | | $ | 649.6 | | | $ | 625.8 | | | $ | 647.3 | | | $ | 669.6 | | | $ | 697.4 | | | $ | 727.1 | | | | | 2.3 | % |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | | |
|
Source: | | Company management as of mid-September. |
|
|
|
|
(1) | | Continuing operations. |
Project Ranger
Revenue Growth
(FYE April 30; $ in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | 2002E | | 2003E | | 2004E | | 2005E | | 2006E |
| | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
Western Europe | | | -11.5 | % | | | -3.9 | % | | | 0.0 | % | | | 3.0 | % | | | 3.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
Eastern Europe | | | -4.6 | % | | | 3.4 | % | | | 2.9 | % | | | 3.2 | % | | | 2.7 | % |
|
|
|
|
Latin America | | | 0.8 | % | | | 5.2 | % | | | 3.1 | % | | | 2.8 | % | | | 3.2 | % |
|
|
|
|
Asia | | | -6.9 | % | | | 2.2 | % | | | 2.9 | % | | | 2.8 | % | | | 3.1 | % |
|
|
|
|
| Total International | | | -8.5 | % | | | -0.9 | % | | | 1.2 | % | | | 3.0 | % | | | 3.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
|
Chemical Specialties | | | -4.7 | % | | | 2.8 | % | | | 3.4 | % | | | 3.6 | % | | | 4.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
Plumbing Products Group | | | 1.4 | % | | | 7.6 | % | | | 4.9 | % | | | 4.6 | % | | | 4.6 | % |
|
|
|
|
Partsmaster Group | | | 0.2 | % | | | 5.8 | % | | | 3.0 | % | | | 3.0 | % | | | 3.0 | % |
|
|
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|
Landmark Direct | | | 3.1 | % | | | 9.5 | % | | | 7.0 | % | | | 7.1 | % | | | 6.8 | % |
|
|
|
|
RPG | | | 11.5 | % | | | 13.0 | % | | | 10.0 | % | | | 9.9 | % | | | 10.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
| Total Domestic | | | -0.5 | % | | | 6.1 | % | | | 4.7 | % | | | 4.8 | % | | | 4.9 | % |
|
|
|
|
Total Company | | | -3.7 | % | | | 3.4 | % | | | 3.5 | % | | | 4.1 | % | | | 4.3 | % |
Source: | | Company management as of mid-September. |
Project Ranger
Operating Income
(FYE April 30; $ in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | 2001A(1) | | 2002E | | 2003E | | 2004E | | 2005E | | 2006E |
| | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
Western Europe | | $ | 24.0 | | | $ | 18.6 | | | $ | 18.1 | | | $ | 18.1 | | | $ | 20.1 | | | $ | 20.7 | |
|
|
|
|
Eastern Europe | | | 6.3 | | | | 5.9 | | | | 5.5 | | | | 5.4 | | | | 5.3 | | | | 5.4 | |
|
|
|
|
Latin America | | | 2.7 | | | | 2.5 | | | | 2.7 | | | | 2.8 | | | | 3.0 | | | | 3.1 | |
|
|
|
|
Asia | | | 3.0 | | | | 2.5 | | | | 2.6 | | | | 2.7 | | | | 3.1 | | | | 3.5 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
| Total International | | | 36.0 | | | | 29.5 | | | | 28.9 | | | | 29.0 | | | | 31.5 | | | | 32.7 | |
|
|
|
|
|
Chemical Specialties | | | 16.6 | | | | 13.5 | | | | 15.9 | | | | 16.8 | | | | 18.6 | | | | 19.4 | |
|
|
|
|
Plumbing Products Group | | | 7.8 | | | | 6.6 | | | | 8.4 | | | | 10.2 | | | | 10.7 | | | | 11.2 | |
|
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|
Partsmaster Group | | | 4.9 | | | | 4.3 | | | | 4.6 | | | | 4.8 | | | | 4.9 | | | | 5.1 | |
|
