global central banks and as supported by an increase in oil prices and better U.S. economic data. However, the U.S. equity market then sold off sharply again with the unexpected referendum result on June 23, 2016, wherein U.K. citizens voted to exit the European Union. In the last days of the month, markets rebounded as investors digested the Brexit vote outcome.
Within the U.S. equity market, value stocks outperformed growth stocks across the capitalization spectrum. Small- and mid-cap stocks outperformed large-cap stocks among the S&P indices, while small-cap stocks lagged large-cap and mid-cap stocks as measured by the Russell Investments indices.
In the S&P 500® Index, the best performing sectors were telecommunication services, utilities, energy and consumer staples, each of which posted double-digit gains. The weakest performing sectors in the S&P 500® Index during the semi-annual period were financials and information technology, the only two to post negative absolute returns. Consumer discretionary and health care were also weak but generated modestly positive returns during the semi-annual period.
Fixed Income Market Review
The broad U.S. investment grade fixed income market, as measured by the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index3, posted a return of 5.31% during the semi-annual period. Interest rates drifted down across the entire yield curve, or spectrum of maturities, but the biggest drop came at the long-term end, leading to a flattening of the yield curve. (A flattening yield curve is one in which the differential in yields of securities with various maturities narrows.) While the Fed appeared to be weighing an interest rate hike in mid-year 2016, it took on a more dovish stance as job growth began to slack off and as inflation remained below the Fed’s 2% target. With rates likely to stay “lower for longer,” investors became somewhat less risk-averse as a way to increase overall yield. In turn, lower rated and longer maturity bonds were the best performers during the semi-annual period. Within the U.S. Treasuries sector, long maturity securities, i.e. those with maturities of 10 years or more, performed best, posting a total return in excess of 15%, as they benefited most from the persistently low level of inflation.
More specifically, the yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury bill declined approximately 48 basis points, while the yield on the bellwether 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell approximately 78 basis points and the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond decreased approximately 71 basis points during the semi-annual period. (A basis point is 1/100th of a percentage point.)
Corporate bonds also performed well, enjoying robust demand during the semi-annual period. New issues were snapped up quickly. The search for yield amidst the low interest rate environment led BBB-rated corporate bonds to outperform AAA-rated corporate bonds by more than 400 basis points. Consistent with the overall risk-on tone to fixed income during the semi-annual period, high yield corporate bonds generally outperformed most other fixed income sectors.
While no taxable fixed income sectors posted negative returns during the semi-annual period, securitized bonds, including asset-backed securities and mortgage-backed securities, posted the weakest returns. The securitized sector was negatively affected by its overall strong credit quality and its generally shorter duration than other fixed income sectors.
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We thank you for trusting us to be a part of your long-term, comprehensive investment strategy. We appreciate your confidence in the Value Line Funds and look forward to serving your investment needs in the years ahead just as we have been helping to secure generations’ financial futures for more than 60 years — based on solid fundamentals, sound investment principles and the power of disciplined and rigorous analytics. If you have any questions or would like additional information on these or other Value Line Funds, we invite you to contact your investment representative or visit us at www.vlfunds.com.
Sincerely,
Mitchell Appel
President of the Value Line Funds
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment can fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost; and that current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Investors should carefully consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expense of a fund. This and other important information about a fund is contained in the fund’s prospectus.
The Fund’s annual and semi-annual shareholder reports are available from GIAC’s website at: http://www.guardianinvestor.com/public/products/prospectus.aspx. You may obtain free copies of the Fund’s prospectus, Statement of Additional Information or its annual or semi-annual shareholder reports or make shareholder inquiries by contacting GIAC at 7 Hanover Square, New York, NY 10004 or calling toll-free 800-221-3253.
The Value Line Funds are distributed by EULAV Securities LLC.
1
Morningstar, Inc. is an investment research and investment management firm headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, United States.
2
The S&P 500® Index consists of 500 stocks which are traded on the New York Stock Exchange, American Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ National Market System and is representative of the broad stock market. This is an unmanaged index and does not reflect charges, expenses or taxes, and it is not possible to directly invest in this index.
3
The Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based benchmark that measures the investment grade, U.S. dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market, including Treasuries, government-related and corporate securities, MBS (agency fixed-rate and hybrid ARM pass-throughs), ABS and CMBS.