through June 2015, the Fed left the targeted federal funds rate unchanged near zero. At its June 2015 meeting, the Fed hinted that U.S. rates were still on track to increase later this year, though a shift lower in Fed officials’ economic growth and inflation forecasts signaled a potential delay, extending forecasts for an initial rate hike to late 2015. Fed Chair Janet Yellen maintained a cautious tone at the Fed’s press conference, noting the Fed would raise short-term interest rates only gradually, with the precise timing of “lift off,” or its first rate hike, heavily dependent on data and developments.
Equity Market Review
U.S. equities, as measured by the S&P 500® Index2, gained 1.23% during the six months ended June 30, 2015. While representing the S&P 500® Index’s weakest first-half performance since 2010, the modest gain still marked ten consecutive calendar quarters of positive returns for the broad U.S. equity market. The S&P 500® Index was volatile but showed its resiliency despite a backdrop of modest global economic growth, a contraction in the U.S. economy during the first calendar quarter, a potential Greek exit from the euro, and both an economic slowdown and equity market retreat in China. The U.S. equity market found support from the low interest rate environment and generally improving economic data, including a drop in the national unemployment rate and a better housing market, among other factors. Throughout, the U.S. equity market focused on the timing of the first interest rate increase by the Fed.
Given these oppositional and somewhat cloudy market forces, sector performance within the S&P 500® Index was widely divergent during the semi-annual period, with five sectors posting positive returns and five posting negative returns. Growth-oriented stocks were favored.
Utilities was the worst performing sector in the S&P 500® Index during the semi-annual period. The utilities sector tends to be highly interest rate sensitive, and thus the sector sold off sharply as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed and in anticipation of a Fed interest rate hike at some point in 2015. The energy sector also declined—based primarily on crude oil price weakness early in 2015.
Conversely, market participants perceived the combination of lower energy prices, better employment prospects and an improving housing market as beneficial for consumers. In anticipation of increasing consumption, the consumer discretionary sector performed especially well during the semi-annual period. Health care was the best performing sector in the S&P 500® Index during the semi-annual period, benefiting from healthy business fundamentals and an increase in mergers and acquisitions.
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We thank you for trusting us to be a part of your long-term, comprehensive investment strategy. We appreciate your confidence in the Value Line Funds and look forward to serving your investment needs in the years ahead just as we have been helping to secure generations’ financial futures for more than 60 years—based on solid fundamentals, sound investment principles and the power of disciplined and rigorous analytics. If you have any questions or would like additional information, we invite you to contact your investment representative or visit www.guardianinvestor.com.
Sincerely,
Mitchell Appel
President of the Value Line Funds
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment can fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost; and that current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Investors should carefully consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expense of a fund. This and other important information about a fund is contained in the fund’s prospectus.
The Value Line Funds are distributed by EULAV Securities LLC.
1
The First Trust Equity Closed-End Fund Total Return Price Index is a capitalization weighted index designed to provide abroad representation of the equity based closed-end fund universe. The equity based closed-end fund market is comprised of the following sectors; U.S. global, international, country, emerging market, commodities, preferreds, REITs, covered calls, sector specific, tax-advantaged, MLP, and hybrid funds.
2
The S&P 500® Index consists of 500 stocks which are traded on the New York Stock Exchange, American Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ National Market System and is representative of the broad stock market. This is an unmanaged index and does not reflect charges, expenses or taxes, and it is not possible to directly invest in this index.