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|
|
Landmark Direct | | | 0.2 | | | | — | | | | 1.2 | | | | 2.5 | | | | 2.7 | | | | 2.9 | |
|
|
|
|
RPG | | | 4.1 | | | | 4.5 | | | | 5.1 | | | | 5.7 | | | | 6.2 | | | | 6.9 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
| Total Domestic | | | 33.6 | | | | 28.9 | | | | 35.2 | | | | 40.0 | | | | 43.1 | | | | 45.5 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Total Company | | $ | 69.6 | | | $ | 58.4 | | | $ | 64.1 | | | $ | 69.0 | | | $ | 74.6 | | | $ | 78.2 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Corporate expenses | | | (17.7 | ) | | | (14.9 | ) | | | (15.3 | ) | | | (15.8 | ) | | | (15.8 | ) | | | (15.8 | ) |
|
|
|
|
Unallocated international expense | | | (12.1 | ) | | | (14.0 | ) | | | (14.0 | ) | | | (14.0 | ) | | | (14.0 | ) | | | (14.0 | ) |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
EBIT | | $ | 39.8 | | | $ | 29.5 | | | $ | 34.8 | | | $ | 39.2 | | | $ | 44.8 | | | $ | 48.4 | |
| | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |
Source: | | Company management as of mid-September. |
|
|
|
|
(1) | | Continuing operations. |
Project Ranger
Operating Income Margins
(FYE April 30; $ in millions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | 2001A(1) | | 2002E | | 2003E | | 2004E | | 2005E | | 2006E |
| | |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
Western Europe | | | 14.6 | % | | | 12.8 | % | | | 13.0 | % | | | 13.0 | % | | | 14.0 | % | | | 14.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
Eastern Europe | | | 22.5 | % | | | 22.1 | % | | | 19.9 | % | | | 19.0 | % | | | 18.0 | % | | | 18.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
Latin America | | | 7.5 | % | | | 6.8 | % | | | 7.0 | % | | | 7.1 | % | | | 7.4 | % | | | 7.4 | % |
|
|
|
|
Asia | | | 10.4 | % | | | 9.3 | % | | | 9.5 | % | | | 9.5 | % | | | 10.7 | % | | | 11.7 | % |
|
|
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|
| Total International | | | 14.0 | % | | | 12.5 | % | | | 12.4 | % | | | 12.3 | % | | | 13.0 | % | | | 13.1 | % |
|
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|
Chemical Specialties | | | 9.8 | % | | | 8.4 | % | | | 9.6 | % | | | 9.8 | % | | | 10.5 | % | | | 10.5 | % |
|
|
|
|
Plumbing Products Group | | | 7.0 | % | | | 5.8 | % | | | 6.9 | % | | | 8.0 | % | | | 8.0 | % | | | 8.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
Partsmaster Group | | | 11.2 | % | | | 9.8 | % | | | 9.9 | % | | | 10.1 | % | | | 10.0 | % | | | 10.1 | % |
|
|
|
|
Landmark Direct | | | 0.5 | % | | | 0.0 | % | | | 2.5 | % | | | 4.9 | % | | | 5.0 | % | | | 5.0 | % |
|
|
|
|
RPG | | | 15.6 | % | | | 15.4 | % | | | 15.5 | % | | | 15.7 | % | | | 15.5 | % | | | 15.7 | % |
|
|
|
|
| Total Domestic | | | 8.6 | % | | | 7.4 | % | | | 8.5 | % | | | 9.2 | % | | | 9.5 | % | | | 9.5 | % |
|
|
|
|
Total Company | | | 6.1 | % | | | 4.7 | % | | | 5.4 | % | | | 5.9 | % | | | 6.4 | % | | | 6.7 | % |
Source: | | Company management as of mid-September. |
|
|
|
|
(1) | | Continuing operations. |